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    AVAV
    Earnings call· Jan 2026(Q3 FY26)

    AeroVironment Q3 FY26 earnings call AVAV

    Mar 10, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    AeroVironment Q3 FY26 — Strong Demand and Record Backlog Offset SCAR Termination and Q3 Miss

    AeroVironment reported Q3 FY26 results below expectations, primarily due to government funding delays and the termination of the SCAR program contract, which also triggered a significant goodwill impairment. Despite these headwinds, the company highlighted unprecedented demand for its autonomous systems and counter-UAS solutions, leading to a record funded backlog and strong order flow. Management expressed confidence in achieving record Q4 and full-year results, driven by scaling manufacturing, commercializing key products, and leveraging its diversified portfolio to capitalize on a generational opportunity in defense technology.

    Highlights

    5
    • Funded backlog grew to $1.1 billion, positioning for record Q4 revenue and strong FY27 start.

    • Year-to-date total awards reached $4.6 billion, a new company record.

    • Autonomous Systems segment revenue increased 38% organically year-over-year.

    • New 5-year sole source IDIQ contract worth $874 million awarded for UAS and counter UAS product lines.

    • New $186 million task order received for Switchblade 300 Block 20 and Switchblade 600 Block 2.

    Concerns

    5
    • Q3 revenue came in below expectations due to revenue timing and adjustments in the space business.

    • U.S. Space Force terminated the SCAR program contract for convenience, leading to a $151 million non-cash goodwill impairment.

    • Adjusted gross margins were 27%, flat sequentially and lower than 40% in Q3 FY25, impacted by $40 million of high-margin revenue pushed to Q4.

    • Full-year revenue guidance lowered to $1.85 billion - $1.95 billion (from prior higher range).

    • Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance lowered to $265 million - $285 million (from prior higher range).

    Guidance & targets

    15
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year FY26 Revenue
    $1.85 billion - $1.95 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted EBITDA
    $265 million - $285 million
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 Non-GAAP Adjusted EPS
    $2.75 - $3.10
    high materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 Revenue
    record
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted Gross Margins
    high 20s, low 30s
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 FY26 Adjusted Gross Margins
    low to mid-30s
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted SG&A as % of revenue
    13% to 14%
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 R&D as % of revenue
    6% to 7%
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year FY26 Adjusted EBITDA margin
    14% and 15%
    medium materiality
    High
    SCAR program revenue contribution
    less than $100 million
    medium materiality
    High
    SCAR program revenue contribution as % of total revenue
    less than 5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Titan manufacturing increase
    more than 4x
    low materiality
    High
    Titan manufacturing increase
    more than 10x
    low materiality
    High
    JUMP 20 production capacity increase
    3x
    low materiality
    High
    Golden Dome for America opportunity
    approximately $0.5 billion
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Autonomous Systems
    Experienced significant growth despite government shutdown and delayed orders. Key growth drivers include Puma AE, JUMP 20, Switchblade variants, Red Dragon, and Titan counter UAS. Expects additional delayed orders to be booked in Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27.
    Revenue contribution to total: 68%Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (Group 1, 2, 3 UAS) revenue growth: >50% vs pro forma FY25 Q3Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (Group 1, 2, 3 UAS) revenue growth: 54% YoYPrecision Strike and Counter UAS products growth: >21% vs pro forma FY25 Q3
    $279 million25% (pro forma FY25)
    Space, Cyber and Directed Energy
    Revenue declined due to the SCAR stop work order and U.S. government funding delays. Space and Directed Energy products were impacted by SCAR, while LOCUST Directed Energy Counter UAS continued growth. Cyber Mission Systems decline was largely due to discontinued programs and funding delays.
    Revenue contribution to total: nearly 1/3Space and Directed Energy products decline: 14% vs prior year pro formaCyber Mission Systems pro forma revenue decline: 22%
    $129 million19% decline (pro forma)

    Operational metrics

    17
    Revenue
    $1.6 billion
    LTM

    Revenue in the last 12 months, making AV one of the largest defense technology companies.

    Goodwill impairment
    $151 million
    Q3 FY26

    Triggered by the SCAR stop work order and reevaluation of the acquired asset.

    Revenue growth
    143%YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Increase over the prior year as reported.

    Organic revenue growth
    38%YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Organic growth for legacy AV products.

    Adjusted gross margins
    27%flat QoQ, lower YoY
    Q3 FY26

    Impacted by higher service mix, early stage product maturation, and shipping/supply chain issues.

