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Allstate (ALL) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Financials· Aug 6, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Allstate Q2 FY26 — Exceptional Earnings and Strategic Growth

Allstate delivered exceptional Q2 FY26 earnings driven by strong Property-Liability underwriting performance and significant investment income. The company's technology-driven strategy, including the transformative growth initiative and the development of Agentic AI (ALLIE), is fueling market share expansion across all distribution channels. Management remains committed to capital returns, with substantial deployable capital supporting both organic growth and shareholder value creation.

Highlights

5
  • Total revenues grew to $18.6 billion, up 11.8% from Q2 2025.

  • Net investment income increased 33.8% to $1 billion.

  • Property-Liability combined ratio improved 4.5 points to 86.6%, with underwriting income up nearly 57% to $2 billion.

  • Adjusted net income was $2.3 billion or $8.99 per share, with a 44.2% adjusted net income return on equity over the last 12 months.

  • Auto insurance new business increased to 2.3 million items (vs 1.5 million 3 years ago), and homeowners new business increased 46.8% to 411,000 policies.

Concerns

1
  • Property-Liability expense ratio increased 1 point, with half attributed to higher advertising and the remainder to nonrecurring legal expenses.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Share repurchase authorization
$4 billion
high materiality
High
New issued applications growth (auto)
continue to fuel growth
medium materiality
Medium
ALLIE impact on expenses, pricing, claims, and growth
positive benefits to all
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Property-Liability
Driven by premium growth in both auto and homeowners insurance, with significant improvement in combined ratio and underwriting income.
Net premiums earned: $14.9 billionCombined ratio: 86.6%Combined ratio improvement: 4.5 pointsUnderlying combined ratio: 79.4%Underwriting income: $2 billionUnderwriting income growth: nearly 57%Policy growth: 2.6%
$14.9 billion4%—86.6% combined ratio
Property-Liability - Auto Insurance
Generated strong combined ratio, improving from the prior year, and demonstrated rapid adaptation to market changes through reserve management.
Combined ratio: 83.3%Combined ratio improvement: 2.7 pointsUnderlying combined ratio (adjusted for Q2 claim cost reduction): 90%Underlying combined ratio (adjusted for YTD claim cost reduction): 88.5%Policy growth: 2.8%
———83.3% combined ratio
Property-Liability - Homeowners Insurance
Achieved significant improvement in combined ratio and consistent positive policy growth.
Combined ratio: 94.6%Combined ratio improvement: 7.4 pointsPolicy growth: 2.9%
———94.6% combined ratio
Protection Services
Expands Allstate's brand and capabilities into adjacent markets, leveraging distribution networks and technology.
Policies in force: 177 millionRevenue (LTM): $3.4 billionAdjusted net income (LTM): Over $200 millionPolicy growth: 4.1%
$3.4 billion——Over $200 million adjusted net income

ALL operating KPIs by quarter

ALL operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2024 Q4 FY24 Mar 2025 Q1 FY25 Jun 2025 Q2 FY25 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26This call Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Combined ratio Property-Liability
86.9% On the bottom half of the table, you see the strong margins delivered during the quarter with the total Property-Liability recorded combined ratio of 86.9%, reflecting a 2.6 point improvement compared to the prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
97.4% The combined ratio of 97.4% was 4.4 points above the prior year quarter, primarily due to a $3.3 billion in gross catastrophe losses during the quarter, which was significantly higher than the first quarter of last year. Source: earnings call transcript
91.1% The combined ratio of 91.1% was a 10-point improvement from the prior year quarter, driven by improved underlying trends and $376 million in favorable prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates. Source: earnings call transcript
—
82% The property-liability recorded combined ratio was 82% and the underlying combined ratio is 80.3%, a 2.8 point improvement from the prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
——
Combined ratio Auto insurance——
86% Shifting to Auto Insurance on the top right, the combined ratio was 86% in the quarter, a 9.9 point improvement from the second quarter of 2024 due to improved frequency and moderating severity trends. Source: earnings call transcript
——
83.3% Auto insurance generated an 83.3% combined ratio, improving 2.7 points from the prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Policies in force Property-Liability
37.5M The chart to the left shows the composition of property liabilities 37.5 million policies in force. Source: earnings call transcript
37.7M In the chart to the left, you can see the composition of Property-Liability's 37.7 million policies in force. Source: earnings call transcript
37.9M In the chart to the left, you can see the composition of Allstate's 37.9 million Property-Liability policies in force with growth results for the quarter shown at the bottom of the chart. Source: earnings call transcript
———+0.5%
Policies in force Auto
24.9M Auto is the largest at 24.9 million and homeowners represents approximately 20% of policies in force. Source: earnings call transcript
25.1M Auto insurance in the dark blue makes up 2/3 of total policies and ended the quarter with 25.1 million policies in force, which was down 0.4% compared to last year. Source: earnings call transcript
25.2M Auto insurance with 25.2 million policies in force, shown in dark blue, accounts for 2/3 of total property liability policies and year-over-year growth turned positive during the quarter, ending the second quarter at plus 0.5% above prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
———+0.4%
Policies in force Homeowners—
7.5M Homeowners with 7.5 million policies is about 20% of the total and continued to grow this quarter, increasing 2.5% versus prior year. Source: earnings call transcript
7.6M The homeowners business accounts for approximately 20% or 7.6 million property-liability policies and continued to grow in the second quarter, increasing 2.3% relative to the prior year quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
———+1.3%
Policies in force Protection Services——
170M Protection Services, while smaller, is still a really significant business with 170 million policies in force, $3.2 billion of revenue and $0.25 billion of income over the last 12 months. Source: earnings call transcript
171M It has 171 million policies in force, generates $3.3 billion in revenue and had $211 million of income over the last 12 months. Source: earnings call transcript
—
177M The segment has 177 million policies in force, contributing $3.4 billion to our top line and generating over $200 million in adjusted net income in the last 12 months. Source: earnings call transcript
—

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
ALLIE (Allstate's Large Language Intelligent Ecosystem)roadmap

Deals & partnerships

Square Trade Acquisition to expand protection offerings.

