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Groupon (GRPN) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Communication Services· Aug 7, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Groupon Q2 FY26 — AI-Driven Transformation and Accelerating Growth

Groupon is undergoing a company-wide AI-native transformation, Project Foundry, to enhance execution velocity and customer experience. While Q2 saw a slight top-line miss, particularly in North America local, the company reported strong adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, with July showing accelerating growth. Management is confident in achieving its fourth consecutive year of improving revenue growth, driven by platform migration, strategic bets, and increased marketing investment.

Highlights

5
  • Adjusted EBITDA finished at the high end of guidance range, with a value of $19M-$21M for Q3 and $75M-$80M for FY26.

  • Free cash flow was strong at a positive $15M in Q2, with a full-year outlook of at least $60M.

  • Business accelerated to mid-single-digit growth in July, with second half revenue growth expected to be 6%-10%.

  • Organic channel revenue returned to growth in Q2 and accelerated to double-digit growth in July.

  • Engineering output per developer has more than doubled in the past six months due to AI integration.

Concerns

4
  • Top-line shortfall in Q2, with billings and revenue each down 1% year over year.

  • North America local segment continued to see pressure in Q2 and came in below expectations.

  • Q3 Free Cash Flow is expected to be negative.

  • Slower run across growth drivers could affect the ability to reach the accelerated outlook.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q3 Billings growth
4%-6%
high materiality
High
Q3 Revenue
$128M-$130M
high materiality
High
Q3 Adjusted EBITDA
$19M-$21M
high materiality
High
Q3 Free Cash Flow
negative
medium materiality
High
Full-year Billings growth
3%-5%
high materiality
High
Full-year Revenue
$513M-$523M
high materiality
High
Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
$75M-$80M
high materiality
High
Full-year Free Cash Flow
at least $60M
high materiality
High
Second half Revenue growth
approximately 6%-10%
high materiality
High

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Groupon AI conciergelaunch
Redesigned redemption experienceupdate
Deal verificationupdate
New app experience/onboardingupdate

Deals & partnerships

McDonald's Marketing partnership with the McDonald's loyalty app. shorter duration

First partnership of its type, with plans to bring more similar collaborations with recognized brands.

Risks & headwinds

North America local segment pressure Q2 FY26

came in below our expectations

Mitigation:New leadership (Adi Rajkumar, Mark March) to drive impact; business acceleration in July.

Slower run across growth drivers H2 FY26

affect our ability to reach it

Mitigation:Focus on platform rollout, organic growth, managed channels, personalization, increased marketing, and AI-native transformation.

Pressure on consumer wallets ongoing

increasing

Mitigation:Increases the appeal of value, which is Groupon's core consumer proposition; increases merchants' need for demand.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Q3 Billings growth

Q3 FY26
Current Q2: -1% YoY
Target 4%-6%

Why it matters

Verifies the expected acceleration in top-line performance and momentum into the second half of the year.

For the third quarter, we expect billing growth of 4-6%.

Find out whether GRPN delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Can you provide more details on the new UI rollout, especially since the classic UI is still visible on the website?

The company is in the final phases of migrating all countries and surfaces to the new MobileNex platform, expected to be complete in Q3. This platform enables faster development and personalization. They are running multiple tests and piloting new features weekly to improve user experience, including showing important deal parameters and fine print more visibly to build trust.

“We are running multiple tests, and we already developed multiple features, which we are testing and piloting. And we are identifying user groups who best interact with these features. And I see and expect that during the third quarter, it's pretty much every week when we introduce something new to improve the user experience in terms of personalization.”

asked by Robert Brooks · answered by Dusan Senkypl

3 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Project Foundry and AI-Native Transformation

Project Foundry, introduced last quarter, is Groupon's most consequential initiative, aiming to redesign the company as AI-native. The goal is for AI to handle all repetitive work, allowing employees to manage AI agents or interact with customers and merchants. This transformation is expected to increase execution velocity and collapse the time between identifying needs and shipping solutions.

Management aims for the organization to be AI-fluent by default by the end of 2026, with engineering output per developer already more than doubling in the past six months.

Organic Search and Marketing Engine

Groupon's search foundation work is yielding results, with revenue from organic channels returning to growth in Q2 and accelerating to double-digit growth in July. The company uses AI to produce and structure quality local content at scale, making its platform more relevant to traditional search engines and AI systems.

This, combined with a high-performing paid marketing engine, is strengthening Groupon's reach. The company plans to allocate more marketing investment in the second half, expecting improving returns.

Personalization and Customer Experience

A key focus is making the Groupon experience more personal and relevant to deepen engagement and increase purchase frequency. Managed channels showed strong double-digit revenue growth in Q2, leveraging a customer data platform to send fewer, more effective messages. The company is building customized experiences, allowing different customers to see different interfaces (map, carousels, swipe-based).

Customer signals can now be translated into shipped features on the same day, a cycle that previously took months.

Trust and Quality Initiative

Groupon's newest strategic bet is on building a curated experience marketplace where every deal earns its place. The company is raising the bar on deal quality, having remediated or removed hundreds of deals that did not meet standards. AI now resolves the large majority of customer support contacts three times faster than at the start of the year.

In the second half, initiatives include verification before deal publication, a redesigned redemption experience, and a pilot of a Groupon AI concierge to assist customers.

Platform Migration and Leadership Changes

The company continues to rebuild its technology stack, with expectations that every surface in every geography will be fully migrated to the new platform by the end of Q3. This new platform unlocks new opportunities and accelerates development pace. Groupon also strengthened its leadership team with Adi Rajkumar joining as Chief Operating Officer and Mark March as VP of Marketplace Strategy and Operations, both bringing experience from successful local marketplaces to address North America local supply engine performance.

Supply-Side AI Integration and Merchant Outreach

Groupon is expanding its AI voice agent program for merchant outreach, aiming for the majority of new merchant meetings to be set by AI agents by year-end, allowing sales teams to focus on qualified conversations. This is evolving into a multi-touch AI engine that orchestrates various communication channels (email, paid campaigns, AI calls) to acquire merchants.

An internal 'sales brain' uses AI to digest merchant information and performance data, providing recommendations to salespersons to optimize product portfolios and improve deal quality.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.