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    CELC
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    Celcuity Q4 FY25 earnings call CELC

    Mar 25, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Celcuity Q4 FY25 — Gedatolisib NDA Accepted with Priority Review and Strong Clinical Data

    Celcuity concluded fiscal year 2025 with significant clinical and regulatory advancements for gedatolisib, including FDA priority review for its NDA in HR-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer, supported by strong VIKTORIA-1 wild-type data. The company is actively preparing for commercial launch, building out its sales force and engaging payers, while also anticipating key mutant cohort trial results and exploring further indications. The financial results reflect increased R&D and G&A expenses as the company nears potential commercialization.

    Highlights

    5
    • FDA accepted the New Drug Application (NDA) for gedatolisib, granting priority review with a PDUFA goal date of July 17, 2026.

    • The PIK3CA wild-type cohort of the Phase III VIKTORIA-1 trial demonstrated unprecedented efficacy, with the gedatolisib triplet achieving a median Progression-Free Survival (PFS) of 9.3 months compared to 2 months for fulvestrant (Hazard Ratio 0.24).

    • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $441.5 million at the end of fiscal year 2025, expected to finance operations through 2027.

    • Enrollment for the PIK3CA mutant cohort of the VIKTORIA-1 trial was completed, with top-line results anticipated in Q2 2026.

    • Gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide showed promising results in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, with a 6-month radiographic PFS rate of 67% and median rPFS of 9.1 months.

    Concerns

    3
    • Net loss for Q4 FY25 was $51 million, or $0.97 per share, compared to $36.7 million, or $0.85 per share, for Q4 FY24.

    • Full-year 2025 net loss increased to $177 million, or $3.79 per share, from $111.8 million, or $2.83 per share, in FY24.

    • Net cash used in operating activities for the full year 2025 increased to $153.3 million compared to $83.5 million for the full year 2024.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Gedatolisib NDA PDUFA Goal Date
    July 17, 2026
    high materiality
    High
    VIKTORIA-1 PIK3CA Mutant Cohort Top-Line Results
    Top line press release in the second quarter
    high materiality
    High
    VIKTORIA-1 PIK3CA Mutant Cohort Full Results Presentation
    Medical conference in 2026
    high materiality
    High
    VIKTORIA-2 Study Design Update
    Update on final Phase III study design in the second quarter
    medium materiality
    High
    Prostate Cancer Trial Data Look
    Some look at that data by the end of this year, sometime early next year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Gedatolisib Peak Revenue (Second-Line Breast Cancer)
    Up to $2.5 billion annually
    high materiality
    Medium
    Cash Runway
    Through 2027
    high materiality
    High
    MAA Submission in Europe
    Q4 of this year
    medium materiality
    High
    MAA Review Process (Europe)
    Roughly a 13-month process
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    29
    Net loss per share (GAAP)
    $0.97vs $0.85 in Q4 FY24
    Q4 FY25

    GAAP net loss per share for the fourth quarter. Captured as per user instruction, despite general rule to omit plain GAAP statement lines.

    Net loss per share (GAAP)
    $0.85
    Q4 FY24

    GAAP net loss per share for the fourth quarter of the prior year. Captured as per user instruction, despite general rule to omit plain GAAP statement lines.

    Net loss per share (GAAP)
    $3.79vs $2.83 in FY24
    FY25

    GAAP net loss per share for the full year. Captured as per user instruction, despite general rule to omit plain GAAP statement lines.

    Net loss per share (GAAP)
    $2.83
    FY24

    GAAP net loss per share for the full year of the prior year. Captured as per user instruction, despite general rule to omit plain GAAP statement lines.

    Adjusted net loss per share (non-GAAP)
    $0.73vs $0.75 in Q4 FY24
    Q4 FY25

    Non-GAAP adjusted net loss per share for the fourth quarter.

    Adjusted net loss per share (non-GAAP)
    $0.75
    Q4 FY24

    Non-GAAP adjusted net loss per share for the fourth quarter of the prior year.

