Skip to content
    KDP
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Keurig Dr Pepper Q2 FY26 earnings call KDP

    Aug 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Keurig Dr Pepper Q2 FY26 — Strong Performance Across Beverages and JDE Peet's Integration Progress

    Keurig Dr Pepper delivered strong Q2 FY26 results, exceeding expectations with robust growth in U.S. refreshment beverages and better-than-anticipated profitability from JDE Peet's. The company is on track with its full-year guidance and making significant progress on the JDE Peet's integration and separation into two independent entities by early 2027, despite ongoing challenges in the U.S. coffee segment.

    Highlights

    5
    • Consolidated net sales grew 74.6% in Q2, reflecting the JDE Peet's acquisition and 7.3% growth in legacy KDP.

    • Consolidated operating income increased 42.9% and EPS grew 16.3% to $0.57 in Q2.

    • U.S. Refreshment Beverages net sales grew 10% with 6.5 percentage points from volume/mix, and operating income grew 11.9%.

    • The energy portfolio achieved 9% market share, up from less than 1% four years ago, with a current $1.5 billion net revenue run rate.

    • Pro forma management leverage reduced to 4.4x at quarter-end, better than expected, with a target of 4.1x by year-end.

    Concerns

    3
    • U.S. Coffee net sales declined 3.2% and operating income declined 24.7% due to significantly higher input costs (green coffee, tariffs) and category slowdown.

    • Consolidated gross margin was 46.5%, 860 basis points below prior year, primarily due to the mix impact of adding JDE Peet's.

    • Legacy KDP gross margin contracted 210 basis points as elevated cost pressures more than offset benefits from pricing and productivity.

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Total company net sales
    $25.9B to $26.4B
    high materiality
    High
    Legacy KDP constant currency net sales growth
    4% to 6%
    high materiality
    High
    Total company constant currency EPS growth
    low double-digit
    high materiality
    High
    JDE Peet's acquisition EPS contribution
    6 to 7 percentage points
    medium materiality
    High
    Legacy KDP constant currency EPS growth
    4% to 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    FX tailwind to total company net sales and EPS growth
    approximately 1 percentage point
    low materiality
    High
    JDE Peet's depreciation expense headwind to EPS
    incremental 2%
    medium materiality
    High
    Interest expense
    $1.12B to $1.14B
    low materiality
    High
    Effective tax rate
    22% to 23%
    low materiality
    High
    Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
    approximately 1.37 billion
    low materiality
    High
    Pretax coffee JV costs
    $190M
    low materiality
    High
    Convertible preferred P&L costs
    8% proportionate share of earnings
    low materiality
    High
    Free cash flow
    $2.5B
    high materiality
    High
    Pro forma management leverage
    approximately 4.1x
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    U.S. Refreshment Beverages
    Strong growth across core portfolio and newer growth platforms, led by CSDs, energy, water, and sports hydration. Market share gained, particularly in Dr Pepper and prebiotic CSDs. Energy portfolio achieved a key milestone crossing 9% market share.
    volume/mix growth: 6.5 percentage pointsnet price realization: 3.5 pointsDr Pepper Zero Sugar retail sales growth: nearly 30%Canada Dry retail sales increase: double-digit rateEnergy portfolio market share: 9%
    10%11.9% growth
    U.S. Coffee
    Performance consistent with Q1, impacted by significantly higher input costs (green coffee, tariffs), category volume declines, and unfavorable portfolio mix. Brewer shipments returned to growth, and licensed K-Cups and cold coffee platforms showed strong momentum. Expects improving trends in H2.
    volume mix decline: 8.2 percentage pointsPod shipments decline (as-reported): 11.6%Pod shipments decline (ex-Peet's shift): 8.3%Brewer shipments increase: 2.1%Net price realization: 5 percentage pointsLicensed MIC Cafe K-Cups retail sales growth: mid-single-digit rateLa Colombe ready-to-drink retail sales growth: over 50%La Colombe ready-to-drink market share gain: more than 1 point
    -3.2%-24.7% decline
    JDE Peet's
    Exceeded expectations, driven by favorable pricing, robust productivity savings from 'reignite amazing' program, and timing factors. LOR and Peet's brands contributed to strong retail sales growth. Initial cost synergies are building. Q2 operating profit likely represents the high watermark for 2026 due to timing benefits and K-Cup transition.
    LOR retail sales growth: high single-digit rate
    $2.8B$414M
    KDP International
    Strengthened from Q1, with balanced performance across Mexico and Canada. Mexico saw pricing as a key driver, return to volume growth, and easing beverage tax impact. Canada's growth was broad-based across cold beverages and coffee.
    volume mix gains: 6.5 percentage pointsnet price realization: 5.9 pointsPenafiel's Ades and Twist platforms retail sales growth: robust double-digit rates
    12.4%flat

    Operational metrics

    15
    Consolidated net sales growth
    74.6%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflecting the JDE Peet's acquisition.

