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    CVX
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    CHEVRON Q2 FY26 earnings call CVX

    Jul 31, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Chevron Q2 FY26 — Record Production and Accelerated Cost Savings

    Chevron delivered a strong quarter marked by record U.S. production and accelerated achievement of cost reduction and synergy targets. The company is leveraging its integrated portfolio and operational efficiencies to drive free cash flow, while strategically expanding into new energy ventures like Project Kilby. Management emphasized capital discipline and a deep pipeline of growth opportunities across its global assets, including potential new investments in Iraq and Argentina.

    Highlights

    5
    • Global Upstream production grew over 5% quarter-over-quarter, with U.S. production reaching a record of nearly 2.1 million boe/d.

    • Achieved $3 billion in annual run rate structural cost reductions 6 months ahead of schedule, with over 70% from efficiency gains.

    • Hess acquisition synergies of $1.5 billion realized 6 months early, exceeding initial targets by 50%.

    • Project Kilby, a 2.67 GW take-or-pay power purchase agreement with Microsoft, is progressing towards FID with expected mid-teens returns.

    • Net debt coverage ratio improved to 0.6x, driven by nearly $20 billion in cash flow from operations (excluding working capital).

    Concerns

    3
    • Impact from Middle East conflict remained isolated to the Partitioned Zone, representing about 1% of Q2 total production.

    • CPC pipeline operations face intermittent disruptions due to geopolitical events, though commitment to keeping it open is high.

    • Turbine availability is tight for new power projects, requiring strong relationships with manufacturers.

    Guidance & targets

    6
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Organic Capital Expenditure
    Lower end of $18 billion to $19 billion
    high materiality
    High
    2030 Annual Production Growth
    2% to 3%
    high materiality
    High
    2030 Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth
    Greater than 10% per year
    high materiality
    High
    2030 Return on Capital Employed (ROACE) Improvement
    More than 3% improvement
    high materiality
    High
    Venezuela Production Growth (3 JVs)
    Up to 50%
    medium materiality
    High
    Argentina Vaca Muerta Production Growth
    3x
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    U.S. Upstream
    Achieved new production and refinery throughput records, underpinning strong overall performance.
    Production: nearly 2.1 million boe/d (record)Permian Production: recordRefinery Throughput: over 1 million bbl/d (record)
    International Upstream
    Strong performance with TCO and Australia operating at high rates, despite isolated impact from Middle East conflict.
    Production: nearly 2 million boe/dTCO Operations: at or near full ratesAustralia Operations: at or near full rates
    TCO
    Stellar operating performance and successful debottlenecking of the 3GP plant significantly increased capacity.
    Production increase: 170,000 bbl/d (vs Q1)Affiliate Distributions: ~$3 billion (most of total)Third-Generation Plant (3GP) Oil Capacity: 320,000 bbl/d (up from 260,000 bbl/d)Total Feed Processing Capacity: slightly above 1 million bbl/d
    Venezuela (3 JVs)
    Successfully operating three JVs, with significant production growth over the last 6 months.
    Production: 280,000 bbl/d
    15% (last 6 months)
    Argentina (Vaca Muerta)
    Producing high-quality oil from Vaca Muerta, leveraging shale and tight learnings for future growth.
    Production: 80,000 bbl/dOil Cut: 75%
    CPChem
    Experienced a significant jump in earnings due to buoyant polyethylene margins, primarily from North American ethane cracking.
    Big jump in earnings

    Operational metrics

    24
    Adjusted Earnings
    $12 billion$9.2 billion higher (vs last quarter)
    Q2 FY26

    Increased due to higher realizations, higher liftings, and favorable timing effects in upstream, and higher refining margins and favorable timing effects in downstream.

    Adjusted EPS
    $6.06
    Q2 FY26

    Reported on a diluted basis.

    Net Debt Coverage Ratio (Net Debt to CFFO)
    0.6xImproved
    End of Q2 FY26

    Reflects strong cash generation and debt reduction.

    Debt Reduction
    More than $8 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Strengthened balance sheet and financial flexibility.

    Working Capital Unwound
    $2.9 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Followed a large build in Q1 as commodity prices decreased.

    Affiliate Distributions
    Roughly $3 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Most of this came from TCO; $6 billion guidance at $70 Brent, likely higher with current Brent prices.

    Structural Cost Reductions (Annual Run Rate Savings)
    $3 billionAchieved 6 months early
    Since 2024

    Offset inflationary effects while growing key assets.

    Hess Synergy Benefits
    $1.5 billion50% more than initially targeted, 6 months ahead of schedule
    Realized

    Reflects quality of combined portfolio and value pulled forward.

    Global Upstream Production Growth
    Over 5%Quarter-over-quarter
    Q2 FY26

    Underpinned by exceptional reliability across key assets.

