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    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    AngloGold Ashanti Q2 FY26 earnings call AU

    Jul 31, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    AngloGold Ashanti Q2 FY26 — Strong Cash Flow and Capital Returns Amidst Macro Headwinds

    AngloGold Ashanti delivered robust Q2 FY26 results, demonstrating strong operational discipline and capital allocation amidst significant macroeconomic pressures. The company achieved sector-leading cash flow growth and enhanced shareholder returns through substantial dividends and a new share buyback program, while transforming its balance sheet to a net cash position. Management remains focused on controlling costs and advancing a high-return organic growth pipeline, with a strong second half expected despite ongoing external headwinds.

    Highlights

    5
    • EBITDA increased 46% to $2 billion, outpacing gold price rise.

    • Cash flow from operations grew 49% to $1.8 billion.

    • Net cash position improved to nearly $1 billion from $311 million net debt a year ago.

    • Declared $949 million in dividends for H1, with $364 million in Q2, representing a sector-leading yield.

    • Executed a $666 million bond buyback and approved a $2 billion share buyback program.

    Concerns

    5
    • Tragic fatality at Obuasi on April 24, leading to a 2-week operation suspension and production impact.

    • Total cash cost increased 21% year-on-year to $1,480 per ounce due to macro factors (inflation, royalties, fuel, FX).

    • Cash taxes more than doubled year-over-year to $542 million in Q2, a seasonal peak.

    • Production impact from Serra Grande sale and Obuasi suspension.

    • U.S. CPI escalated to 3.5% in June 2026, with Brent crude prices up 45%.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Annual Guidance
    Reaffirmed
    high materiality
    High
    Obuasi Production
    150,000 ounces
    medium materiality
    High
    Cash Taxes
    $230 million to $250 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Production Profile Increase (Existing Operations)
    10% to 15%
    high materiality
    Medium
    Overall Production Growth
    300,000 and 450,000 ounces
    high materiality
    Medium
    Arthur Feasibility Study Completion
    next year sometime
    high materiality
    High
    North Bullfrog Record of Decision
    by the end of this year
    medium materiality
    High
    Sukari Grid Connection Commissioning
    early 2028
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    34
    EBITDA
    $2Bup 46% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    outpacing gold price rise

    Headline earnings
    $1Bup 58% YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Cash generated from operations
    $1.8Bup 49% YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Cash taxes
    $542Mmore than doubled YoY
    Q2 FY26

    seasonal peak, highest on record

    Liquidity
    $4.2B
    Q2 FY26
    Net cash position
    $991Mswing from $311M net debt 12 months ago
    Q2 FY26
    Total cash cost
    $1,480up 21% YoY from $1,226/ounce in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26
    Macro cost impact
    $216
    Q2 FY26

    included in total cash cost

    Obuasi suspension cost impact
    $38
    Q2 FY26

    included in total cash cost

    Managed operations total cash cost
    $1,486up 20%
    Q2 FY26
    Distributions to non-controlling interests
    $85MYoY
    Q2 FY26
    Basic earnings per share
    $1.97up 49% YoY from $1.32 in Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26
    US CPI
    3.5%up from 2.7% 12 months earlier
    June 2026
    Brent crude price increase
    45%
    Q2 FY26

    primary driver of CPI escalation

    Internal realized inflation rate
    5.8%
    Q2 FY26

    excluding fuel price

    Inflation impact on costs
    $60
    H1 FY26

    half-on-half year

    Fuel price impact on costs
    $23
    H1 FY26

    half-on-half year

    Exchange rate impact on costs
    $46
    H1 FY26

    half-on-half year

    Flex cost
    flat
    Q2 FY26

    including royalties and fuel price

    COVID levy reduction impact
    2.6%
    Q2 FY26

    net impact, seen in taxes, not cash flows

    Dividend declared
    $364M
    Q2 FY26
    Dividend declared
    $949M
    H1 FY26
    Bond buyback
    $666M
    April 2026
    Share buyback program
    $2B
    open market
    Capital intensity
    $480
    current

    expected to be stable for some years

    CVSA cash flows
    60%of what we were going to receive by selling it
    this year
    Production profile increase from existing operations
    10% to 15%to current production profile
    next 3 years
    Obuasi H2 production
    150,000
    H2 FY26

    normalized run rate

    Obuasi annualized H2 production
    300,000
    H2 FY26

    operating without KMS shaft

    Obuasi 2027 production target
    325,000-350,000
    FY27
    Cuiaba additional production
    75,000
    next 3 years
    Siguiri production increase
    350,000-375,000from 300,000
    future
    CVSA mine life
    5from 3 years
    current
    AI implementation
    current

    using machine learning for predictive maintenance, process control; increasing proficiency with generative AI; cautious approach to agentic AI

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Safety1fatality
    Unit cash cost$1,480USD/ounce
    Reserve life new supply5years
    Growth project CAPEX first productionFeasibility study
    Ore grade recovery drilling by deposit1M+ounces
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine1.5Mounces

