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Avis Budget Group (CAR) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Industrials· Jul 29, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Avis Budget Group Q2 FY26 — Strategic Fleet Reduction Drives Profitability Amidst Soft Demand

Avis Budget Group strategically reduced its fleet in Q2 FY26 in response to softening demand, prioritizing profitability and asset utilization over volume. This disciplined approach, coupled with technology investments, led to record utilization and adjusted EBITDA growth in the Americas despite revenue declines. The company also secured a significant legal settlement and is focused on deleveraging and optimizing its asset management approach for future quarters.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EBITDA grew 7.7% year-over-year in Americas despite revenue decline.

  • Achieved highest second quarter utilization globally with 73.2% in Americas.

  • Delivered 2 consecutive quarters of positive global RPD growth for the first time in 12 quarters.

  • Reached a settlement agreement with Pentwater for $650 million in cash.

  • Expanded Avis First premium offering to additional major airport locations including Orlando, Washington Dulles, London Heathrow, and Paris Charles de Gaulle.

Concerns

4
  • Americas fleet finished the quarter down 5% year-over-year due to demand deceleration.

  • International segment revenue declined 2.5% year-over-year (excluding FX) and adjusted EBITDA declined 11% year-over-year.

  • Recall-related constraints impacted the business, grounding approximately 18,000 vehicles and costing over $50 million year-to-date.

  • Net corporate leverage ratio of 7.4x remains high, though down 100 bps since year-end 2025.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Adjusted EBITDA
$850 million to $1 billion
high materiality
High
Net corporate leverage ratio reduction
at least a full turn of adjusted EBITDA
high materiality
High
Use of Pentwater settlement proceeds
retiring the remaining $350 million senior notes due in 2027
high materiality
High
Americas fleet size
down by a similar amount year-over-year
medium materiality
High
RPD (Americas)
roughly flat year-over-year
medium materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA growth
year-over-year growth
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Americas
Performance underscores that disciplined fleet execution can support profitability even in a softer demand environment. Decline in rental days was significantly less than fleet reduction due to utilization improvement.
Rental days: -2.1% YoYFleet size: -5.4% YoYUtilization: 73.2%Utilization improvement: 250 bpsRPD (ex-FX): +0.2% YoYRPD (ex-mix shift): +3% YoY
declined 1.9%-1.9%—adjusted EBITDA grew 7.7% year-over-year
International
Faced a more challenging operating environment due to weakness in commercial segments, geopolitical developments impacting inbound travel, and elevated fleet supply in key markets.
Rental days: -2.9% YoYRPD (ex-FX): +0.4% YoYRPD (ex-FX, ex-Zipcar U.K.): +2.2% YoYStrategic accounts decline: -10% YoYFlight capacity to Europe (April/May): -38%
declined 2.5% year-over-year (ex-FX)-2.5% (ex-FX)—adjusted EBITDA declined 11% year-over-year

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Avis Firstexpansion
Autonomous Ride-Hail Operationslaunch

Deals & partnerships

Pentwater Settlement agreement related to short-swing profits $650M cash

Pentwater agreed to pay Avis $650 million in cash.

Waymo Autonomous ride-hail operations

Launched autonomous ride-hail operations in Dallas, with Avis teams assuming operational responsibility in June.

Risks & headwinds

Softer-than-expected demand environment Q2, continuing into Q3

TSA check-ins decelerated from flat in April to negative 70 basis points in May to negative 1.3% in June; Overseas visitors to the U.S. down 8% in Q2

Mitigation:Accelerated vehicle dispositions, proactive fleet rightsizing, disciplined fleet execution, prioritizing profitability and returns over volume.

Recall-related constraints Q2, continuing into H2

Approximately 18,000 grounded vehicles in Q2; more than $50 million of directly attributable costs year-to-date

Mitigation:Utilization improvement despite constraints, operational execution.

Elevated fleet supply in international markets Q2, continuing into Q3

Vehicle registration grew more than 10% in several largest European markets

Mitigation:Commitment to mix shift strategy toward higher return leisure demand, reducing cost to acquire demand through digital channels.

