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Coca Cola (KO) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Consumer Staples· Jul 28, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

The Coca-Cola Company Q2 FY26 — Strong Volume Growth and Raised Full-Year EPS Guidance

The Coca-Cola Company delivered a strong second quarter, marked by broad-based volume growth and robust organic revenue performance, leading to expanded margins and double-digit EPS growth. The company raised its full-year EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic priorities and ability to adapt to an uneven global consumer environment. Strategic investments in marketing, innovation, and revenue growth management capabilities are strengthening the business for durable long-term growth.

Highlights

7
  • Unit case volume grew 5% in Q2 FY26, aided by cycling an easier prior year comparison.

  • Organic revenue grew 6% in Q2 FY26, reaching the high end of the long-term growth algorithm.

  • Comparable gross margin increased approximately 120 basis points in Q2 FY26.

  • Comparable operating margin increased approximately 90 basis points in Q2 FY26.

  • Comparable earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97 increased 11% in Q2 FY26, including a 2-point benefit from currency tailwinds.

  • Net debt leverage stood at 1.4x EBITDA, below the target range of 2x to 2.5x.

  • Trademark Coca-Cola volume growth was 5% for the quarter, its strongest in 17 years excluding COVID recovery.

Concerns

5
  • Comparable operating income in Asia Pacific declined in Q2 FY26, primarily due to investment timing and focus on expanding the consumer base.

  • Profit in EMEA declined in Q2 FY26 due to the phasing of investments.

  • Geopolitical conflict continued to disrupt the Middle East region.

  • Consumer sentiment in China remains cautious, with spending continuing to be selective.

  • The company continues to navigate a difficult environment in Mexico.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Organic revenue growth
approximately 5%
high materiality
High
Comparable currency-neutral EPS growth (ex-A&D)
7% to 8%
high materiality
High
Divestiture headwind to comparable net revenues
2% to 3%
medium materiality
High
Divestiture headwind to comparable EPS
approximate 1%
medium materiality
High
Currency tailwind to comparable net revenues
approximate 1 point
medium materiality
High
Currency tailwind to comparable EPS
approximate 3-point
medium materiality
High
Comparable EPS growth
9% to 10% versus $3 in 2025
high materiality
High
Concentrate shipments vs. unit case volume
lag by 1 point
medium materiality
High
Concentrate shipments vs. unit case volume
slightly trail
medium materiality
High
Underlying effective tax rate
19.9%
medium materiality
High
Fairlife Webster facility capacity ramp-up
continue ramping up capacity
low materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
North America
Benefited from cycling an easier prior year comparison. Strong performance across many brands including Trademark Coca-Cola, Fairlife, Powerade, Preska, Gold Peak, smartwater, and Simply. Mr. Pibb grew volume more than 20%.
Volume growth: 3%Value share: GainedVolume share: Gained
Grew——Grew
Latin America
Navigating a difficult environment in Mexico, but seeing improving conditions in Brazil. System taking targeted actions to strengthen business and capture growth.
Value share: GainedVolume share: Gained
—Balanced top line growth—Grew profit
EMEA
Profit declined due to phasing of investments. Favorable weather supported volume performance in Europe. Geopolitical conflict continued to disrupt the Middle East region, but saw value share gain and strong volume growth for Trademark Coca-Cola, Fuse, and Pride.
Value share: GainedVolume share: GainedUnit case volume: Grew in each operating unit
Grew——Declined profit
Asia Pacific
Comparable operating income declined primarily due to focus on expanding consumer base in all socioeconomic segments and investment timing. Investing to bring more consumers into the franchise and build business for the long term, for example, in China and India.
Volume: Grew across all operating units and nearly all beverage categories
———Declined comparable operating income

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Mr. Pibblaunch
Coca-Cola Zero Zeroexpansion

Deals & partnerships

Marriott Won back a contract after 34 years

The company won back the Marriott contract after 34 years, attributing the success to being more consumer and customer-centric. The partnership will leverage Coca-Cola's full portfolio, including Monster, to create unique experiences for guests.

Coca-Cola Africa (CCBA) Pending sale of Coca-Cola Africa

The pending sale of Coca-Cola Africa is expected to close towards the end of the third quarter or during the fourth quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals. This divestiture is factored into the full-year guidance as a headwind to revenue and EPS.

Risks & headwinds

Uneven global consumer environment

Many consumers face inflationary pressures, geopolitical uncertainty, and economic challenges.

Mitigation:Staying close to the consumer, adapting quickly, and employing revenue growth management (RGM) to offer both affordability and premiumization.

Geopolitical conflict in Middle East

Continued to disrupt the region.

