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    CNM
    Earnings call· Feb 2026(Q4 FY26)

    Core & Main Q4 FY26 earnings call CNM

    Mar 24, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Core & Main Q4 FY26 — Strong Organic Growth Amidst Flat End Markets

    Core & Main delivered its 16th consecutive year of sales growth in Q4 FY25, driven by strong organic market share gains and gross margin expansion, despite flat overall end markets and residential softness. The company is proactively investing in strategic initiatives, geographic expansion, and cost actions to drive future profitability and market share, while maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on growth, M&A, and shareholder returns amidst a cautious macro outlook.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved 16th consecutive year of sales growth in FY25.

    • Delivered 3 points of organic above-market growth in FY25, driven by sales initiatives and geographic expansion.

    • Gross margin expanded 30 basis points year-over-year in FY25, reflecting higher private label penetration and disciplined execution.

    • Generated $650 million of operating cash flow in FY25, representing 70% conversion from adjusted EBITDA.

    • Adjusted diluted EPS increased 7% to $2.97 in FY25.

    Concerns

    5
    • Overall end markets were roughly flat in FY25, with residential lot development declining low double digits.

    • Adjusted EBITDA margin declined 30 basis points to 12.2% in FY25 due to higher SG&A as a percentage of net sales.

    • Net sales in Q4 FY25 decreased 7% year-over-year, primarily due to one fewer selling week and severe winter weather.

    • Overall end markets are expected to be roughly flat for FY26, with residential market projected to be down mid-single digits.

    • SG&A leverage was pressured in FY25 due to inflation, acquisitions, volume-related growth, and strategic investments.

    Guidance & targets

    15
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net sales
    $7.8 billion to $7.9 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $950 million to $980 million
    high materiality
    High
    Operating cash flow conversion
    60% to 70% of adjusted EBITDA
    medium materiality
    High
    Greenfield locations opened
    record 7 to 10 locations
    medium materiality
    High
    Overall end markets
    roughly flat
    high materiality
    Medium
    Residential market
    down in the low double digits to mid-teens range
    high materiality
    High
    Residential market
    down high single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Residential market
    flattish
    high materiality
    Medium
    Residential market
    down about mid-single digits
    high materiality
    Medium
    Nonresidential market
    flattish
    high materiality
    High
    Municipal market
    low single-digits growth
    high materiality
    High
    M&A contribution to sales growth
    2 to 4 points
    medium materiality
    High
    Private label share of sales
    at least 10%
    medium materiality
    High
    SG&A leverage
    regaining operating leverage
    medium materiality
    High
    EBITDA margin
    return to EBITDA margin expansion
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Municipal
    Steady demand from reliable funding sources. Expected to be strong and stable over short, medium, and long term. Expected low single-digit growth in FY26.
    44% of saleslow to mid-single digits
    Nonresidential
    Benefits from diverse project mix (commercial, industrial, infrastructure). Mixed demand across project types in near term, but long-term themes like onshoring and broader infrastructure investment expected to support pipeline. Expected to perform similar to FY25 in FY26.
    38% of salesrelatively muted
    Residential lot development
    Near-term dynamics challenged by housing affordability and higher mortgage rates. Long-term outlook attractive due to population growth and undersupply of housing. Expected to be down low double digits to mid-teens in Q1 FY26, improving to down high single digits in Q2, and flattish in H2 FY26.
    18% of salesdeclined low double digits

    Operational metrics

    30
    Net sales
    $7.65 billion3% growth
    FY25

    16th consecutive year of sales growth.

    Net sales (adjusted for selling weeks)
    5% growthYoY
    FY25

    Adjusted for one less selling week.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $931 millionslightly ahead of prior year
    FY25

    Reflects strong performance.

    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $2.977% increase
    FY25

    Growth driven by higher adjusted net income from lower interest expense and benefit of lower share count.

    Organic above-market growth
    3 pointsYoY
    FY25

    Driven by sales initiatives and geographic expansion.

    Acquisitions contribution to sales growth
    2%YoY
    FY25

    Includes Canada Waterworks and Pioneer Supply.

    Private label share of sales
    5%100 bps increase YoY
    FY25

    Meaningful driver of gross margin expansion.

    Annualized cost actions implemented
    $30 million
    FY25

    Remainder expected to flow through results during FY26.

