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    CPT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    CAMDEN PROPERTY TRUST Q2 FY26 earnings call CPT

    Jul 31, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Camden Property Trust Q2 FY26 — Strategic Rebalancing and Emerging Green Shoots

    Camden Property Trust successfully executed a major strategic rebalancing in Q2 FY26, divesting its California portfolio and reinvesting proceeds into Sunbelt acquisitions and share repurchases. The company reaffirmed its full-year FFO guidance, citing better-than-expected operating performance and expense control. Management highlighted emerging "green shoots" in leasing trends, with sequential improvements in blended lease rates and positive new lease activity, signaling a potential inflection point for revenue growth in the coming quarters.

    Highlights

    5
    • Reaffirmed full-year Core FFO guidance midpoint of $6.75 per share despite significant capital reallocation.

    • Sequential improvement in signed blended lease rates by 160 basis points in Q2, with 65% of communities showing positive effective blends in July.

    • Successful disposition of California portfolio for $1.625 billion, enabling reinvestment into faster-growing Sunbelt markets and share repurchases.

    • Repurchased $694 million of common shares at an average price of $105.17 per share, well below estimated NAV.

    • Increased full-year same-store NOI guidance (ex-California) by 30 basis points to a 0.6% decline, driven by 50 basis points better expense performance.

    Concerns

    3
    • Second quarter effective new leases were down 3.3% (ex-California), indicating continued pricing pressure.

    • Full-year same-store NOI guidance (ex-California) still projects a 0.6% decline, despite improved expense control.

    • Transaction costs for the California sale were approximately $15 million, with over half attributed to a management tax in Los Angeles.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Core FFO per share
    $6.75
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 Core FFO per share
    $1.69
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Same-Store Revenue Growth (ex-California)
    0.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Same-Store Expense Growth (ex-California)
    2.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Same-Store NOI Decline (ex-California)
    0.6%
    high materiality
    High
    Remaining 1031 Acquisitions
    $200 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Blended Rent Growth
    1% and just over 1%
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    69
    FFO Yield on California Sale
    5.6%
    Trailing 12-month

    Trailing 12-month FFO yield for the disposed California portfolio.

    AFFO Yield on California Sale
    5.2%
    Trailing 12-month

    Trailing 12-month AFFO yield for the disposed California portfolio.

    Prop 13 Adjustment Impact on CA Yields
    30
    Annual

    Approximate reduction from FFO/AFFO yields for the buyer due to Prop 13 adjustment.

    FFO Yield on Share Repurchases
    6.4%
    H2 2025 - H1 2026

    FFO yield for shares repurchased at an average price of $105.17 per share.

    AFFO Yield on Share Repurchases
    5.5%
    H2 2025 - H1 2026

    AFFO yield for shares repurchased at an average price of $105.17 per share.

    Acquisition FFO Yield
    just under 5%
    Current

    FFO yield for the $645 million of acquisitions closed.

    California Regulatory/Advocacy Spend Impact
    80
    Annual

    Reduction in annual NOI from regulatory and advocacy spend in California, now eliminated.

    Portfolio Average Age Reduction
    1
    Current

    Reduction in average portfolio age after California sale and 2026 new acquisitions.

    Recurring CapEx Spend per Unit Decline
    5%
    Future

    Expected decline in future recurring CapEx spend per unit after California sale.

    Bad Debt Reduction
    10
    Future

    Expected reduction in bad debt after California sale.

    Core FFO per share
    $1.68$0.01 above midpoint of guidance range of $1.67
    Q2 FY26

    Q2 core FFO per share, exceeding guidance midpoint.

    Net Debt to EBITDA
    4.5x
    End of July

    Pro forma net debt to EBITDA after California sale proceeds used for debt repayment.

    Unsecured Term Loan
    $350 million
    Subsequent to Q2

    New 1-year unsecured term loan closed and funded subsequent to quarter end to enhance liquidity.

    Q3 FFO Benefit from Same-Store Operations
    $0.03
    Q3 FY26

    Expected benefit from improved same-store operations, including higher revenues, lower insurance expense, and lower property taxes.

    Q3 FFO Benefit from Incremental Interest Income
    $0.02
    Q3 FY26

    Expected benefit from interest income on cash balances held for future acquisitions and general purposes.

    Q3 FFO Benefit from Lower Corporate Expenses
    $0.02
    Q3 FY26

    Expected benefit primarily due to timing of public company fees, lower disposition-related costs, and elimination of California overhead costs.

