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Keel Infrastructure (KEEL) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Information Technology· Aug 10, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Keel Infrastructure Q2 FY26 — Strategic Transition to HPC/AI Data Centers Advances Amidst Strong Demand

Keel Infrastructure is executing its strategic pivot from Bitcoin mining to HPC and AI data center development, leveraging its secured power assets. The company is advancing permitting and commercial negotiations for its key sites, aiming for 2027 energization dates, while maintaining a strong liquidity position to fund its transition and future growth. Management emphasizes patience in lease signing to optimize long-term value.

Highlights

4
  • Secured $458 million in convertible senior notes, upsized from $350 million, strengthening liquidity to $819 million as of August 7, 2026.

  • Advanced permitting across all three priority sites (Moses Lake, Sharon, Panther Creek) with clear visibility for completion.

  • Sherbrooke data center plans advanced, securing local approvals for a 96-megawatt HPC/AI power purchase agreement, pending provincial approval.

  • Moses Lake is on track to be the first fully commissioned data center in 2027, with long-lead items delivered and modules on site.

Concerns

4
  • Revenue declined to $30 million in Q2 FY26 from $61 million in Q2 FY25, primarily due to decreased Bitcoin price and mining shutdown.

  • Operating loss for the quarter was $141 million, including $63 million in accelerated depreciation from mining rig shutdown.

  • Adjusted EBITDA was negative $24 million in Q2 FY26, compared to $7 million in Q2 FY25.

  • Panther Creek's final environmental permitting is taking a few months longer than anticipated, though it does not impact the 2027 power delivery schedule.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Pennsylvania expansion capacity update
Fulsome update on securing additional power
medium materiality
High
Moses Lake data center commissioning
Fully commissioned and energized
high materiality
High
Panther Creek RFS date
2027
high materiality
High
Cash SG&A
$100 million
medium materiality
High
Bitcoin position liquidation
Liquidate Bitcoin position
medium materiality
High
Cash SG&A funding
Fully funded
medium materiality
High

Capital programs

Panther Creek and Scrubgrass power capacity expansion underway
Funding: $458 million convertible senior notes offering
Start: Q2 FY26

Benefit:Incremental power capacity

Proceeds from the convertible notes offering are earmarked to expand power capacity at these two de-risked owned sites. Not for new development risk.

Risks & headwinds

Broader macro environment impact on capital markets and financing Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Company has strong liquidity ($819M) and scarce 2027 power, positioning it well against market volatility. Will evaluate capital requirements post-lease signing when cost of capital is expected to decrease.

Panther Creek final environmental permitting delays Near-term

Taking a few months longer than originally anticipated

Mitigation:Does not change planned power delivery schedule (2027 RFS), anticipated economics, or commercial progress/interest. Permits are engineering-focused and routine.

Increased political/regulatory scrutiny on data centers in other states Ongoing

Unquantified

Mitigation:Such actions increase the value of sites not impacted, like Pennsylvania, which has a robust framework for large industrial consumers. Management believes blocking data center development is shortsighted given economic benefits.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Pennsylvania expansion capacity update

December or January
Current Increasingly confident in ability to convert potential expansion capacity from 2-gigawatt pipeline into more signed ESAs
Target Fulsome update on securing additional power

Why it matters

This will clarify the future growth pipeline beyond current secured capacity and is a key value driver for shareholders.

We expect we should be able to provide investors with a fulsome update as early as December or January.

Find out whether KEEL delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How are potential tenants viewing the increasing political and regulatory scrutiny on data centers across the U.S., and how does this impact Keel's sites?

Management noted that regulatory actions and moratoriums in some states increase the value of sites not impacted, like Pennsylvania, which already had a robust framework for large industrial consumers. This creates opportunities for Keel's sites as capacity is still needed in the U.S.

“I think one of the advantages that we have here in Pennsylvania is Pennsylvania is kind of enjoying the second mover advantage. It definitely wasn't the first to jump up there and start building data centers.”

asked by Gareth Gacetta · answered by Benjamin Gagnon

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategic Transformation & Execution

Keel Infrastructure has successfully executed its strategic pivot over the past 18 months, transitioning from Latin America and Bitcoin mining to an American HPC and AI company. The company rebuilt its balance sheet and focused on monetizing assets when power is scarce and demand is strong. This transformation reflects strategic discipline and consistent execution, delivering on commitments either on time or early.

Permitting & Leasing Progress

Significant progress has been made in advancing permitting across all three priority sites: Moses Lake, Sharon, and Panther Creek, with clear visibility for completion. The scarcity of near-term power in key locations is creating a strong negotiating position for Keel, driving commercial interest from multiple potential tenants, including leading AI companies, GPU clouds, and large enterprises.

Ganesh Aiyer was appointed President to lead these commercial efforts.

Expansion Capacity & Sherbrooke Development

Keel is increasingly confident in converting its 2-gigawatt Pennsylvania pipeline into more signed ESAs for HPC through 2030, with an update expected by December or January. In Sherbrooke, Quebec, the company secured all necessary local approvals to consolidate three legacy Bitcoin PPAs into a single 96-megawatt HPC and AI PPA for a new data center development, pending provincial approval.

This project aims to create a technologically advanced data center in a high-demand, captive market.

Operational Derisking & Supply Chain

The company has taken concrete steps to derisk project timelines and ensure state-of-the-art infrastructure delivery. This includes accepting delivery of long-lead items and the first Vertiv modules at Moses Lake, completing inspections for backup generation equipment, taking delivery of multiple transformers in Sharon, and executing final fiber contracts across all three sites. All US Bitcoin mining operations have been decommissioned.

Site-Specific Updates

Moses Lake is expected to be the first site online in 2027, generating HPC revenues and durable free cash flow, with strong interest from faster-moving AI companies. Sharon has secured full zoning and land development approval, with final environmental permits progressing, and is evaluating designs for a 110-megawatt phase.

Panther Creek, with 350 MW of secured capacity and potential for 500 MW+, is in the final stages of environmental permits, with high commercial interest from large, sophisticated AI companies.

Capital Strategy & Liquidity

Keel closed a $458 million offering of convertible senior notes, upsized from $350 million, bringing total liquidity to $819 million as of August 7, 2026. This capital is specifically earmarked to expand power capacity at existing, de-risked sites (Panther Creek and Scrubgrass).

The strong liquidity position allows Keel to advance sites at the pace customers require and make commercial decisions focused on long-term shareholder returns, evaluating project financing post-lease signing.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.