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    CRC
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    California Resources Q4 FY25 earnings call CRC

    Mar 2, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    California Resources Corporation Q4 FY25 — Record Performance, CCS Commissioning, and Permitting Progress

    CRC achieved record financial and operational results in Q4 FY25, driven by production growth and cost efficiencies, despite commodity price declines. The company is advancing its integrated strategy with the commissioning of its first commercial CCS project and improved regulatory visibility for its 2026 capital program. Management is focused on disciplined capital allocation, maintaining balance sheet strength, and returning cash to shareholders, while positioning for long-term value creation through its conventional assets and decarbonization platforms.

    Highlights

    5
    • Grew production for the third consecutive year in 2025, with further annual growth guided for 2026 (12% YoY to 155,000 boe/d).

    • Delivered record financial performance in 2025, with adjusted EBITDAX of nearly $1.25 billion and FCF of $543 million.

    • Returned approximately 94% of free cash flow to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and share repurchases, with $600 million remaining authorization.

    • Construction complete and commissioning underway for California's first commercial scale CCS project at Elk Hills.

    • Permitting environment improved, securing majority of permits for 2026 capital program and enabling return to drilling new wells.

    Concerns

    2
    • Commodity prices declined 14% year-over-year in 2025.

    • Softer resource adequacy market expected in 2026, impacting power asset revenues ($25M-$50M annually RA).

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Adjusted EBITDAX
    ~$1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Capital Spending
    ~$450 million
    high materiality
    High
    Drilling, Completions, Workover Capital
    $280 million to $300 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Net Production
    155,000 boe/d
    high materiality
    High
    Oil Production Hedged
    2/3
    medium materiality
    High
    Steady-state activity
    Return to steady-state level of activity to sustain production
    high materiality
    High
    Corporate Maintenance Breakeven
    mid-50s WTI
    high materiality
    High
    Upstream-only Maintenance Breakeven
    low to mid-50s WTI
    medium materiality
    High
    Maintenance Framework (beyond 2026) Rig Count
    7 rigs
    medium materiality
    High
    Maintenance Framework (beyond 2026) D&C and Workover Capital
    $485 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Oil and Gas Breakeven (Maintenance Framework)
    $58 Brent / $54 WTI
    high materiality
    High
    Fully Burdened Corporate Breakeven (Maintenance Framework)
    ~$60 Brent
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    30
    Adjusted EBITDAX
    $251 million
    Q4 FY25

    Includes 14 days of contribution from Berry.

    Adjusted EBITDAX
    ~$1.25 billion
    FY25

    Highest level since 2021.

    Net Production
    137,000
    Q4 FY25

    Includes 14 days of contribution from Berry.

    Net Production
    138,00025% year-over-year increase
    FY25

    Reflecting consistent capital execution and value accretive transactions.

    Oil Realizations
    97%
    Q4 FY25

    Of Brent before hedges.

    Capital Spending
    $120 million
    Q4 FY25

    Within guidance.

    Capital Spending
    $322 million
    FY25

    Full year capital deployment.

    Share Repurchase Authorization Increase
    $430 million
    Recent

    Approved by the Board, extended program through 2027.

    Share Repurchase Authorization Remaining
    ~$600 million
    Current

    Total remaining capacity after $430M increase and extension.

    Leverage
    1x
    End of FY25

    Net debt to EBITDA.

    Total Liquidity
    $1.4 billion
    End of FY25

    Enhanced financial flexibility.

    Corporate Decline
    ~2%
    2026

    Targeted reduction, equating to effectively flat production throughout the year.

    Development Cost
    $9
    2026 program

    Highly competitive on a stand-alone basis.

    Multiple on Invested Capital
    ~4x
    2026 program

    Generated by the 2026 program.

    Returns
    mid-40%
    2026 program

    At $65 Brent.

    Payout
    ~3 years
    2026 program

    For the 2026 program.

    Oil Weighting
    90%
    2026 program

    Supports strong cash margins and durable economics.

    Resource Adequacy Payments
    $25 million to $50 million
    Annually

    Expected RA under current conditions, reflecting a softer market.

    Cumulative Structural Savings
    $300 million
    Since 2023

    Achieved ahead of schedule, primarily from Aera integration ($235M).

