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Exelixis (EXEL) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Health Care· May 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Exelixis Q1 FY26 — Strong CABOMETYX Growth and ZANZA Pipeline Advancement

Exelixis delivered a strong Q1 FY26, driven by robust performance of its CABOMETYX franchise, which saw record new patient starts and market share gains. The company is rapidly advancing zanzalitinib (ZANZA) as its next potential oncology franchise, with an NDA under review for colorectal cancer and multiple pivotal trials underway or planned across various tumor types. Management remains committed to disciplined capital allocation, balancing R&D investments, targeted business development, and shareholder returns through an expanded share repurchase program.

Highlights

5
  • U.S. CABO franchise net product revenues grew 8% year-over-year to $555 million.

  • Global CABO franchise net product revenues grew 12.5% year-over-year to $764 million.

  • CABOMETYX achieved its highest number of new patient starts ever in a quarter.

  • CABOMETYX plus nivolumab reached its highest quarterly first-line RCC market share to date.

  • A new $750 million stock repurchase plan was authorized by the board.

Concerns

3
  • Gross to net for the cabozantinib franchise increased to 30.2% in Q1 FY26, up from Q4 FY25, primarily due to higher 340B volume, Medicare Part D discounts, and co-pay assistance.

  • Top-line results for the STELLAR-304 study in non-clear cell RCC are now expected in the second half of 2026, a slight delay from previous expectations.

  • The LITESPARK-012 study (a triplet therapy in RCC) recently missed, highlighting the complexity of improving upon existing regimens in first-line RCC.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full year financial guidance
Reiterated
high materiality
High
ZANZA NDA PDUFA date
Early December
high materiality
High
STELLAR-303 NLM population top-line results
Around mid-year
medium materiality
Medium
STELLAR-316 trial initiation
Around mid-year
medium materiality
High
STELLAR-304 top-line results
Second half of 2026
high materiality
High
STELLAR-202 and STELLAR-002 initiation
Second half of this year
medium materiality
High
IND filing for SSTR2 agonist
Later this year
low materiality
High
Stock repurchase plan completion
This month
medium materiality
High
New stock repurchase plan expiration
December 31, 2027
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
U.S. CABO Franchise
Continued strong performance of the cabozantinib business in the first quarter of 2026.
$555M8%——
Global CABO Franchise
Global net product revenues generated by Exelixis and its partners.
$764M12.5%——
Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC)
CABOMETYX continued to grow in demand and market share as the leading TKI for RCC and the market leader for neuroendocrine tumors in the oral second-line plus segment. CABOMETYX plus nivolumab had the highest quarterly first-line RCC market share to date.
TKI Market Share: #1TKI + IO Combination Market Share (1L RCC): #1
————
Neuroendocrine Tumors (NETs)
CABOMETYX remains the market leader in the oral therapy segment for second-line plus neuroendocrine tumors. The company expedited the expansion of its GI sales team to grow market share, particularly in the community setting.
Oral Therapy Market Leader (2nd-line+): CABOMETYX
————

Risks & headwinds

Complexity of first-line RCC development

Challenging endeavor

Mitigation:Careful selection of combination partners to improve efficacy while managing tolerability and safety; prioritizing orthogonal MOAs to combine with ZANZA; expanding breadth and depth of ZANZA pivotal trial efforts.

Higher gross-to-net deductions for cabozantinib franchise Q1 FY26

30.2% in Q1 FY26, higher than Q4 FY25

Mitigation:Attributed to higher 340B volume, higher Medicare Part D discounts and rebates, and higher co-pay assistance. No specific mitigation stated, but these are known market dynamics.

Delayed top-line results for STELLAR-304 H2 2026

Now expected in H2 2026 (previously earlier)

Mitigation:Management did not speculate on the cause but indicated they are in the late stages of collecting events. No specific mitigation for the delay was stated.

Challenges with triplet therapy in RCC

LITESPARK-012 study miss

Mitigation:Management acknowledges that triplet therapy in clear cell RCC is not an easy game and focuses ZANZA strategy on establishing a standard of care for the 2030s through multiple shots on goal and exploring novel combinations with orthogonal MOAs.

What to watch in Q2 FY26

STELLAR-303 NLM OS data

Mid-year
Current Trend favoring combination, data immature
Target Mature OS data, potential positive outcome

Why it matters

Could expand ZANZA's label and commercial opportunity in colorectal cancer by providing mature overall survival data for patients without liver metastases.

The NLM data were immature at the data cutoff. The trial has been proceeding to the planned final analysis for this endpoint. We continue to expect to have those top-line results around the middle of this year, depending on event rates.

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Q&A highlights

Given the recent miss from the LITESPARK-012 study (triplet therapy), what are your updated thoughts or learnings for the ZANZA plus belzutifan development program, specifically LITESPARK-033 and LITESPARK-034?

