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American Water Works (AWK) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Utilities· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

American Water Works Q2 FY26 — Solid Earnings and Strategic Growth

American Water Works delivered solid financial results in Q2 FY26, driven by authorized rate increases and strategic capital investments. The company remains on track to meet its full-year EPS guidance and long-term growth targets, supported by successful regulatory outcomes and progress on the Essential Utilities merger. Management emphasized its commitment to customer affordability while making necessary infrastructure investments and pursuing accretive acquisitions.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EPS grew over 8% to $1.61 per share in Q2 FY26, up from $1.49 in Q2 FY25.

  • Year-to-date capital investments and acquisitions totaled $1.8 billion.

  • Closed the acquisition of Systems from Nexus Water Group, adding 47,000 customer connections.

  • Secured 3 state rate case approvals (West Virginia, Maryland, Pennsylvania) recovering nearly 100% of capital investments.

  • Merger with Essential Utilities received 3 state approvals (Kentucky, Ohio, Virginia) and reached a settlement in principle in Texas.

Concerns

2
  • Pennsylvania rate case approved a $75 million annualized revenue increase, lower than the $160 million requested.

  • Regulatory lag in Pennsylvania, with only ~40% of capital currently qualifying for DSIC recovery, requires legislative change for broader expansion.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Adjusted EPS
$6.02 to $6.12 per share
high materiality
High
EPS growth rate
7% to 9%
high materiality
High
Dividend growth rate
7% to 9%
high materiality
High
Merger closing timeline (Essential Utilities)
by the end of the first quarter of 2027
high materiality
High

Orderbook & backlog

Customer connections under agreement 57,000 June 30, 2026

Across 6 states, totaling $236 million in value. Represents municipal acquisition pipeline.

Deals & partnerships

Essential Utilities Proposed merger of two water utilities

Received state approvals in Kentucky, Ohio, and Virginia. Reached a settlement in principle in Texas. Integration planning is progressing well.

Nexus Water Group Acquisition of water systems

Closed ahead of schedule in early June, after achieving all 8 requisite state approvals.

Capital programs

Missouri System Investments underway $1.6 billion
Start: June 2025

Benefit:System investments for service reliability and infrastructure.

Reflected in a general rate case filing utilizing fully forecasted future test year legislation. Expected rates to go into effect June 2027.

Kentucky System Investments announced $108 million
Start: January 2027

Benefit:System investments for service reliability and infrastructure.

Reflected in a general rate case filing. Expected proposed rates to go into effect on an interim basis in December 2026.

Risks & headwinds

Regulatory lag and DSIC mechanism limitations in Pennsylvania Ongoing

Only ~40% of capital currently qualifies for DSIC recovery.

Mitigation:Exploring broadening the DSIC mechanism and seeking legislative changes to expand eligibility and increase the cap.

Lower-than-requested rate increase in Pennsylvania Q2 FY26

$75 million annualized increase approved vs. $160 million requested.

Mitigation:Management views the outcome as constructive and will implement new rates.

Affordability concerns and political intervention in regulatory processes Ongoing

Governor Shapiro's intervention in Peoples Gas case cited by analyst; affordability is a theme across states.

Mitigation:Company focuses on demonstrating 'substantial affirmative public benefit' for merger approvals and maintaining affordable rates (below 1% MHI).

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Essential Utilities merger closing

Next quarter / Q1 FY27
Current 3 state approvals, settlement in principle in Texas
Target Further state approvals and progress towards Q1 FY27 closing

Why it matters

The merger is a significant strategic event that will reshape the company's scale and operational footprint.

Consistent with our messaging from the merger announcement last October, we expect the merger to close by the end of the first quarter of 2027.

Find out whether AWK delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Can the benefits of Missouri's new fully forecasted future test year legislation be quantified, specifically how the requested rate increase compares to a historical filing?

Management stated they have not quantified the specific benefits but suggested looking at prior cases for a general idea, noting it wouldn't be a perfect comparison.

“We have not quantified it. I mean in practical purposes, I think one way you can do it is if you go back and look at our prior cases and what that filed increase would be. I mean it's not a complete apples-to-apples but that could give you an idea.”

asked by Paul Zimbardo · answered by David Bowler

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q2 and H1 FY26 Financial Performance

American Water reported adjusted earnings of $1.61 per share for Q2 FY26, an 8% increase from $1.49 in Q2 FY25. For the first half of 2026, adjusted earnings reached $2.62 per share, up from $2.51 in the prior year. Revenues increased due to authorized rate adjustments, while O&M costs remained flat, demonstrating effective cost control.

The majority of EPS growth is anticipated in the second half of the year, driven by revenue increases in key states.

Regulatory Strategy and Outcomes

The company successfully executed its regulatory strategy, completing 3 rate cases in West Virginia, Maryland, and Pennsylvania in 2026, which authorized recovery of nearly 100% of capital investments. In Pennsylvania, a final order approved a $75 million annualized revenue increase with a 9.55% ROE and 54.2% equity component.

Active general rate cases are in progress in 6 jurisdictions, including black box settlements in Virginia and a partial settlement in California. A new rate case was filed in Missouri, utilizing fully forecasted future test year legislation.

Capital Investments and Customer Growth

American Water invested $1.8 billion in capital projects and acquisitions year-to-date, focusing on infrastructure renewal, resiliency, water quality, and system additions. The company aims for 2% customer growth, supported by acquisitions like Nexus Water Systems, which added 47,000 customer connections. As of June 30, approximately 57,000 customer connections are under agreement across 6 states, totaling $236 million in value.

Essential Utilities Merger Update

Progress on the proposed merger with Essential Utilities continues, with state approvals received from Kentucky, Ohio, and Virginia. Public input hearings have shown good support, and a settlement in principle has been reached in Texas. The integration planning is proceeding well, and the merger is still expected to close by the end of Q1 2027, consistent with previous guidance.

Pennsylvania Regulatory Environment

Management addressed the Pennsylvania PUC's commentary on rate case frequency, noting that capital investment drives the need for rate cases. Approximately 40% of capital in PA currently qualifies for recovery under the DSIC mechanism. Expanding DSIC eligibility to include more asset types (e.g., treatment, PFAS, storage tanks) and increasing the cap would require legislative changes, which the company is exploring to smooth rate increases and improve affordability.

Missouri Rate Case and Future Test Year

A general rate case was filed in Missouri reflecting $1.6 billion in system investments for June 2025 through May 2028, seeking $179 million in additional annual revenue. This is the first case utilizing the state's new fully forecasted future test year legislation, which is expected to provide benefits by reducing regulatory lag, though the specific quantification of these benefits was not provided.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.