    Net sales
    $1.58 billion7% decrease YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Affected by one fewer selling week and severe winter weather.

    Average daily net sales growth
    1%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Pricing remained positive across nearly every product category, resulting in roughly flat pricing overall.

    Gross margin
    27.1%50 bps increase YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Reflects higher private label penetration and disciplined purchasing and pricing execution.

    Total SG&A
    $264 million5% decrease YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Driven by lower variable costs from one less selling week and benefits from cost actions.

    SG&A sequential decrease
    $31 millionvs Q3 FY25
    Q4 FY25

    Remainder due to reductions in variable costs.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $167 million7% decrease YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Primarily reflecting one fewer selling week.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    10.6%10 bps higher YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Reflects gross margin improvement.

    Gross margin
    26.9%30 bps increase YoY
    FY25

    Reflecting higher private label penetration and disciplined purchasing and pricing execution.

    Total SG&A
    $1.15 billion7% increase YoY
    FY25

    Driven by inflation, acquisitions, volume-related growth, and strategic investments.

    Adjusted EBITDA margin
    12.2%30 bps decrease YoY
    FY25

    Reflects higher SG&A as a percentage of net sales, partially offset by gross margin expansion.

    Net debt
    $1.95 billion
    FY25 end

    Well within target range of 1.5x to 3x.

    Liquidity
    $1.45 billion
    FY25 end

    Strong liquidity position.

    Free cash flow yield
    5.8%
    FY25

    Nearly 3x higher than specialty distribution peers.

    Share repurchases
    $155 million
    FY25

    Reflects commitment to return capital.

    Share repurchases (subsequent to FY25)
    $39 million
    subsequent to FY25

    Continued commitment to return capital.

    Original shares outstanding repurchased (since IPO)
    over 20%
    since 2021 IPO

    Reflects commitment to return capital.

    PVC pipe price change
    down about 15%YoY
    FY25

    Headwind for overall pricing.

    Weather impact on sales
    $15 million to $20 million
    late FY25

    Due to severe winter weather, expected to be recovered in Q1 FY26.

    Cost-out benefit realized
    $1 million
    Q3 FY25

    Part of $30 million annualized cost actions.

    Cost-out benefit realized
    $5 million
    Q4 FY25

    Part of $30 million annualized cost actions.

    Remaining share repurchase authorization
    over $600 million
    current

    Ample cash flow for continued buybacks.

    Additional sales force investment
    30 people
    FY26

    To enhance capabilities for complex water delivery projects including data centers.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Daily sales rate1%%
    End market growth mix
    Market volume mro market benchmarkroughly flat

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Canada WaterworksBuilds on the platform established in Canada last year with the HM Pipe acquisition.

    Expands presence in Ontario, Canada, including 2 greenfields opened earlier this year.

    Pioneer SupplyComplementary acquisition.

    Expands presence in Texas and Oklahoma, further extending reach in attractive growth markets.

    unnamedLargest metering contract in U.S. history.

    Reflects leading position in the smart metering market, delivering solutions that help utilities improve billing accuracy, reduce water loss, and enhance system visibility.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Softness in residential lot developmentFY25, H1 FY26

    declined low double digits (FY25); expected down about mid-single digits (FY26)

    Mitigation: Proactive repositioning of business, strengthening municipal business, remaining committed to private construction markets.

    Muted nonresidential volumesFY25, FY26

    relatively muted (FY25); expected flattish (FY26)

    Mitigation: Long-term themes like onshoring and broader infrastructure investment expected to support pipeline.

    Higher-than-normal inflation on operating costsFY25

    mid-single digits range (FY25)

    Mitigation: Historically offset with productivity and price increases; expect to do so going forward. Implemented $30 million of annualized cost actions.

    Pressure on SG&A leverageFY25

    Adjusted EBITDA margin declined 30 basis points to 12.2% (FY25)

    Mitigation: Focused on driving both growth and profitability, confident actions taken position for return to EBITDA margin expansion over time.

    Geopolitical volatility (Middle East conflict)FY26

    potential impact on global resin prices (PVC, HDPE pipe)

    Mitigation: Watching closely, embedded direct fuel impact in guide, view resin price increases as neutral to positive for pricing stability.

    Ongoing tariff uncertaintiesFY26

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Considered in cautious FY26 outlook.

