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    CMCL
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Caledonia Mining Corp Q2 FY26 earnings call CMCL

    Aug 10, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Caledonia Mining Q2 FY26 — Production Recovery & Bilboes Project Advancement

    Caledonia Mining reported a strong Q2 FY26, marking a transitional quarter with significant production recovery at Blanket mine driven by improved grade access and operational efficiencies. The company is actively advancing its strategic Bilboes project, securing financing and progressing engineering work, while also pursuing promising exploration opportunities at K-Pits and Motapa. Despite cost pressures from reclassified employee expenses and increased electricity charges, management remains focused on optimizing operations and delivering long-term growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Production was up 18% QoQ, reflecting improved access to higher-grade mining areas and operating improvements.

    • Revenue increased 16% to $76 million, supported by stronger production and a robust gold price environment.

    • EBITDA rose 16% to nearly $46 million, and profit after tax was up 27% to $30 million, with EPS up 29% to $1.36.

    • Cash and cash equivalents stood at $167.8 million at quarter-end, contributing to a total liquidity of over $200 million.

    • Significant progress was made on Bilboes project financing, with the interim funding facility expected to close by early September.

    Concerns

    4
    • On-mine cash costs per ounce sold increased by $100 to a new guidance range of $1,600-$1,800, primarily due to reclassification of employee trust distributions and higher electricity wheeling charges.

    • All-in sustaining cost per ounce sold increased by $400 to a new guidance range of $2,500-$2,700, impacted by higher on-mine costs, royalties, and advisory fees.

    • Supply chain delays have impacted the delivery timelines of capital projects, such as the 133 kV power line.

    • A dispute over power pricing between ZETDC and the intensive energy user group is ongoing, affecting electricity costs.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    On-mine cash costs per ounce sold
    $1,600-$1,800
    high materiality
    High
    All-in sustaining cost per ounce sold
    $2,500-$2,700
    high materiality
    High
    Bilboes Project First Production
    End of 2028
    high materiality
    High
    Bilboes Project First Full Year Production
    2029
    high materiality
    High
    Interim Funding Facility Closure
    Late August, early September
    medium materiality
    High
    Project Finance Facility Closure
    By end of 2026 or early 2027
    high materiality
    High
    133 kV Power Line Completion
    By June next year
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Blanket Main Met Plant Target Processing Rate
    990,000 tonnes a year
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    1
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Blanket Mine
    Production recovered in Q2 due to improved access to higher-grade areas. The mine moved to a 7-day working week in June to increase blasting days and run-of-mine production. Stockpile was run down to zero in Q2 and is now being rebuilt. Recovery rate improved as head grade increased.
    Head Grade Q1 FY26: 2.5 grams a tonneHead Grade Q2 FY26: 2.88 grams a tonneTarget Head Grade Remainder of FY26: 3.16 grams a tonneBlasting Days Increase: 18%Recovery Rate: Bounced back (directional)Tail Grade: 0.2 grams a tonne

    Operational metrics

    41
    Quarterly Dividend per Share
    $0.14
    Q2 FY26

    Declared usual quarterly dividend.

    Profit after Tax
    $23.8 millionup 27%
    Q2 FY26

    For the 3-month period, compared to the comparable period in 2025.

    Profit after Tax (6 months)
    Just shy of $50 millionup 40%
    6 months FY26

    For the 6-month period, compared to the comparable period in 2025.

    Gross Profit Growth
    17.4%
    6 months FY26

    Gross profit up for the 6-month period.

    Gross Profit Growth
    16%
    Q2 FY26

    Gross profit up for the quarter.

    Cash and Cash Equivalents
    $167.8 million
    Q2 FY26

    At the end of the quarter.

    Cash on Hand
    $172 million
    June 30, 2026

    Used in the total funding requirement calculation for Bilboes.

    Total Liquidity
    Over $200 million
    June 30, 2026

    Includes cash on hand and bullion, representing a very healthy position.