    Target Cumulative Structural Savings
    $450 million
    By year-end 2028

    On a glide path to $0.5 billion of cumulative structural savings from both deals. 80% already executed or actioned.

    Run Rate Total Operating Expenses Reduction
    $550 million
    Current

    Lower than the pro forma pre-merger baseline, representing a structural reset of the cost base.

    2P Reserves
    ~1.2 billion
    Current

    Expanded disclosure, supporting 20+ years of development at current production levels.

    1P Reserve Replacement Ratio
    350%
    Current

    On the back of permits, stronger-than-expected base decline, and Berry acquisition.

    Oil Production Percentage
    ~81%
    FY26

    Of total net production volumes.

    Berry Incremental Production Absorbed
    25,000
    Current

    Absorbed into the combined business while maintaining a 2% decline with no increase in capital or rig count.

    Uinta Basin Acreage
    100,000
    Current

    Acquired through Berry merger.

    Uinta Basin Horizontal Wells Drilled
    4
    Past

    Tracking around type curve, providing conviction on repeatability.

    Huntington Beach Property Size
    90
    Current

    Beach front property in California.

    Huntington Beach Wells Remaining to Plug
    ~80
    Future

    Expected at the site redevelopment stage.

    CTV II Capacity
    27 million
    Future

    Additional CO2 storage capacity for Carbon TerraVault II, adjacent to CTV I.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    D c efficiency rig activity4rigs
    Realized price differential97%%
    Basin level production volume137,000boe/d
    Cost of supply unit cash cost$9$/Boe
    FCF shareholder distributions~94%%

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    Berry CorporationValue accretive transaction, absorbed 25,000 boe/d of incremental production, driving synergies.

    Merger closed earlier than expected, allowing full execution mode for synergies.

    leading data center developerAdvancing 'Land Now' concept (permitted and powered land) for data center development.

    In early stages of design and permitting together for a compelling site in California to build a data center.

    Capital programs

    3
    Carbon TerraVault I (CCS Project)underway

    Benefit: California's first commercial scale CCS project

    Construction is complete on California's first commercial scale CCS project at Elk Hills. Successfully captured CO2 from gas processing plant, awaiting final EPA approval to commence injection.

    Carbon TerraVault II (CCS Project)announced

    Benefit: 27 million tons of capacity

    Filed CTV II with the EPA, adding another 27 million tons of capacity adjacent to CTV I, bringing the hub concept to Elk Hills.

    Huntington Beach Property Entitlement & Remediationunderway
    Funding: production cash flow

    Benefit: optimize value of 90 acres of beach front property

    Advancing entitlements with City of Huntington Beach (formal review late 2026) and Coastal Commission (approx. 2 years review). Production is funding plugging and abandonment.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Commodity prices declined2025

    14% year-over-year in 2025

    Mitigation: Hedged basis corporate maintenance breakeven in mid-50s WTI; 2/3 of 2026 oil production hedged at $65 Brent.

    Softer resource adequacy market2026

    $25M-$50M annually RA

    Mitigation: Looking to layer in contracted revenue to PPAs; well-positioned for potential market shifts due to grid stress or plant retirements.

    Low natural gas prices in Californiacurrent

    trending below Henry Hub

    Mitigation: Hedging strategy to protect gross margins; oil-to-gas ratio favorable for business; including natural gas projects in 2026 program for market shifts.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    4

    CCS Project Injection Approval

    next quarter
    CurrentConstruction complete, commissioning underway, CO2 captured, awaiting final EPA approval.
    TargetEPA approval and commencement of CO2 injection.

    Why it matters

    This is the final step to derisk California's first commercial scale CCS project, validating the business model and enabling future growth.

    Construction is complete on California's first commercial scale CCS project at Elk Hills, and we're now in the commissioning and testing phase. We have successfully captured CO2 from our gas processing plant and are awaiting final EPA approval to commence injection.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    How does the 2P inventory relate to future permitting and sustaining production?

    Francisco highlighted 23 years of 2P inventory (1.2 billion Boe), low geological risk with infill drilling, and stacked optionality with low royalty burden in Belridge. Permitting is back to normal cadence, allowing focus on resource.

