Skip to content
    CRC
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    California Resources Q1 FY26 earnings call CRC

    May 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    California Resources Corporation Q1 FY26 — Accelerated Activity and Enhanced Outlook

    California Resources delivered a strong Q1 FY26, driven by favorable energy markets and strategic execution, leading to an increased full-year outlook. The company is accelerating its drilling program, securing permits, and advancing its carbon management and data center initiatives, while also enhancing capital efficiency and synergy targets. Management emphasizes its integrated strategy and commitment to shareholder returns through the commodity cycle.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted EBITDAX reached $304 million in Q1, approximately 17% above the midpoint of guidance.

    • Full-year adjusted EBITDAX guidance was raised by over 40%, outpacing the 38% rise in Brent.

    • Full-year free cash flow before changes in working capital is expected to exceed $800 million.

    • The Berry merger synergy target was raised by an additional $10 million, with over 80% of the original target already implemented.

    • All permits for 7 rigs are secured, enabling an accelerated drilling cadence and approximately 1% entry-to-exit gross production growth for 2026.

    Concerns

    2
    • G&A for the quarter was above guidance due to the timing of legal expenses and higher cash-settled equity compensation.

    • Inflationary impact of $6 million to $8 million is expected this year, primarily from oil-linked inputs.

    Guidance & targets

    19
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 entry-to-exit gross production growth
    approximately 1%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDAX
    $1.45 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 total capital guidance
    $540 million
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 D&C and workover capital
    $100 million above prior plan
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 facilities capital
    $10 million reduction
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 free cash flow before changes in working capital
    exceed $800 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 net production
    149,000 BOE per day
    medium materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 capital deployment
    approximately $130 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 G&A
    $95 million
    low materiality
    High
    Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDAX
    $390 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Berry merger synergy target increase
    additional $10 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Cumulative synergy and structural cost reduction target
    upwards of $460 million
    high materiality
    High
    Maintenance capital framework (7 rigs)
    $485 million of D&C and workover capital
    medium materiality
    High
    Current maintenance capital framework (5 rigs)
    under $400 million of D&C and workover capital
    high materiality
    High
    Program-level returns (current strip)
    approximately 4.5x MOIC
    high materiality
    High
    Program-level returns (current strip)
    IRR approaching 70%
    high materiality
    High
    Long-term Brent price for 4-rig program
    $65 Brent
    medium materiality
    High
    Incremental rig Brent price increase
    roughly $5 Brent increase
    low materiality
    High
    Long-term Brent price for 6 rigs in California
    $70 or $75 Brent
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    33
    Adjusted EBITDAX
    $304 million17% above midpoint of guidance
    Q1 FY26

    Strong first quarter performance.

    Adjusted EBITDAX outlook
    $1.45 billionapproximately 42% increase
    FY26

    Midpoint of full year guidance, outpacing Brent rise.

    Adjusted EBITDAX outlook
    $390 million
    Q2 FY26

    Q2 outlook.

    Net production
    154,000 BOE per day
    Q1 FY26

    In line with plan, adjusting for PSC effects.

    Gross production
    174,000 BOE per day
    2026 entry

    Entry production for 2026.

    Gross production
    175,000 BOE per dayapproximately 1% entry-to-exit growth
    2026 exit

    Building momentum into 2027.

    G&A
    above guidance
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting share price appreciation.

    Total capital deployed
    $131 millionat the high end of guidance
    Q1 FY26

    By design to support activity ramp.

    Net debt
    $1.3 billion
    Q1 FY26 end

    Balance sheet strengthened by debt refinancing.

    Net leverage
    1.1x
    Q1 FY26 end

    Low leverage provides flexibility.

    Shareholder returns
    $46 million
    Q1 FY26

    Part of ongoing capital return program.

    Cumulative shareholder returns
    more than $1.6 billion
    since mid-2021

    Track record reflecting consistency and durability.

    Dividend yield
    2.5%
    current

    Competitive within the sector and broadly.

    Cumulative share repurchases
    about $1.2 billion
    since mid-2021

    Executed at a meaningful discount to intrinsic value.

    Berry merger synergy target
    additional $10 million
    ongoing

    Raising the target, with 80% of original target already implemented.