    Bullion on Hand
    $13.5 million
    June 30, 2026

    Ounces held for shipment, with a slight delay due to demonstrations in Johannesburg.

    Administration Expenses
    Q2 FY26

    Significant one-off costs related to advisory fees for the senior loan note transaction and broader financing facility.

    Fair Value Gain on Derivative Financial Instruments
    Q2 FY26

    Financial accounting volatility due to complex accounting for convertible notes, resulting in significant movements in the P&L.

    Tax Expense
    downYoY
    Q2 FY26

    Down due to capital gains tax paid on solar in the comparative period; effective tax rate is in line.

    Net Position of Loan Notes
    No movement
    Q2 FY26

    Movements reflect successful rolling over of loans, maintaining a status quo net position.

    Proceeds from Convertible Loan Notes
    $145 million
    Q2 FY26

    Bulked up cash at the year-end position, contributing to strong liquidity.

    Capped Call Options Acquisition
    $14.4 million
    6 months FY26

    One-off item related to the convertible notes.

    Capped Call Net Position
    $4.4 million
    Q2 FY26

    Net position on the balance sheet at the end of the period, subject to fair value movements.

    Forecast Cash Flows from Blanket
    $115 million
    FY26

    Expected cash flows from Blanket mine, used in the total funding requirement calculation for Bilboes.

    Senior Debt Funding Requirement (at $3500/oz gold)
    Just over $300 million
    Future

    Required to meet the total funding requirement of approximately $600 million for Bilboes, assuming a gold price of $3,500 per ounce.

    Senior Debt Funding Requirement (at $4000/oz gold)
    Closer to $263 million
    Future

    Reduced funding requirement for Bilboes, assuming a gold price of $4,000 per ounce.

    Revenue Growth
    16%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Supported by stronger production and a robust gold price environment.

    EBITDA Growth
    16%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Supported by stronger production and a robust gold price environment.

    EBITDA Growth (6 months)
    28.5%YoY
    6 months FY26

    For the 6-month period.

    EPS Growth
    29%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    For the quarter.

    Production Growth
    18%QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to the first quarter, reflecting improved access to higher-grade mining areas and operating improvements.

    Average Realized Gold Price
    $4,25934% increase QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Benefited from a higher average realized gold price.

    Gold Shipments above $5000/oz
    3
    6 months FY26

    Attracted a higher royalty due to gold price level.

    Production Costs (Absolute)
    Up 15%
    YTD FY26

    Due to specific items and timing differences, including a drawdown on stockpile.

    Blanket Employee Trust Distribution
    $3.2 million
    Q2 FY26

    Reclassified as employee costs within production costs under IFRS, materially impacting reported production costs.

    Salaries and Wages Movement
    4%
    YTD FY26

    Base increases, broadly in line.

    Electricity Costs Increase
    25%
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by increased wheeling charges, despite actual consumption decreasing.

    Blasting Days Increase
    18%
    Q2 FY26

    Result of moving to a 7-day working week, flowing into increased run-of-mine production.

    Lima Plant Processing Capacity
    200 tonnes per day
    From September onwards

    Short-term measure to process incremental run-of-mine production.

    Elution Plant Upgrade Capacity
    3 tonne
    End of August 2026

    New elution vessel to reprocess accumulated material.

    Accumulated Material for Elution
    40 tonnes
    Over last 18 months

    Material accumulated that could not be processed previously, now to be reprocessed by the upgraded elution plant.

    Additional Ounces from Elution
    1,200 ounces
    Sep-Dec 2026

    Expected from reprocessing accumulated high-grade material through the upgraded elution plant.

    K-Pits Surface Trenching
    Over 2,000 meters
    Last 6 months

    Part of exploration activities at K-Pits.

    K-Pits RC Drilling
    7,000 meters
    Last 6 months

    Shallow reverse circulation drilling to assess oxide mineralization potential.

