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    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Energy Transfer Q2 FY26 earnings call ET

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Energy Transfer Q2 FY26 — Strong Performance Drives Raised Full-Year Guidance

    Energy Transfer delivered a strong second quarter, exceeding expectations across all segments and leading to a significant raise in full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance. The company is capitalizing on robust demand for natural gas and NGLs, driven by power generation, Permian growth, and global export needs. Strategic project execution, exemplified by the early commercial service of the Hugh Brinson Pipeline, underpins confidence in sustained growth and capital discipline.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted EBITDA increased to $5.1 billion in Q2 FY26, up from $3.9 billion in Q2 FY25.

    • DCF attributable to partners, as adjusted, rose to $2.6 billion, compared to $2.0 billion in Q2 FY25.

    • Full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance raised by $0.5 billion at the midpoint, now $18.8 billion to $19.1 billion.

    • Record midstream gathering, NGL transportation, NGL export, and crude oil transportation volumes achieved.

    • Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 1 is now in commercial service ahead of schedule, with full capacity expected by September 1, 2026.

    Concerns

    2
    • Crude inventory value benefit of approximately $60 million in Q1 FY26 was offset by hedge losses in Q2 FY26.

    • Green Chile project (Project Jupiter for Oracle) faces regulatory complexity and potential delays due to data center-focused protest activity.

    Guidance & targets

    10
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
    $18.8 billion to $19.1 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Organic Growth Capital Expenditures (excluding SUN and USAC)
    $5.6 billion to $5.9 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 1 Full Capacity In-Service
    September 1, 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 2 In-Service
    Q1 2027
    medium materiality
    High
    Springville Lateral In-Service
    Q4 2029
    medium materiality
    High
    Mustang Draw II Plant In-Service
    Late 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    NGL Export Expansion (Nederland Terminal) In-Service
    Stages beginning 2028, docks mid-2029
    high materiality
    High
    Frac IX In-Service
    Late 2026
    medium materiality
    High
    Long-term Annual Distribution Growth Rate
    3% to 5%
    high materiality
    High
    Leverage Target
    4 to 4.5x EBITDA
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    NGL and Refined Products
    Increase primarily due to record exports from Nederland and Marcus Hook terminals (driven by new chilling capacity at Nederland), record throughput across NGL pipelines, and higher throughput at Mont Belvieu fractionators. Also benefited from higher premiums from NGL sales and increased margins from product optimization and blending. Included gains from NGL and refined products inventory hedges, expected to be offset in Q4.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $1.3 billionAdjusted EBITDA (Q2 2025): $1.0 billionIncrease from NGL premiums and product optimization/blending: $212 million
    $1.3 billion
    Midstream
    Increase due to record volumes in the Permian Basin (up 5% from new processing and improved plant utilization) and an $88 million increase from higher NGL prices compared to last year.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $884 millionAdjusted EBITDA (Q2 2025): $768 millionPermian Basin volume increase: 5%Increase from higher NGL prices: $88 million
    $884 million
    Crude Oil
    Increase due to continued growth across crude pipelines, terminals, and gathering systems. Benefited from $106 million related to favorable market conditions, including pipeline and export arbitrage, higher crude oil prices, and strategic petroleum reserve activity at Nederland terminal. Q1 benefit of $60 million from crude inventory value was offset by Q2 hedge losses.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $834 millionAdjusted EBITDA (Q2 2025): $732 millionIncrease from favorable market conditions: $106 million
    $834 million
    Interstate Natural Gas
    Increase primarily due to increased parking, storage, and liquids revenue, as well as higher contracted volumes and utilization on pipelines including Panhandle Eastern, Transwestern, and Florida Gas Transmission.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $481 millionAdjusted EBITDA (Q2 2025): $470 million
    $481 million
    Intrastate Natural Gas
    Increase primarily due to a $113 million benefit from wider basis differentials and a $17 million benefit from early volumes during the commissioning of the Hugh Brinson Pipeline.
    Adjusted EBITDA: $377 millionAdjusted EBITDA (Q2 2025): $284 millionIncrease from wider basis differentials: $113 millionIncrease from early volumes (Hugh Brinson): $17 million
    $377 million

    Operational metrics

    17
    Adjusted EBITDA
    $5.1 billionvs. $3.9 billion Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Generated from strong performance across all business segments.

    Distributable Cash Flow (DCF) attributable to partners, as adjusted
    $2.6 billionvs. $2.0 billion Q2 FY25
    Q2 FY26

    Supported by strong performance in all business segments.

    Organic Growth Capital Expenditures (excluding SUN and USAC)
    $2.6 billion
    H1 FY26

    Spent on organic growth capital in intrastate, midstream, NGL and refined products, and interstate segments.

