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Exelixis (EXEL) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Health Care· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Exelixis Q2 FY26 — Zanza Pipeline Expansion and Cabo Growth

Exelixis is executing its strategy to transition from a single-compound company to a multi-franchise oncology business, driven by the expanding zanzalintinib pipeline and continued growth of the cabozantinib franchise. While the company adjusted its full-year revenue outlook due to a more gradual ramp in the NET indication, it remains committed to disciplined capital allocation and advancing its broad clinical development program for zanzalintinib across multiple tumor types.

Highlights

5
  • U.S. cabozantinib franchise net product revenues grew approximately 10% year-over-year to $573 million.

  • Global cabozantinib franchise net product revenues grew approximately 13% year-over-year to $806 million.

  • CABOMETYX TRx volume grew 12% in Q2 2026 compared to Q2 2025, outpacing the oral TKI market basket growth of 6%.

  • CABOMETYX achieved second-line plus oral class new patient market share greater than 45% in the NET segment.

  • STELLAR-311 (zanzalintinib in NET) enrollment is months ahead of projections, reflecting strong enthusiasm.

Concerns

3
  • Full year 2026 total revenues and net product revenue guidance was lowered and narrowed, with the midpoint reduced by $50 million due to a more gradual ramp for the NET indication.

  • Full year 2026 gross to net deductions estimate was updated to between 30% and 31%.

  • The STELLAR-303 non-liver met subgroup did not achieve statistical overall survival benefit.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full year 2026 Total Revenues and Net Product Revenue
Lowered and narrowed, midpoint lowered by $50 million
high materiality
High
Full year 2026 Gross to Net Deductions (Cabozantinib franchise)
Between 30% and 31%
medium materiality
High
Full year 2026 R&D Expense
Midpoint lowered by $50 million
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
U.S. Cabozantinib Franchise
Strong growth driven by leadership in RCC and NET segments.
$573 million10%——
Global Cabozantinib Franchise
Includes sales by Exelixis and its partners, Ipsen and Takeda.
$806 million13%——
CABOMETYX (U.S.)
Clinical trial sales can be choppy between quarters.
Clinical trial sales: $2.7 million
$571 million———
Neuroendocrine Tumors (NET)
CABOMETYX is the market leader in this segment, despite a more gradual ramp due to patient kinetics.
Second-line plus oral class new patient market share: >45%
————
Renal Cell Carcinoma (RCC)
Growth driven by strong promotional focus on first-line 9ER data and high market share.
TKI plus IO combination market share: #1Prescribed TKI: #1
————

Risks & headwinds

Slower ramp for NET indication FY2026

Midpoint of FY26 total revenues and net product revenue guidance lowered by $50 million

Mitigation:Increased new patient market share (>45%), expected increase in refills, expanded GI sales team, refined targeting, and confidence in long-term potential.

STELLAR-303 non-liver met subgroup did not achieve statistical OS benefit Q2 FY26 data readout

Non-liver met subgroup did not achieve statistical significance for overall survival

Mitigation:The ITT population (overall study population) is the primary focus for the NDA, and the treatment effect was similar to interim ITT results.

Potential for STELLAR-311 (zanza in NET) to cannibalize cabo sales Ongoing

Small impact on commercial patient pool

Mitigation:Acknowledged as a potential small impact, but the primary driver of slower NET ramp is patient kinetics. Overall market outlook for NET remains positive.

ANDA 505(b)(2) dynamics and NCCN guideline placement Ongoing

Unquantified risk of a new 505(b)(2) salt gaining NCCN guideline placement without clinical data

Mitigation:Company is focused on patient safety and prioritizing intellectual property rights, highlighting the lack of clinical data for such products compared to established 505(b)(2) examples.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Zanzalintinib CRC regulatory decision

early December
Current NDA under review
Target PDUFA date in early December

Why it matters

This is a critical regulatory milestone for zanzalintinib to become the company's second oncology franchise.

This continues to be our top priority as we work toward the PDUFA date in early December.

Find out whether EXEL delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Can you provide more precise timing for STELLAR-304 data readout and if it might be presented at a major medical meeting this year?

Management reiterated that top-line results are expected in the second half of 2026, but declined to speculate on exact timing or medical meeting presentations, stating they would message at the appropriate time.

“As I said in my prior remarks, we are expecting to achieve the planned number of events in the second half of this year. Beyond that, it wouldn't really be appropriate for me to speculate on when exactly that's going to happen or even when the data will be available at a medical meeting.”

asked by Kyuwon Choi · answered by Dana Aftab

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Zanzalintinib as the Next Franchise Opportunity

Exelixis is positioning zanzalintinib as its next potential franchise molecule, with a third-line plus CRC filing currently under review and a PDUFA date in early December. The company is accelerating progress on six pivotal trials and plans to initiate a second wave of trials as early as 2027.

This strategy aims to build a durable franchise with stacking capabilities, expanding into new GU, GI, and other indications.

Cabozantinib Franchise Performance and Market Leadership

The cabozantinib franchise continues to demonstrate strong commercial performance, with U.S. net product revenues growing 10% year-over-year to $573 million and global revenues growing 13% to $806 million in Q2 2026. CABOMETYX remains the leading TKI for RCC, the market leader for oral second-line plus NET, and a key player in liver and thyroid cancers.

Its TRx volume grew 12% year-over-year, outpacing the overall oral TKI market basket.

Neuroendocrine Tumor (NET) Indication Dynamics

While the NET indication for cabozantinib is experiencing a more gradual ramp than initially projected, due to the indolent nature and unique patient kinetics of this tumor type, the company remains confident in its long-term potential. CABOMETYX has achieved a second-line plus oral new patient market share greater than 45%, and increased refills are expected to drive future demand.

The expanded GI sales team and refined targeting are optimizing promotional efforts in this segment.

STELLAR-303 and CRC Market Opportunity

The NDA for zanzalintinib plus atezolizumab in third-line plus colorectal cancer, based on STELLAR-303 data, is a top priority with a PDUFA date in early December. This represents a significant commercial opportunity in a large tumor type, with approximately 23,000 patients in the U.S. and an overall market potential of $1.5 billion. Physicians express excitement for a potential immunotherapy-containing regimen for this unmet need.

Broadening Zanzalintinib's Clinical Development

Exelixis is actively expanding zanzalintinib's development across multiple indications. This includes STELLAR-316 in resected Stage II/III CRC with molecular residual disease, STELLAR-311 in neuroendocrine tumors (with enrollment ahead of projections), STELLAR-304 in non-clear cell RCC (with top-line results expected H2 2026), and collaborations with Merck on LITESPARK trials in clear cell RCC.

Additionally, expansion cohorts in STELLAR-002 are exploring zanza in metastatic bladder cancer and castration-resistant prostate cancer, and STELLAR-201 is evaluating it in recurrent meningioma with strong enrollment.

Financial Discipline and Capital Allocation

The company maintains a disciplined approach to expense management and capital allocation, as evidenced by the reduction in R&D expense guidance while keeping projected free cash flow largely unchanged. Exelixis repurchased $312 million of common stock in Q2 2026, completing a prior program and having $598 million remaining under a new $750 million authorization, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders while investing in the pipeline.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.