Mitigation:Combining global scale with flexibility to adapt to local needs, leading to value share gain and strong volume growth for key brands.

Cautious consumer sentiment in China

Spending continues to be selective.

Mitigation:Using the strength of the total beverage portfolio.

Difficult environment in Mexico

Continuing to navigate a difficult environment.

Mitigation:System taking targeted actions to strengthen the business and build momentum.

Commodity volatility

Monitoring commodity volatility.

Mitigation:Overall impact on cost basket expected to be manageable.

U.S. Internal Revenue Service tax case Decision expected in 6 to 12 months

Ongoing dispute; oral arguments presented before the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals.

Mitigation:Vigorously defending overall position and confident in prevailing on appeal.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Fairlife Webster Capacity Ramp-up

Remainder of FY26
Current Ramping up capacity
Target Continued ramp-up and increased availability

Why it matters

Ensures supply meets strong demand for a high-growth brand and supports future innovation.

As previously discussed, we anticipate our Webster facility to continue ramping up capacity through the remainder of the year.

Find out whether KO delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Given the strong Q2 and easier comparisons, how is the company weighing the global consumer environment into the H2 outlook, considering pockets of strength and weakness?

Management stated that the company is delivering on its guidance by getting more from more markets and brands, adapting to an uneven consumer environment. They highlighted the continued pressure on lower-income consumers globally and the use of RGM to offer both affordability and premiumization. The momentum built in H1 is expected to carry into H2, despite higher comps and fewer days.

“We played our RGM to keep to the fullest during this first half, and it's going to continue to be like that in the second half. But let's say, not only affordability but premiumization in a way that we can continue to follow the consumer and to be closer to them.”

asked by Lauren Lieberman · answered by Henrique Braun

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Global Operating Environment & Consumer Dynamics

The company observes an uneven global consumer environment, with strong economies in some regions contrasting with inflationary pressures and geopolitical uncertainty in others. Consumers are actively re-evaluating their shopping habits, value perceptions, and product choices. In response, Coca-Cola is focusing on local agility, adapting quickly to market-specific needs, and employing revenue growth management (RGM) strategies to offer both affordability and premiumization options, ensuring brand relevance across diverse socioeconomic segments.

FIFA World Cup Activation Success

The 2026 FIFA World Cup marketing campaign was highlighted as a significant success, demonstrating the power of the Coca-Cola system at scale. The activation leveraged deep consumer insights, innovative approaches like connected packaging and 1 billion Panini stickers, and tailored execution across 180 markets.

This integrated effort resulted in a record 80% average beverage incidence at venues, generated over 9 billion digital views, and collected more than 25 million first-party data points, providing valuable learnings for future campaigns.

Strategic Priorities for Next Chapter of Growth

Henrique Braun outlined three core priorities: becoming even more consumer-centric, remaining constructively discontent, and placing digital at the core of every connection. These priorities are aimed at enhancing the company's staying power, extending its trends, and strengthening competitive advantages. The focus is on driving more growth from existing markets and brands, fostering a culture of continuous improvement, and leveraging digital tools for greater agility and scale across consumer, customer, and enterprise functions.

Fairlife Business Update

Fairlife demonstrated strong performance, growing 18% in the second quarter. The majority of production operations have resumed at the four U.S. facilities following a recent incident, with no material impact on Q2 results or anticipated impact in the second half of the year.

The Webster facility is on track to continue ramping up capacity through the remainder of the year, with the immediate priority being to ensure availability of main SKUs to meet strong consumer demand.

U.S. Internal Revenue Service Tax Case

The company provided an update on its ongoing dispute with the U.S. Internal Revenue Service, stating that oral arguments were presented before the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals at the end of June. While the timing of a decision is unknown, typically 6 to 12 months, management reiterated its confidence in ultimately prevailing.

The company continues to vigorously defend its position and awaits the court's decision.

North America Performance and RGM Capabilities

North America delivered strong performance, benefiting from easier prior-year comparisons and effective revenue growth management. The company successfully grew across nearly all categories by offering diverse packaging formats, such as mini cans for both retail multi-packs and single-serve convenience, to cater to varying price points and consumer needs.

Innovation, like the relaunched Mr. Pibb with higher caffeine and bold cherry flavor, also contributed to momentum, demonstrating the ability to connect with consumers.

Asia Pacific Investment Strategy

In Asia Pacific, the company is executing a long-term investment strategy to expand its consumer base, particularly in India and China. This involves significant investment in affordability initiatives and cold drink equipment to drive consumer engagement. While this strategy led to strong volume growth across the region, it also resulted in a decline in comparable operating income due to investment timing, the focus on affordability, and geo-mix shifts as emerging markets outgrow developed ones.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.