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    KRMN
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Karman Holdings Q1 FY26 earnings call KRMN

    May 12, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Karman Q1 FY26 — Record Performance and Raised Full-Year Guidance

    Karman delivered a strong first quarter, marked by record financial results and an all-time high backlog, driven by robust demand across all end markets. The company raised its full-year guidance, reflecting increased visibility and new multi-year customer commitments. Strategic capacity expansions are underway to support future growth, with a continued focus on both organic and inorganic expansion.

    Highlights

    5
    • Record quarterly revenue of $151 million, up 51% year-over-year.

    • Record quarterly gross profit of $64 million, growing 62% year-over-year with a 42% gross margin.

    • Record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $45 million, up nearly 50% year-over-year.

    • All-time high backlog exceeding $1 billion, representing 61% year-over-year growth.

    • Full-year revenue guidance raised to $720 million-$735 million and adjusted EBITDA to $208.5 million-$219.5 million.

    Concerns

    1
    • Supply chain management for production ramp-up

    Guidance & targets

    9
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year revenue
    $720M-$735M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA
    $208.5M-$219.5M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin
    29.4%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year revenue growth
    54% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year adjusted EBITDA growth
    47% year-over-year
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year statutory tax rate
    26.5%
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year CapEx
    approximately $36M
    medium materiality
    High
    Leverage ratio
    approximately 3x adjusted EBITDA
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Revenue growth split
    evenly split between organic and inorganic sources
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Hypersonics and Strategic Missile Defense
    Driven by increases in strategic programs.
    Revenue mix: 24%
    $36M19%
    Space and Launch
    Driven by the timing of orders for critical content supporting both legacy and emerging launch providers and spacecraft.
    Revenue mix: 29%
    $44M29%
    Tactical Missiles and Integrated Defense Systems
    Primarily due to demand associated with the continued adoption of advanced drone and loitering munition systems and an increase in production output for GMLRS.
    Revenue mix: 30%
    $45M25%
    Maritime Defense Systems
    New end market, primarily from ongoing submarine and LCAC programs.
    Revenue mix: 17%
    $26M

    Operational metrics

    10
    Gross profit margin
    42%up from 39.7% in Q1 FY25
    Q1 FY26

    Gross profit grew 62% to $64 million.

    Adjusted EPS
    $0.11up more than 100% from $0.05 in Q1 FY25
    Q1 FY26

    Diluted adjusted EPS.

    Cash and cash equivalents
    $74Mup $40M from year-end FY25
    end of Q1 FY26

    Balance at the end of the quarter.

    Total debt
    $758M
    end of Q1 FY26

    Total debt outstanding.

    Interest rate on debt
    SOFR plus 2.75%
    Q1 FY26

    Applicable interest rate on total debt.

    Untapped revolving credit facility
    $150Mincreased from $50M
    end of Q1 FY26

    Provides further financial flexibility.

    Revenue visibility
    90%
    FY26

    Visibility to the midpoint of full-year revenue guidance, with the remaining 10% expected from anticipated contracts on existing programs.

    Proposal volume
    marked increase
    Q1 FY26

    Reflecting growing interest in capabilities and opportunities.

    Proposal value for integrated systems
    even greater increase
    Q1 FY26

    Indicating larger opportunities for integrated systems.

    Acquisition pipeline
    healthy
    ongoing

    Expected to pursue acquisitions at similar multiples as past transactions.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Total company backlog>$1BUSD
    Production capacity expansionnearly 200,000 sq ftsquare feet

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Total backlog>$1BQ1 FY26

    up 61% YoY

    Customer demand commitments>$1B potential revenueQ1 FY26

    From 4 largest customers, 4-7 year time horizon, contingent on customers receiving contracts from end users.

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    Seemann Composites and MSCAcquisition of advanced materials technologies and manufacturing capabilities.

    Closed in January, contributed 2 months of revenue this quarter. Integration is progressing well, enhancing advanced materials IP and manufacturing capabilities.

    4 largest customersWritten contingent demand commitments for multi-year production levels.>$1B potential revenue4-7 years

    Commitments cover payload protection, propulsion, and space launch core stage products. Subject to customers receiving contracts from their end customers.

