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    EMR
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q3 FY26)

    EMERSON ELECTRIC Q3 FY26 earnings call EMR

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Emerson Q3 FY26 – Strong Growth Verticals and Raised Full-Year Guidance

    Emerson delivered an outstanding Q3 FY26, driven by robust demand in growth verticals like semiconductor and power, and strong operational execution. The company raised its full-year guidance for sales, EPS, and free cash flow, reflecting continued momentum despite ongoing geopolitical headwinds in the Middle East and softness in Europe and China. Strategic investments in AI and innovation are expected to further accelerate growth and enhance customer operations.

    Highlights

    5
    • Underlying sales grew 6%, exceeding expectations.

    • Adjusted segment EBITDA margin expanded 140 basis points to 28.5%.

    • Adjusted earnings per share grew 13% to $1.71, above the top of guidance.

    • Free cash flow of $1.3 billion was up 36% with a 27.1% margin.

    • Underlying orders grew 7% with broad-based demand across all business groups.

    Concerns

    4
    • Middle East conflict resulted in a $25 million revenue headwind in Q3, with a similar impact expected in Q4.

    • Software and Systems margin decreased 30 basis points due to software contract renewal dynamics and a higher mix of lower-margin projects.

    • China sales declined 3% year-over-year, and Europe sales declined 1% year-over-year.

    • Automotive markets remained soft.

    Guidance & targets

    23
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 GAAP sales growth
    5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 underlying sales growth
    3.5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted segment EBITDA margin
    approximately 28%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS
    approximately $6.55
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 free cash flow
    approximately $3.6 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 capital return to shareholders
    approximately $2.2 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 sales growth
    approximately 5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 adjusted segment EBITDA margin
    28.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 adjusted EPS
    approximately $1.85
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 ACV growth
    10% plus
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 Software and Systems underlying growth
    approximately 10%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Software and Systems growth
    up 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Test and Measurement growth
    14%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Control Systems and Software growth
    3.5%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 Intelligent Devices growth
    3%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Intelligent Devices growth
    2%
    medium materiality
    High
    Q4 2026 Safety and Productivity growth
    1%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Safety and Productivity growth
    2%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year 2026 Middle East conflict revenue impact
    approximately $100 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Q4 2026 Middle East conflict revenue impact
    similar to $25 million headwind
    medium materiality
    Medium
    China market growth
    low-single-digit type growth levels
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Intelligent Devices long-range growth framework
    3% to 6%
    low materiality
    Medium
    Software and Systems long-range growth framework
    6% to 9%
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    7
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Software and Systems
    Margin decreased 30 basis points year-over-year due to a 1.5 points drag from software contract renewal dynamics and a higher mix of lower-margin projects.
    Test and Measurement growth: 23%Control Systems and Software growth: 7%Significant growth in power, semiconductor, aerospace and defense
    11% underlying31.8%
    Intelligent Devices
    Margin increased 240 basis points year-over-year from volume leverage, price cost, and cost reductions. Performance was better than expected due to Middle East performance and timing of project shipments.
    Consistent strength in power and LNGSolid growth in midstream gas and chemical
    5% underlying27.9%
    Safety and Productivity
    Margin was up 80 basis points year-over-year driven by disciplined price cost and cost reductions, offset by lower volume and inflation. European and automotive markets remained soft.
    Driven by electrical products and industrial activity in North America
    2% underlying21.2%
    Americas
    Very healthy pace of business in the U.S.
    U.S. growth: 10%U.S. Software and Systems growth: 14%U.S. Intelligent Devices growth: 9%
    8%
    Asia, Middle East and Africa
    Great performance by teams in the Middle East resulted in better-than-expected revenue impact.
    Middle East and Africa growth: 11%
    8%
    China
    Improved to down 3% year-over-year, in line with model, and showed sequential growth Q3 over Q2.
    down 3%
    Europe
    Remained soft as expected, but orders were positive in the quarter.
    declined 1%

    Operational metrics

    25
    Underlying sales growth
    6%
    Q3 FY26

    Exceeded expectations.

    Price contribution to growth
    3 points
    Q3 FY26

    Contributed to underlying sales growth.

    MRO as percentage of sales
    65%
    Q3 FY26

    Stable MRO activity.

    Adjusted segment EBITDA margin
    28.5%up 140 basis points
    Q3 FY26

    Margin expansion exceeded expectations due to better volume and favorable segment mix.

