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    CERT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Certara Q2 FY26 earnings call CERT

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Certara Q2 FY26 — Strategic Realignment and AI Integration Drive Software Momentum

    Certara is undergoing a strategic transformation, focusing on sustainable double-digit growth by realigning its go-to-market strategy and streamlining operations. The company is leveraging its proprietary software and AI capabilities to drive new customer use cases and enhance productivity, particularly in its software segment. While services revenue saw a decline, leading indicators like pipeline growth suggest potential for improvement in the second half of the fiscal year.

    Highlights

    5
    • Software revenue grew 4% in Q2 FY26, now representing 53% of the business.

    • Trailing 12-month bookings normalized for Camaxone acquisition grew 7% exiting H1 FY26, up sharply from 0.8% exiting FY25.

    • Pipeline grew 27% year-on-year exiting Q2 FY26, anticipated to translate into H2 FY26 revenue growth.

    • Run rate savings of approximately $13 million expected from cost streamlining and reduction in force.

    • Adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations was $0.08 in Q2 FY26, flat year-over-year.

    Concerns

    4
    • Total revenue growth was modest at 1% year-over-year in Q2 FY26.

    • Services revenue declined 3% year-over-year in Q2 FY26.

    • Adjusted EBITDA declined to $26.2 million in Q2 FY26 from $27 million in Q2 FY25, with margin at 28.1% due to stranded costs.

    • Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance lowered to 29-31% from 30-32% due to divestiture impact and stranded costs.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year revenue growth
    0% to 4%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year revenue
    $367M to $382M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year software revenue growth
    at or above the high end of 0% to 4%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year services revenue growth
    at or below the low end of 0% to 4%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin
    29% to 31%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations
    $0.31 to $0.36 per share
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year fully diluted shares
    155 million to 157 million
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year effective tax rate
    approximately 30%
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Software
    Growth driven by strength in Simcyp, Phoenix, and Pinnacle 21. Software revenue now represents 53% of the total business, up from 40% two years ago.
    Software revenue as % of total business: 53%
    $48.8 million4%
    Services
    Services bookings lagged in the quarter, impacted by the carve-out of the regulatory and medical writing business and ongoing changes to the go-to-market model.
    $44.5 million-3%

    Operational metrics

    25
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $26.2 milliondown from $27 million Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Decline largely attributed to stranded costs related to the divestiture.

    Adjusted Net Income
    $12.5 milliondown from $12.7 million Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26
    Adjusted Diluted EPS
    $0.08flat year-over-year
    Q2 FY26
    Cash and Cash Equivalents
    $184.1 million
    Q2 FY26
    Outstanding Borrowings on Term Loan
    $294 million
    Q2 FY26
    Revolving Credit Facility Availability
    $100 million
    Q2 FY26
    Share Repurchase Program (Q2 FY26)
    $17.4 million
    Q2 FY26

    Completed a previously authorized $100 million share repurchase program.

    New Share Repurchase Program Authorization
    $50 million
    Q3 FY26

    Approved by the Board in Q3 FY26, reflecting continued confidence and disciplined capital allocation.

    Run Rate Savings from Cost Streamlining
    $13 million
    future

    Expected from reduction in force and other operational excellence steps, focused predominantly on overhead.

    Operating Expenses Increase
    $7.9 millionYoY
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily driven by the absence of a $5.7 million favorable contingent consideration adjustment in the prior year period.

    Prior Year Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Divested Business)
    30.2%
    FY25

    The divested business had a 30.2% margin in FY25, which is relevant for understanding the current margin guidance change.

    Pipeline Growth
    27%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Anticipated to translate into revenue growth in the back half of 2026.

    Employee Reduction
    5%
    May 2026

    Reduction in force focused predominantly on overhead.

    New Code AI-Assisted
    85%
    current

    Up to 85% of new code is now AI-assisted.

    Development Rate per Software Engineer Increase
    65%YoY
    current
    Cycle Time Reduction (Internal Systems)
    90%
    current

    AI agents cutting cycle times in areas like legal and IT.

    CoAuthor AI Agents
    600
    current

    CoAuthor now provides nearly 600 AI agents.

    CoAuthor Productivity Increase
    40%
    current

    Productivity increase in drafting quality control documents using CoAuthor.

    CoAuthor Accuracy (Complex Datables)
    90%
    current

    Accuracy summarizing complex datables using CoAuthor.

    Scientific Agentic Workflow Acceleration
    80%
    current

    Accelerating delivery steps for certain tasks in scientific services.

    Peer-Reviewed Publications
    62
    Q2 FY26

    Spanning AI, machine learning, rare populations, and cutting-edge science.

    FDA Approved Novel Therapies (Certara Clients)
    13
    Q2 FY26

    Every one of the 13 novel therapies FDA approved came from a Certara client.

    Simcyp Simulator Cloud Implementations
    30
    YTD FY26

    Phoenix, our pharmacometrics modeling platform, has won 30 cloud implementations this year.

    Regulatory and Medical Writing Business Contribution (Divested)
    $19.2 million
    Q2 FY26 (partial)

    Contributed $19.2 million of revenue and $7.5 million of adjusted EBITDA to discontinued operations through May 8.

    Divested Business Adjusted EBITDA (FY25)
    $17 million
    FY25

    The divested regulatory and medical writing business generated approximately $17 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2025, excluding unallocated overhead costs.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Adjusted EBITDA$26.2 millionUSD
    Net revenue retentionUp
    Bookings billings growth7%%
    Revenue adjusted EBITDA guidanceRevenue: $367M-$382M; Adjusted EBITDA margin: 29%-31%USD; %
    Subscription recurring revenue growth4%%

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    NVIDIATechnology partnership to integrate NVIDIA's BioNeMo agent toolkit with Certara's next-generation platform.