Geopolitical developments Q2

Flight capacity down as much as 38% in April and May to Europe

Mitigation:Focus on improving mix while reducing the cost to acquire demand.

Higher interest rates and elevated vehicle costs Ongoing, impacting future refinancing

Refinancing cost likely 100-125 bps higher than existing fixed-rate debt

Mitigation:Delaying refinancing of low-cost obligations, opportunistic approach, allocating excess cash flow to debt repayment.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Net corporate leverage ratio

by the end of 2026
Current 7.4x
Target reduced by at least a full turn of adjusted EBITDA

Why it matters

Deleveraging is a key priority for the company to reach normalized levels and improve financial health.

Our net corporate leverage ratio of 7.4x is down 100 basis points since year-end in 2025. We remain focused on deleveraging towards normalized levels during the balance of the year and expect to reduce leverage by at least a full turn of adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2026.

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Q&A highlights

Asked about further cost reductions given lower demand and if AV ownership decisions are accelerating.

Management stated cost discipline is foundational and contributed to profitability, while continuing investments in future growth. Regarding AVs, they are not accelerating ownership decisions, keeping both managing fleets on others' balance sheets and purchasing vehicles as options, as the ecosystem is still evolving.

“I don't think that anything is being accelerated right now in terms of having to make that decision. The environment in the ecosystem is still evolving currently.”

asked by Chris Woronka · answered by Brian Choi

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategic Fleet Management & Utilization

In response to softening demand signals, Avis Budget Group proactively accelerated vehicle dispositions in Q2 FY26, resulting in the Americas fleet being down 5% year-over-year. This strategic decision, driven by an asset management mindset, prioritized profitability and returns over rental days, leading to a record 73.2% utilization in the Americas, despite a 2.1% decline in rental days.

The company deliberately optimized for revenue per transaction over revenue per day by fulfilling more weekly business, which creates better overall transaction economics when supply is tight.

Pentwater Settlement

Avis reached a settlement agreement with Pentwater for $650 million in cash related to short-swing profits. This settlement, pending final court approval, is expected to be resolved by year-end and represents a meaningful recovery for shareholders. The company plans to use a portion of these proceeds to retire $350 million of senior notes due in 2027.

Waymo Partnership Expansion

The partnership with Waymo achieved a significant milestone with the launch of autonomous ride-hail operations in Dallas, where Avis teams assumed operational responsibility in June. The company is applying early lessons from Dallas to develop a repeatable operating model focused on safety, customer experience, and operational excellence, with discussions ongoing for future market expansions.

Avis First Premium Offering

Avis First, the premium first-class rental offering, continues to gain traction, expanding to additional major airport locations including Orlando, Washington Dulles, London Heathrow, and Paris Charles de Gaulle. The program also broadened its vehicle portfolio with high-demand models like Mercedes and BMW, maintaining strong customer satisfaction with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars.

International Market Challenges

The International segment faced a more challenging operating environment, with revenues declining 2.5% year-over-year (excluding FX) and adjusted EBITDA down 11%. This was attributed to pronounced weakness in commercial segments, geopolitical developments impacting inbound travel to Europe (flight capacity down 38% in April/May), and elevated fleet supply in several key markets, leading to a more competitive pricing environment.

Debt Refinancing & Liquidity

Avis Budget Group strengthened its financial position by executing several refinancing transactions. This included issuing $300 million of senior notes due 2031, extending the $2 billion revolving credit facility to June 2031, and tactical refinancings across vehicle financing programs. The company maintains over $1 billion in available liquidity and $1.9 billion in fleet funding capacity, with a focus on deleveraging.

Recall-Related Constraints

The company continued to manage significant recall-related constraints, with approximately 18,000 grounded vehicles in Q2 2026, exceeding the 15,000 at the end of 2025. These recalls have represented over $50 million in directly attributable costs year-to-date, posing a material headwind, though utilization improvements were achieved despite these challenges.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.