    Adjusted SG&A
    $61 millionvs $33 million prior year
    Q3 FY26

    Increase largely due to BlueHalo combination.

    Adjusted SG&A as % of revenue
    15%vs 20% in FY25
    Q3 FY26

    Represents a shift in the business model.

    R&D expense
    $27 millionvs $22 million prior year
    Q3 FY26

    Increased R&D dollars over prior year for the combined company.

    R&D expense as % of revenue
    7%vs 13% in prior year
    Q3 FY26

    Reflects the shift in the business model.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $44 millionup from $22 million prior year
    Q3 FY26

    Primarily due to incremental BlueHalo results and legacy AV revenue growth.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    11%sequential improvement from 10% in Q2 FY26
    Q3 FY26

    Sequential improvement from prior quarter.

    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $0.64more than double $0.30 prior year
    Q3 FY26

    Strong growth in adjusted earnings per share.

    Cash and investments
    $649 million$20 million sequential decline vs Q2 FY26
    Q3 FY26

    Decline primarily driven by increased inventory to support Q4 revenue.

    IDIQ contract utilization
    $700 million
    cumulative

    Cumulative orders received on the existing $990 million IDIQ contract.

    Army order for Switchblade 300/600
    $186 million
    Q3 FY26

    Initial order for next-generation Switchblade product line under existing IDIQ.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin (legacy AV)
    18%
    pre-merger

    Historical adjusted EBITDA margin for AeroVironment before the BlueHalo merger.

    FE-1 program contract award
    $96 million
    last fall

    Contract awarded for the development of the Freedom Eagle-1 program.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Total company backlog$1.1 billionUSD
    Defense program awards$874 millionUSD
    Production capacity expansion$2 billionUSD

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Funded backlog$1.1 billionQ3 FY26

    increased QoQ

    Positioning for record Q4 revenue and solid start to FY27.

    Unfunded backlog$3 billionQ3 FY26

    Includes $1.5 billion related to the SCAR program, which will be adjusted due to contract termination.

    Total year-to-date awards$4.6 billionQ3 FY26

    record

    Visibility to midpoint of revised guidance range98%Q3 FY26

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    U.S. Army5-year sole source IDIQ contract for UAS and counter UAS product lines$874 million5 years

    To support foreign military sales (FMS) demand, enabling allies to procure Group 1-3 unmanned aerial systems and counter UAS systems including Vapor, JUMP 20, P550, Puma, Raven, and Tiner Counter-UAS.

    U.S. Marine CorpsContract for additional deliveries of Titan SV$23 million

    Awarded for additional deliveries of the Titan SV counter UAS solution, reflecting rising demand.

    U.S. ArmyContract to provide P550 UAS for the Long-Range Reconnaissance program (LRR)$13 million

    Initial contract to provide P550 UAS, with production scaling for higher volumes.

    U.S. Air ForceTask order extending contract to advance biotechnology and smart materials$75 million

    Awarded to the Cyber & Mission Systems operating group, enhancing capabilities in laser communications, space-related satellite communications, and directed energy.

    Capital programs

    1
    New manufacturing facility in Salt Lake City, Utahunderway

    Benefit: potential to produce more than $2 billion worth of Switchblade or other AV products annually

    Progressed the build-out of the 140,000 square foot facility to scale production ahead of demand.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Government funding delays and shutdownsQ3 FY26, impacting Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27

    Several orders anticipated in Q3 shifted to the right by a quarter or two.

    Mitigation: Diversified business model, strong backlog, and focus on scaling production to meet future demand.

    SCAR program contract terminationQ3 FY26 and beyond

    Resulted in a $151 million non-cash goodwill impairment and a reduction in full-year guidance.

    Mitigation: Company plans to commercialize the Badger system, leveraging its technological lead and re-competing for the program under revised requirements. Expects minimal impact on FY27 growth profile.

    Shipping and supply chain issuesQ3 FY26

    Resulted in $40 million of high-margin revenue pushed from Q3 to Q4.

    Mitigation: Actively evaluating supply chain, identifying long lead items, and ensuring suppliers can scale with increased demand. Expects adjusted gross margins to improve in Q4.

    Mix shift to higher service and early-stage productsOngoing

    Adjusted gross margins were 27% in Q3 FY26, lower than 40% in Q3 FY25.

    Mitigation: Focus on commercializing products like LOCUST and other Space & Directed Energy offerings to drive higher gross and EBITDA margins in the future.

