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    CHWY
    Earnings call· Feb 2026(Q4 FY25)

    Chewy Q4 FY25 earnings call CHWY

    Mar 25, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Chewy Q4 FY25 — Strong Sales Growth, Margin Expansion, and Record Free Cash Flow

    Chewy concluded fiscal year 2025 with robust financial performance, marked by strong sales growth, significant margin expansion, and record free cash flow, driven by consistent execution and share gains. The company is strategically leveraging AI for efficiency and expanding its private brand offerings, Chewy Made, to capture a larger share of the consumables market. While Q1 FY26 is projected as a low point for sales growth, management anticipates reacceleration throughout the year, underpinned by stable customer growth and continued operating leverage.

    Highlights

    5
    • Net sales reached over $3.26 billion in Q4 FY25, growing 8.1% YoY.

    • Full year 2025 net sales grew 8.3% to over $12.6 billion.

    • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 120 basis points YoY to 5.0% in Q4 FY25, reaching $162 million.

    • Generated record free cash flow of $562.4 million in FY25.

    • Active customers grew approximately 4% YoY to 21.3 million, with net additions up by more than 810,000 in FY25.

    Concerns

    3
    • Q1 FY26 net sales growth expected to be the low point of the year at 7% to 8% YoY.

    • Industry growth expected to be predominantly volume-driven with little to no contribution from pricing in 2026.

    • SmartEquine acquisition requires some fixing in 2026, not expected to be materially contributive to P&L.

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Net Sales
    $13.6 billion to $13.75 billion
    high materiality
    High
    SmartEquine Net Sales Contribution
    approximately $80 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Active Customer Growth
    low single-digit growth
    high materiality
    High
    Price Inflation
    no price inflation
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA Margin
    6.6% to 6.8%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
    approximately $900 million to over $930 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 Net Sales
    $3.33 billion and $3.36 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 Adjusted Diluted EPS
    $0.40 to $0.45
    high materiality
    High
    Share-based Compensation Expense (including taxes)
    broadly flat
    low materiality
    High
    Weighted Average Diluted Shares Outstanding
    approximately 425 million
    low materiality
    High
    Net Interest Income
    approximately $10 million to $15 million
    low materiality
    High
    Effective Tax Rate
    20% to 22%
    low materiality
    High
    AI-driven Efficiencies
    low tens of millions of dollars benefit
    medium materiality
    High
    AI-driven Efficiencies (Annualized Savings)
    approximately $50 million or more
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    17
    Advertising and marketing expense
    $233 million
    Q4 FY25

    Reported for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.

    Advertising and marketing expense
    $825 million
    FY25

    Reported for the full fiscal year 2025, reflecting 30 basis points of leverage year-over-year.

    Adjusted EPS
    $0.27
    Q4 FY25

    Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025.

    Adjusted EPS
    $1.27
    FY25

    Adjusted earnings per share for the full fiscal year 2025.

    Consumables TAM
    $50 billion to $60 billion
    current

    The largest segment of the $90 billion food and supplies TAM.

    Fulfillment variable cost
    60%
    current

    Percentage of variable cost spent in picking and packing in the fulfillment space.

    Normalized industry household formation
    1% to 2%
    long-term

    Management's expectation for a normalized pet industry.

    Normalized industry pricing
    1.5% to 2%
    long-term

    Management's expectation for normalized pricing in a pet industry.

    Normalized industry growth rates
    mid-single-digit growth rates
    long-term

    Management's expectation for overall growth rates in a normalized pet industry.

    Chewy+ penetration
    4%
    FY25

    Penetration rate for Chewy+ at the end of fiscal year 2025.

    Chewy+ investment
    low to mid-single-digit millions
    FY25

    Investment amount for Chewy+ in fiscal year 2025, lower than initial guidance.

    SmartEquine future gross margin
    plus 35% to 45%
    future

    Expected gross margin range for the SmartEquine business in the future.

    SmartEquine future revenue potential
    few hundred million dollar category
    future

    Management's belief on the potential scale of the SmartEquine business.

    Pet food and supplies TAM
    $90 billion
    current

    Total addressable market for pet food and supplies.

    Long-term EBITDA margin target
    10%
    long-term

    Long-term target for EBITDA margin, communicated in December 2023.

    Long-term margin expansion drivers
    roughly half from gross margin, rest from SG&A and marketing
    long-term

    Breakdown of how the remaining 350 basis points to reach the 10% EBITDA target will be achieved.

    Free cash flow conversion target
    at least 80%
    long-term

    Target for converting profitability into free cash flow.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Sg a OPEX ratio18.6%% of net sales
    Store count growth18locations
    Gross margin drivers29.4%%
    Active customers nspac21.3 millioncustomers
    Net debt to adjusted EBITDADebt-free
    Share buyback capital return$257 millionUSD
    Same sku like for like inflationno price inflation

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Chewy Madelaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    SmartEquineAcquisition of a pet health nutraceuticals business.

    The acquisition is of a high-quality business in the pet health nutraceuticals category. Management believes it can grow to become a few hundred million dollar category. Focus in 2026 is on stabilizing the business.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    No meaningful rebound in pet household formation2026

    Stable pet household formation, no evidence of deterioration, but no meaningful rebound expected.