    Q3 FFO Benefit from Lower Interest Expense
    $0.01
    Q3 FY26

    Expected benefit due to lower debt balances.

    Q3 FFO Offset from California Sale/Acquisitions
    $0.07
    Q3 FY26

    Offset from lower NOI following California sale, net of NOI contributions from acquisitions.

    Full-year FFO Benefit from Same-Store NOI
    $0.03
    FY26

    Full-year benefit from better-than-expected same-store NOI performance, primarily driven by lower operating expenses.

    Original Same-Store Revenue Growth (incl. California)
    0.75%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store revenue growth, including California.

    Original Same-Store Expense Growth (incl. California)
    3%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store expense growth, including California.

    Original Same-Store NOI Decline (incl. California)
    0.5%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store NOI decline, including California.

    Original Same-Store Revenue Growth (excl. California)
    0.5%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store revenue growth, excluding California.

    Original Same-Store Expense Growth (excl. California)
    3%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store expense growth, excluding California.

    Original Same-Store NOI Decline (excl. California)
    0.9%
    FY26

    Original midpoint outlook for full-year same-store NOI decline, excluding California.

    Updated Same-Store Expense Performance Improvement (excl. California)
    50
    FY26

    Improvement in expense performance compared to original outlook, primarily driven by better utility performance, improved trash contract pricing, favorable insurance subrogation recoveries, and better insurance renewal pricing.

    Updated Same-Store NOI Improvement (excl. California)
    30
    FY26

    Improvement in expected same-store NOI from a 0.9% decline to a 0.6% decline.

    Effective New Leases (ex-California)
    -3.3%220 bps improvement from Q1
    Q2 FY26

    Effective new leases for the portfolio excluding California.

    Effective Renewals (ex-California)
    2.8%
    Q2 FY26

    Effective renewals for the portfolio excluding California.

    Blended Rate Growth (ex-California)
    -0.2%140 bps improvement from Q1
    Q2 FY26

    Blended rate growth for the portfolio excluding California.

    New Lease Rate Growth (ex-California)
    -5.5%
    Q1 FY26

    Effective new lease rate growth for the portfolio excluding California.

    Blended Rate Growth (ex-California)
    -1.6%
    Q1 FY26

    Blended rate growth for the portfolio excluding California.

    Signed Renewal Increase
    3.4%
    June

    Signed renewal increase in June.

    Signed Renewal Increase
    over 4%
    July

    Signed renewal increase in July.

    Renewal Offers Average Increase
    4.2%
    August and September expirations

    Average increase for renewal offers sent to residents with August and September expirations.

    Average Occupancy
    95.7%vs 95.1% in Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Average occupancy for the second quarter, slightly ahead of budget.

    Occupancy Rate
    95.8%
    July

    Occupancy rate in July.

    Annualized Net Turnover Rate
    39%consistent with Q2 2025
    Q2 FY26

    Annualized net turnover rate, remaining very low.

    Move-outs for Home Purchases
    10.4%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of move-outs attributed to home purchases, remaining low.

    Signed Blended Lease Rates Sequential Improvement
    160vs Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26

    Sequential improvement in signed blended lease rates in the second quarter.

    Communities with Positive Signed New Leases
    almost 50%up from 20% in March
    July

    Percentage of communities with positive signed new leases in July.

    Communities with Positive Effective Blends
    50%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of communities with positive effective blends in the second quarter.

    Communities with Positive Effective Blends
    65%
    July

    Percentage of communities with positive effective blends in July.

    Communities with Positive Blended Signed Basis
    55%
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of communities with positive blended signed basis in the second quarter.

    Communities with Positive Blended Signed Basis
    75%
    July

    Percentage of communities with positive blended signed basis in July.

    California Sale Transaction Costs
    $15 million
    Q2 FY26

    Total transaction costs for the California portfolio sale, with over half from a management tax in Los Angeles.

    Estimated Consensus NAV
    $130
    Current

    Estimated consensus Net Asset Value per share.

    Stock Price
    $111
    Current

    Company's stock price at the time of the call.

    Historical Revenue Growth (2024-2026 cumulative)
    2.1%
    2024-2026

    Average cumulative revenue growth over the period.

    Historical Revenue Decline (2009-2010)
    5.1%
    2009-2010

    Revenue decline during the post-financial crisis period.