    K-Pits Oxide Grades
    1.5-2.5 g/t
    Current

    Selected drill highlights from K-Pits exploration.

    K-Pits Sulfide Grades
    6 g/t
    Current

    Selected drill highlights from K-Pits exploration, indicating mineralization continues below oxide layer.

    Motapa Drilling Results
    2024 and 2025

    Mineral resource estimate for Motapa is based on these drilling results.

    Motapa Exploration Program
    Ongoing
    2026

    Continuing trenching and exploration to identify new areas.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    SafetyOver 400 consecutive daysdays
    Unit cash cost$1,600-$1,800USD/ounce
    All in sustaining cost$2,500-$2,700USD/ounce
    Growth project CAPEX first production$48 millionUSD
    Ore grade recovery drilling by deposit6 g/tg/t
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine2.88 grams a tonneg/t

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Various banking institutionsInterim funding facility for Bilboes project$150 million

    Part of the 4-pillar funding strategy for Bilboes.

    Various banking institutionsProject finance facility for Bilboes projectJust over $300 million (at $3500/oz gold) or $263 million (at $4000/oz gold)

    Running parallel to interim funding, due diligence and site visits completed.

    N/AConvertible note offering$145 million

    One of the 4 pillars of the funding strategy.

    N/AGold price hedge programOver construction period

    One of the 4 pillars of the funding strategy.

    Capital programs

    5
    Bilboes Development Projectunderway$600 million (total funding requirement)
    Period spend: $48 million
    Spent to date: $3.5 million (YTD FY26)
    Funding: Cash on hand, Blanket cash flows, senior debt

    Original FY26 budget was $132 million, reduced due to better financing terms and timing of payments, not delaying project timetable, cost, or scope. Year-to-date spend is on owner team and early engineering design work.

    133 kV Power Line Projectunderway$14.2 million
    Period spend: $8.1 million

    Benefit: Address power constraint at Blanket, potentially cheaper power

    Previously announced, costing and quotes now through. Delays due to extensive engagement with ZETDC.

    AC/DC Configuration (Central Shaft Rock Winder)underway$3.1 million
    Period spend: $3.1 million

    Additional spend for key projects to meet objectives.

    Housing Projectunderway$1.3 million
    Period spend: $1.3 million

    Benefit: Fundamental to core operating activities

    Additional spend for key projects to meet objectives.

    Blanket Mine Plant Upgradeplanned$3.5 million
    Period spend: $3.5 million

    Benefit: Increase processing capacity to 990,000 tonnes/year by upgrading crushers and CIL tank

    New project for the second half of this year. Exact timing of implementation and impact on 2027 ounces not yet finalized.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    Increased On-Mine Cash CostsFY26

    $100 increase per ounce sold (new range $1,600-$1,800)

    Increased All-in Sustaining CostsFY26

    $400 increase per ounce sold (new range $2,500-$2,700)

    Supply Chain DelaysOngoing

    N/A

    Power Pricing Dispute and Supply ConstraintsOngoing

    Electricity costs up 25% due to higher wheeling charges

    Mitigation: 133 kV power line expected by June 2027 to alleviate constraints and potentially offer cheaper power; option to import power directly.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Blanket Mine Production & Cash Generation

    H2 FY26
    CurrentProduction up 18% QoQ, grade 2.88 g/t
    TargetRunning sweetly, increased production, improved cash generation

    Why it matters

    Essential for immediate financial performance and funding Bilboes.

    the immediate focus by which I mean between now and the end of the year is to get -- build on the success we've had at Blanket in this quarter and get Blanket running sweetly, increased production and improve the cash generation.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Will the 18% increase in blasting days translate directly to an 18% increase in production, and what is the ultimate annual production capability of the plant after all planned upgrades?