Management stated that triplet therapy in clear cell RCC is challenging. Their strategy for ZANZA is to establish it as the next franchise molecule and top TKI combination therapy in clear cell RCC for the 2030s, with multiple ongoing trials (LITESPARK-033, LITESPARK-034, STELLAR-304) and exploration of novel, orthogonal IO combinations, including their own bispecific XB628.

“triplet therapy in clear cell renal cell carcinoma is not an easy game our strategy is really focused on trying to establish a standard of care that covers multiple possible outcomes based on trials that are going on now.”

asked by Kyuwon Choi · answered by Dana Aftab

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Cabozantinib Commercial Performance and Market Leadership

The CABOMETYX business demonstrated continued strong growth in Q1 FY26, with U.S. net product revenues reaching $555 million, an 8% year-over-year increase. Globally, the CABO franchise generated $764 million, up 12.5% year-over-year. CABOMETYX maintained its position as the #1 prescribed TKI in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) and the #1 TKI plus IO combination in first-line RCC.

The quarter saw the highest number of new patient starts ever for CABOMETYX, and CABOMETYX plus nivolumab achieved its highest quarterly first-line RCC market share to date. The company also expanded its GI sales team to further grow the neuroendocrine tumor (NET) market share, where CABOMETYX is the market leader in the second-line plus oral segment.

Zanzalitinib (ZANZA) as the Next Franchise Opportunity

ZANZA is positioned as Exelixis's next potential oncology franchise, with an NDA for the ZANZA/atezolizumab combination in third-line plus colorectal cancer (CRC) currently under review. This NDA, based on STELLAR-303 data, is a top priority, with a PDUFA date in early December.

The ZANZA development program is rapidly expanding, with seven ongoing or soon-to-start pivotal trials, alongside additional Phase II trials planned in prostate and lung cancer. The company aims to establish ZANZA as the TKI of choice in the 2030s for RCC and other indications, potentially surpassing CABO's impact.

ZANZA in Colorectal Cancer (CRC) and MRD-Positive Patients

The STELLAR-303 trial met one of its dual primary endpoints, demonstrating a 20% reduction in the risk of death in the broad ITT population. While the non-liver metastases (NLM) data were immature, a trend favoring the combination was observed, with final NLM results expected around mid-year.

Building on this, the company is initiating STELLAR-316, a Phase III trial investigating ZANZA in resected Stage II or III CRC patients who are molecular residual disease (MRD) positive. This trial addresses a significant unmet need, as these patients typically have poor prognosis and no approved therapeutic options to prevent metastatic progression.

ZANZA in Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC) and Novel Combinations

ZANZA's target profile positions it for success in kidney cancer. STELLAR-304, evaluating ZANZA plus nivolumab in non-clear cell RCC, completed enrollment last year, with top-line results now expected in the second half of 2026. If positive, this could establish the first standard of care for this underserved population.

Merck is also running two pivotal studies, LITESPARK-033 and LITESPARK-034, evaluating ZANZA plus belzutifan in clear cell RCC. Exelixis is actively discussing with collaborators to investigate novel combinations with orthogonal mechanisms to further advance ZANZA in clear cell RCC.

Expansion into Neuroendocrine Tumors (NETs) and Meningioma

The Phase III STELLAR-311 trial, evaluating ZANZA versus everolimus as initial oral therapy in pancreatic or extra-pancreatic NETs, has seen rapid enrollment, significantly ahead of projections. This reflects high investigator enthusiasm for improving the treatment landscape in earlier lines of NET.

Additionally, Exelixis initiated STELLAR-201, a Phase II trial evaluating ZANZA in patients with recurrent meningioma, a central nervous system tumor with no approved systemic therapies. Given the high unmet need, brisk enrollment is anticipated for this trial.

Early Clinical Pipeline and Future Studies

Exelixis's early clinical pipeline includes four molecules in Phase I development: XL309, XB010, XB628, and XB371, all progressing well. The company is also planning two new Phase II studies for ZANZA: STELLAR-202 in squamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in combination with pembrolizumab maintenance, and an expansion cohort in STELLAR-002 evaluating ZANZA with docetaxel in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC).

These studies aim to explore ZANZA's potential in new tumor types and combination strategies, leveraging insights from previous cabozantinib data.

Strategic Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

Exelixis remains committed to running the business efficiently, generating substantial free cash flow to invest in its pipeline, pursue targeted business development, and continue its share repurchase program. The company repurchased approximately $430.8 million of common stock in Q1 FY26, retiring 10 million shares.

With the completion of the October 2025 repurchase plan expected in May 2026, the board authorized a new $750 million stock repurchase plan, reflecting confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.