    Adjusted EPS
    $1.71up 13% year-over-year
    Q3 FY26

    Above the top of guidance. Operations contributed the full $0.19 increase.

    Free cash flow margin
    27.1%
    Q3 FY26

    Strong cash generation.

    Year-to-date free cash flow margin
    19%
    YTD Q3 FY26

    Year-to-date performance.

    Growth verticals sales growth
    27%
    Q3 FY26

    Meaningful drivers of performance.

    Semiconductor sales growth
    53%
    Q3 FY26

    Very strong growth in a key vertical.

    Power sales growth
    37%
    Q3 FY26

    Very strong growth in a key vertical.

    Software and Systems margin drag
    1.5 points
    Q3 FY26

    Impacted segment margin in the quarter.

    Full-year price contribution
    approximately 2.5%
    FY26

    Tracking for the full year.

    Tariff refunds
    $82 million
    Q3 FY26

    Contributed to cash flow performance and improved GAAP margins.

    Share repurchases
    $898 million
    YTD Q3 FY26

    Completed year-to-date.

    Project funnel
    $12.4 billionup $1.2 billion sequentially, up 8% year-over-year
    Q3 FY26

    Driven by growth verticals, particularly power and LNG. Represents a 3- to 4-year view.

    Power project funnel
    $3 billionup $450 million from Q2
    Q3 FY26

    Reflects accelerating power generation build-out.

    LNG project funnel
    $2.2 billionup $350 million from Q2
    Q3 FY26

    Reinforces demand trajectory outlined at Investor Day.

    Project funnel wins
    approximately $400 million
    Q3 FY26

    Consistent with prior quarter's award levels.

    Annual Contract Value (ACV)
    $1.68 billionup 9% year-over-year
    Q3 FY26

    Ended the quarter at this value.

    AspenTech Digital Grid Management (DGM) ACV growth
    28%
    Q3 FY26

    Exceptional activity in grid modernization.

    Middle East revenue headwind
    $25 million
    Q3 FY26

    Impact compared to revised expectations, similar impact expected in Q4.

    Middle East conflict full-year revenue impact
    approximately 0.5 point
    FY26

    Minimized effects of the conflict.

    U.S. sales growth
    10%
    Q3 FY26

    Strong performance in the U.S.

    MRO rates
    2/3
    Ongoing

    No material change observed, consistent level of business.

    Project funnel composition
    Q3 FY26

    The bulk of the $12.4 billion project funnel is considered greenfield.

    Industry KPIs

    5
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio1.0
    Orders bookings growth7%%
    Gigawatts under contract2.1 gigawattGW
    Backlog by segment end market$8.2 billionUSD
    Data center exposure pipelineup $450 millionUSD

    Orderbook & backlog

    5
    Total backlog$8.2 billionQ3 FY26

    up 7% year-over-year

    Underlying orders growth7%Q3 FY26

    Broad-based growth across all business groups, led by software and systems up 10%.

    Test and Measurement orders growth19%Q3 FY26

    Exceeded expectations, with semiconductor up 70% and double-digit growth in aerospace and defense.

    Ovation business orders growth31%Q3 FY26

    Reflects unprecedented investment in power generation.

    Underlying orders growth7%YTD Q3 FY26

    Reflects stable MRO activity and secular tailwinds driving long-cycle capital projects.

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    Rudy Sengupta as SVP and Chief Technology and AI Officermilestone
    Ovation control system for CFE, Mexicoexpansion
    Pressurizer pilot operated safety valves for Hualong-1 reactor, Chinaexpansion
    NI semiconductor test systems for Taiwanese manufacturerexpansion

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Middle East conflict impact on revenue and supply chainsQ3 FY26, Q4 FY26, FY26

    $25 million revenue headwind in Q3 FY26; similar impact expected in Q4 FY26; approximately $100 million full-year FY26 impact (0.5 point of revenue)

    Mitigation: Teams drove better-than-expected performance; field service engineers operating at pre-conflict levels; large projects moving forward; new opportunities emerging for energy security/resiliency.

    Softness in China marketQ3 FY26

    Down 3% year-over-year in Q3 FY26

    Mitigation: Improving sequentially; expected to improve into low-single-digit growth in FY27.

    Softness in European marketQ3 FY26

    Declined 1% year-over-year in Q3 FY26

    Mitigation: Orders were positive in Q3, showing signs of improvement.

    Software contract renewal dynamic and project mix impact on marginsQ3 FY26

    1.5 points margin drag in Software and Systems segment in Q3 FY26

    Mitigation: Expected to reverse in Q4 FY26; higher mix of lower-margin projects also contributed.

