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    ICE
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Intercontinental Exchange Q2 FY26 earnings call ICE

    Jul 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. Q2 FY26 — Record Quarter Driven by MarketAxess Acquisition and Strong Recurring Revenue

    Intercontinental Exchange reported a record second quarter, highlighted by the strategic acquisition of MarketAxess for $5.7 billion, aimed at expanding its fixed income network and leveraging its data and technology. The company demonstrated strong financial performance with record recurring revenues and adjusted EPS, driven by robust growth in its Exchanges and Fixed Income & Data Services segments. ICE continues to invest in future growth, including AI-driven solutions in mortgage technology and accelerated CapEx, while maintaining a commitment to capital returns and deleveraging post-acquisition.

    Highlights

    5
    • Reported the best second quarter in company history with adjusted EPS of $1.90, a record.

    • Net revenues increased 5% to $2.7 billion, with adjusted operating income at $1.6 billion.

    • Recurring revenues reached a record $1.4 billion, up 8%, demonstrating platform resilience.

    • Exchanges net revenue was $1.5 billion, with rates business growing 24% and NYSE transaction revenue up 15%.

    • Fixed Income and Data Services net revenue grew 8% to $645 million, with recurring revenue up 10% and index AUM reaching $922 billion, up 29% YoY.

    Concerns

    2
    • Gross leverage is expected to peak temporarily around 3.4x pro forma EBITDA post-MarketAxess acquisition, targeting return to 3x or below within 18 to 24 months.

    • Energy volumes were softer this quarter, though total OI across energy markets was up 8% year-to-date.

    Guidance & targets

    11
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    MarketAxess acquisition close
    first half of 2027
    high materiality
    High
    MarketAxess adjusted EPS accretion
    immediately accretive to ICE's adjusted earnings per share in the first year post close
    high materiality
    High
    MarketAxess annualized expense synergies
    approximately $100 million
    high materiality
    High
    Gross leverage ratio
    return to 3x or below
    high materiality
    High
    Baseline share repurchases
    increase from $350 million to $400 million per quarter
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted operating expenses
    $1.063 billion to $1.73 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Full year adjusted operating expenses
    between $4.190 billion and $4.230 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Full year CapEx
    approximately $850 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Exchange recurring revenue growth
    high single-digit range
    medium materiality
    High
    FIDs recurring revenue growth
    7% to 8%
    medium materiality
    High
    Mortgage Technology recurring revenue
    remain around current levels
    low materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Exchanges
    Compounding on double-digit growth from prior years. NYSE led industry in transfers year-to-date with nearly $400 billion in market cap.
    Rates business growth: 24% YoYTotal futures and options open interest: up 20% YoYNYSE transaction revenue: up 15% YoYExchange data and connectivity services growth: 12%Exchange recurring revenue: $416 million, up 10%
    $1.5 billion
    Fixed Income and Data Services
    Record revenues aided by strong net new business, pricing and reference data, deepening consumption of fixed income data sets, and momentum in index business. Included approximately $8 million of one-time items.
    Recurring revenue: $531 million, up 10%CDS clearing business: best non-role quarter in franchise historyIndex business ETF AUM: $922 billion, up 29% YoYData Network Technology revenues growth: 11%
    $645 million8%
    Mortgage Technology
    Strongest quarterly performance since H1 2022 on a pro forma basis (inclusive of Black Knight). Transaction revenue driven by Encompass closed loan revenues and growth in closing solutions. Recurring revenues benefited from product adoption, normalization of Encompass contract renewals, and new client ramps. Included approximately $3 million of one-time items.
    Transaction revenue growth: 11%Recurring revenues: $406 million
    $557 million5%

    Operational metrics

    25
    Adjusted operating expenses
    $1.038 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Year-over-year growth driven by performance-related compensation, accelerated technology investment in data center footprint, and incremental G&A from product development.

    Capital expenditure
    $262 million
    Q2 FY26

    Accelerated investments in hardware and real estate footprint.

    Share repurchases executed
    $651 million
    Q2 FY26

    Included an incremental $300 million executed when shares disconnected from fundamentals.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    $945 million
    Q2 FY26

    Another record for the quarter.

