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    ASTS
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    AST SpaceMobile Q2 FY26 earnings call ASTS

    Aug 10, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    AST SpaceMobile Q2 FY26 — Commercial Readiness and Expanding TAM

    AST SpaceMobile is rapidly advancing towards commercial deployment, marked by significant progress in satellite manufacturing, a robust spectrum strategy, and a substantial expansion of its total addressable market beyond direct-to-device services. The company has secured key government contracts and fortified its balance sheet, positioning it for scaled operations and long-term growth, despite increasing operational and capital expenditures to support its ambitious build-out.

    Highlights

    5
    • Revenue more than doubled Q1, reaching $31.5 million in Q2 FY26.

    • Revenue backlog increased to approximately $1.3 billion, including government contracts and partner agreements.

    • Secured $1.15 billion in convertible debt, bolstering cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash to over $3.7 billion.

    • Received 3 new U.S. government contract awards with funded near-term value exceeding $100 million for 2026-2027.

    • Selected for the Rakuten J-LEO project in Japan, with a total expected value of up to $1 billion in non-dilutive government capital.

    Concerns

    3
    • Adjusted operating expenses, excluding cost of revenues, increased to $95.9 million in Q2 FY26 from $79.8 million in Q1 FY26, near the high end of guidance.

    • Capital expenditure for Q2 FY26 was $610 million, up from $257 million in Q1 FY26, primarily due to significant launch payments.

    • Revenue for FY26 is expected to be weighted towards the fourth quarter, with inherent quarterly variability.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Revenue
    $150 million to $200 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses (excluding adjusted cost of revenues)
    $105 million to $115 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Expenses (excluding adjusted cost of revenues)
    average $100 million per quarter or $400 million total
    medium materiality
    High
    Q3 2026 Capital Expenditures
    $350 million to $425 million
    high materiality
    High
    BlueBird Satellites in Orbit
    approximately 45
    high materiality
    High
    Average Capital Costs per Satellite (90 BlueBirds)
    $21 million to $23 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Satellite Production Cadence
    6 fully assembled satellites per month
    medium materiality
    High
    First Full Year Commercial Service Revenue
    approaching $1 billion
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    29
    Revenue backlog
    $1.3 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Increased revenue backlog as an early indicator of success from expanding total addressable market.

    U.S. government contract awards (funded near-term value)
    over $100 million
    2026-2027

    Represents near-term capabilities in development with the U.S. Department of War.

    Rakuten J-LEO project value
    up to $1 billion
    future

    Award pending government approvals and final agreements for Low Earth Orbit Satellite Infrastructure Development Project.

    Revenue
    $31.5 millionmore than doubled Q1 revenue
    Q2 FY26

    Increased sequentially and year-over-year as expected due to timing of gateway deployment and government contract milestones.

    Non-GAAP Adjusted Operating Expenses
    $119.1 millionvs $91.2 million in Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Excludes noncash operating costs and insurance proceeds in connection with BlueBird 7 loss.

    Non-GAAP Adjusted Operating Expenses (excluding adjusted cost of revenues)
    $95.9 millionvs $79.8 million in Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Primary drivers of increase were growth in workforce, expanded production facilities, and AI investments.

    Capital Expenditure
    $610 millionvs $257 million for Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Assumed a significant launch payment in Q2 that was originally scheduled for Q1.

    Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash
    over $3.7 billion
    as of Jun 30, 2026

    Bolstered by recent convertible debt offering.

    Convertible Debt Offering
    $1.15 billion
    July 2026

    Lowest coupon ever, providing cost-efficient capital.

    Effective Conversion Price (capped call hedge)
    $149.20
    July 2026

    Well above all-time high trading price, increasing effective conversion price.

    Dilution from Convertible Notes
    <2%
    July 2026

    Effective dilution from the convertible debt transaction.

    MNO partners
    over 60
    Q2 FY26

    Expanding commercial partner ecosystem.

    Satellites in orbit
    13
    Q2 FY26

    Number of spacecrafts currently in orbit.

    Combined aperture hardware
    approximately 20,000
    Q2 FY26

    Total aperture hardware across satellites in orbit.

    Gateways globally
    approximately 50
    Q2 FY26

    Preparing for beta service with key MNO partners.

    Low-band cellular cells deployed in U.S.
    over 3,000
    Q2 FY26

    Deployment progress to light up coverage across the United States.

    ASIC chip peak data speed improvement
    nearly double 98.9achieved using on-orbit Block 1 BlueBird satellites
    future

    ASIC chip in full production, designed for significant speed improvements.

    ASIC processing bandwidth
    up to 10nearly 10x improvement from Block 1 BlueBird satellite
    future

    Designed to support high processing bandwidth per satellite.

    User experience gains from AI-enabled spectrum management
    up to additional 10x
    over time

    Expected future gains through AI-enabled spectrum management.

    Satellites in production/assembly
    up to BlueBird 46
    Q2 FY26

    Various stages of production and assembly.

    Current manufacturing and operations space
    over 500,000
    Q2 FY26

    Includes dedicated macro production facility.

    Additional manufacturing and production space planned
    400,000
    future

    To further scale production for U.S. government and commercial applications.

    Total manufacturing and operations footprint (once completed)
    exceed 1 million
    future

    Significant expansion to support scaling production.

    Spectrum access (U.S.)
    approximately 100
    Q2 FY26

    Broadest spectrum portfolio in the industry.

    Spectrum access (globally)
    over 60
    Q2 FY26

    Broadest spectrum portfolio in the industry.