    U.S. Upstream Production
    Nearly 2.1 million boe/dNew record
    Q2 FY26

    Achieved a new upstream production record.

    Refinery Throughput
    Over 1 million bbl/dRecord
    Q2 FY26

    Record throughput at multiple facilities in the Gulf of America.

    International Production
    Nearly 2 million boe/d
    Q2 FY26

    Strong international production, with TCO and Australia operating at high rates.

    Permian Capital Efficiency
    25% lessCapEx per barrel of oil equivalent vs last year
    FY26

    Continued strong capital efficiencies in U.S. shale and tight.

    Bakken Lateral Length
    28% longerOn average
    Q2 FY26

    Leveraging best practices from shale and tight business to drive performance improvement.

    Bakken Rig Count
    1 fewer rig
    Q2 FY26

    Maintaining similar production with fewer rigs due to optimization.

    TCO Third-Generation Plant (3GP) Oil Capacity
    320,000 bbl/dUp from 260,000 bbl/d
    Q2 FY26

    Successfully increased nameplate capacity through a low-capital debottlenecking modification.

    TCO Total Feed Processing Capacity
    Slightly above 1 million bbl/d
    Q2 FY26

    Result of 3GP debottlenecking efforts.

    Venezuela Production (3 JVs)
    280,000 bbl/d15% growth over last 6 months
    Q2 FY26

    Production from existing JVs, with anticipation of 50% growth by end of 2028.

    Argentina Production (Vaca Muerta)
    80,000 bbl/d
    Q2 FY26

    Producing from Vaca Muerta, with long-term growth target of 3x by 2035.

    Permian Production
    Over 1 million bbl/d
    Last 5 quarters

    Consistent high production, with focus on sweating assets for free cash flow.

    Shale and Tight Portfolio Production
    1.7 million bbl/d
    Q2 FY26

    Total production from the company's shale and tight assets.

    Acreage Increase
    35%
    Last year or so

    Increased acreage, closing on 10 million net acres in South America, Mediterranean, and Gulf of America.

    Molecules Left in Ground
    90%
    Current

    Significant incentive to unlock remaining resources through technology.

    LNG Portfolio Volume (North America)
    4 million tons per annum
    Next few years

    Growing position, primarily going into Europe.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    D c efficiency rig activity28% longer%
    Pipeline throughput storage1 million bbl/dbbl/d
    Sanctioned expansion backlog2.67 GWGW
    Basin level production volume1.7 million bbl/dbbl/d
    FCF shareholder distributions$15.4 billionUSD
    Take or pay contract structure20-yearyears

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Project Kilby Power Purchase Agreement2.67 GWQ2 FY26

    20-year take-or-pay contract with Microsoft for firm behind-the-meter capacity.

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    Hess CorporationAcquisition of Hess Corporation

    One-year anniversary of the Hess acquisition, which has generated strong free cash flow and been accretive to shareholders.

    Microsoft20-year take-or-pay power purchase agreement for Project Kilby20 years

    Supporting Microsoft's co-located data center complex; permitting and EPC activities progressing towards a final investment decision later this year.

    Iraqi GovernmentAdvancing discussions for potential entry to operate West Qurna 2 and Nasiriyah, and a cross-border pipeline concept.

    Signed follow-on agreements to advance commercial discussions; new form of contract with competitive terms being sought. Prime Minister personally engaged and supportive.

    ZLLicensing of surfactant technology for enhanced oil recovery

    Partnering with ZL for manufacturing, distribution, and pumping services to accelerate scaling of the technology and benefit from NOJV volumes.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Geopolitical uncertainty and market volatilityQ2 FY26

    Amid geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility

    Mitigation: Consistent strategy, capital discipline, and strong execution.

    Middle East conflict impactQ2 FY26

    Impact remained isolated to the Partitioned Zone, representing about 1% of second quarter total production.

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but implies operational resilience in other areas.

    CPC pipeline disruptionsIntermittent over last number of quarters

    Some activity in the Black Sea, primarily related to the Ukraine-Russia conflict, has had over the last number of quarters intermittently some impact on activity in and around overseas.

    Mitigation: Ability to ship across the Caspian, on rail, and use storage to buffer; strong commitment from all parties to keep the pipeline open.

    Turbine availability for power projectsCurrent

    Turbine availability is tight.

    Mitigation: Deep relationships with GE Vernova and other manufacturers, engaging in discussions about their queues.

    Naphtha constraints impacting CPChemLast few months

    Naphtha out of the Middle East constrained, which mostly flows into North Asia for naphtha crackers.

    Mitigation: CPChem's primary footprint in North America and reliance on ethane cracking provides an advantage in this environment.