    Capital programs

    2
    Salt Lake City facilityon track

    Benefit: nearly 200,000 square feet of operating floor space

    Will keep Karman ahead of demand for nozzles and UAS launchers as demand grows.

    Gulfport logistics and polymer facilitycompleting

    Benefit: support continued growth

    A large facility to support operations at the Gulfport site.

    Risks & headwinds

    1
    Supply chain management for production ramp-upongoing

    not foreseeing any significant constraints

    Mitigation: Engaging with suppliers and flowing similar demand signals to secure inputs; actively managed on a regular basis.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    Salt Lake City facility initial production

    Q4 FY26
    CurrentOn track for Q4 FY26 initial production capability
    TargetConfirmation of initial production in Q4 FY26

    Why it matters

    This facility is key to boosting output and keeping Karman ahead of demand for nozzles and UAS launchers, supporting future growth.

    That new facility will add nearly 200,000 square feet of operating floor space and is on track for expected initial production capability in Q4 of this year.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Clarification on the nature of the missile framework agreements, specifically regarding volume minimums and the expected shape of future revenue growth, noting other companies anticipate sharp acceleration in late '26 and '27.

    The commitments vary by customer and form (letters of intent, draft long-term agreements). Volumes are expected to increase consistently year-over-year, with initial forecasts potentially conservative, suggesting upside. A small percentage of these commitments were in the 2026 forecast, with the balance providing more visibility into 2027 and beyond.

    the commitments vary by customer. We do have commitments that have come through, both on the, call it, related to the framework agreements as well as related to at least one of our space and launch customers. So it's -- they're varied and they came in different forms, letters of intent, draft long-term agreements that are yet to be finalized, if you will.

    asked by John Godyn · answered by Jonathan Rambeau

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    CEO Transition and Strategic Focus

    New CEO John Rambeau, after 6 weeks and visits to 6 sites, expressed confidence in Karman's existing strategy, emphasizing no need for substantial changes. His focus is on strengthening customer and investor relationships, ensuring on-time product delivery, and optimizing internal capabilities for continued organic and inorganic growth and bottom-line returns. He highlighted Karman's unique merchant supply position to primes across defense, space, and launch as a key differentiator.

    02

    Robust Market Demand and Budget Tailwinds

    The demand environment remains highly favorable, supported by the President's FY 2027 defense budget request which proposes significant procurement funding increases for programs Karman supports. Examples include a tripling of SM6, near quadrupling of Prism, and more than eightfold increases in SM-3, PAC-3, and THAAD funding. Funding for Columbia and Virginia class submarine programs is set to rise by over 30% from $23 billion in 2026 to over $31 billion in 2027, and the Space Force request includes $4.2 billion for launch services targeting 22 national security launches in FY 2027.

    03

    Capacity Expansion and Operational Efficiency

    Karman is actively investing in capacity to meet growing customer demand. The new Salt Lake City facility, adding nearly 200,000 square feet of operating floor space, is on track for initial production capability in Q4 FY26. Additionally, a large logistics and polymer facility is being completed at the Gulfport site. The company is also leveraging AI for business process efficiency and exploring broader applications for enterprise transformation, while integrating Seemann and MSC to enhance offerings and operational synergies.

    04

    New Customer Commitments and Backlog Visibility

    Karman has secured written contingent demand commitments from four of its largest customers in both the space and defense sectors. These commitments, covering payload protection, propulsion, and space launch core stage products, guarantee multi-year production levels subject to end-customer contracts. With a time horizon of 4 to 7 years, these commitments have the potential to yield over $1 billion in revenue and provide greater certainty for investment planning. This, combined with strong Q1 revenue, provides 90% visibility to the midpoint of the full-year revenue guidance.

    05

    Strategic Acquisitions and Leadership Appointments

    The acquisition of Seemann Composites and MSC, which closed in January, contributed approximately half of the year-over-year quarterly revenue growth and expanded advanced materials technologies. Karman continues to maintain a healthy pipeline for potential bolt-on acquisitions, targeting 1 to 2 per year. The leadership team was strengthened with Doug Lorendo joining as Chief Growth Officer and Stephanie Sawhill assuming the role of Chief Technologist, aiming to evolve the technology roadmap and strengthen the competitive moat.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.