    Cumulative synergy and structural cost reduction target
    upwards of $460 million
    through 2028

    Reflects continued structural margin expansion.

    Brent price increase
    approximately 38%
    current

    Compared to prior outlook, driving EBITDAX increase.

    Program-level MOIC
    approximately 4.5xup from 3.8x
    FY26

    At current strip prices, for the full year 2026 capital program.

    Program-level IRR
    approaching 70%roughly 40% higher than prior estimate
    FY26

    At current strip prices, for the full year 2026 capital program.

    E&P reinvestment rate
    sub-40%
    current

    Maintained within a disciplined framework.

    Inflation impact
    $6 million to $8 million
    FY26

    Modest and manageable, primarily from oil-linked inputs.

    Hedging coverage
    2/3
    FY26

    Provides downside protection while retaining upside.

    Unhedged volumes
    1/3
    FY26

    Allows participation in higher prices.

    Unhedged volumes
    40%
    FY27

    Exposure increases beyond 2026.

    Unhedged volumes
    80%
    FY28

    Exposure increases beyond 2026.

    California natural gas-fired power generation
    40 gigawatts
    current

    Total power generation from natural gas.

    California power generation suitable for CCS retrofit
    17 gigawatts
    current

    Potential for retrofitting with carbon capture.

    California new clean capacity procurement
    6 gigawatts
    by 2032

    CPUC procurement process.

    California new clean and firm capacity procurement
    1.5 gigawatts
    by 2032

    Specific requirement for 'always on, dispatchable, zero emissions' energy.

    CO2 storage capacity submitted to EPA
    over 350 million metric tons
    current

    Additional reservoirs tracking draft permits through 2026.

    Uinta Basin production growth
    100%
    since 2020

    Reflecting improved well results and expanded infrastructure.

    Data center developer investment
    several million dollars
    current

    To accelerate early-stage site readiness and permitting.

    Net surface acreage
    over 200,000
    current

    A lot of which is around Elk Hills, providing land for development.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    D c efficiency rig activity30 daysdays
    Realized price differential96%%
    Basin level production volume100%%
    FCF shareholder distributionsexceed $800 millionUSD

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    Top-tier national data center developerInvestment to accelerate early-stage site readiness and permitting for data center development at Elk Hills.several million dollars

    The developer is investing to prepare the site, leveraging CRC's integrated offering of firm gas supply, land, power, and CCS capabilities to meet tech's demand for scaled clean power.

    BondholdersUpsized add-on to 2034 notes to redeem 2029 notes.$350 millionextended weighted average maturity to approximately 6 years

    Priced a $350 million add-on to 2034 notes, upsized from $250 million, with the book more than 5x oversubscribed. Proceeds used to redeem 2029 notes.

    Capital programs

    2
    2026 Drilling Programunderway
    Period spend: $540 million
    Spent to date: $131 million (Q1 FY26)
    Start: Q1 FY26

    Benefit: approximately 1% entry-to-exit gross production growth

    Increasing full year midpoint of total capital guidance to $540 million, with D&C and workover capital $100 million above prior plan, reflecting a second half ramp to a peak of 7 rigs. Facilities capital reduced by $10 million.

    Elk Hills CCS Projectnearing completion

    Benefit: California's first commercial-scale carbon capture and storage

    Completed construction and commissioning, awaiting final EPA approval for first CO2 injection. Represents a historic milestone for California's climate objectives.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Energy market volatilitycurrent

    unprecedented

    Mitigation: Integrated strategy, hedging program to lock in attractive economics.

    California's reliance on foreign oilcurrent

    over 60% of oil consumed from foreign sources; state inventories reduced by more than 20%

    Mitigation: Increasing in-state production to shorten supply chains and ensure affordability.

    G&A exceeding guidanceQ1 FY26

    above guidance

    Mitigation: G&A already trending down with further reductions expected from Berry synergies in 2026.

    Inflationary pressure on costsFY26

    estimated $6 million to $8 million impact this year ($10 million annualized)

    Mitigation: Proactive supply chain work, consolidating vendors, improving procurement, leveraging scale, and structural margin improvements offsetting impact.