    Tunable spectrum capacity
    approximately 1,150
    Q2 FY26

    Satellite technology capable of tuning across various bands.

    Patents and patent pending claims
    over 3,900
    Q2 FY26

    Extensive IP and patent portfolio supporting differentiated technology.

    Launches booked
    10
    2026-2027

    Booked launches to support orbital deployment plans.

    Q2 Gateway deliveries
    13
    Q2 FY26

    Deliveries against commercial and government efforts.

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    ASIC chipmilestone
    BlueBird 14 to 16milestone
    BlueBird 11 to 13milestone
    BlueBird 47, 48roadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    RakutenSelection for the Low Earth Orbit Satellite Infrastructure Development Project (J-LEO) in Japan.up to USD 1 billion

    Project designed to address the Japanese and Asian markets. Satellites flagged as Japanese can be used anywhere in the world using the same architecture as the rest of the constellation.

    AT&TContinued work with FirstNet emergency, the First Responder Network in the United States.

    Part of the partner-first strategy, leveraging the network for government and MNO applications.

    Vodafone, Orange, Telefonica, Vodafone Ukraine, Deutsche TelekomNetwork integration and testing activities across several European countries.

    Infrastructure in action in Europe, demonstrating progress in commercialization efforts.

    U.S. MNO Joint VentureFormation of a joint venture among U.S. mobile network operators.

    AST SpaceMobile is carrier agnostic and supports the JV, expecting to partner with them while maintaining existing agreements with current partners.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Impact of dynamic geopolitical factors on costs

    could impact our costs

    Quarterly variability in revenue recognitionFY26

    revenue will likely be weighted towards the fourth quarter

    Mitigation: Management advises evaluating revenue performance on a full-year basis due to timing of contract signings, equipment sales, and milestone achievements.

    Contingencies for achieving revenue planFY26

    subject to several contingencies

    Mitigation: Requires successful launch and deployment of BlueBird satellites, critical gateway equipment sales to MNO partners, and service revenues from commercial service activation.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Government revenue scaling

    starting in 2027
    Currentover $100M in recent contract awards
    Targetscaling up into a recurring multibillion dollar a year opportunity

    Why it matters

    Significant expansion of government revenue is a key driver for the company's long-term growth and TAM expansion.

    this opportunity is going to start scaling up into a recurring multibillion dollar a year opportunity starting in 2027.

    Q&A highlights

    9

    When can investors expect meaningful government revenue, and can you elaborate on the constellation's radar capabilities?

    Government revenue is scaling up, with over $100 million in recent contract awards. The opportunity is expected to become a recurring multi-billion dollar per year opportunity starting in 2027. Radar applications leverage the large phased array and sensitivity of the satellites, using government spectrum in the lower bands, and are already built and in orbit.

    this opportunity is going to start scaling up into a recurring multibillion dollar a year opportunity starting in 2027.

    asked by David from New Jersey · answered by Scott Wisniewski

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Commercial Deployment & MNO Partnerships

    AST SpaceMobile is actively preparing for beta service with key MNO partners in selected global markets, with network integration and testing underway across several European countries with partners like Vodafone, Orange, and Deutsche Telekom. The company's partner-first strategy has resulted in an ecosystem of over 60 MNO partners covering more than 3 billion subscribers globally. Regulatory progress in the U.S., U.K., Japan, and Brazil, along with commercial authorization for MSS spectrum assets, supports the scaling of the global cellular broadband network.

    02

    Government & Expanding Total Addressable Market (TAM)

    The company is seeing significant traction with the U.S. government, securing three new contract awards with a funded near-term value exceeding $100 million for 2026-2027, leveraging its unique in-orbit technology for strategic needs. Beyond direct-to-device, AST SpaceMobile is expanding its TAM into new markets such as radar, secure communications for low-profile devices, federal emergency and backup services (e.g., J-LEO project in Japan, FirstNet in the U.S.), Internet of Things (IoT), and space-based AI edge compute, each potentially representing multi-billion dollar annual revenue opportunities.

    03

    Manufacturing & Satellite Production Scale-Up

    AST SpaceMobile is rapidly scaling its manufacturing capabilities, with BlueBird 14-16 undergoing final testing and BlueBird 17-46 in various stages of production and assembly. The company's ASIC chip is now in full production, designed to support up to 10 gigahertz of processing bandwidth per satellite, a 10x improvement over Block 1 BlueBirds, with potential for an additional 10x gain in user experience through AI-enabled spectrum management. The manufacturing footprint is expanding to over 1 million square feet globally, targeting a production cadence of 6 fully assembled satellites per month.

    04

    Spectrum Strategy & Technology Advantage

    The company emphasizes its comprehensive spectrum strategy, combining low-band and mid-band spectrum contributed by MNO partners with its directly controlled spectrum. This provides access to approximately 100 MHz in the U.S. and over 60 MHz globally, with satellite technology capable of tuning approximately 1,150 MHz across low-band, mid-band, and future C-band. This, coupled with over 3,900 patents and very large phased arrays, offers greater network capacity, better coverage, and flexibility for demand growth.

    05

    Financial Position & Capital Allocation

    AST SpaceMobile's balance sheet is robust, with over $3.7 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash as of June 30, 2026, following a $1.15 billion convertible debt offering. The company is intentionally investing in growth, leading to higher adjusted operating expenses and significant capital expenditures, primarily for satellite production and launch contracts. This financial strength positions the company to complete its constellation build-out, pursue growth initiatives, and secure additional access to orbit.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.