    China demand uncertaintyCurrent

    China is a black box. And so that's the big question is what's really going on in China?

    Mitigation: Not explicitly stated, but implies monitoring and adaptability.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Project Kilby Final Investment Decision (FID)

    Later this year
    CurrentPermitting and EPC activities progressing
    TargetFID announced

    Why it matters

    FID for Project Kilby will sanction a significant new energy project, validating Chevron's strategy in the power business and securing long-term contracted cash flows.

    We're now focused on execution, with permitting and EPC activities progressing towards a final investment decision later this year.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Inquired about TCO performance, debottlenecking opportunities, and the current situation and mitigation strategies for the CPC pipeline.

    TCO showed stellar operating performance, up 170,000 bbl/d QoQ, with the 3GP debottlenecking increasing nameplate capacity from 260,000 bbl/d to 320,000 bbl/d. CPC pipeline is flowing, with two SPMs in service and the third expected in Q3. Alternatives like Caspian/rail shipments and storage are available, but CPC is the primary route, with strong government commitment to keep it open.

    I can tell you that, today, both of our SPMs are in service there. The third SPM has been down for a while, undergoing some refurbishment activities, will be open here in the third quarter. So all 3 will be available later in the third quarter. But the pipeline is flowing the -- we've been loading ships this week.

    asked by Devin McDermott · answered by Michael Wirth

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    TCO Performance and Debottlenecking

    TCO delivered a strong quarter with production up 170,000 barrels a day versus Q1, driven by stellar operating performance. The team successfully increased the nameplate oil capacity of the third-generation plant (3GP) from 260,000 bbl/d to 320,000 bbl/d through a low-capital debottlenecking effort. This boosts the total feed processing capacity to slightly above 1 million bbl/d, demonstrating Chevron's ability to optimize technical limits and sustain high performance.

    02

    Shale and Tight Portfolio Strategy

    Chevron's shale and tight portfolio, producing around 1.7 million bbl/d, is now managed under a common organization, driving significant capital efficiencies. The Permian has operated above 1 million bbl/d for five quarters, with CapEx expected to be below $3.5 billion this year, a 25% improvement in capital efficiency over 2025. The focus is on generating free cash flow and improving productivity, rather than pure growth, leveraging technology and operational excellence across assets like the Permian, DJ, and Bakken.

    03

    Project Kilby and Power Business Expansion

    Chevron signed a 20-year take-or-pay power purchase agreement with Microsoft for 2.67 GW of firm behind-the-meter capacity for its co-located data center complex. Project Kilby is expected to deliver mid-teens returns and long-duration contracted cash flows, independent of commodity prices. This project serves as a repeatable model, with Chevron in advanced discussions for additional opportunities, leveraging its natural gas portfolio and project execution capabilities to address the structural shift in U.S. electricity demand driven by AI.

    04

    Iraq Opportunity and Strategic Growth

    Chevron is advancing discussions for potential entry to operate West Qurna 2 and Nasiriyah in Iraq, with significant resource potential (West Qurna 2 alone has gross oil potential well into billions of barrels). The company is negotiating new contract forms and fiscal terms that appear competitive within its portfolio. Additionally, a cross-border pipeline concept to the Mediterranean is being evaluated, with strong support from the Iraqi Prime Minister, indicating significant long-term growth potential.

    05

    Structural Cost Reduction Achievement

    Chevron achieved its $3 billion structural cost reduction target 6 months ahead of schedule, with over 70% of savings from efficiency gains. This includes benefits from organizational restructuring, centralized functions, predictive maintenance in shale and tight assets, and turnaround optimization. Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of these savings, emphasizing a continuous focus on cost management to offset inflationary effects and drive lasting value.

    06

    Global Exploration and Resource Potential

    Chevron has built its largest and highest-quality opportunity set in years, increasing acreage by 35% and closing on 10 million net acres in South America, the Mediterranean, and the Gulf of America. Key exploration areas include West Africa (Nigeria, Angola, Namibia), the Eastern Mediterranean (Egypt), and the Middle East (Iraq). The company is leveraging new tools, including AI and simulation technologies, to unlock additional resources and improve exploration outcomes, with recent successes in the Gulf of America, Partitioned Zone, West Africa, and Egypt.

    07

    Venezuela Operations and Future Investment

    Chevron continues to recover debt in Venezuela, expecting full recovery by early 2027. The company operates three successful JVs, having grown production from 40,000 bbl/d to 250,000 bbl/d, and recently to 280,000 bbl/d, with anticipation of 50% growth by end of 2028. Chevron is actively discussing new opportunities with the Venezuelan government, seeking competitive fiscal terms to enable further investment in the country's heavy oil assets.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.