    Mark Learmonth confirmed that the 18% increase in blasting days should lead to a similar uplift in run-of-mine production, targeting approximately 990,000 tonnes a year. He explained that the Lima plant is a short-term measure, and a $3.5 million upgrade to the main metallurgical plant (crushers and CIL tank) is planned to achieve the 990,000 tonnes/year target, though the exact timing for 2027 ounces is not yet finalized.

    So what I can't -- at this stage, I can't tell you how that will convert into extra ounces in 2027 because at this stage, I don't know the exact timing of the implementation of the crusher and the CIL upgrades.

    asked by Nic Dinham · answered by Mark Learmonth

    3 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Operational Recovery and Optimization at Blanket Mine

    Caledonia's Blanket mine experienced a significant operational recovery in Q2 FY26, with the head grade improving from 2.5 grams per tonne in Q1 to 2.88 grams per tonne, and a target of 3.1 grams per tonne for the remainder of the year. This improvement is attributed to enhanced access to higher-grade mining areas, following previous fall of ground incidents. The mine also implemented a 7-day working week in June, increasing blasting days by 18%, which is expected to boost run-of-mine production. Incremental production will initially be processed through the re-purposed Lima plant from September, with a planned upgrade to the main metallurgical plant in 2027 to handle all run-of-mine material at a target rate of 990,000 tonnes per year.

    02

    Bilboes Project Advancement and Funding Strategy

    The Bilboes project continues to advance on schedule, remaining central to Caledonia's long-term growth strategy. Geotechnical investigations for the process plant site and tailings storage facility are complete, and process plant optimization studies are nearing completion. Procurement for long-lead items is substantially done. The company's funding strategy for Bilboes, based on four pillars (hedge program, convertible note, interim funding, project finance), is progressing well. The successful $145 million convertible note offering has been completed, and credit approval for the $150 million interim funding facility is secured from co-lead arrangers, with closure expected by early September. Project finance discussions are also well underway, with closure anticipated by year-end 2026 or early 2027.

    03

    Exploration Successes at K-Pits and Motapa

    Caledonia reported exciting exploration results from both K-Pits and Motapa. At K-Pits, located within the Blanket mining lease, over 2,000 meters of surface trenching and 7,000 meters of shallow reverse circulation drilling revealed oxide grades of 1.5-2.5 g/t and sulfide grades of 6 g/t, all within 40 meters of surface. A resource statement and metallurgical testing are underway, with encouraging heap leach trial results. At Motapa, the mineral resource estimate is complete and expected to be published in the coming weeks, based on 2024-2025 drilling. The 2026 exploration program is ongoing, focusing on new areas in the Central and Southern shear zones, reinforcing Motapa's potential contribution to the Bilboes project.

    04

    Cost Drivers and Capital Expenditure Adjustments

    The company's on-mine cash costs and all-in sustaining costs have seen increases for FY26. A significant driver is the reclassification of the Blanket Employee Trust distribution, which resulted in a $3.2 million charge now categorized as employee costs within production costs. Additionally, electricity costs increased by 25% due to higher wheeling charges, despite reduced consumption. Total CapEx guidance for FY26 has been revised from $162 million down to $103 million. This reduction is primarily due to a timing shift of over $80 million of Bilboes spend into early 2027, facilitated by better financing terms, rather than a project delay or funding constraint. New CapEx initiatives include an $8.1 million spend in 2026 for a 133 kV power line and a $3.5 million Blanket mine plant upgrade.

    05

    Financial Accounting for Convertible Notes and Derivatives

    The company highlighted significant movements in its P&L related to the accounting for convertible notes and capped call options. These are treated as derivative financial instruments under IFRS, leading to fair value accounting that can cause considerable volatility in the P&L. While these movements are fully disclosed and independently valued, management emphasized that they are complex accounting items and should be treated separately when analyzing the underlying operational performance. The convertible notes contributed $145 million in proceeds, while the capped call options had an acquisition cost of $14.4 million, with a net balance sheet position of $4.4 million at period end.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.