    We said we have 23 years of inventory of 2P basis -- on a 2P basis in our disclosure. We operate about 4 of the largest oil fields in the U.S. You can add 3 more, so 7 have each well in place that exceeds 3 billion barrels of oil in place.

    asked by Scott Hanold · answered by Francisco Leon

    3 min read8 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    2025 Performance Highlights

    California Resources Corporation delivered record financial performance in 2025, achieving nearly $1.25 billion in adjusted EBITDAX and $543 million in free cash flow, marking the highest levels since 2021. Net production saw a significant 25% year-over-year increase, reaching 138,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by consistent capital execution and value-accretive transactions. The company demonstrated a strong commitment to shareholder returns, distributing approximately 94% of its free cash flow through dividends and share repurchases.

    02

    Conventional Asset Strength & Inventory Longevity

    The company's conventional reservoir base is highlighted as a core strength, characterized by low natural declines, high recovery factors, and predictable performance, enabling sustained production with reduced capital intensity and risk compared to shale-focused peers. CRC's expanded 2P disclosure now stands at nearly 1.2 billion barrels of oil equivalent, providing over 20 years of development inventory at current production rates. The Belridge field, in particular, is noted for its similar recovery potential to Elk Hills but at an earlier development stage, underscoring the strategic value of the Aera merger.

    03

    Improved Regulatory Visibility and Permitting Progress

    Regulatory progress has been significant, with the resumption of new drill permitting and a steady flow of approvals through the system. This improved visibility has allowed CRC to secure the majority of permits required for its 2026 capital program, enhancing flexibility in planning and high-grading capital across its portfolio. The company has consequently returned to drilling new wells in 2026, positioning it to stabilize production and contribute to California's energy affordability objectives.

    04

    Carbon TerraVault (CCS) Moves to Execution

    Carbon TerraVault, CRC's carbon capture and storage platform, has transitioned from concept to execution. Construction of California's first commercial-scale CCS project at Elk Hills is complete, and the facility is now in the commissioning and testing phase. The company has successfully captured CO2 from its gas processing plant and is awaiting final EPA approval to commence injection. Furthermore, CRC has filed for CTV II, an adjacent project that would add another 27 million tons of CO2 storage capacity, advancing a hub concept in the Elk Hills area.

    05

    Integrated Power to CCS Strategy for Data Centers

    CRC is actively advancing its integrated power platform, engaging in discussions with multiple high-quality counterparties for its power-to-CCS offering. The company identifies a compelling demand signal from the second wave of data center growth, particularly for inference and edge compute, which requires proximity to users. Leveraging its Elk Hills power plant, permitted CO2 storage, and a 'Land Now' concept (permitted and powered land) in partnership with a leading data center developer, CRC aims to provide reliable, low-carbon power solutions for hyperscalers in California.

    06

    Capital Allocation Discipline and Efficiency Gains

    The 2026 capital program is strategically designed to reduce the corporate decline rate to approximately 2%, effectively maintaining flat production quarter-over-quarter. This program, with a development cost of $9 per barrel of oil equivalent, is expected to generate a nearly 4x multiple on invested capital and mid-40% returns at $65 Brent. The integration of Berry assets has significantly enhanced capital efficiency, allowing CRC to absorb an additional 25,000 boe/d of production without increasing its capital intensity or rig count, demonstrating a structural improvement in its cost base.

    07

    Uinta Basin Asset Evaluation

    Acquired through the Berry merger, the Uinta Basin asset comprises 100,000 contiguous net acres with promising horizontal drilling results in the Uteland Butte and potential in other benches like Castle Peak and Wasatch. While considered a high-quality option, the asset must demonstrate full-cycle returns competitive with CRC's California operations, which currently offer a 4x multiple on invested capital, to scale up development. The company is currently optimizing the asset and exploring various value-creation paths, including development or partnership.

    08

    Huntington Beach Property Optimization

    CRC is progressing with the optimization of its 90-acre Huntington Beach property, located in a high-value area. The asset is cash flow positive, with current production funding plugging and abandonment activities. The company anticipates formal entitlement review in late 2026, followed by approximately two years of review by the Coastal Commission. CRC aims to maximize shareholder value from this asset, with significant value creation opportunities expected in a few years following remediation and potential redevelopment.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.