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    SCAR program commercialization progress

    next 12-18 months for product, FY28 for significant revenue
    CurrentContract terminated for convenience; plan to commercialize Badger system.
    TargetProgress on commercial product development; clarity on recompete timeline.

    Why it matters

    The successful commercialization of Badger and re-engagement with Space Force is crucial for the long-term growth and profitability of the Space, Cyber & Directed Energy segment.

    So most likely, we're redoing that based on the requirements. One of the challenges is to get our customers to agree to a set of requirements that we lock in lock down. And most likely it will be more of a contributor in fiscal year '28 than '27, in terms of significant revenue contribution to the overall portfolio.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    How should investors think about growth and margins in the SADE segment now that the SCAR program is terminated, and what other products will drive future performance?

    Management stated that the SCAR termination will not significantly impact the segment's long-term growth profile. They are bullish on the Badger technology and plan to commercialize it, believing it has a 3-3.5 year lead. Other products like LOCUST, directed gun sites, and laser communication terminals are transitioning to commercialization and expected to drive rapid growth and margin expansion in FY27 and beyond.

    So we do not expect the SCAR program to have a significant impact on our growth profile beyond this year. We're still going to have a growth year this year. We're going to have a record fourth quarter, record fiscal year performance, both on top line and profitability. And we're positioned for strong growth next year and beyond.

    asked by Unknown Analyst · answered by Wahid Nawabi

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    SCAR Program Termination and Commercialization Strategy

    The U.S. Space Force terminated AeroVironment's contract for the Badger phased array antenna system for convenience, following an inability to reach a mutually acceptable firm fixed price agreement. AeroVironment will be paid for allowable incurred costs plus a fee. The company remains committed to developing the Badger system as a commercial product, believing it has a 3 to 3.5-year head start on competitors and that the capability gap is more urgent than ever. This commercialization strategy is expected to lead to a more flexible and profitable business model in the long term, with potential re-competition for the program under revised requirements.

    02

    Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience

    AeroVironment is building out a new 140,000 square foot manufacturing facility in Salt Lake City, Utah, expected to be operational in approximately one year. This facility has the potential to produce over $2 billion worth of Switchblade or other AV products annually. The company is also evaluating its supply chain to ensure suppliers can scale with increased demand, focusing on identifying long lead items. These actions are part of a strategy to build capacity slightly ahead of demand and deliver best-in-class solutions.

    03

    Autonomous Systems Segment Growth Drivers

    The Autonomous Systems segment, comprising 68% of Q3 revenue, continues to be a key growth driver. Key products include Group 2 Puma AE and P550-UAS systems, Group 2 JUMP 20 and JUMP 20X systems, all Switchblade variants, Red Dragon one-way attack drones, and counter UAS solutions like Titan and FE-1. The company received an $874 million 5-year sole source IDIQ contract from the U.S. Army for UAS and counter UAS products for FMS demand, and a $186 million task order for next-generation Switchblade 300 and 600 systems.

    04

    Counter UAS and Directed Energy Capabilities

    Demand for AI-enabled RF detect and defeat counter UAS solutions, particularly the Titan family, is rapidly expanding. Manufacturing for Titan is increasing by over 4x this year, with plans for over 10x current levels by FY2030. The Locust directed energy counter UAS system is performing well in the field, with plans for commercialization and higher volume production. The FE-1 program with the U.S. Army is progressing towards flight testing in late FY27 or early FY28. These systems are seen as critical for national defense, especially given current geopolitical conflicts.

    05

    Space, Cyber and Directed Energy Segment Progress

    This segment accounted for nearly one-third of Q3 revenue. Despite the SCAR program termination and U.S. government funding delays, the segment is making progress on other key programs. The Cyber & Mission Systems operating group was awarded a $75 million task order to advance biotechnology and smart materials for the U.S. Air Force. The company is actively transitioning other new capabilities, such as laser communications terminals and laser communication gun sites, to commercial products to scale manufacturing, improve margins, and broaden the customer base.

    06

    Geopolitical Impact and Accelerated Demand

    Management noted that current global conflicts, such as in Iran, are driving unprecedented🌐 demand for cost-efficient, AI-enabled autonomous non-lethal and lethal drones and counter-drone solutions. This has led to increased requests for proposals and quotes for products like Red Dragon, LOCUST, Titan series, JUMP 20, and P550. AeroVironment believes it is uniquely positioned to meet this demand due to its battle-tested technology, production volume capabilities, and ability to rapidly upgrade systems modularly.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.