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    KTOS
    Earnings call· Dec 2025(Q4 FY25)

    KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS Q4 FY25 earnings call KTOS

    Feb 23, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Kratos Q4 FY25 — Record Backlog and Accelerating Growth

    Kratos concluded FY25 with strong Q4 results, exceeding financial objectives with significant organic revenue growth and record backlog, driven by increasing demand for its military-grade hardware and software. The company is strategically investing in its defense industrial base capabilities, particularly in hypersonics, engines, and space, positioning for accelerated growth despite near-term working capital demands and elevated costs. Management expressed confidence in achieving previously communicated FY26 and FY27 financial targets.

    Highlights

    5
    • Achieved 20% Q4 FY25 year-over-year organic revenue growth, exceeding the estimated 14%-15%.

    • Generated a 1.3:1 book-to-bill ratio in Q4 FY25.

    • Reported a record total backlog of $1.573 billion.

    • Reached a record opportunity pipeline of $13.7 billion.

    • Space and Satellite business achieved a 1.2:1 book-to-bill ratio and a record backlog of $600 million.

    Concerns

    4
    • Experienced continued increased subcontractor and material costs on certain multiyear fixed-price contracts in the Unmanned Systems business.

    • Incurred elevated bid proposal and other new opportunity pursuit costs.

    • Consolidated DSOs increased from 111 days in Q3 to 121 days in Q4, impacted by revenue growth and government shutdown delays.

    • Q1 FY26 is expected to be the lowest in revenue and adjusted EBITDA due to the impact of the extended U.S. federal government shutdown.

    Guidance & targets

    12
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Financial Targets
    Achieve previously communicated 2026 and 2027 financial targets
    high materiality
    High
    Hypersonic Franchise Revenue
    Approximately double over 2025 up to approximately $400 million
    high materiality
    High
    Hypersonic Franchise Revenue
    Increase over 75% again up to approximately $700 million
    high materiality
    Medium
    Satellite Software Purchases
    Higher margins
    low materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Revenue
    $335 million to $345 million
    high materiality
    High
    Q1 FY26 Adjusted EBITDA
    $25 million to $30 million
    high materiality
    High
    Full Year FY26 Revenue
    $1.595 billion to $1.675 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Full Year FY26 Capital Expenditures
    $135 million to $145 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Valkyrie Annual Production Rate
    Approximately 40 aircraft annually
    high materiality
    Medium
    Prometheus Joint Venture Funding
    Approximately $50 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Hypersonic Program Opportunity
    Additional approximate $1 billion-plus opportunity
    high materiality
    Medium
    Space and Satellite Program Award
    Initial approximate $500 million program award
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Space and Satellite
    Achieved a record backlog and strong book-to-bill ratio in Q4 FY25.
    Q4 FY25 Book-to-bill ratio: 1.2:1Backlog: $600 million
    Unmanned Systems
    Revenue increase primarily driven by Valkyrie-related activity.
    Organic revenue growth: 12.1%
    $7.4 million
    Kratos Government Solutions (KGS)
    Strong organic revenue growth excluding the impact of the Norden Millimeter acquisition.
    Organic revenue growth: 22.2%
    $54.6 million
    Defense Rocket Support Services (DRSS)
    Highest organic revenue growth among reported segments.
    Organic revenue growth: 47.4%
    Microwave Products
    Strong organic revenue growth in Q4 FY25.
    Organic revenue growth: 32.4%
    Space, Training and Cyber
    Solid organic revenue growth in Q4 FY25.
    Organic revenue growth: 22.7%

    Operational metrics

    14
    Revenue
    $345.1 millionabove $320M-$330M range
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeded estimated revenue range for the quarter.

    Organic Revenue Growth
    20%YoY
    Q4 FY25

    Exceeded estimated organic growth rate of 14%-15%.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $34.1 millionjust above $29M-$34M range
    Q4 FY25

    Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, reflecting increased volume and revenue mix.

    Capital Expenditures
    $24.2 million
    Q4 FY25

    Investments in manufacturing and production facilities, machinery, equipment, and systems.

    Days Sales Outstanding (DSOs)
    121 daysup from 111 days in Q3
    Q4 FY25

    Increase due to nearly 22% revenue growth and timing of milestone billings, impacted by federal government shutdown.

    Contract Mix
    70%
    Q4 FY25

    Breakdown of revenue by contract type.

    Contract Mix
    26%
    Q4 FY25

    Breakdown of revenue by contract type.

    Contract Mix
    4%
    Q4 FY25

    Breakdown of revenue by contract type.

    US Federal Government Revenue
    67%
    Q4 FY25

    Includes revenue from DOW, non-DOW federal agencies, and FMS contracts.

    Nomad Global Communication Solutions LTM Revenue
    $75 million
    LTM

    Last twelve months revenue for the recently acquired company.

    Microwave Electronics Organic Growth
    17%
    FY25

    Organic growth rate for the full fiscal year.

