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Electronic Arts (EA) Q3 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2024 (Q3 FY25)· Information Technology· Feb 4, 2025

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Electronic Arts Q3 FY25 — Underperformance in Global Football and Dragon Age, but Strong Pipeline and FY26 Growth Expected

Electronic Arts reported a challenging Q3 FY25, with net bookings down 6% year-over-year, primarily due to underperformance from Dragon Age: The Veilguard and a mid-single-digit decline in Global Football net bookings. The company attributed the Global Football softness to slower new player acquisition and unusual engagement churn. However, post-quarter updates and events for EA Sports FC have shown strong player reactivation and record engagement. Management remains confident in its long-term strategy, pipeline of new titles including Battlefield and SCAPE for FY26, and commitment to capital returns, expecting a return to growth in FY26.

Highlights

5
  • EA Sports FC reactivated over 2 million Ultimate Team players following the January 16 update.

  • EA Sports FC Team of the Year event saw record net bookings and weekly active users.

  • American Football ecosystem (Madden NFL, College Football) player count up double digits year-over-year.

  • The Sims franchise delivered year-over-year net bookings growth in Q3.

  • Announced a $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase, bringing total repurchases to $2.5 billion in the first year of a $5 billion authorization.

Concerns

5
  • Q3 net bookings were $2.2 billion, down 6% year-over-year.

  • Dragon Age: The Veilguard underperformed expectations in a competitive market.

  • EA Sports FC 25 saw a mid-single-digit decline year-over-year in Q3 net bookings for the global football franchise.

  • FY25 net bookings guidance revised down to $7.0 billion-$7.15 billion (down 6%-4% year-over-year).

  • FY25 GAAP net revenue guidance lowered to $7.25 billion-$7.4 billion.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
FY25 Net Bookings
$7.0B-$7.15B
high materiality
High
FY25 GAAP Net Revenue
$7.25B-$7.4B
high materiality
High
FY25 Cost of Revenue
$1.48B-$1.49B
medium materiality
High
FY25 Operating Expenses
~$4.38B-$4.39B
medium materiality
High
FY25 GAAP Operating Margin
19.2%-20.5%
high materiality
High
FY25 Non-GAAP Operating Margin
30.5%-31.6%
high materiality
High
FY25 GAAP EPS
$3.90-$4.25
high materiality
High
FY25 Operating Cash Flow
$1.8B-$1.9B
high materiality
High
FY25 Capital Expenditures
$225M
medium materiality
High
FY25 Free Cash Flow
$1.575B-$1.675B
high materiality
High
Q4 Net Bookings
$1.444B-$1.594B
high materiality
High
Q4 Net Revenue
$1.682B-$1.832B
medium materiality
High
Q4 Cost of Revenue
$305M-$315M
medium materiality
High
Q4 Operating Expenses
~$1.112B-$1.122B
medium materiality
High
Q4 GAAP EPS
$0.65-$1.00
high materiality
High
Global Football Franchise Net Bookings
low double-digit decline
high materiality
Medium
American Football Net Bookings
surpass $1B
high materiality
High
Battlefield Release
FY26 launch window
high materiality
High
Company Growth
return to growth
high materiality
High
Top Line Growth and Margin Expansion
through FY27 and into the future
high materiality
High

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
College Football 26launch
Battlefield Labslaunch
The Sims Creator Kitslaunch
SCAPElaunch
EA Sports Appexpansion

Deals & partnerships

TRACAB Technologies Acquisition of a leader in optical sports tracking, real-time volumetric data capture technology, and analysis capabilities.

Agreement reached to acquire TRACAB Technologies, which has developed best-in-class optical sports tracking and real-time volumetric data capture. This will accelerate how EA delivers more authentic gameplay and helps accelerate the EA Sports app vision.

Risks & headwinds

Dragon Age: The Veilguard underperformance Q3 FY25

Did not resonate with a broad enough audience.

Mitigation:Reallocate resources towards most significant and highest potential opportunities.

EA Sports FC 25 underperformance Q3 FY25

Mid-single-digit decline YoY in Q3 net bookings for global football franchise.

Mitigation:Addressed with a significant gameplay update on January 16, leading to player reactivation and record engagement during Team of the Year event.

Slower top-of-funnel acquisition for FC 25 Q3 FY25

Post-launch acquisition cohorts waited longer to acquire new title, staying in prior iterations. Combined plays in full HD experiences flat YoY.

Mitigation:Teams are focused on doing a better job of bringing players from the ecosystem across to the new version.

Lapsed engagement in FC 25 competitive cohort Q3 FY25

Engagement down high single digits prior to January 16 update.