    Compressed resource adequacy paymentscurrent

    current payments compressed

    Mitigation: New clean, firm capacity requirements (1.5 GW) creating structural demand for CRC's offerings, expecting stronger resource adequacy pricing over time.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    EPA approval for Elk Hills CCS project

    any day now
    CurrentAwaiting final notice of termination from EPA
    TargetFirst CO2 injection

    Why it matters

    This approval marks California's first commercial-scale carbon storage and is a key step for CRC's carbon management business, signaling market readiness for CCS.

    We completed the construction and commissioning of California's first commercial-scale carbon capture and store project at our Elk Hills cryogenic gas plant, and we expect to receive final notice of the termination from the EPA any day now.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    Details on the 2026 program, rig deployment, production timing, and permit status.

    CRC is drilling 357 new wells/sidetracks with 7 rigs, all permits are secured, and the process is improving. Rigs are coming online in summer for H2 production. Capital efficiency has improved significantly, allowing flat to modest growth with 5 rigs and under $400 million D&C/workover capital, compared to a prior forecast of 7 rigs and $485 million for flat production. Program-level returns are compelling at 4.5x MOIC and nearly 70% IRR.

    So we're going to be drilling a total of about 357 new wells and side tracks for the year. Happy to report that we have all permits for all 7 rigs now on hand and are working on our 2027 plan.

    asked by Scott Hanold · answered by Francisco Leon

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Macro Environment & California's Energy Security

    The company highlighted unprecedented🌐 energy market volatility🌐 and global supply chain vulnerabilities, emphasizing the importance of energy security. California currently imports over 60% of its oil, and recent diversions of oil to Asia have reduced state inventories by more than 20%. CRC positions itself as a critical in-state producer, offering local barrels that shorten supply chains, reduce transportation costs and emissions, and help maintain gasoline affordability.

    02

    Accelerated Development & Uinta Opportunity

    CRC is increasing its drilling cadence to 7 rigs (2 in California, 1 in Utah) to accelerate high-return projects and return to its long-term production maintenance capital program ahead of schedule. All permits for the 7 rigs are secured, and the permitting process is improving. The Uinta acreage, acquired with Berry, is seen as a compelling opportunity with over 200 gross Uteland Butte locations and additional benches under consideration. The company plans to drill 4 appraisal wells in Uinta before year-end to further delineate the asset, considering both full development and monetization options.

    03

    Carbon Management (CTV) & CCS Milestone

    CRC is on the verge of a historic milestone with the completion of construction and commissioning of California's first commercial-scale carbon capture and storage (CCS) project at its Elk Hills cryogenic gas plant. Final EPA approval for CO2 injection is imminent, marking the first permanent carbon storage in California's history. This project positions CRC among a small group of U.S. oil and gas companies with active CCS operations and is expected to be the first of many, with 17 gigawatts of baseload power generation across California identified as potential retrofit candidates and over 350 million metric tons of storage capacity submitted to the EPA.

    04

    Data Center Opportunity

    The company's data center initiatives are gaining momentum, with a top-tier national data center developer investing several million dollars to accelerate early-stage site readiness and permitting at Elk Hills. CRC is uniquely positioned to meet the growing demand for scaled, clean power from tech companies, particularly as AI transitions from training to inference. The company offers an integrated solution including firm gas supply, available land adjacent to existing infrastructure, and CCS capabilities, addressing the critical power constraint for AI growth.

    05

    Regulatory & Policy Landscape

    Legislative efforts to improve permitting are progressing, allowing CRC to focus on dynamic capital allocation. Support is building for the inclusion of natural gas with CCS in California's Reliable and Clean Power Procurement Program (RCPPP), with 3 of 5 CPUC commissioners publicly endorsing it. RCPPP eligibility would make the economics of CCS even more compelling, building on California's existing stackable CCS incentives. The CO2 pipeline moratorium was lifted earlier this year, further enabling transport solutions.

    06

    Synergy & Cost Reduction

    Integration with Berry is proceeding successfully, with over 80% of the original synergy target already implemented. The target has been raised by an additional $10 million, driven by field consolidation and contractor-to-crude conversion across the combined footprint. The cumulative synergy and structural cost reduction target through 2028 now stands at upwards of $460 million, reflecting a differentiated outcome compared to typical sector transactions and a repeatable playbook for CRC.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.