Detailed Narrative
Peru's Economic Outlook
Peru is entering a more favorable growth environment, with business confidence at its highest level in years. Private investment is growing approximately 13% year-over-year, and domestic demand has expanded over 5%. Favorable commodity prices, with gold roughly doubled since 2003 and copper up nearly 60%, further strengthen the economy. The political transition and policy continuity, including a new technical team at the Ministry of Economy and Finance, reinforce expectations of a predictable economic environment.
El Nino Impact and Mitigation Strategy
El Nino is viewed as a temporary and manageable shock, primarily affecting Peru's fishing, agriculture, and related activities in the North. Credicorp incorporated $106 million in additional provisions related to El Nino risk in Q2 FY26, and expects full-year 2026 cost of risk to remain within guidance. The company has a robust governance framework and mitigation playbook, leveraging enhanced data and digital capabilities to identify vulnerable clients and deploy targeted support, approaching the scenario from a position of strength.
Strategic Transformation and ROE Update
Credicorp has structurally transformed its ecosystem over several years, strengthening earnings drivers through improved loan portfolio quality, enhanced risk management, reinforced structural funding advantage, and diversified revenue sources. Consistent investment in technology, data, and talent has created a more scalable and efficient business model. These structural improvements, combined with a more favorable operating environment, led to an updated medium-term ROE expectation of approximately 22%.
Yape's Expanding Role and Monetization
Yape continues to strengthen its position as Peru's leading digital ecosystem, with over 15 million users transacting 69 times per month and maintaining an NPS of 78%. Its contribution to Credicorp's risk-adjusted revenues increased to 8.9%. Lending through Yape reached PEN 1.8 billion, a 4x year-over-year increase, with 5.6 million clients receiving disbursements. Lending now contributes 28% to Yape's revenues, while payments contribute 45%, with revenue-generating payment transactions growing 42% year-over-year.
BCP's Strong Performance and Efficiency
BCP reported a strong 29.2% ROE in Q2 FY26, driven by accelerating loan growth (10.9% YoY, 12.2% FX-neutral) led by retail and wholesale banking. The NPL ratio fell to 3.9%, and risk-adjusted NIM stood at 5.2%. Operating expenses rose 14.9% year-to-date, primarily due to IT expenses for commercial and transactional capability development and personnel expenses. The efficiency ratio for the first half of the year stood at 38.6%.
Mibanco and Grupo Pacifico Highlights
Mibanco delivered healthy growth with disciplined risk management, achieving a 22.9% ROE and a record low NPL ratio of 4.8%. Mibanco Colombia also showed strong results with double-digit loan growth and an 18.5% ROE. Grupo Pacifico posted a 19.1% ROE, with solid profitability led by its Life business, which saw healthy organic growth. The P&C business experienced lower net income due to higher claims, while Corporate Health and medical services remained stable.