    Historical Revenue Growth (2011-2019 average)
    around 4%
    2011-2019

    Average revenue growth rate during the 8-year period post-financial crisis.

    Austin Occupancy Rate
    96.1%vs 94.7% in Q2 2025
    Q2 FY26

    Occupancy rate in Austin, showing significant improvement.

    Austin Occupancy Rate
    96.6%
    July

    Occupancy rate in Austin in July.

    Austin Signed New Leases
    -11%
    March

    Signed new leases in Austin in March.

    Austin Signed New Leases
    -3%800 bps improvement from March
    July

    Signed new leases in Austin in July, showing significant improvement.

    Denver Effective New Leases
    -7.7%
    Q2 FY26

    Effective new leases in Denver in Q2.

    Denver Effective New Leases
    -4.3%
    Current

    Current effective new leases in Denver, showing improvement from Q2.

    Marketing and Leasing Expense Growth
    double digits
    YTD

    Increase in marketing and leasing expense year-to-date, driven by efforts to capture demand during peak leasing season.

    Guest Card to Visit Ratios
    over 7%YoY
    YoY

    Increase in guest card to visit ratios year-over-year, indicating more qualified traffic.

    New Renters from Non-Sunbelt Locations
    16%vs 15.5% a year ago, 14% before that
    Q2 FY26

    Percentage of new renters moving in from outside Sunbelt locations, showing continued domestic in-migration.

    Acquisition Year 1 Yield
    high 4s
    Year 1

    Year 1 yield for the recently acquired properties, based on current effective rents.

    Acquisition Stabilized Yield
    mid-5s
    Year 2

    Expected stabilized yield for the recently acquired properties after concessions are removed over 1-1.5 years.

    Q4 Last Year Occupancy
    95.1%
    Q4 FY25

    Occupancy rate in the fourth quarter of last year, which was a significant drop-off.

    Bad Debt for New Same-Store Portfolio
    40vs prior 50 bps guidance
    FY26

    Expected bad debt for the new same-store portfolio, normalized and reduced by 10 bps due to California exit.

    Other Income Growth
    around 3%
    FY26

    Expected growth rate for other income.

    California Proceeds Used for Debt Repayment
    $900 million
    Q2 FY26

    Amount of California proceeds used to repay outstanding balances under the line of credit and commercial paper program.

    California Proceeds for General Corporate Purposes
    $330 million
    Future

    Remaining portion of California proceeds to be used for general corporate purposes.

    Total Asset Sales (last 2 years)
    $2.1 billion
    Last 2 years

    Total value of older assets sold over the last two years.

    Total Acquisitions (last 2 years)
    $1.1 billion
    Last 2 years

    Total value of assets acquired over the last two years.

    Industry KPIs

    10
    MetricValueDetails
    Concessions
    Turnover rate39%%
    Occupancy rate95.7%%
    Blended rent change-0.2%%
    New supply backdrop
    Renewal rent change2.8%%
    New lease rent change-3.3%%
    Same store revenue growth0.5%%
    Development starts lease up
    Bad debt uncollectible revenue40bps

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Remaining 1031 Acquisitions$200 millionQ2 FY26

    Anticipated to be used for future 1031 acquisitions by late Q4 FY26.

    Awarded Real Estate Acquisitions$195 millionQ2 FY26

    Includes 2 communities and 1 land site, expected to close in Q3 FY26.

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    unnamed buyersSale of 11 California operating communities$1.625 billion

    Completed on July 29. Proceeds used for share repurchases, 1031 exchanges, and debt repayment. Represents a strategic market rebalancing.

    unnamed sellers7 operating community acquisitions$645 million

    Acquisitions located in Atlanta, Orlando, Nashville, Dallas, Phoenix, Tampa, and Charlotte. Part of 1031 exchange program.

    unnamed sellers2 land sites for development$45 million

    Land sites located in the suburbs of Raleigh and Tampa. Part of 1031 exchange program.

    unnamed sellers2 operating communities and 1 land site$195 million

    Awarded acquisitions, expected to close in Q3. Part of 1031 exchange program.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    High levels of regulatory and advocacy spend in CaliforniaAnnual (prior to sale)

    Reduced California portfolio's annual NOI by approximately 80 basis points.

    Mitigation: Eliminated by disposition of California portfolio.

    Unprecedented new supply levelsPast peak in most markets, but still working through it.

    50-year high in supply.