Mitigation:Implemented a major gameplay update on January 16 to address balance issues, resulting in positive gameplay sentiment and engagement trending back to prior year levels.

Apex Legends business trajectory Ongoing

Trajectory of the business has not been headed in the direction that we have wanted for some time.

Mitigation:Ongoing support for core community, planning a more meaningful broad game update post-Battlefield launch, and a longer-term 'Apex 2.0' vision.

Crowded industry pipeline impacting Battlefield launch FY26

This year might be a nuanced year relative to competition.

Mitigation:If the FY26 launch window is not optimal for player acquisition, EA would consider an alternate window to ensure the game's success.

What to watch in Q4 FY25

FC Global Football Net Bookings

Q4 FY25 and into FY26
Current Mid-single-digit decline YoY in Q3
Target Return to growth or sustained positive trend (above low double-digit decline)

Why it matters

The performance and rebound of this core franchise are critical for overall company growth and investor confidence.

Despite this positive trend, our FY '25 guidance at the midpoint adopts a prudent approach, anticipating a low double digit in global football franchise net bookings for Q4. With that said, we remain optimistic and the potential for continued momentum given Team of the Year's performance, the start of our Future Stars event and other upcoming events and updates this quarter.

Find out whether EA delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What were the drivers behind the slower-than-anticipated acquisition for EA Sports FC 25, considering market structure, console transitions, or community feedback?

Management stated that while FC 25 is still expected to be the second biggest in franchise history, slower acquisition was partly due to many players being satisfied with prior iterations (especially after two World Cups and the brand launch). Gameplay tuning issues for a competitive cohort (too defensive) were addressed with a January 16 update, leading to a strong rebound in engagement and bookings.

“As we look at the top of the funnel, again, we had over 40 million people playing across iterations and I think we had an exceptional game in '23 with 2 World Cups and the December World Cup in the year, which brought in a lot of new players. We then had the launch of our owned brand, EA Sports FC that we invested meaningfully behind at a marketing level to bring in new players. And at some level, I think that many of those players were very satisfied with the games that we're playing.”

asked by Andrew Marok · answered by Andrew Wilson

2 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Q3 Performance and Global Football Dynamics

The quarter did not meet financial expectations, primarily due to underperformance in Dragon Age: The Veilguard and the Global Football franchise. EA Sports FC 25 experienced a mid-single-digit decline in net bookings in Q3, attributed to slower top-of-funnel acquisition and unusual engagement churn among competitive players. Players stayed in prior iterations, and gameplay balance issues for a competitive cohort led to lower engagement.

Strategic Response and Turnaround

Following player feedback, EA implemented a significant gameplay update on January 16, just before the Team of the Year event. This update successfully reactivated over 2 million Ultimate Team players, with record net bookings and weekly active users during the event. The company views the Q3 underperformance as a temporary issue, not structural, and sees positive momentum continuing into Q4 and beyond.

EA Sports Ecosystem Expansion

EA is expanding its sports ecosystem, with American Football (Madden NFL and College Football 26) showing double-digit growth in players and unique spenders. College Football 26 is set to launch this summer. The company is also developing new social play models and a connected ecosystem for FC, including an entirely new world within the platform built around groundbreaking gameplay and content creation tools.

TRACAB Technologies Acquisition

EA announced the acquisition of TRACAB Technologies, a leader in optical sports tracking and real-time volumetric data capture. This acquisition aims to enhance game authenticity, accelerate immersive gameplay, and extend the capabilities of the EA Sports app as a leading interactive sports platform, enabling new opportunities for fans to create and share real-world sports content.

Broader Portfolio and Pipeline

Beyond sports, EA has a strong pipeline, with Battlefield Labs launching as a key development for the Battlefield franchise, targeting an FY26 release. The Sims franchise continues to grow, with new creator kits designed by top influencers and the MySims: Cozy Bundle outperforming expectations. SCAPE remains on track for launch this year across PC, console, and mobile, introducing a fresh community-driven model.

Technology and AI Strategy

EA is unifying its central technology functions under a new Chief Technology Officer, Matt Thomlinson, to embed AI and technology at the core of its business. This move is expected to drive innovation, expand creative capabilities, build bigger and bolder experiences, and deepen connections within the community as a community-driven entertainment company.

Capital Allocation and Long-Term Outlook

The company announced a $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase, bringing total repurchases to $2.5 billion in the first year of its $5 billion authorization, demonstrating confidence in its long-term growth outlook and strong cash flow generation. EA expects to return to growth in FY26, driven by its pipeline and continued expansion of franchises, with top-line growth and margin expansion through FY27 and into the future.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.