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    Serra GrandeSale of a small asset

    too small, drew a lot of management time for money produced

    Capital programs

    4
    Arthur Feasibility Studyunderway
    Start: August

    Board approved funds to start feasibility study in August

    Obuasi TSFunderway
    Period spend: $120M

    part of growth capital, needed for ounce growth

    Siguiri TSFunderway
    Period spend: $120M

    part of growth capital, needed for ounce growth

    Sukari Grid Connectionunderway

    Benefit: 80-megawatt grid connection

    feasibility almost complete, regulatory approvals obtained

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Fatality at ObuasiQ2 FY26

    tragic fatality on April 24

    Mitigation: suspended operations for 2 weeks, thorough investigation, implementing preventative steps

    Macroeconomic pressuresQ2 FY26

    total cash cost up 21% YoY to $1,480/ounce; $216/ounce impact from inflation, royalties, FX

    Mitigation: operational discipline, Full Asset Potential program, internal cost containment

    Energy and global supply chain impactsongoing

    45% increase in Brent crude prices

    Mitigation: keeping a close eye on developments in the Middle East

    Siguiri gold refinery requirement3 months given

    government to force flow of gold through their refinery

    Mitigation: constructive conversations with government to find a way to deal with it

    Production reduction at TropicanaH2 FY26

    moving into lower-grade Havana 6 pit

    Mitigation: not stated

    Production reduction at IduapriemH2 FY26

    difficulty accessing temporarily flooded higher-grade areas

    Mitigation: not stated

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Share Buyback Program Approval

    next quarter
    CurrentApproved by shareholders
    TargetApproval from South African Reserve Bank

    Why it matters

    Enables the company to execute its $2 billion share buyback program, impacting capital returns and shareholder value.

    Shareholders approved the program last week, and we're now waiting approval from the South African Reserve Bank.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Details on how the company plans to leverage the approved $2 billion share buyback program (opportunistic vs. stable, execution of full program).

    The company is awaiting South African Reserve Bank approval. It will likely be opportunistic, skewed towards market downsides, with minimal stable buying.

    We still, as I said -- mentioned, haven't had the authorization from the Reserve Bank of South Africa. And I can tell you at this stage, it's going to be more opportunistic. There's going to be probably at some point, a minimal buying, but it's going to be skewed more towards the downside and to [ liquidate ] more than anything else.

    asked by Josh Wolfson · answered by Alberto Calderon

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Safety and Operational Discipline

    The company addressed a tragic fatality at Obuasi on April 24, suspending operations for two weeks to conduct a thorough investigation and implement preventative measures. Despite this incident, management emphasized rigorous operational discipline and the 'Full Asset Potential' program, which successfully mitigated external cost pressures and allowed the company to outperform macro-inflated baselines. This discipline ensures the full benefit of record gold prices flows to the bottom line.

    02

    Financial Performance and Capital Allocation

    AngloGold Ashanti reported strong financial metrics for Q2 FY26, with EBITDA up 46% to $2 billion and headline earnings up 58% to $1 billion, significantly outpacing the rise in gold prices. Cash flow from operations grew 49% to $1.8 billion. The company's balance sheet transformed from a net debt position of $311 million a year ago to a net cash position of nearly $1 billion, enabling substantial shareholder returns through $949 million in H1 dividends and a $2 billion share buyback program, alongside a $666 million bond repurchase.

    03

    Cost Management and Macro Headwinds

    The quarter saw acute upward pressure on costs, with total cash costs increasing 21% year-on-year to $1,480 per ounce. This was primarily driven by macroeconomic factors including US CPI escalating to 3.5% in June 2026 (from 2.7% a year prior), a 45% increase in Brent crude prices, higher gold price-linked royalties, and local currency appreciation. The company's internal realized inflation rate, excluding fuel, was 5.8%, with management actively working to offset these pressures through internal cost containment.

    04

    Growth Project Pipeline

    The company highlighted an emerging slate of low-risk, capital-efficient brownfield and greenfield opportunities, particularly in Nevada with the Arthur project advancing to full feasibility study. Existing operations like Cuiaba, Geita, Siguiri, Obuasi, and Sukari also present options to add 10-15% to the current production profile within three years. These projects are characterized by low capital intensity, primarily involving equipment and brownfield exploration, with growth capital already incorporating investments like TSFs at Obuasi and Siguiri.

    05

    Asset Portfolio and Future Outlook

    AngloGold Ashanti's Tier 1 assets contribute over 70% of total production with a 71% cash margin, while Tier 2 assets provide reliable cash generation at a 58% margin. The company reaffirmed its annual guidance, anticipating a second-half weighted⚖️ production profile and lower cash costs in H2 due to higher volumes and reduced tax payments. Management expects production growth in 2027, 2028, and 2029, with 2026 remaining flat compared to 2025.

    06

    AI Implementation

    AngloGold Ashanti is actively implementing AI across its organization, primarily utilizing machine learning for predictive maintenance, process control, and other operational activities. The company has selected a single provider to increase proficiency in generative AI across its technical and operating teams. While advanced in adoption, a cautious approach is being taken towards agentic AI due to security concerns.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.