    Permian Basin Midstream Volumes
    5%increase
    Q2 FY26

    Increase due to new processing placed into service and improved plant utilization.

    Crude Inventory Value Benefit
    $60 million
    Q1 FY26

    Benefit in Q1 FY26 that was offset by hedge losses in Q2 FY26.

    Q1 Guidance Increase
    $750 million
    Q1 FY26

    Increase in full-year guidance announced in Q1 FY26.

    Q2 Guidance Increase
    $550 million
    Q2 FY26

    Increase in full-year guidance announced in Q2 FY26, primarily due to strong beats across segments.

    Permian NGL Takeaway Pipeline Utilization
    95%
    Q2 FY26

    Current utilization of Permian NGL takeaway pipelines.

    Mont Belvieu Fractionator Utilization
    Fully utilized
    Q2 FY26

    Fractionators remained fully utilized in the second quarter.

    NGL Y-grade recontracting
    300,000 barrels per day
    Q2 FY26

    Signed long-term transportation and/or fractionation agreements for Y-grade assets out of the Permian.

    Ethane Export Capacity Committed
    100%
    Q2 FY26

    100% of the ethane export capacity from the Nederland expansion has been committed under long-term agreements.

    NGL Permian Takeaway Capacity (Lone Star Express)
    90,000 barrels per day
    Q2 FY26

    Upgrades to Lone Star Express NGL pipeline provide more than 90,000 bbl/day of Permian NGL takeaway capacity.

    Total NGL Deliverability into Mont Belvieu
    1.3 million barrels per day
    Q2 FY26

    Total deliverability into Mont Belvieu after Lone Star Express upgrades.

    New Power Plant Demand (Oklahoma)
    300 million cubic feet per day
    FY28

    Total new demand growth from four connections to serve new power plants, with the last expected in Q4 2028.

    New Power Plant Demand (Oklahoma) under negotiation
    250 million cubic feet per day
    Ongoing

    Finalizing negotiations to serve additional new power plant demand.

    Data Center/Power Plant Contract Additions (Texas)
    100 million cubic feet per day
    Q2 FY26

    Two customers in Texas recently added this combined volume to their contracts.

    Storage Capacity
    237 Bcf
    Q2 FY26

    Enormous capabilities to keep gas on during volatile times.

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    CrusoeAgreement to construct facilities to provide natural gas to support a 900-megawatt expansion at an AI factory campus.

    Facilities will support a 900-megawatt expansion at the AI factory campus in Abilene, Texas. Expect additional growth opportunities in the region.

    Capital programs

    11
    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 1in commercial service

    Benefit: 1.5 Bcf per day

    Now in commercial service, progressing toward full Phase 1 capacity ahead of schedule and under budget. Shipper contracts coming online in stages.

    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 2underway

    Benefit: Additional downstream compression

    Expected to be in service in Q1 2027 and come in under budget. Commissioning likely in late January/early February 2027.

    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Lateral (Abilene, Texas)ready for service

    Completed another 14-mile lateral in Abilene, Texas, now ready for service.

    Desert Southwest Pipeline Projectunderway

    Making good progress, FERC completed scoping meetings. Active engagement with stakeholders. Steel and compression ordered. Expected to be on time in late 2029.

    Springville Lateralunderway

    Benefit: 625 million cubic feet per day

    Approximately 120-mile extension of Transwestern Pipeline, 30-inch diameter. Will serve natural gas power generation replacing two coal-fired plants. Pipe and compression costs locked in.

    Oklahoma Power Plant Connectionsunderway
    Start: Early 2026

    Benefit: 300 million cubic feet per day (total new demand)

    First of four connections went into service earlier this year, next two ready for service, remaining expected in Q4 2028.

    Mustang Draw I Plantin service

    Placed into service in June, running near capacity for Midland Basin processing complex.

    Mustang Draw II Plantunder construction

    Expected to be in service in Q4 2026, with limited impact to 2026 results but a big 2027 push.

    Nederland Terminal Ethane Export Expansionunder constructionSlightly over $1 billion

    Benefit: 240,000 bbl/day ethane export, 55,000 bbl/day LPG capacity

    Project includes expanding Mont Belvieu to Nederland pipeline system and two additional NGL ship docks. Growth capital was previously included in 2026 guidance. 100% of ethane capacity committed under long-term agreements.

    Lone Star Express NGL Pipeline Upgradescompleted

    Benefit: 90,000 bbl/day Permian NGL takeaway capacity

    Completed in Q2, provides more than 90,000 bbl/day of Permian NGL takeaway capacity, leading to record wide-grade volumes.

    Frac IXunder construction

    Expected to ramp up quickly upon anticipated in-service late this year, with limited 2026 impact.