    Consolidated operating income growth
    42.9%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Includes below-the-line impact from acquisition financing.

    EPS growth
    16.3%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Includes below-the-line impact from acquisition financing.

    EPS
    $0.57
    Q2 FY26

    Non-GAAP adjusted basis.

    Legacy KDP net sales growth
    7.3%
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding JDE Peet's contribution.

    Legacy KDP net price realization
    4.2
    Q2 FY26

    Contribution to legacy KDP net sales growth.

    Legacy KDP volume mix contribution
    3.1
    Q2 FY26

    Contribution to legacy KDP net sales growth.

    Consolidated gross margin
    46.5%860 basis points below prior year
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily due to the mix impact of adding JDE Peet's to the portfolio.

    Legacy KDP gross margin contraction
    210
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding the acquisition impact, gross margin contracted.

    Legacy KDP gross profit dollars increase
    3.2%
    Q2 FY26

    On an absolute basis, gross profit dollars increased.

    SG&A as percent of sales decline
    400
    Q2 FY26

    Consolidated SG&A as a percent of sales declined.

    Legacy KDP SG&A leverage
    100
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding the mix impact from JDE Peet's, SG&A leveraged.

    Pro forma management leverage
    4.4x
    Q2 FY26 end

    Slightly better than expectations, following JDE Peet's close.

    Energy business net revenue run rate
    $1.5B
    current

    Current run rate for the energy business.

    Nutrabolt ownership stake
    36%
    current

    KDP owns a 36% stake in Nutrabolt, which includes the Bloom brand, and has multiple board seats.

    Industry KPIs

    8
    MetricValueDetails
    Category brand share9%%
    EPS organic EPS growth16.3%%
    Gross operating margin46.5%%
    Organic revenue growth7.3%%
    Geographic regional mix
    Unit case volume growth-11.6%%
    Energy functional category health
    Pack architecture pricing actions

    Product announcements

    7
    ProductTypeDetails
    Dr Pepper Creamy Coconut LTOlaunch
    Canada Dry Fruit Splash Strawberrylaunch
    Bloom Crisp Apple and Summer Splashlaunch
    GHOST 7UP LTOlaunch
    C4 updated packagingupdate
    Peet's Middle Groundlaunch
    Keurig Altaroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    JDE Peet'sAcquisition of JDE Peet's to form Global Coffee Co.

    Acquisition closed in early April. Interim operating model stood up, with distinct responsibilities across KDP enterprise, beverage operating unit, and coffee operating unit leadership teams. Initial cost synergies are flowing through, and significant progress made on separation milestones.

    NutraboltLong-term partnership covering C4 and Bloom brands.long-term

    KDP has a strong relationship with Nutrabolt and its founders, with exciting plans to continue growing the Bloom brand. The partnership leverages KDP's DSD capability for distribution and display activity.

    Capital programs

    2
    JDE Peet's cost synergy programunderway$400M

    Benefit: Sizable opportunity in procurement, IT, SG&A, manufacturing and logistics.

    Teams across KDP, JDE Peet's, and third-party consultants worked on this ahead of the acquisition close. Financial contribution in Q2 was modest, with line of sight to building benefit in H2 and beyond 2026.

    reignite amazing programunderway

    Benefit: Healthy productivity savings.

    Generated healthy productivity savings through this program, further enhancing operating income in the JDE Peet's segment in Q2.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Dynamic external environmentback half 2026

    expected to remain dynamic

    Mitigation: Plans, executional discipline, and year-to-date performance reinforce confidence in delivering 2026 guidance.

    Green coffee cost volatilityrecent weeks

    inflationary in '24 and early '25, deflationary in latter part of '25 and early '26, inflationary again recently

    Mitigation: KDP typically forward hedges commodity purchases; H2 cost profile for U.S. Coffee expected to become more favorable as lower cost inventory and improving tariff impacts flow through P&L.

    Elevated green coffee costs and tariffsQ2 FY26

    impacted U.S. Coffee Q2 P&L

    Mitigation: Cost envelope expected to become more favorable in H2 as lower cost inventory and improving tariff impacts flow through.

    Coffee category slowdown and unfavorable portfolio mixQ2 FY26

    impacted U.S. Coffee Q2, reflected in 8.2 percentage point volume mix decline for U.S. Coffee

    Mitigation: Actioning plans to strengthen trends in pods and other coffee products, including brewer business inflection, commercial activity, and long-term growth initiatives around pod and brewer innovation.