    Softness in automotive marketsQ3 FY26

    Not quantified, but stated as 'soft'

    What to watch in Q4 FY26

    5

    Middle East revenue impact

    Q4 FY26 / Q1 FY27
    Current$25M headwind in Q3 FY26, similar expected in Q4 FY26
    TargetReduction in headwind or positive contribution

    Why it matters

    Significant geopolitical risk impacting revenue and supply chains; resolution or mitigation would improve financial performance.

    Overall, the impact in Q3 was about a $25 million headwind compared to our February guidance, and we expect the Q4 impact to be similar as supply chains remain complex.

    Q&A highlights

    8

    What drove the exceptional growth in semiconductor (53%) and power (37%)? Was it market strength, share gains, or new products?

    Management confirmed strong underlying markets in both sectors. In power, they are seeing significant participation gains through fleet modernizations, behind-the-meter opportunities (data centers), and AspenTech's digital grid management. In test and measurement, new products contributed to participation gains in a strong RF and mixed signal market.

    Certainly, the underlying market in both semis and power, as you know, is very, very strong. But I will contend that certainly in power, both on the generation side with Ovation with fleet modernizations but also behind-the-meter opportunities driven by data centers and new capacity adds in North America there is significant penetration gains or participation gains we're driving.

    asked by Deane Dray · answered by Ram Krishnan

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Leadership Transition and AI Focus

    Emerson announced the retirement of Peter Zonier, Chief Technology Officer, and the appointment of Rudy Sengupta as Senior Vice President and Chief Technology and AI Officer, effective August 15. This strategic move reinforces Emerson's commitment to AI-enabled automation, aiming to advance its technology stack and help customers achieve autonomous operations at scale. Sengupta's background from NI and expertise in software-defined automation are expected to accelerate innovation and position the company for continued growth in AI.

    02

    Robust End Market Demand and Growth Verticals

    The company experienced robust end market demand, with underlying orders growing 7% in Q3, driven by broad-based growth across all business groups, particularly software and systems (up 10%). Demand was strongest in North America and Asia, with growth verticals collectively up 27%. Semiconductor sales grew 53% and Power sales grew 37%, highlighting significant momentum in these key areas, supported by secular trends and investment in automation.

    03

    Expanding Project Funnel and Key Wins

    Emerson's project funnel expanded by $1.2 billion to $12.4 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year, with significant contributions from Power (up $450 million to $3 billion) and LNG (up $350 million to $2.2 billion). The company secured approximately $400 million from the funnel in Q3, with 80% originating from growth verticals. Notable wins include a 2.1 gigawatt power plant retrofit for CFE in Mexico, supply of critical valves for a 2.4 gigawatt nuclear reactor in China, and NI semiconductor test systems for a leading Taiwanese manufacturer.

    04

    Middle East Situation and Recovery

    Despite the ongoing conflict, which resulted in a $25 million revenue headwind in Q3 (with a similar impact expected in Q4), Emerson's field service engineers are operating at pre-conflict levels. Large projects are progressing, and new opportunities are emerging across the energy chain to support energy security and resiliency in the region. The long-term capital outlook for the Middle East remains robust, with the company well-positioned to capture investment priorities.

    05

    Software Performance and Renewal Dynamics

    Annual Contract Value (ACV) for software grew 9% year-over-year, reaching $1.68 billion by quarter-end, with expectations to achieve 10%+ ACV growth for the full year. While the Software and Systems segment experienced a 1.5-point margin drag in Q3 due to software contract renewal dynamics and a higher mix of lower-margin projects, this dynamic is expected to reverse in Q4, contributing to a solid outlook for 2027.

    06

    Regional Performance and Market Trends

    The Americas, particularly the U.S., showed strong performance with 10% sales growth. Asia, Middle East, and Africa also grew 8%, led by the Middle East and Africa at 11%. China's sales improved to a 3% decline, and Europe remained soft with a 1% decline, though European orders showed positive signs. The company noted continued strong MRO activity globally, with some delays in shutdown turnaround activity due to facilities running hard.

    07

    Cybersecurity as a Growth Driver

    Cybersecurity spend is identified as a significant driver for upgrades in control systems, particularly in power generation and water systems. Recent cyberattacks underscore the importance of robust cybersecurity measures, and Emerson's offerings in this area are seen as a key part of its business, driving demand for retrofit and upgrade programs in critical infrastructure.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.