    Risks & headwinds

    2
    Market VolatilityH2 2026 and beyond

    Upside to forecast dependent on duration and impact of market disruptions.

    Mitigation: Company's unique operating model and asset base are positioned to capture benefits from volatility.

    Regulatory Complexity and Protest Activity for Data Centers (Green Chile Project)Ongoing

    Potential for delays in project execution.

    Mitigation: Working with FERC, BLM, and all stakeholders. Confident the pipeline will be put into service. Oracle has improved messaging on closed-loop systems and lower emissions (Bloom technology).

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 1 Full Capacity

    September 1, 2026
    CurrentIn commercial service, ramping up
    Target1.5 Bcf/day

    Why it matters

    Verifying the full capacity of Hugh Brinson Phase 1 comes online as scheduled is critical for natural gas segment growth and overall volume expectations.

    We anticipate that Hugh Brinson will be capable of flowing the full Phase I capacity by September 1, 2026, assuming pipeline commissioning activities continue to progress as scheduled.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Elaborate on drivers of Q2 volumetric outperformance, expectations for H2 2026 and 2027, and factors influencing the high end of guidance.

    Q2 outperformance was broad-based, with strong beats across all segments, especially NGLs due to exports, sales, and blending margins. The base business is expected to remain strong, with volumes growing in H2 2026 as projects like Hugh Brinson, Mustang Draw I/II, and Frac IX come online. The majority of the impact from Hugh Brinson and Mustang Draw II will be seen in 2027. The current guidance assumes no significant commodity price volatility in H2; sustained volatility would push results towards the high end of the revised range.

    The more of this that continues to play out, I think, is setting us up to where with some of this volatility, we can very easily achieve that high end of the guidance range.

    asked by Theresa Chen · answered by Dylan Bramhall

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strong Financial Performance and Guidance Update

    Energy Transfer reported robust Q2 FY26 financial results, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $5.1 billion, a significant increase from $3.9 billion in Q2 FY25. Distributable Cash Flow (DCF) attributable to partners, as adjusted, also grew to $2.6 billion from $2.0 billion year-over-year. This strong performance across all business segments led management to raise its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $18.8 billion to $19.1 billion, an increase of $0.5 billion at the midpoint from previous guidance. The company attributes this to record volumes and strong base business performance, with additional upside potential from market volatility🌐.

    02

    Natural Gas Infrastructure Expansion

    The Hugh Brinson Pipeline Phase 1 is now in commercial service, with full 1.5 Bcf/day capacity expected by September 1, 2026, ahead of schedule and under budget. Phase 2 is slated for Q1 2027 completion. Progress continues on the Desert Southwest Pipeline project, with positive stakeholder engagement and permitting. The Springville Lateral, a 120-mile extension of the Transwestern Pipeline with 625 MMcf/day capacity, is expected in Q4 2029 to serve power generation. Additionally, connections to serve new power plant loads in Oklahoma are progressing, with 250 MMcf/day of new demand under negotiation.

    03

    NGL and Crude Oil Segment Growth

    The NGL and Refined Products segment saw adjusted EBITDA increase to $1.3 billion from $1.0 billion, driven by record exports from Nederland and Marcus Hook terminals, higher NGL throughput, and increased margins from product optimization. Crude Oil adjusted EBITDA grew to $834 million from $732 million, benefiting from pipeline growth, favorable market conditions, and strategic petroleum reserve activity. The company announced a 240,000 bbl/day ethane export expansion at Nederland, with 100% of capacity committed under long-term agreements, and completed upgrades to the Lone Star Express NGL pipeline, increasing Permian NGL takeaway capacity.

    04

    Data Center and Power Generation Demand

    Energy Transfer is actively pursuing opportunities to serve increasing natural gas demand from data centers and power plants. The company entered an agreement with Crusoe to construct facilities for a 900-megawatt expansion at an AI factory campus in Abilene, Texas. Two Texas customers recently added a combined 100 MMcf/day to their contracts. Management expects this trend to continue, leveraging its extensive pipeline network and storage capabilities to provide reliable supply, particularly for behind-the-meter power generation, mitigating grid interconnection concerns.

    05

    Permian Basin Dynamics and Recontracting

    Record volumes in the Permian Basin contributed to strong midstream performance, with the Mustang Draw I plant running near capacity and Mustang Draw II expected online in Q4. The early in-service of Hugh Brinson has significantly narrowed Waha basis differentials, unleashing pent-up production from DUCs and previously shut-in gas. The company successfully recontracted 300,000 bbl/day of Y-grade assets out of the Permian into the 2030s at market rates, with expectations for future contracting at higher rates. Mont Belvieu fractionators remained fully utilized, with Frac IX expected to ramp quickly upon late-year in-service.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.