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Criteo (CRTO) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Communication Services· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Criteo Q2 FY26 — Challenging Quarter with Revised Outlook, Strategic AI and Retail Media Progress

Criteo faced a challenging second quarter with performance media dynamics and large enterprise client spending reductions leading to a revised, more conservative outlook for the year. Despite these headwinds, the company demonstrated strong cost discipline and made significant strategic progress in AI partnerships and Retail Media. Management remains confident in its long-term strategy, focusing on commercial execution and investing in agentic AI and self-service capabilities to drive sustainable growth in 2027 and beyond.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $73 million delivered despite top-line headwinds, reflecting disciplined cost management.

  • OpenAI partnership continues to exceed expectations, attracting over 2,000 brands (more than double April's 1,000) and becoming the fastest-growing channel.

  • Traffic from ChatGPT converts at approximately 1.5 to 2x the rate of traditional referral traffic, with ~80% new-to-brand traffic.

  • Underlying Retail Media business grew 20% (excluding client scope reductions), outpacing the market.

  • Qualified pipeline grew by approximately 30% year-over-year, with new business revenue in the U.S. up 24% YoY in Q2.

Concerns

5
  • Contribution ex-TAC was down 12% at constant currency, including a $21 million impact from retail media client scope changes.

  • Performance Media contribution ex-TAC declined 10% at constant currency, driven by lower budgets from several large enterprise clients.

  • Revised full-year 2026 contribution ex-TAC guidance to decline by 10% to 12% at constant currency (previously not stated, but implies a cut from prior expectations).

  • Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin now anticipated at approximately 30%, reflecting lower top-line expectations.

  • Q3 2026 contribution ex-TAC expected to be $237 million to $241 million, down 14% to 15% at constant currency, impacted by large performance media clients and FX headwinds.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year 2026 Contribution ex-TAC growth
decline by minus 10% to minus 12%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Retail Media Contribution ex-TAC growth (excluding 2 clients)
high teens to 20% range
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Performance Media Contribution ex-TAC growth
decline in the high single digits
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin
approximately 30%
high materiality
High
Full-year 2026 CapEx
approximately $190 million
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Operating cash flow conversion from adjusted EBITDA
approximately 85%
medium materiality
High
Full-year 2026 Free cash flow conversion from adjusted EBITDA
about 35%
medium materiality
High
Q3 2026 Contribution ex-TAC
$237 million to $241 million
high materiality
High
Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA
$54 million and $58 million
high materiality
High
OpenAI and Agentic AI initiatives contribution
meaningful growth driver beginning in 2027
medium materiality
Medium
U.S. redomiciliation
as early as January of next year
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Performance Media
Reflects soft performance in Commerce Growth, partially offset by improved year-over-year trends in adtech services. Decline in media spend driven primarily by client-specific spending decisions among several large enterprise clients. Media spend declined across all regions, with EMEA more resilient than U.S. and Asia Pac. Travel moderated, and retail remained softer, particularly in discretionary categories like Fashion (down 21%).
Contribution ex-TAC: $208 millionContribution ex-TAC growth (constant currency): -10%
$380 million———
Retail Media
Reflects a $21 million headwind from previously communicated scope changes with 2 retail media clients. Excluding this impact, trends remained strong with underlying contribution ex-TAC growing 20%. Growth supported by expansion across existing client base and new retailer additions. Momentum with DoorDash is building. Auction-based display is the fastest-growing format, live with over 85 retailers globally (up from 60 last quarter).
Contribution ex-TAC: $47 millionContribution ex-TAC growth (constant currency, excluding scope reductions): 20%Media spend growth: 31%Same retailer contribution ex-TAC retention: 84%Same retailer contribution ex-TAC retention (excluding largest retailer): 113%Global brands on platform: >4,500Retailers with auction-based display live: >85
$48 million———

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
OpenAI demand integrationexpansion
AI-enriched retailer product catalogs into ChatGPTlaunch
OpenAI custom audiences capabilityupdate
AI-powered conversational ad formatlaunch
Sponsored recommendations and retailer AI assistancelaunch
MCP server integration with agenciesupdate
Discovery Audiences (Criteo GO)launch
Commerce Maxexpansion
Conquesting (Retail Media)launch
Page Intelligencelaunch

Deals & partnerships

OpenAI Advertising technology partnership to integrate Criteo's commerce intelligence with OpenAI's platform.