    Total capital returned to shareholders
    $1.8 billion
    H1 FY26

    Another record for the first half.

    Leverage ratio
    2.8x
    Q2 FY26 end

    Within target range.

    Total futures and options open interest growth
    20%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Signaling structural engagement.

    Market data user base growth
    10%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Rates franchise open interest
    53 million contractsup over 50% YoY
    June

    Euribor options OI set a new all-time high.

    European and UK rates total value of positions
    $62.3 trillionroughly triple 3 years ago
    mid-June

    Exceeds comparable market tied to U.S. dollar rates for the first time.

    Sonia average daily volume growth
    39%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Euribor average daily volume growth
    12%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Financials open interest growth
    40%
    Q3 FY26 YTD

    Momentum carried into Q3.

    Energy markets total open interest growth
    8%
    YTD

    Despite softer Q2 volumes.

    TTF market data subscribers growth
    more than 17%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Energy markets open interest growth
    9%
    5-year average
    Energy options open interest growth
    18%
    5-year average

    Options now make up 40% of energy OI, up from roughly 1/4 in 2021.

    Energy options open interest share
    40%up from roughly 1/4 in 2021
    Q2 FY26
    Energy options participation growth
    8%double the pace of futures
    5-year average
    Oil markets share (regional oil freight and NGL markers)
    90%
    Q2 FY26

    Very little of the world's oil trades without touching ICE markets.

    Crude options market share
    above 68%
    Q2 FY26

    Demand for crude options set new highs.

    Brent options volume growth
    46%
    YTD
    Fixed income data and analytics business growth
    9%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Drove another record quarter for recurring revenue.

    Mortgage Technology network touchpoint
    9 out of 10
    Q2 FY26

    ICE Mortgage Technology is the network of record for U.S. housing finance.

    Servicing business API and web services calls
    $10.7 billionup 39% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects how deeply clients are building on ICE platforms.

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    ICE Compasslaunch
    Economic Indicator Futureslaunch
    GPU Compute Futureslaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    MarketAxessAcquisition of MarketAxess to expand ICE's global fixed income network, combining institutional and retail/wealth liquidity pools.$5.7 billion enterprise value ($167 per share)

    Offer price represents a 33% premium to MarketAxess closing price as of July 29. Financed entirely in cash through newly issued bonds, term loan, and commercial paper. Gross leverage expected to peak temporarily around 3.4x pro forma EBITDA, targeting return to 3x or below within 18-24 months.

    ApolloInitiative to connect private credit clients to ICE's platform, using the same rails as public credit.

    Aims to bring private credit clients into the expanded fixed income network, leveraging ICE's infrastructure to serve private credit markets.

    Risks & headwinds

    5
    Temporary increase in gross leverage post-MarketAxess acquisitionpost-close

    peak temporarily around 3.4x pro forma EBITDA

    Mitigation: Targeting a return to 3x or below within 18 to 24 months; commitment to maintaining strong investment-grade credit rating; increased baseline share repurchases from $350M to $400M per quarter.

    Regulatory approvals for MarketAxess acquisitionuntil H1 2027 close

    null

    Mitigation: Subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

    Softer energy volumesQ2 FY26

    null

    Mitigation: Customers keep risk on books through the cycle; structural long-dated risk transfer; options growth for complex hedging; global all-weather benchmark platform.

    Regulatory uncertainty around perpetual futures (perps)ongoing

    null

    Mitigation: CFTC open to FX/crypto perps but market pushback for real-world assets; SEC likely to assert jurisdiction over securities traded as perps as security swaps; ICE working within regulated businesses.

    Potential for errors or hallucination in AI modelsongoing

    null

    Mitigation: Human in the loop for high-risk decisions; governance, audit logs, and human approvals built into AI-powered products; adherence to evolving guidelines (e.g., GSEs); external auditor for AI processes.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    MarketAxess acquisition regulatory progress

    Next quarter
    CurrentDefinitive agreement entered
    TargetProgress towards regulatory approvals

    Why it matters

    The acquisition is a major strategic move, and regulatory progress is key to its expected H1 2027 close and realization of synergies.