    Adjusted net loss per share (non-GAAP)
    $3.22vs $2.58 in FY24
    FY25

    Non-GAAP adjusted net loss per share for the full year.

    Adjusted net loss per share (non-GAAP)
    $2.58
    FY24

    Non-GAAP adjusted net loss per share for the full year of the prior year.

    Research and development expenses
    $37.6Mvs $33.5M in Q4 FY24
    Q4 FY25

    R&D expenses for the fourth quarter, with detailed drivers for the increase.

    Research and development expenses
    $145Mvs $104.2M in FY24
    FY25

    R&D expenses for the full year, with detailed drivers for the increase.

    General and administrative expenses
    $11.6Mvs $3M in Q4 FY24
    Q4 FY25

    G&A expenses for the fourth quarter, with detailed drivers for the increase.

    General and administrative expenses
    $27.2Mvs $9.1M in FY24
    FY25

    G&A expenses for the full year, with detailed drivers for the increase.

    Net cash used in operating activities
    $36.4Mvs $27.8M in Q4 FY24
    Q4 FY25

    Net cash used in operating activities for the fourth quarter.

    Net cash used in operating activities
    $153.3Mvs $83.5M in FY24
    FY25

    Net cash used in operating activities for the full year.

    Cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments
    $441.5M
    FY25

    Total cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments at the end of fiscal year 2025.

    VIKTORIA-1 Trial Patient Enrollment (US/Canada/Western Europe/Asia Pacific)
    60%
    Q4 FY25

    Percentage of patients in the PIK3CA wild-type cohort enrolled from the U.S., Canada, Western Europe, and Asia Pacific.

    VIKTORIA-1 Median PFS (US/Canada)
    19.3 monthsvs 2 months for fulvestrant
    Q4 FY25

    Median Progression-Free Survival for gedatolisib triplet in patients enrolled in the United States or Canada.

    VIKTORIA-1 Median PFS (US/Canada/Western Europe/Asia Pacific)
    16.6 monthsvs 1.9 months for fulvestrant
    Q4 FY25

    Median Progression-Free Survival for gedatolisib triplet in patients enrolled in the U.S., Canada, Western Europe, and Asia Pacific.

    VIKTORIA-1 Discontinuation due to TRAEs
    2.3
    Q4 FY25

    Percentage of patients treated with gedatolisib triplet who discontinued study treatment due to treatment-related adverse events.

    VIKTORIA-1 Median Time to Stomatitis Improvement (Grade 2)
    12 days
    Q4 FY25

    Median time to improvement from first onset to a lower grade of stomatitis for patients with Grade 2 stomatitis who received the gedatolisib triplet.

    VIKTORIA-1 Median Time to Stomatitis Improvement (Grade 3)
    14 days
    Q4 FY25

    Median time to improvement from first onset to a lower grade of stomatitis for patients with Grade 3 stomatitis who received the gedatolisib triplet.

    VIKTORIA-1 Median Time to Definitive Deterioration (Patient-Reported Outcomes)
    23.7 monthsvs 4 months for fulvestrant
    Q4 FY25

    Median time to definitive deterioration based on patient-reported outcomes for the gedatolisib triplet.

    Prostate Cancer Trial 6-Month Radiographic PFS Rate
    67%vs 40% historical rate
    Q4 FY25

    6-month radiographic Progression-Free Survival rate for gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide.

    Prostate Cancer Trial Median Radiographic PFS
    9.1 months
    Q4 FY25

    Median radiographic Progression-Free Survival for gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide across both arms.

    Estimated US Patient Population (HR+/HER2- advanced breast cancer, post-CDK4/6)
    37,000
    Q4 FY25

    Estimated number of patients in the U.S. with HR-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer who have progressed after treatment with a CDK4/6 inhibitor.

    Estimated Total Addressable Market (Second-Line Gedatolisib)
    >$5 billion
    Q4 FY25

    Estimated total addressable market for gedatolisib in the second-line setting for HR-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.

    Duration of Therapy Estimate (for Peak Revenue Model)
    10 months
    Q4 FY25

    Assumption used in modeling the market and estimating peak revenue for gedatolisib.