    Valkyrie Per-Aircraft Value for Kratos
    $10 million
    per aircraft

    Estimated value of Kratos' content per Valkyrie aircraft, subject to configuration.

    Prometheus JV Investment
    $5 million
    to date

    Kratos' investment in the Prometheus joint venture as of year-end.

    Prometheus JV Projected Revenue
    $1 billion
    by 2030-2031

    Projected revenue at full rate production for the Prometheus joint venture.

    Industry KPIs

    7
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio1.3:1ratio
    Total company backlog$1.573 billionUSD
    Defense program awards$230 millionUSD
    Program segment backlog$600 millionUSD
    Unit deliveries by programApproximately 8 aircraft annuallyunits
    Production rates by programApproximately 40 aircraft annuallyunits
    Production capacity expansion40,000 engines per yearcapacity

    Orderbook & backlog

    6
    Total Backlog$1.573 billionQ4 FY25

    record

    Opportunity Pipeline$13.7 billionQ4 FY25

    record

    Company-wide Book-to-bill ratio1.3:1Q4 FY25
    Space and Satellite Backlog$600 millionQ4 FY25

    record

    Space and Satellite Book-to-bill ratio1.2:1Q4 FY25
    Solid Rocket Motors on order120Q4 FY25

    Zeus and Oriole SRMs, deliveries expected to begin Q3 FY26.

    Product announcements

    6
    ProductTypeDetails
    Prometheus Facilitymilestone
    Mach 5+ Hypersonic Missileslaunch
    Engine for Expendable Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA)launch
    Epic Command and Control Software Systemmilestone
    Small Lethal Droneslaunch
    Athena Program and UASmilestone

    Deals & partnerships

    7
    Nomad Global Communication SolutionsTechnology, hardware, and systems company focused on mobile command, control, and communication systems.

    Small tuck-in acquisition, closed in mid-February. Focuses on unmanned systems, counter-UAS, and homeland security.

    Orbit TechnologiesIsraeli-based satellite communications company.

    Previously announced acquisition, expected to close by the end of Q1 FY26. Will be included in forecasting once closed.

    RafaelPartnership for solid rocket motor and energetics production.

    Prometheus facility groundbreaking announced. Kratos and Rafael have deep long-term relationships and are committed to its success.

    Northrop GrummanTeammate for MUX TACAIR Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) program.$230 million24-month period of performance

    Northrop received the MUX TACAIR CCA program award with Kratos Valkyrie as the aircraft. Northrop is a valuable partner with innovative technology.

    GE AerospacePartner for Air Force award to design an engine for the expendable Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA).

    Received an award from the Air Force to design an engine for the expendable CCA.

    SESWorking together on dual-use initiatives (commercial and national security focused).

    SES is a global space solutions company and a critically important Kratos partner.

    AirbusCollaboration on OneSat next-generation software-defined satellite platform.

    Successful factory acceptance testing between Kratos' Epic command and control software system and Airbus OneSat.

    Capital programs

    8
    Prometheus Joint Ventureunderway
    Period spend: $50 million
    Spent to date: $5 million
    Start: FY25

    Funding for the Prometheus joint venture is estimated to be spent ratably throughout 2026. $5 million invested to date as of year-end.

    Indiana Hypersonic System Integration Facilitynearing completion
    Spent to date: 90% complete

    Benefit: Large-scale integration and production speed, efficiency and cost for hypersonic systems.

    Facility is 90% complete, designed for identified programs and systems.

    Birmingham Advanced Manufacturing Facilityunderway

    Benefit: Expansion for hypersonic systems.

    Expansion of the facility to support hypersonic systems.

    Valkyrie Production Increaseunderway

    Benefit: Increase annual production rate from ~8 aircraft to ~40 aircraft.

    Plan to increase Valkyrie production to address expected delivery schedules and maintain whitetail inventory.

    Michigan Engine Production Facilitycompleted

    Benefit: 40,000 engine per year capacity.

    New facility to support the expected ramp in engine and propulsion system businesses.

    Anaconda Radar Programunderway

    Expected to be coming online over the next 24 months, contributing to future growth.

    Helios Hypersonic and Arc Chamber Programunderway

    Expected to be coming online over the next 24 months, contributing to future growth.

    GEK and BladeWorks Engine Facilitiesunderway

    Investments in these facilities are part of forecasted capital expenditures.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Increased Subcontractor and Material Costs

    Continued increase

    Mitigation: Aggressively managing costs to minimize impact to margins; seeking recovery from customer upon renewal of future production lot contracts.

    Elevated Bid Proposal and Opportunity Pursuit Costs

    Elevated

    Federal Government Shutdown ImpactQ4 FY25

    More significant than anticipated

    Mitigation: Resulted in delays in contract funding and receivable payments, increasing DSOs.

    Working Capital Requirements for Growth

    Continued use of working capital

    Mitigation: Funding organic revenue growth, including increases in accounts receivable and inventory for long-lead materials.