Criteo is OpenAI's first advertising technology partner. Demand integration is available across 7 countries with more planned. Integrated into Criteo GO. Leveraging OpenAI's custom audiences capability with Criteo's commerce data.

Metro Canada First to bring AI-enriched retailer product catalogs into ChatGPT.

Pioneering a new category of retail media.

Albertsons First retailer to launch sponsored recommendations and retailer AI assistance with Criteo.

Expect additional retailers to follow as conversational shopping gains traction.

Loblaw Advance New retailer partner added to the Retail Media network.

Located in Canada.

Monoprix New retailer partner added to the Retail Media network.

Located in EMEA.

Druni New retailer partner added to the Retail Media network.

Located in EMEA.

Olive Young New retailer partner added to the Retail Media network.

Located in Asia Pacific.

Golf Digest Online New retailer partner added to the Retail Media network.

Located in Asia Pacific.

DoorDash Existing partner with building momentum in Retail Media.

Categories include beauty, personal care, and food and beverage.

Risks & headwinds

Client-specific performance media dynamics Q2 FY26, expected to continue through H2 FY26

Lower budgets from several large enterprise clients, causing a $7 million shortfall relative to Q2 contribution ex-TAC guidance midpoint.

Mitigation:Focused on commercial execution, expanding self-service (Criteo GO), increasing cross-channel activation, and extending performance up the funnel. Strengthening measurement capabilities and sales discipline.

Softer demand in specific verticals Q2 FY26, expected to continue through H2 FY26

Retail remained softer overall, particularly in discretionary categories such as Fashion (down 21%). Travel moderated after several years of exceptional performance.

Mitigation:Diversifying client base and verticals, strengthening commercial engine, and investing in new products like AI and cross-channel capabilities to capture broader market opportunities.

Retail Media client scope reductions Q2 FY26, largely behind after Q3 FY26

$21 million impact on Q2 contribution ex-TAC; $75 million impact expected for full-year 2026.

Mitigation:Underlying Retail Media business grew 20% (excluding these impacts). Adding new retailer partners, expanding relationships with brands and agencies, and rolling out new products like auction-based display and Page Intelligence.

Macroeconomic assumptions H2 FY26

Continued softness in discretionary retail driven by inflation and weaker consumer sentiment. Lower travel growth in Europe.

Mitigation:Maintaining prudent macroeconomic assumptions in revised outlook. Focusing on disciplined cost management and productivity gains while investing in strategic priorities.

Foreign exchange headwinds Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26

$1 million year-over-year headwind on Q2 contribution ex-TAC. Estimated $6 million to $8 million negative year-over-year impact on Q3 contribution ex-TAC (about $4 million worse than prior guidance).

Mitigation:Not explicitly stated, but typically managed through hedging or natural offsets. The revised outlook incorporates these impacts.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Performance Media commercial execution

Next quarter and beyond
Current Qualified pipeline grew ~30% YoY; U.S. new business revenue up 24% YoY in Q2.
Target Improved revenue trajectory and overcoming large client fluctuations.

Why it matters

The ability to translate improved sales discipline and pipeline management into revenue is crucial for restoring growth in the Performance Media segment and offsetting client-specific headwinds.

While these efforts take time to translate into revenue, we are encouraged by the early leading indicators we are seeing.

Find out whether CRTO delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What specific factors are causing large enterprise clients to pull back spending, and why did it worsen from last quarter? When will the core business strength override these client-specific issues, and what's the visibility on fixing this?