    Phase Ib Study Median PFS (gedatolisib + palbociclib + letrozole)
    >48 months
    Q4 FY25

    Median Progression-Free Survival reported in a Phase Ib study evaluating gedatolisib in combination with palbociclib and letrozole.

    Phase Ib Study Objective Response Rate (gedatolisib + palbociclib + letrozole)
    79%
    Q4 FY25

    Objective Response Rate reported in a Phase Ib study evaluating gedatolisib in combination with palbociclib and letrozole.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Peak long term sales guidanceUp to $2.5 billion annuallyUSD
    Clinical trial efficacy safety dataMedian PFS: 9.3 months (gedatolisib triplet) vs 2 months (fulvestrant)months

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Clinical trial outcome uncertainty for PIK3CA mutant cohortNext quarter

    Top-line results expected in Q2 2026

    Mitigation: Management expressed optimism based on wild-type data but refrained from further guidance on expectations.

    Regulatory approval uncertaintyMid-2026

    PDUFA goal date of July 17, 2026

    Mitigation: NDA accepted with priority review, submitted under real-time oncology review program.

    Competition from other PI3K inhibitorsOngoing

    Inavolisib launch for PIK3CA mutant setting; other mutant-selective PI3K-alpha inhibitors in development

    Mitigation: Management believes gedatolisib's comprehensive inhibition of PI3K isoforms and mTORC1/2 offers superior efficacy and a better safety profile (e.g., no significant glycemic disruption) compared to single-target or mutant-selective inhibitors.

    Increased operating expensesOngoing

    FY25 R&D expenses up $40.8M to $145M; FY25 G&A expenses up $18.1M to $27.2M; FY25 net cash used in operating activities up $69.8M to $153.3M

    Mitigation: Expenses are largely driven by commercial headcount additions and launch-related activities in preparation for potential FDA approval; cash runway extends through 2027.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    4

    VIKTORIA-1 PIK3CA Mutant Cohort Top-Line Results

    Q2 FY26
    CurrentEnrollment completed late last year
    TargetTop-line press release

    Why it matters

    This is a major clinical milestone that could significantly expand the addressable market for gedatolisib and impact its commercial positioning.

    We expect to announce these results in a top line press release in the second quarter and to present full results at a medical conference in 2026, where we also intend to host an investor call.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Will the database lock for the mutant data be in place, and how will the readout be disclosed?

    Management declined to comment on the database lock status. They reiterated that top-line data will be released via a press release, followed by full results at an upcoming medical conference.

    Well, as I indicated, we'll provide top line data in a press release, and then we will provide details at an upcoming medical conference.

    asked by Maurice Raycroft · answered by Brian Sullivan

    4 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Gedatolisib NDA and VIKTORIA-1 Wild-Type Efficacy

    Celcuity achieved a significant regulatory milestone with the FDA's acceptance of its New Drug Application (NDA) for gedatolisib, granting it priority review with a PDUFA goal date of July 17, 2026. This submission was made under the FDA's real-time oncology review program, indicating the drug's potential for substantial improvement over existing therapies. The NDA is supported by groundbreaking data from the PIK3CA wild-type cohort of the Phase III VIKTORIA-1 trial, which demonstrated a median Progression-Free Survival (PFS) of 9.3 months for the gedatolisib triplet (gedatolisib, palbociclib, and fulvestrant) compared to only 2 months for fulvestrant, resulting in an unprecedented🌐 hazard ratio of 0.24. This represents a 7.3-month incremental improvement in median PFS, the highest reported in this disease setting. Additionally, the gedatolisib triplet achieved a 17.5-month median duration of response and a 31% incremental increase in objective response rate, setting new benchmarks for endocrine therapy-based regimens in second-line HR-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer.