    Continued uncertainty around interest rate environment and overall builder confidenceFY26

    unquantified

    Mitigation: Considered in cautious FY26 outlook.

    What to watch in Q1 FY27

    5

    Residential market performance

    Q2 FY26
    Currentdown low double digits to mid-teens (Q1 FY26 expectation)
    Targetdown high single digits (Q2 FY26 expectation)

    Why it matters

    Residential market recovery is key for overall demand improvement and easing of comps.

    So expecting the first part of the year to be down in the low double digits to mid-teens range for residential and then sequentially improving throughout the year. So the second quarter could look something like down high single digits

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Why is there a perceived growth disconnect between Core & Main and its largest competitors, considering vertical end market influence, geographic, and product mix?

    Mark Witkowski stated that Core & Main feels good about its presence across all end markets and competes effectively. He noted that both Core & Main and its national competitor are gaining share. He acknowledged the competitor's historical strength in treatment plants and some data center markets (e.g., Northern Virginia, Texas) but highlighted Core & Main's rapid gains in data centers due to expanding geographic reach and local relationships. He views the competitor's good results as positive for the industry.

    I would say that's an area that they've been, I would say, a little ahead of us over the years, but we're rapidly, I would say, gaining ground in that area. And then I think certainly, as part of the data center construction that we've seen pop up, I would say they've been in a little better position in some of those markets...

    asked by David Manthey · answered by Mark Witkowski

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Market Position and End Markets

    Core & Main is a leading specialty distributor of water infrastructure products in North America, operating over 370 branches across the U.S. and Canada. The company's end markets are balanced, with municipal projects representing 44% of sales, nonresidential 38%, and residential 18%. Municipal demand is stable due to reliable funding, nonresidential benefits from diverse projects, and residential, though currently challenged, is supported by long-term structural demand. The addressable market is estimated at $44 billion, with Core & Main holding approximately 20% U.S. market share.

    02

    Competitive Advantages and Value Proposition

    Core & Main differentiates itself through a people-first culture, a broad portfolio of over 225,000 products, deep technical expertise, and a consultative sales approach. Local teams leverage their understanding of specific project requirements, supported by a national distribution network and proprietary technology for efficient logistics. This integrated model creates significant value for customers by ensuring reliable delivery and for suppliers by providing access to a fragmented customer base and facilitating new product adoption.

    03

    Fiscal 2025 Performance Highlights

    The company achieved its 16th consecutive year of sales growth in fiscal 2025, with net sales reaching $7.65 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $931 million, adjusted diluted EPS of $2.97, and operating cash flow of $650 million. Organic above-market growth contributed 3 points, driven by successful sales initiatives in areas like fusible HDPE, treatment plant solutions, geosynthetics, and meter products, alongside the opening of 10 new branches. Acquisitions, including Canada Waterworks and Pioneer Supply, added 2 points of sales growth.

    04

    Strategic Growth Initiatives

    Core & Main is consistently driving above-market growth through strategic sales initiatives such as smart metering, treatment plant solutions, fusible HDPE, and geosynthetics, which have demonstrated average annual growth rates of 14% to 25% over the past five years. These efforts involve expanding product offerings, deploying specialized equipment, and building national teams with specific expertise. The company also plans to open a record 7 to 10 greenfield locations in fiscal 2026 to further expand its geographic footprint and market penetration.

    05

    M&A and Margin Expansion Levers

    The company boasts a strong M&A track record, having completed over 40 acquisitions since 2017, which added nearly 150 branches and $1.8 billion in annual sales. M&A is expected to contribute 2-4 points of annual sales growth going forward. Margin expansion is a key focus, driven by increasing private label penetration (from 5% of sales in FY25, targeting 10% over time), optimizing sourcing and pricing strategies, and continuous investment in technology. Implemented cost actions in FY25 are projected to generate $30 million in annualized savings, with the majority impacting FY26 results.

    06

    Market Conditions and Outlook

    In FY25, overall end markets were roughly flat, with municipal volumes up low to mid-single digits, nonresidential muted, and residential down low double digits. For FY26, the company anticipates overall end markets to remain flat, with municipal expected to grow low single digits, nonresidential to be flat, and residential to decline mid-single digits. The outlook remains cautious due to geopolitical volatility🌐, tariff uncertainties, and the interest rate environment, but Core & Main expects to achieve above-market volume growth and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion through its strategic execution.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.