    Mitigation: Chewy's model does not depend on macro reacceleration; focused on share gains, active customer growth, and NSPAC expansion.

    Industry growth predominantly volume-driven with little pricing contribution2026

    Low single-digit industry growth, predominantly volume driven, with little or no contribution from pricing.

    Mitigation: Chewy expects to deliver share-gaining growth and expand margins through structural efficiencies and operating leverage, independent of macro reacceleration.

    SmartEquine acquisition requires fixing2026

    The business picked up requires 'a little bit of fixing'.

    Mitigation: Focused on stabilizing the business in 2026; not expected to take investments or be materially contributive to the P&L in 2026.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Net Sales Growth Reacceleration

    Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26
    CurrentQ1 FY26 expected 7-8% YoY (low point)
    TargetGrowth to build in Q2 and strengthen through Q3 FY26

    Why it matters

    Verifies management's confidence in core model components and execution to drive full-year revenue targets.

    As you think about the quarterly progression of net sales, Q1 is expected to represent the low point of the year from a growth perspective, largely reflecting timing and lapping dynamics. We expect net sales growth to build in Q2 and continue to strengthen through Q3.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Inquired about the future potential for A&M leverage, specifically if it could drop below 6%, and asked for more details on the Chewy Made strategy, its impetus, and financial impact (TAM expansion vs. NSPAC expansion).

    Sumit Singh stated A&M leverage is expected to continue, with the long-term target of 10% EBITDA margin having roughly half coming from gross margin and the rest from SG&A and marketing. He noted current spending is reasonable at 6%-6.5%. For Chewy Made, he explained it aims for low to mid-teens penetration of net sales with 500 bps higher gross margin, filling assortment gaps in consumables (largest TAM at $50B-$60B) at both high and accessible price points, boosting margins.

    We believe private brands should be mid-teens level -- low to mid-teens level penetration of net sales for Chewy. At that scale, we expect private brands to be roughly 500 basis points higher gross margin than the base business.

    asked by Mark Stephen Mahaney · answered by Sumit Singh

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Pet Industry Dynamics and Chewy's Position

    The pet industry is uniquely attractive, driven by increasing pet humanization, premium product adoption, and expanding lifetime value per household, leading to resilient demand across economic cycles. Chewy expects 2026 dynamics to largely mirror 2025, with low single-digit industry growth, predominantly volume-driven with little to no pricing contribution. Chewy aims for share-gaining growth through its differentiated operating model, powered by over 80% of net sales on Autoship and supported by a world-class fulfillment network, delivering best-in-class consumer satisfaction.

    02

    Strategic Priorities: Chewy Vet Care

    Chewy opened 10 new vet practices in 2025, reaching 18 locations across 5 states, meeting the high end of its target range. Performance continues to exceed expectations, supported by strong utilization and high customer/veterinarian satisfaction. Chewy Vet Care (CVC) is driving compelling ecosystem-wide value, serving as a customer acquisition engine and engagement flywheel, deepening relationships with high-value health customers. CVC is identified as the fastest NSPAC compounder in the business, representing a powerful growth vector and key pillar of value creation.

    03

    Strategic Priorities: AI Integration

    Chewy is embedding AI across key layers of its business, including the purchase experience (improving search relevance, product discoverability, personalization), service and operations (customer service, fulfillment, pharmacy, marketing operations), and supply chain. AI-driven efficiencies are expected to contribute a low tens of millions of dollars benefit in 2026, with a meaningful step-up to approximately $50 million or more in annualized savings by 2027 as these capabilities scale. The company is also following Agentic Commerce models, viewing them as a future incremental demand and distribution channel.

    04

    Strategic Priorities: Chewy Private Brands

    Following the launch of its fresh brand, Get Real, in Q2 last year, Chewy is launching 'Chewy Made' in April 2026. This unified owned brand platform is designed to deliver trusted, high-quality products and drive durable, profitable growth. It will expand assortment across dog and cat consumables, including accessible price points for dog food and broader cat nutrition, and consolidate existing brands for a more streamlined customer experience. The goal is to achieve low to mid-teens penetration of net sales for private brands, with approximately 500 basis points higher gross margin than the base business.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Share Repurchases

    Chewy's capital allocation priorities remain unchanged: advancing strategic initiatives where returns are attractive, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and returning excess cash to shareholders. The company repurchased approximately 6.8 million shares, spending $257 million on share repurchases in 2025. Management expects the level of share repurchase activity to increase in 2026, reflecting strong cash generation and their view of the current valuation.

    06

    Industry Normalization and Growth

    Management characterized the current industry growth backdrop as low single-digit, predominantly volume-driven, without a meaningful rebound in pet household formation or significant pricing contribution. A normalized industry would see household formation return to 1% to 2% and pricing to 1.5% to 2%, leading to mid-single-digit overall growth rates. Chewy's current forecast does not assume an accelerating environment, but if the industry backdrop improves, the company expects its share gains and other metrics (top line, profitability, free cash flow) to accelerate.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.