    Delays in Contract Funding

    Delays

    Mitigation: Impacts customer billings and collections, contributing to increased DSOs.

    Timing of FY27 Federal Budget Defense AppropriationFY27

    Impacts production quantities and delivery timing

    Mitigation: Definitization of Valkyrie production quantities and delivery schedules is partly related to this.

    What to watch in Q1 FY26

    5

    Hypersonic $1B+ Program Opportunity

    By end of FY26
    CurrentHoping to receive by end of FY26
    TargetAnnouncement of award

    Why it matters

    A potential $1 billion-plus sole-source program would significantly boost Kratos' hypersonic franchise revenue and growth trajectory.

    And separately, we are now hoping to receive an additional approximate $1 billion-plus hypersonic program-related opportunity by the end of this year, which we believe will be sole sourced to Kratos as prime on an existing national security initiative.

    Q&A highlights

    9

    What are Kratos' perspectives on defense tech valuations and how would significant funding impact Kratos' acceleration, especially given the Secretary of War's comments?

    Eric DeMarco stated his belief that Kratos is the most valuable defense company, private or public, emphasizing its balanced strategy of organic growth, significant investment in the industrial base, and generating adequate returns for investors, rather than pursuing rapid, unconstrained growth.

    I believe that Kratos is the most valuable defense company in the industry, private or public. I'm taking nothing away from Anduril or any of the other defense tech companies. I want them to all succeed for U.S. national security. Okay. But we are the most valuable, and I can go through that if you'd like me to.

    asked by Josh Sullivan · answered by Eric DeMarco

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Strategic Alignment with DoD Priorities and Industrial Base Investment

    Kratos emphasizes its strong alignment with the Department of War's current focus on rapidly fielding affordable, military-grade hardware and software, contrasting with traditional 'PowerPoints and science projects.' The company's long-standing strategy of internally funded investments, rather than dividends or stock buybacks, is highlighted as a key differentiator in rebuilding the U.S. defense industrial base. This approach enables Kratos to deliver relevant systems quickly and cost-effectively, positioning it as a critical non-traditional prime contractor in a consolidating industry facing increasing global demand.

    02

    Accelerating Hypersonic Franchise Growth

    Kratos is experiencing rapid expansion in its hypersonic franchise, with 120 Zeus and Oriole solid rocket motors currently on order, expected to begin deliveries in Q3 FY26. New facilities, including the Maryland hypersonic facility, the soon-to-open Indiana hypersonic system integration facility, and the expansion of the Birmingham advanced manufacturing facility, are purpose-built for large-scale integration and production. The company recently secured a Pentagon contract to develop Mach 5+ hypersonic missiles and anticipates a potential $1 billion-plus sole-source hypersonic program opportunity by year-end, projecting significant revenue growth in this area.

    03

    Leadership in Space and Satellite Technology

    Kratos' space and satellite business, its largest segment, achieved a significant milestone with the successful factory acceptance testing of its Epic command and control software system with Airbus OneSat's next-generation software-defined satellite platform. This demonstrates Kratos' industry-leading position in enabling dynamic in-orbit reconfiguration and mission flexibility. The company's OpenSpace software suite and global space domain awareness system are highlighted as technologically advanced, dual-use assets. Kratos recently received verbal notification of an initial approximate $500 million program award, further solidifying its growth trajectory in this domain.

    04

    Engine and Propulsion Systems Ramp-Up

    Kratos Turbine Technologies is positioned as a first-to-market leader in next-generation engines for cruise missiles, drones, and hypersonic systems, exemplified by its Spartan family of jet engines. The company secured an award with GE Aerospace from the Air Force to design an engine for the expendable Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA). Kratos expects to begin low-rate initial production of small engines in H2 FY26 for missile programs and is responding to a customer request for 15,000 engines. A new 40,000 engine per year capacity facility in Michigan supports the anticipated ramp-up, expected to contribute to increased overall EBITDA margins.

    05

    Unmanned Systems and Tactical Drone Program Wins

    Kratos' Valkyrie Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCA) was selected for the Marine Corps MUX TACAIR program, with Northrop Grumman as the prime contractor, representing an initial $230 million award split 50-50 over 24 months. Kratos plans to increase Valkyrie production from approximately 8 aircraft annually to 40 aircraft annually by the end of 2028. The company also received a 'gauntlet award' under the Department of War's $1 billion Drone Dominance Plan for small lethal drones and continues progress on the Mighty Hornet Tactical Firejet CCA program with Taiwan NCSIST, targeting high-volume deployment.

    06

    Prometheus Joint Venture Progress

    The groundbreaking for the Prometheus facility, a solid rocket motor and energetics partnership with Rafael, is proceeding as planned. This initiative is strategically coordinated with the Department of War's new munitions campus, where Prometheus will be the primary business presence. The joint venture is projected to be a significant cash generator, with revenue potential reaching $1 billion by 2030-2031 at full-rate production for its initial three phases, reflecting a classic high-growth model.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.