Michael Komasinski explained that there isn't one common thread for the large client pullbacks, citing examples like geopolitical impact on travel, tariff changes, and shifts in client investment tactics where Criteo was unsuccessful in retaining budget. He acknowledged that Criteo's new business engine and products are not yet scaled enough to fully overcome these fluctuations, but noted encouraging signs like 24% YoY new business growth in the U.S. in Q2 and anticipated meaningful contributions from new products like OpenAI and Criteo GO next year.

“We need to have our new business engine and our new products performing at a level that overcomes those ups and downs that we will see periodically with enterprise clients.”

asked by Ygal Arounian · answered by Michael Komasinski

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Leadership Transition in Finance

Criteo announced a significant leadership change with Sarah Glickman stepping down as CFO on August 10 after six years, transitioning to an advisory role through September. Connor McGogney, currently Chief Strategy Officer, has been appointed as the new CFO, effective August 10.

McGogney brings extensive finance, strategy, and capital markets experience, along with deep company knowledge, positioning him to lead the finance organization and execute against Criteo's strategy.

Challenging Q2 and Revised Outlook

The second quarter was challenging, with results falling short of expectations primarily due to client-specific performance media dynamics, which became more pronounced. Several large enterprise clients reduced spending due to factors like geopolitical conflicts, tariff changes, or shifts in investment tactics.

This led to a more conservative outlook for the remainder of 2026, assuming no improvement in spending from these clients, aiming for a prudent and achievable baseline.

Strategic Progress in AI and OpenAI Partnership

Criteo's long-term strategy, centered on commerce intelligence and AI decisioning, remains unchanged. The partnership with OpenAI continues to exceed expectations, attracting over 2,000 brands and becoming the fastest-growing channel. Traffic from ChatGPT converts at 1.5 to 2x the rate of traditional referral traffic, with 80% being new to the brand, demonstrating AI's role in creating new discovery channels.

Criteo is also expanding OpenAI integration internationally and into its self-service platform, Criteo GO.

Agentic AI and Retail Media Innovation

Beyond OpenAI, Criteo is embedding agentic capabilities across its platform, including AI-powered conversational ad formats and sponsored recommendations. Albertsons was the first retailer to launch AI assistance with Criteo, with more expected to follow. Page Intelligence, an AI-driven orchestration layer, also secured its first retailer launch with a major partner, optimizing merchandising, monetization, and shopper experience.

These innovations aim to reshape commerce and unlock new monetization opportunities for retailers.

Performance Media Commercial Execution and Criteo GO

To restore growth in Performance Media, Criteo is focused on expanding self-service through Criteo GO, increasing cross-channel activation, and extending performance up the funnel. Criteo GO adoption among existing small clients is progressing faster than anticipated, driving productivity gains and lowering cost to serve.

New client acquisition is showing encouraging signs, with account creation up 3x in June. The platform's cross-channel capabilities are also gaining traction, with nearly 80% of U.S. revenue from GO being cross-channel.

Retail Media Momentum and Expansion

Retail Media execution remains strong, with underlying business growth of 20% (excluding client scope reductions) outpacing the market. Momentum is driven by expanding relationships with brands and agencies, with media spend growing 31% YoY. Criteo added new retailer partners globally, including Loblaw Advance, Monoprix, Druni, Olive Young, and Golf Digest Online.

Auction-based display is now live with over 85 retailers, up from 60 last quarter, improving monetization and attracting advertiser demand.

Capital Allocation and Corporate Structure Simplification

Disciplined capital allocation remains a core priority. Criteo completed its redomiciliation to Luxembourg and direct listing of ordinary shares. The company intends to pursue a subsequent redomiciliation to the United States as early as January next year, subject to approvals, to complete corporate structure simplification, enable U.S. index inclusion, and broaden investor access.

Criteo continues to generate strong cash flow and maintain a robust balance sheet, deploying $30 million to repurchase 1.7 million shares this quarter.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.