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    GRPN
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Groupon Q2 FY26 earnings call GRPN

    Aug 7, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Groupon Q2 FY26 — AI-Driven Transformation and Accelerating Growth

    Groupon is undergoing a company-wide AI-native transformation, Project Foundry, to enhance execution velocity and customer experience. While Q2 saw a slight top-line miss, particularly in North America local, the company reported strong adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, with July showing accelerating growth. Management is confident in achieving its fourth consecutive year of improving revenue growth, driven by platform migration, strategic bets, and increased marketing investment.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted EBITDA finished at the high end of guidance range, with a value of $19M-$21M for Q3 and $75M-$80M for FY26.

    • Free cash flow was strong at a positive $15M in Q2, with a full-year outlook of at least $60M.

    • Business accelerated to mid-single-digit growth in July, with second half revenue growth expected to be 6%-10%.

    • Organic channel revenue returned to growth in Q2 and accelerated to double-digit growth in July.

    • Engineering output per developer has more than doubled in the past six months due to AI integration.

    Concerns

    4
    • Top-line shortfall in Q2, with billings and revenue each down 1% year over year.

    • North America local segment continued to see pressure in Q2 and came in below expectations.

    • Q3 Free Cash Flow is expected to be negative.

    • Slower run across growth drivers could affect the ability to reach the accelerated outlook.

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q3 Billings growth
    4%-6%
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 Revenue
    $128M-$130M
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 Adjusted EBITDA
    $19M-$21M
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 Free Cash Flow
    negative
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Billings growth
    3%-5%
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Revenue
    $513M-$523M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
    $75M-$80M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Free Cash Flow
    at least $60M
    high materiality
    High
    Second half Revenue growth
    approximately 6%-10%
    high materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    14
    Billings growth
    -1%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Q2 billings fell slightly short on the top line.

    Revenue growth
    -1%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Q2 revenue fell slightly short on the top line.

    Business acceleration
    mid-single-digit growth
    July

    Business accelerating in July, a positive signal for H2 trajectory.

    Organic channel revenue growth
    double-digit growth
    July

    Organic channel revenue returned to growth in Q2 and accelerated in July.

    Managed channels revenue growth
    strong double digits
    Q2 FY26

    Managed channels continued their improving trajectory on the customer data platform.

    Engineering output per developer
    more than doubled
    past six months

    Progress attributed to Project Foundry and AI integration.

    AI customer support resolution speed
    three times faster
    start of the year

    AI now resolves the large majority of customer support contacts.

    Purchase frequency
    improving
    ongoing

    Ultimate metric for tracking trust and quality, driven by personalization and customer experience improvements.

    Conversion to second purchase
    ongoing

    A very important metric followed internally, tracking how many new customers make a second purchase within 7 or 30 days.

    Marketing allocation
    reallocating resources
    ongoing

    Shifting towards campaigns that bring customers with better purchase frequency and lifetime value.

    AI voice agent program objective
    majority
    end of this year

    Goal for AI agents to set the majority of new merchant meetings, allowing sales teams to focus on qualified conversations.

    Trust and quality ramp-up
    200%
    future

    Management's internal target for the completeness and effectiveness of the trust and quality initiatives before expanding promotional communication.

    Gifting option impact
    50% more
    future

    Example of AI-driven sales brain recommendation: if a merchant adds a gifting option, they can expect 50% more revenue.

    Refund rate reduction
    from 10% to 2%
    future

    Example of AI-driven sales brain recommendation: fixing deal quality issues can reduce refund rates significantly.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Regional market performancemid-single-digit growth%
    Subscription membership program
    Operating income EBIT and adjusted EBITDA$19M-$21MUSD

    Product announcements

    4
    ProductTypeDetails
    Groupon AI conciergelaunch
    Redesigned redemption experienceupdate
    Deal verificationupdate
    New app experience/onboardingupdate

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    McDonald'sMarketing partnership with the McDonald's loyalty app.shorter duration

    First partnership of its type, with plans to bring more similar collaborations with recognized brands.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    North America local segment pressureQ2 FY26

    came in below our expectations

    Mitigation: New leadership (Adi Rajkumar, Mark March) to drive impact; business acceleration in July.