    We expect the transaction to close in the first half of 2027, subject to regulatory approvals and customary closing conditions.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Why is ICE the best owner, and what gives confidence in improving MarketAxess's performance given its historical trends?

    Jeff Sprecher stated ICE was late to fixed income execution but built an ecosystem around existing players (data, indices, clearing, retail/wealth execution). The timing is right to combine MarketAxess's institutional network with ICE's retail/wealth liquidity on a common network. Chris Edmonds added that the deal addresses friction points and creates economies of scale, generating more opportunities and improving client operational efficiency.

    But at the core is the actual transaction. And there's just with this moment in time when we think the 2 companies are ripe to come together to get together on 1 common network.

    asked by Dan Fannon · answered by Jeffrey Sprecher

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    MarketAxess Acquisition Strategy

    ICE's acquisition of MarketAxess for $5.7 billion aims to extend its strategy of digitizing analog markets, particularly in global fixed income. The deal combines ICE's existing fixed income data, indices, clearing, and retail/wealth execution (ICE Bonds) with MarketAxess's leading institutional credit liquidity network. This integration is expected to create a fully integrated front-to-back ecosystem, connecting diverse liquidity pools and improving efficiency for clients by collapsing fragmented workflows into a single platform.

    02

    Fixed Income Network Expansion

    The combined entity will connect retail and institutional liquidity, offering a common set of rails for clients and leveraging ICE's robust data sets for efficient price discovery across millions of infrequently traded instruments. This expanded network will also integrate MarketAxess's treasury rates trading platform with ICE's newly approved treasury clearing system, extending capabilities into interest rate markets. The strategy is designed to create a "flywheel effect" where more liquidity generates more data, leading to more powerful analytics, attracting more users, and compounding value.

    03

    AI and Data Monetization

    ICE is actively leveraging AI to enhance its data and analytics offerings. The newly expanded ICE Model Context Protocol (MCP) server provides a governed channel for proprietary data into clients' AI workflows, ensuring auditability and contextual foundation for institutions. This approach is also being applied to private credit, with plans to connect public and private credit clients via initiatives like the one with Apollo, using the same underlying rails.

    04

    Mortgage Technology and Agentic AI

    ICE Mortgage Technology, which touches 9 out of 10 U.S. mortgages, is implementing "agentic AI" directly into its Encompass (originations) and MSP (servicing) platforms. This AI assists humans in high-risk decisions (e.g., underwriting, pricing, escrow) with built-in governance and audit logs, rather than operating autonomously. Examples include automating service ordering and fee calculations in Encompass, and handling high-volume borrower questions and back-office workflows (escrow, investor reconciliation) in MSP, driving efficiency for clients.

    05

    Exchanges Performance and Rates Business

    The Exchanges segment delivered strong performance, particularly in its rates business, which grew 24% year-over-year. This was driven by increased investor engagement in managing duration exposure following the reversal of the global easing cycle. Total futures and options open interest was up 20% year-over-year, with European and UK rates (Euribor, Sonia, Ester) reaching $62.3 trillion in open interest, exceeding comparable U.S. dollar rates for the first time, reflecting a structural shift in global interest rate risk management.

    06

    Energy Markets Evolution

    While Q2 energy volumes were softer, total open interest across energy markets was up 8% year-to-date, indicating sustained risk management. The company highlighted the structural shift in global supply chains and European energy, leading to increased complexity and demand for hedging. ICE's TTF contract has become a global benchmark for natural gas, and its crude oil benchmarks (Brent, Dubai) are adapting to geopolitical shifts, with options growing significantly as a tool for managing complex, longer-dated risk.

    07

    New Product Development

    ICE continues to innovate with new products, including ICE Compass, an AI-powered pre-trade analytics platform for fixed income that estimates bid/ask prices and ranks counterparties for buy-side investors. The company also announced new economic indicator futures (central bank rates, U.S. natural gas storage) and GPU compute futures developed with on and native, bringing price discovery and hedging to the AI-driven compute market.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.