    Allows NVIDIA agents to interface with Certara's software system and enables new use cases like discovery for high-throughput acceleration.

    Julian PerierAppointment as new Chief Commercial Officer, effective August 1.

    Brings nearly two decades of international commercial leadership across global biopharma, technology-enabled scientific services, and AI-driven biotechnology. Expected to lead redesigned commercial go-to-market engine.

    Eric YanPromoted to CIO.

    Will be critical in enabling global scalability and optimizing internal AI systems to drive growth.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Stranded costs from divestitureOngoing, impacting H2 FY26.

    Impacted Q2 FY26 Adjusted EBITDA margin (28.1%) and led to revised full-year adjusted EBITDA margin guidance of 29-31%.

    Mitigation: Reduction in force (5% of global employee base) and other operational excellence steps expected to result in $13 million run rate savings.

    Services revenue declineQ2 FY26, expected to continue at or below low end of 0-4% range for full year.

    Down 3% YoY in Q2 FY26.

    Mitigation: Implementing several changes to the broader services go-to-market model, with positive leading indicators like pipeline growth (up 27% YoY).

    Impact of non-recurring items on GAAP net income and EPSQ2 FY26.

    Net loss from continuing operations of $6.1 million in Q2 FY26 (vs. $1.5 million net income in Q2 FY25), diluted loss per share of $0.04 (vs. $0.01 EPS in Q2 FY25).

    Mitigation: Primarily reflects absence of $5.7 million favorable contingent consideration adjustment in prior year, $2.9 million unfavorable currency swing, and $2.2 million increase in reorganization costs, partially offset by lower income tax expense.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Services revenue growth

    Next quarter (Q3 FY26)
    Current-3% YoY in Q2 FY26
    TargetImprovement towards positive growth

    Why it matters

    Services revenue decline is a key headwind; improvement is critical for overall revenue growth and reflects the effectiveness of go-to-market model changes.

    In services, we expect full year to be at or below the low end of 0% to 4% range. As John mentioned, we remain focused on improving performance in this part of our business.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    What's working with the new sales strategy, and what milestones should be watched?

    Jon Resnick stated that the changes, including the new CCO, are in early innings but showing positive leading indicators like ARR accumulation for software and pipeline creation (up 28-29% YoY) for services. He emphasized the strong end market and the focus on execution.

    I look at things like pipeline creation, which I highlighted in the earlier remarks, which are up, what, 28%, 29% year-on-year, which is a positive indicator around it.

    asked by Craig Hettenbach · answered by Jon Resnick

    2 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Transformation and Go-to-Market Realignment

    Certara is actively transforming its business to achieve sustainable double-digit growth, focusing on execution and operational discipline. Key initiatives include the divestiture of the regulatory and medical writing business, reprioritization of the product portfolio, and a reorganization into two business units: Model-informed Discovery and Drug Development (MID3) and Accelerated Clinical Evidence (ACE). The company also announced a new Chief Commercial Officer to lead a redesigned commercial go-to-market engine, aiming to integrate sales and marketing and activate growth across all segments.

    02

    Cost Streamlining and Operational Excellence

    To address stranded costs from the divestiture and accelerate innovation investments, Certara executed a reduction in force impacting approximately 5% of its global employee base. This action, combined with other operational excellence steps, is expected to result in run rate savings of approximately $13 million, primarily focused on overhead. These savings are intended to improve margins and free up capital for strategic investments.

    03

    Regulatory and Scientific Leadership

    Certara emphasizes its unique position at the intersection of regulatory and scientific leadership, proprietary software, and AI. The company actively shapes policies, with its scientists engaging directly with agencies like the FDA on model-informed approaches. Recent regulatory guidance, such as HHS's Operation Trialblazer and ICHM15 taking effect at EMA, are seen as favorable macro conditions amplifying Certara's positioning.

    04

    Client Impact and Industry Approvals

    Certara serves over 2,600 customers globally, with nearly 160,000 daily software users. In Q2 FY26, all 13 novel therapies approved by the FDA came from Certara clients, including Eli Lilly's orforglipron (a GLP-1 therapy) and a new rare autoimmune therapy. The company's Simcyp Simulator and QSP platform were instrumental in supporting drug development and regulatory submissions for these approvals.

    05

    AI Integration and Productivity Gains

    Certara is deeply integrating AI across its operations and product offerings, leveraging 25 years of accumulated scientific data and proven algorithms. Internally, AI-assisted code development accounts for up to 85% of new code, leading to a 65% year-on-year increase in development rate per software engineer. AI agents are also cutting cycle times by up to 90% in legal and IT and driving sales prospecting.

    06

    Enhanced Software and Services with AI

    AI is enabling new customer use cases and enhancing existing software products like Phoenix Cloud, Pinnacle, Certara IQ, D360, and CoAuthor. CoAuthor, used in over 400 regulatory submissions, now provides nearly 600 AI agents, resulting in a 40% productivity increase in drafting quality control documents and over 90% accuracy in summarizing complex data. Scientific services are also seeing accelerated delivery steps by up to 80% for certain tasks through proprietary AI-driven workflows.

    07

    Global Expansion and Partnerships

    Certara expanded its global footprint with a major Simcyp win in China, increased engagement in the Middle East, and a full modeling collaboration in Japan. The company also highlighted its partnership with NVIDIA, which aims to integrate NVIDIA's BioNeMo agent toolkit with Certara's next-generation platform, enabling new use cases in discovery and accelerating timelines.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.