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Check Point (CHKP) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Check Point Q2 FY26 — AI Network Firewall Launch & Sales Capacity Expansion

Check Point's Q2 FY26 results were in line with expectations, driven by strong subscription revenue growth and the launch of the AI network firewall. The company is expanding its sales force to capitalize on long-term growth opportunities, particularly in the AI era. While Q3 is anticipated to be a trough due to seasonality and go-to-market adjustments, management expects a strong Q4 to meet full-year guidance, positioning the company for accelerated growth in 2027.

Highlights

5
  • Non-GAAP EPS reached $2.55, exceeding guidance and growing 8% year-over-year.

  • Subscription revenues grew 12% year-over-year to $333 million, meeting midpoint projections.

  • Adjusted free cash flow reached $161 million, $1 million above projections and representing 24% of revenues.

  • The company launched the industry's first AI network firewall, integrating it into the AI Defense plane.

  • Check Point is significantly expanding sales capacity by hiring hundreds of additional salespeople, reflecting confidence in long-term growth.

Concerns

5
  • Total revenues grew only 1% to $674 million, $1 million below the midpoint of projections.

  • Product revenues declined by 14% in Q2 and are expected to see similar trends in Q3.

  • Q3 is expected to mark a trough, with significant deals being pushed from Q3 to Q4 due to seasonality and internal factors.

  • The implied Q4 revenue target of approximately $800 million represents a record quarter, requiring strong execution.

  • Higher memory costs contributed to a slight decrease in gross margin to 87%.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Revenue
Maintained
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Total Revenue
$665 million to $685 million
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Subscription Revenue
$332 million to $343 million
medium materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Non-GAAP EPS
$2.43 to $2.53
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Adjusted Free Cash Flow
$235 million to $265 million
medium materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Diluted Shares Outstanding
Decrease by approximately 1.5 million shares
low materiality
High
Product Revenue Growth
Back to growth
high materiality
Medium

Orderbook & backlog

Deferred Revenues $2.025B Q2 FY26 end

7% growth

Calculated Billings $639M Q2 FY26 end

Similar to last year

Impacted by a shift from annual to quarterly billing for large deals, which reduced reported billings by 2 points.

Current Calculated Billings $641M Q2 FY26 end

2% growth

Remaining Performance Obligation (RPO) $2.55B Q2 FY26 end

7% growth

Current RPO $1.6B Q2 FY26 end

4% increase

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
AI Network Firewalllaunch

Risks & headwinds

Product Revenue Decline Q2 FY26, expected similar in Q3 FY26

Declined 14% in Q2 FY26

Mitigation:Expectation of significant improvement and return to growth in Q4 FY26 due to stronger pipeline and qualified opportunities.

Go-to-Market Reorganization Disruption Q2 FY26, expected to stabilize with Q3 as trough

Affected execution and contributed to lower product revenues.

Mitigation:Organization is now stabilized, leading to confidence in Q4 rebound and aggressive sales hiring for 2027 growth.

Q3 Seasonality and Deal Pushes Q3 FY26

Significant deals expected to be pushed from Q3 to Q4.

Mitigation:Taking a more prudent approach for Q3 guidance, with confidence in a strong Q4 pipeline to compensate.

Higher Memory Costs Q2 FY26

Slight decrease in gross margin to 87%.

Mitigation:Management is actively working to ensure sufficient inventory despite cost pressures.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Q4 Revenue Performance

Q4 FY26
Current Implied ~$800M revenue quarter
Target Achievement of implied record revenue

Why it matters

Achievement of this record quarter is critical for meeting full-year guidance and demonstrating the effectiveness of go-to-market stabilization and pipeline strength.

I mean, you're going to need to do about an $800 million revenue quarter at the midpoint of guidance. And I was going back through the model, I've never seen that. That would be a record quarter.

Find out whether CHKP delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Given the investment in sales capacity, what is the normal ramp-to-productivity for new hires, and how does this align with the confidence in a Q4 rebound, as new hires typically benefit 2027?

The impact of new sales hires is expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2027, meaning the Q3/Q4 guidance does not factor in their productivity. The Q4 confidence stems from the stabilization of the go-to-market reorg and a strong existing pipeline, not the new hires.

“The impact to sales is expected in Q1 and Q2 of 2027. So the guidance and what we're expecting for Q3 and Q4 does not take into consideration the ramp-up.”

asked by Joseph Gallo · answered by Nadav Zafrir

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

AI Network Firewall Launch and AI Defense Plane

Check Point introduced the industry's first AI network firewall, designed to address the new class of network traffic created by AI. This firewall provides visibility, control, and security for prompts, agent actions, and model interactions. It is part of the broader AI Defense plane, a full-stack AI security platform continuously trained on threat intelligence, built to protect applications, users, and agents from AI-based attacks.

The AI network firewall embeds AI defense across networks, private and public cloud, and SASE.

Sales Capacity Expansion and Go-to-Market Strategy

The company is significantly expanding its sales capacity by hiring approximately 300 additional salespeople globally, a major move following a recent go-to-market reorganization. This hiring campaign is expected to impact productivity in Q1 and Q2 of 2027, preparing for stronger future growth.

Management noted that the Q2 results were impacted by internal disruption from the go-to-market changes, but the organization is now stabilized, and Q3 is expected to be the trough.

Impact of AI on Cybersecurity and Paradigm Shift

Management highlighted that AI is driving a collapse in the scarcity of adversarial capabilities, democratizing and industrializing sophisticated cyber attacks. This necessitates a shift in cybersecurity paradigms, moving towards automatic remediation at machine speed rather than relying solely on detection and response.

Check Point is making massive investments in building next-generation security, including working with NVIDIA to embed firewall capabilities at the GPU level for AI factories and data centers.

Open Platform and Multi-Vendor Management

Check Point emphasized its commitment to an open platform approach, acknowledging that enterprises often operate in multi-vendor environments. The company plans to offer customers the ability to manage different products and firewalls, including those from competitors, through its unified management platform. This strategy aims to provide comprehensive security and autonomous remediation capabilities, which are crucial in the evolving threat landscape.

SASE Readiness and Hybrid Mesh Proposition

SASE (Secure Access Service Edge) is an integral part of Check Point's hybrid mesh proposition. The company stated it is now ready for enterprise-level capacity in SASE and is integrating it into its unified management. Management highlighted best-in-class latency with its hybrid device architecture, making it fast and easy to deploy and manage.

Check Point is focused on expanding its SASE offerings, connecting it to firewalls and the AI Defense plane.

Q3 Trough and Q4 Rebound Expectations

Management reiterated that Q3 is expected to be the trough, with a more conservative approach taken due to summer seasonality and anticipated deal pushes from Q3 to Q4. Despite this, the company maintains its full-year guidance, citing a significantly improved and stronger pipeline for Q4, particularly in product revenues, which are expected to return to growth after declines in Q2 and Q3.

This makes the second half of the year heavily back-end loaded.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.