Acquired to broaden protection services, leveraging Allstate's brand and distribution.

National General Acquisition to strengthen distribution capabilities and expertise in non-standard auto. $4 billion gross

Acquired to enhance expertise in the non-standard auto market and expand independent agent channel presence.

Risks & headwinds

Property-Liability expense ratio increase Q2 FY26

1 point increase

Mitigation:Half of the increase was due to higher advertising, and the remainder from nonrecurring legal expenses, which are not systemic.

Cybersecurity threats Ongoing

More difficult now than 2 and 5 years ago

Mitigation:Significant time and effort invested in cybersecurity, with a great team. Internal LLMs are used, not public ones, to prevent data exfiltration.

High bodily injury severity trends Ongoing

Continue to be at relatively high levels

Mitigation:Hopeful for continued tort reform (e.g., in Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, New York) to reduce litigation costs and improve customer costs.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

ALLIE deployment and impact

Next quarter and beyond
Current Building and deploying
Target Positive benefits to expenses, pricing, claims, and growth

Why it matters

ALLIE is expected to be a significant driver of efficiency, accuracy, and growth, impacting the company's core operations and financial performance.

Now this platform is enabling us to build ALLIE, which will leverage Agentic AI to improve customer value, lower cost and increase growth.

Find out whether ALL delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How does Allstate manage the costs and ROI of its technology initiatives, particularly ALLIE? How are data assets protected from large language models, and will legacy systems be phased out?

Allstate views itself as a technology-driven company, not just supported by technology, and manages costs and ROI effectively. The orchestration layer built during transformative growth makes legacy systems accessible, positioning them well for ALLIE. They use internal LLMs to protect data from exfiltration and prioritize cybersecurity.

“We use LLMs internal. We don't use public LLMs to do any of our stuff. So we're not worried about our data being exfiltrated or scooped up in the knowledge of somebody else's LLM, so one of our competitors can use it.”

asked by Gregory Peters · answered by Thomas Wilson

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Technology-Driven Strategy and ALLIE Development

Allstate operates with a technology-driven strategy, embedding advanced analytics across its enterprise operations, including pricing, sales, claims, investments, and capital management. This platform, utilizing over 250 analytical models, 40 petabytes of data, and 1.5 billion CPU compute hours, enables efficient operations like generating 100 million+ quotes and managing customer interactions.

The company is now building ALLIE (Allstate's Large Language Intelligent Ecosystem), an Agentic AI system with 8 integrated components, leveraging the orchestration layer developed during the transformative growth initiative to accelerate its deployment and enhance customer value, lower costs, and increase growth.

Operational Excellence in Property-Liability

Allstate consistently demonstrates superior performance in its Property-Liability business, achieving a 95.2% combined ratio in auto insurance over the last decade (outperforming the industry) and a 10-point outperformance in homeowners insurance. This success is attributed to sophisticated pricing, disciplined underwriting, and a world-class claims team. The company manages volatility through risk selection and a robust reinsurance program, contributing to significant underwriting margins.

Rapid Adaptation and Auto Profitability

The company showcased rapid adaptation to changing market conditions, particularly in auto insurance, following the post-pandemic surge in used car prices and increased severity. Auto claim reserve releases totaled $1.5 billion year-to-date, with Q2 benefiting by 2.4 points from Q1 claim cost reductions, resulting in an adjusted underlying combined ratio of 90% for Q2 and 88.5% year-to-date.

This adaptability, combined with a multifaceted growth strategy, allows Allstate to maintain strong margins while pursuing growth, rather than solely relying on price adjustments.

Transformative Growth Driving Market Share

Allstate's transformative growth initiative is successfully generating Property-Liability market share growth. Investments in acquisition sophistication, expanded direct distribution, and increased productivity of Allstate agents, supported by $1.1 billion in H1 advertising, have translated into significant new business growth. Auto insurance new business increased to 2.3 million items in Q2 (from 1.5 million three years prior), and homeowners new business grew 46.8% to 411,000 policies, demonstrating balanced growth across exclusive agent, independent agent, and direct channels.

Expanding Protection through Protection Services

The Protection Services segment is a key part of Allstate's strategy to expand protection and leverage capabilities across customers' lives. With 177 million policies in force and $3.4 billion in LTM revenue, this segment extends the Allstate brand into adjacent markets such as product protection (through major retailers), dealer services, mobility intelligence (Arity), roadside assistance, and identity protection.

These businesses deepen customer relationships and create additional growth opportunities by meeting broader customer needs.

Strong Capital Generation and Shareholder Returns

Allstate's attractive returns on equity have enabled substantial capital generation, providing flexibility for growth investments, competitive positioning, and significant shareholder returns. Over the last decade, the company nearly doubled property liability premiums, increased investments, completed strategic acquisitions (Square Trade, National General), and repurchased 39% of outstanding shares.

In Q2 FY26, $1.3 billion was returned to shareholders, including $1 billion in share repurchases, with $2.6 billion remaining under the current authorization.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.