    02

    VIKTORIA-1 Wild-Type Safety and Patient-Reported Outcomes

    The safety profile of the gedatolisib triplet in the VIKTORIA-1 trial was generally well tolerated, with mostly low-grade adverse events. Treatment discontinuation due to treatment-related adverse events was low at 2.3%. Notably, measures to mitigate stomatitis were effective, with median time to improvement from first onset to a lower grade being 12 and 14 days for Grade 2 and 3 stomatitis, respectively. Unlike other approved PI3K-alpha inhibitors, gedatolisib did not induce clinically relevant hypoglycemia, requiring no dose reductions or withdrawals due to glucose issues. Patient-reported outcomes further supported tolerability, showing a median time to definitive deterioration of 23.7 months for the gedatolisib triplet versus 4 months for fulvestrant (HR 0.39), and stable patient well-being assessments for the first 8 cycles of treatment.

    03

    Commercialization Strategy and Market Opportunity

    Celcuity is actively preparing for the potential launch of gedatolisib, having largely completed building its commercial organization, including the sales force and internal systems. The company has engaged extensively with payers, strategic accounts, and population health decision-makers, receiving positive feedback. Research indicates strong willingness among oncologists to prescribe gedatolisib upon approval. Based on epidemiological data, an estimated 37,000 patients in the U.S. with HR-positive/HER2-negative advanced breast cancer have progressed after CDK4/6 inhibitor treatment. Using internal duration of treatment estimates (approximately 10 months) and pricing assumptions, the total addressable market for gedatolisib in this second-line setting is estimated to be over $5 billion, with a potential for peak annual revenue of up to $2.5 billion.

    04

    VIKTORIA-1 PIK3CA Mutant Cohort and VIKTORIA-2 Study Progress

    Enrollment for the PIK3CA mutant cohort of the Phase III VIKTORIA-1 trial was completed late last year, with top-line results expected to be announced in a press release in Q2 2026, followed by full results presentation at a medical conference later in 2026. The company believes positive results from this cohort would uniquely position the gedatolisib triplet as a second-line therapy regardless of PIK3CA mutation status. Additionally, the VIKTORIA-2 study, a Phase III trial evaluating gedatolisib as first-line treatment, is wrapping up its safety run-in, with an update on the final study design anticipated in Q2 2026. The positive wild-type data augurs well for gedatolisib's potential efficacy in this first-line setting.

    05

    Prostate Cancer Program Advancements

    Celcuity presented detailed data for the Phase Ib portion of its Phase Ib/II clinical trial evaluating gedatolisib in combination with darolutamide for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. In this study, patients receiving standard doses of darolutamide and either 120 mg or 180 mg of gedatolisib achieved a 6-month radiographic PFS (rPFS) rate of 67% and a median rPFS of 9.1 months across both arms. These results compare favorably to historical rates of 40% 6-month rPFS for similar patients. The combination was generally well tolerated with mostly low-grade adverse events, and no dose-limiting toxicities were observed. The company is continuing dose escalation to determine the recommended Phase II dose, with an update on this data expected by the end of 2026 or early 2027.

    06

    Financial Performance and Outlook

    For Q4 FY25, Celcuity reported a net loss of $51 million ($0.97 per share) and a non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $38.4 million ($0.73 per share). Full-year 2025 saw a net loss of $177 million ($3.79 per share) and a non-GAAP adjusted net loss of $150.8 million ($3.22 per share). Research and development expenses increased to $145 million for FY25, driven by increased employee and consulting expenses, including commercial headcount additions and launch-related activities. General and administrative expenses also rose to $27.2 million for FY25, primarily due to increased employee-related and consulting expenses, including non-cash stock-based compensation. Net cash used in operating activities for FY25 was $153.3 million. The company ended FY25 with $441.5 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, which is expected to fund operations through 2027.

    07

    European and Global Commercial Strategy

    Celcuity plans to submit a Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) in Europe in Q4 2026, following the potential completion of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) for gedatolisib in the U.S. that would incorporate both wild-type and mutant cohort data. The MAA review process is estimated to take approximately 13 months. This timeline provides a window to explore partnerships for commercialization in Europe and potentially globally. The company is also engaging with regulators in Japan to define the regulatory pathway for submission there, aiming to proceed with regulatory activities in key international markets without delaying launch capabilities.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.