    Slower run across growth driversH2 FY26

    affect our ability to reach it

    Mitigation: Focus on platform rollout, organic growth, managed channels, personalization, increased marketing, and AI-native transformation.

    Pressure on consumer walletsongoing

    increasing

    Mitigation: Increases the appeal of value, which is Groupon's core consumer proposition; increases merchants' need for demand.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Q3 Billings growth

    Q3 FY26
    CurrentQ2: -1% YoY
    Target4%-6%

    Why it matters

    Verifies the expected acceleration in top-line performance and momentum into the second half of the year.

    For the third quarter, we expect billing growth of 4-6%.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Can you provide more details on the new UI rollout, especially since the classic UI is still visible on the website?

    The company is in the final phases of migrating all countries and surfaces to the new MobileNex platform, expected to be complete in Q3. This platform enables faster development and personalization. They are running multiple tests and piloting new features weekly to improve user experience, including showing important deal parameters and fine print more visibly to build trust.

    We are running multiple tests, and we already developed multiple features, which we are testing and piloting. And we are identifying user groups who best interact with these features. And I see and expect that during the third quarter, it's pretty much every week when we introduce something new to improve the user experience in terms of personalization.

    asked by Robert Brooks · answered by Dusan Senkypl

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Project Foundry and AI-Native Transformation

    Project Foundry, introduced last quarter, is Groupon's most consequential initiative, aiming to redesign the company as AI-native. The goal is for AI to handle all repetitive work, allowing employees to manage AI agents or interact with customers and merchants. This transformation is expected to increase execution velocity and collapse the time between identifying needs and shipping solutions. Management aims for the organization to be AI-fluent by default by the end of 2026, with engineering output per developer already more than doubling in the past six months.

    02

    Organic Search and Marketing Engine

    Groupon's search foundation work is yielding results, with revenue from organic channels returning to growth in Q2 and accelerating to double-digit growth in July. The company uses AI to produce and structure quality local content at scale, making its platform more relevant to traditional search engines and AI systems. This, combined with a high-performing paid marketing engine, is strengthening Groupon's reach. The company plans to allocate more marketing investment in the second half, expecting improving returns.

    03

    Personalization and Customer Experience

    A key focus is making the Groupon experience more personal and relevant to deepen engagement and increase purchase frequency. Managed channels showed strong double-digit revenue growth in Q2, leveraging a customer data platform to send fewer, more effective messages. The company is building customized experiences, allowing different customers to see different interfaces (map, carousels, swipe-based). Customer signals can now be translated into shipped features on the same day, a cycle that previously took months.

    04

    Trust and Quality Initiative

    Groupon's newest strategic bet is on building a curated experience marketplace where every deal earns its place. The company is raising the bar on deal quality, having remediated or removed hundreds of deals that did not meet standards. AI now resolves the large majority of customer support contacts three times faster than at the start of the year. In the second half, initiatives include verification before deal publication, a redesigned redemption experience, and a pilot of a Groupon AI concierge to assist customers.

    05

    Platform Migration and Leadership Changes

    The company continues to rebuild its technology stack, with expectations that every surface in every geography will be fully migrated to the new platform by the end of Q3. This new platform unlocks new opportunities and accelerates development pace. Groupon also strengthened its leadership team with Adi Rajkumar joining as Chief Operating Officer and Mark March as VP of Marketplace Strategy and Operations, both bringing experience from successful local marketplaces to address North America local supply engine performance.

    06

    Supply-Side AI Integration and Merchant Outreach

    Groupon is expanding its AI voice agent program for merchant outreach, aiming for the majority of new merchant meetings to be set by AI agents by year-end, allowing sales teams to focus on qualified conversations. This is evolving into a multi-touch AI engine that orchestrates various communication channels (email, paid campaigns, AI calls) to acquire merchants. An internal 'sales brain' uses AI to digest merchant information and performance data, providing recommendations to salespersons to optimize product portfolios and improve deal quality.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.