    Mitigation: Expectation of supply going down and demand balancing next year, leading to a "hockey stick" growth; strong demand absorption in markets like Austin (11,000 units in last 12 months).

    Transaction costs for California saleQ2 FY26

    Approximately $15 million, with over half from a management tax in Los Angeles.

    Mitigation: One-time cost associated with the strategic disposition.

    Softer market conditions in specific regionsRecent past, but showing improvement.

    Austin signed new leases down 11% in March; Denver effective new leases down 7.7% in Q2.

    Mitigation: Occupancy firming up, concessions burning off, strategic focus on East Phoenix where company is 100% located; Austin signed new leases improved to down 3% in July; Denver effective new leases improved to down 4.3%.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Blended rent growth

    Q3 FY26
    CurrentNegative 0.2% (Q2 effective, ex-CA); 65% communities positive effective blends in July.
    TargetPositive 1% or just over 1% (Q3/Q4 blended).

    Why it matters

    Blended rent growth turning positive is a key indicator of market recovery and pricing power, directly impacting revenue.

    what we're anticipating is both the third quarter and the fourth quarter to be positive on the blend sort of in the 1% and just over 1% type range.

    Q&A highlights

    9

    How will the 0.5% same-store revenue growth be achieved, considering occupancy, bad debt, other income, and current leasing trends?

    Alex Jessett highlighted strong visibility into Q3 due to signed new leases (25 days out) and renewals (60 days out), noting a sharp acceleration compared to last year. He expects a slight uptick in Q3 occupancy and a less significant downtick in Q4 compared to last year.

    we've got pretty good visibility right now to the way the rest of the third quarter is going to look. And it is really a sharp acceleration versus what we saw this time last year.

    asked by Eric Wolfe · answered by Alexander Jessett

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Portfolio Rebalancing

    Camden completed the sale of its 11 California operating communities for $1.625 billion on July 29, representing a trailing 12-month FFO yield of 5.6% and AFFO yield of 5.2% for Camden. This strategic move aims to redeploy capital into higher-growth Sunbelt markets and Camden shares, maximizing tax efficiency. The company repurchased $694 million of common shares at an average price of $105.17 per share and closed on $645 million of acquisitions in Sunbelt markets, with an additional $195 million awarded and $200 million anticipated for future 1031 exchanges.

    02

    Operating Fundamentals Improvement

    The company reported sequential improvements in leasing trends, with signed blended lease rates improving by 160 basis points in Q2 compared to Q1. In July, 65% of communities had positive effective blends, and 75% had positive blended signed leases, up from 50% and 55% respectively in Q2. Occupancy averaged 95.7% in Q2, slightly ahead of budget, and reached 95.8% in July, with expectations to remain relatively stable through Q3 before moderating slightly with normal seasonal trends towards year-end.

    03

    Capital Allocation and Balance Sheet

    Proceeds from the California sale were used to repurchase shares, fund 1031 exchange acquisitions, and repay $900 million of outstanding balances on the line of credit and commercial paper program. This resulted in a pro forma net debt to EBITDA of a strong 4.5x at the end of July. A new 1-year $350 million unsecured term loan was also closed subsequent to quarter-end to further enhance liquidity and provide financial flexibility.

    04

    Impact of California Disposition

    The sale is expected to be FFO-neutral in year one and accretive thereafter, as the newer Sunbelt communities acquired are anticipated to grow faster than the older California assets disposed of. The disposition also reduces future recurring CapEx spend per unit by 5% and bad debt by 10 basis points. Furthermore, the company will no longer incur approximately 80 basis points of annual NOI reduction from regulatory and advocacy spend in California.

    05

    AI Initiatives and Future Efficiency

    Camden is actively pursuing AI integration across its operations, adopting a 'leadership, crowd, and lab' approach to encourage AI adoption, empower team members to find solutions, and test them in a safe environment. The company is bullish on AI's potential to improve efficiency across all income statement lines, from increasing renewal percentages to minimizing property insurance and utility expenses, with anticipated real benefits to the bottom line within the next year.

    06

    Market Dynamics and Green Shoots

    Management highlighted broad-based pricing recovery across the portfolio, with specific improvements noted in markets like Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Raleigh, and Southeast Florida, where the majority of communities achieved positive signed new lease growth in July. Even previously challenged markets like Austin and Denver are showing significant positive momentum in new lease trends, driven by firming occupancy and moderating concessions, indicating a positive directional shift.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.