Detailed Narrative
Operating Environment and Consumer Trends
Consumer sentiment remains soft, with shoppers continuing to be value-oriented and selective in their spending. The impact from SNAP program changes in the first half was very modest, tracking slightly better than planned, with household spending reductions more moderate than initially observed. Evolving health and wellness trends, including GLP-1 adoption, are also tracking in line with expectations, with the company's portfolio well-positioned across a broad range of snacking occasions.
North America Confectionery Performance and Outlook
The North America Confectionery segment delivered 6% reported net sales growth in the first half. Marketplace demand, including non-measured channels and Easter shipments, was strong, up approximately 5%. Elasticities increased slightly in Q2 but remained better than the full-year outlook, demonstrating the strength of the brands. The company expects a 30% year-over-year increase in brand investment and a 30% increase in new innovation items in the second half to support growth.
North America Salty Snacks Challenges and Capital Deployment
North America Salty Snacks reported 24% net sales growth in the first half, but organic net sales were only up 3% due to Q2 supply challenges with multipacks and Dot's pretzels. Consumer demand for the portfolio remains strong, and the company is deploying capital for automation and capacity to address these issues. Capacity for Dot's is expected online in 2027, with automation helping immediately, aiming to capture full demand benefit and improve H2 margins.
International Segment Strength and Optimization Initiatives
The International segment continues to outperform expectations, with 11% net sales growth and nearly 6% organic growth in the first half, driven by strong results in Brazil and the U.K. While the segment experienced margin pressure from higher cocoa costs and logistics, optimization programs are planned for the second half. These programs are expected to weigh on short-term performance but are designed to unlock further margin improvement and long-term success for the business.
Cocoa Outlook and Hedging Strategy
The company has good visibility into cocoa deflation for 2027, even if futures remain at current levels. Management believes the market is already pricing in El Nino speculation, and does not expect cocoa prices to remain at current levels long-term due to historic surpluses, diversified supply, and an agile industry. Hedging strategies are in place to allow flexibility to participate in further deflation as markets normalize, supporting the 2027 earnings outlook.
Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns
The company repurchased $370 million of common shares in Q2, with $270 million remaining under the December 2023 authorization. In June 2026, the Board approved an incremental $500 million share repurchase authorization, reflecting confidence in the long-term outlook, balance sheet flexibility, and commitment to returning excess cash to shareholders while continuing to invest in the business. Dividends paid totaled $286 million, up 6% year-over-year.