    Trade inventory headwinds on podsQ2 FY26

    impacted U.S. Coffee Q2

    Mitigation: Volume mix expected to improve as trade inventory dynamics in pods begin to normalize in H2.

    Higher fixed asset depreciation expense for JDE Peet'sFull-year 2026

    incremental 2% noncash expense headwind to 2026 EPS

    Mitigation: Offset by an anticipated one-time cash benefit from tariff refunds, resulting in a neutral impact to full-year EPS outlook.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    U.S. Coffee profitability trends

    H2 FY26
    CurrentOperating income declined 24.7% in Q2 FY26
    TargetImproving profit trends

    Why it matters

    U.S. Coffee was a drag on overall performance; its recovery is key for achieving full-year targets and demonstrating the segment's long-term potential.

    While we continue to expect subdued segment results for the full year, our cost profile should improve in the coming quarters and we have good line of sight to improving profit trends in the back half.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Understand drivers of Q2 strength (owned vs. partners) and expectations for H2 deceleration, including volume/mix vs. pricing.

    Tim Cofer attributed Q2 strength to CSDs (Dr Pepper Zero Sugar +30%, Creamy Coconut LTO), energy (Bloom, GHOST, C4 refresh), sports hydration (Electrolit), and still beverages. He expects continued momentum in H2 but with moderation due to tougher comps. He emphasized the balanced contribution of owned and partner brands.

    We expect, quite honestly, these same drivers to support continued segment momentum. However, we will lap some tougher comps in the back half. And so we expect the magnitude of the growth, which was double digits so far this year to moderate a bit relative to H1.

    asked by Chris Carey · answered by Timothy Cofer

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    JDE Peet's Integration & Separation Progress

    Keurig Dr Pepper successfully closed the JDE Peet's acquisition in early April 2026 and immediately established an interim operating model to support both near-term delivery and separation readiness. Initial cost synergies have begun to flow through in Q2, and the U.S. sales force for the joint Keurig and Peet's portfolio has been consolidated to a single invoice without disruption. Significant progress has been made on finalizing post-separation organizational structures, IT, and financial reporting readiness for the planned early 2027 separation into two independent companies.

    02

    U.S. Refreshment Beverages Momentum

    The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment delivered strong double-digit net sales and operating income growth in Q2, driven by broad-based strength. Carbonated soft drinks saw healthy category trends and market share gains, led by Dr Pepper Zero Sugar (nearly 30% retail sales growth) and the successful Creamy Coconut LTO. The energy portfolio achieved a key milestone, crossing 9% market share, with Bloom and GHOST as top performers and C4's updated packaging showing encouraging early results with a double-digit sales lift. Growth was also seen in sports hydration, coconut water, and seltzer water.

    03

    U.S. Coffee Challenges & Outlook

    Q2 performance for U.S. Coffee was subdued, with net sales declining 3.2% and operating income falling 24.7%. This was primarily due to significantly higher input costs from elevated green coffee costs and tariffs flowing through the P&L, coupled with category volume declines and an unfavorable mix shift towards private label. Despite these headwinds, brewer shipments returned to growth, increasing 2.1%. Management anticipates improving trends in the back half of the year as cost pressures ease, trade inventory normalizes, and new commercial activities and innovation drive household penetration.

    04

    JDE Peet's Segment Outperformance

    The JDE Peet's segment generated approximately $2.8 billion in net sales and $414 million in operating income in Q2, exceeding expectations. This strong profitability was driven by effective pricing discipline, robust productivity savings from the 'reignite amazing' program, and favorable timing factors, including derivative gains and marketing phasing📎. LOR maintained strong momentum with high single-digit retail sales growth, and Peet's contributed through pricing, distribution growth, and successful innovation like 'Peet's Middle Ground.' Initial cost synergies are building and expected to accelerate in H2.

    05

    KDP International Rebound

    The KDP International segment strengthened from Q1, with net sales growing 12.4% and operating income remaining flat year-over-year. Performance was balanced across Mexico and Canada. In Mexico, pricing was a key driver, and the business returned to volume growth as the impact of the beverage tax eased, with Penafiel's Ades and Twist platforms showing robust double-digit retail sales growth. Canada's growth was broad-based, driven by cold beverages (CSDs, alcohol alternatives, energy, RTD tea) and coffee (price-led growth in pods and brewers).

    06

    Capital Allocation & Deleveraging

    Keurig Dr Pepper generated healthy free cash flow of $714 million in Q2, driven by strong EBITDA and improved working capital trends. The company remains on track to achieve its full-year target of approximately $2.5 billion in free cash flow. Pro forma management leverage was reduced to 4.4x at quarter-end, slightly better than expectations, and the company continues to target approximately 4.1x by year-end. This deleveraging is a key priority to support investment-grade credit ratings for both future companies post-separation.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.