Skip to content
    MAT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    MATTEL INC /DE/ Q2 FY26 earnings call MAT

    Aug 4, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Mattel Q2 FY26 — Strong Top-Line Growth Driven by IP and Digital Games, Reaffirms Full-Year Guidance

    Mattel delivered strong Q2 FY26 top-line growth, driven by its IP-centric strategy, digital games, and robust performance in Vehicles and Challenger categories. Despite margin pressures from tariffs and inflation, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, anticipating a strong second half and significant growth in 2027 as strategic investments in organic growth and digital initiatives begin to yield returns.

    Highlights

    5
    • Net sales grew 10% as reported and 9% in constant currency, with North America up double-digits.

    • Hot Wheels achieved another outstanding quarter, growing 12%, driven by strength across kids and adult collectors.

    • Masters of the Universe gross billings more than tripled year-to-date, benefiting from the movie halo and strong streaming performance.

    • Mattel was #1 globally in Dolls, Vehicles, Infant, Toddler, and Preschool categories, gaining share in Vehicles and Action Figures.

    • Repurchased $100 million of shares in the quarter, bringing year-to-date repurchases to $300 million and reducing shares outstanding by 23% since 2023.

    Concerns

    5
    • Adjusted gross margin declined to 48.6%, negatively impacted by 170 bps from tariffs, 120 bps from inflation, 110 bps from higher royalties, and 60 bps from unfavorable foreign exchange.

    • Adjusted operating income decreased to $39 million, down from $96 million in the prior year period, primarily due to higher advertising and SG&A expenses.

    • Adjusted earnings per share was $0.01, compared to $0.21 in the prior year period.

    • Dolls declined primarily due to lower revenue from streaming content for Barbie and Polly Pocket, with Barbie expected to return to growth in 2027.

    • Infant, Toddler, and Preschool declined primarily due to Fisher-Price.

    Guidance & targets

    14
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net Sales Growth
    3% to 6%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted Gross Margin
    approximately 50%
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted Operating Income
    $580 million to $630 million
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted EPS
    $1.27 and $1.39
    high materiality
    High
    Gross Billings Performance (Vehicles & Challenger categories)
    grow strongly
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross Billings Performance (Dolls)
    comparable
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross Billings Performance (ITPS)
    decline
    medium materiality
    High
    FX Impact on Net Sales
    approximate 1% benefit
    low materiality
    High
    Optimizing for Profitable Growth Savings
    $50 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Strategic Investments
    $110 million
    medium materiality
    High
    UNO Wild Global Commercial Launch
    early 2027
    medium materiality
    High
    Barbie Return to Growth
    growth
    high materiality
    High
    Top-line Growth
    mid- to high single-digit growth
    high materiality
    High
    Bottom-line Growth
    strong double-digit growth
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    8
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    North America
    Gross billings growth in constant currency.
    12%
    EMEA
    Gross billings growth in constant currency.
    7%
    Asia Pacific
    Gross billings growth in constant currency.
    4%
    Latin America
    Gross billings performance in constant currency.
    comparable
    Vehicles
    Hot Wheels had an outstanding quarter. Expected to grow strongly for full-year 2026.
    Hot Wheels growth: 12%
    12%
    Challenger categories
    Expected to grow strongly for full-year 2026. Includes Games and Action Figures.
    Games growth: driven by UNO and Mattel163Action Figures growth: driven by Toy Story 5 and Masters of the Universe
    Dolls
    Primarily due to lower revenue from streaming content for Barbie and Polly Pocket. Expected to be comparable for full-year 2026, with Barbie returning to growth in 2027.
    declined
    Infant, Toddler, and Preschool
    Primarily due to Fisher-Price. Little People showed strong momentum. Expected to decline for full-year 2026.
    Little People growth: high double digits
    declined

    Operational metrics

    22
    Net Sales Growth
    10%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Net Sales Growth
    9%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Mattel163 Revenue Contribution
    $49 million
    Q2 FY26

    Contribution from the full acquisition of Mattel163.

    Mattel163 Adjusted Operating Income Contribution
    $14 million
    Q2 FY26

    Contribution from the full acquisition of Mattel163.

    Advertising Expense
    $124 millionup $45 million
    Q2 FY26

    Includes expenses associated with Mattel163, brand marketing, consumer engagement, and theatrical releases.

    Adjusted SG&A
    $384 millionincreased $38 million
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily due to strategic investments and expenses associated with Mattel163.

    Share Repurchases
    $100 million
    Q2 FY26

    Part of the $400 million full-year target.

    Share Repurchases
    $300 million
    YTD FY26

    Year-to-date repurchases, on track for $400 million for the full year.

    Share Repurchases (Cumulative)
    $1.5 billion
    since 2023

    Total repurchased since resuming share repurchases in 2023.

    Leverage Ratio
    3x
    Q2 FY26

    Commitment to maintaining an investment-grade rating.

    Owned Inventory
    $830 millionslight decrease
    Q2 FY26

    Owned inventory at quarter end versus prior year.

    Retailer Inventories
    low double digitsdeclined
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to the prior year, indicating a good position for the second half.

    Optimizing for Profitable Growth Savings
    $15 million
    Q2 FY26

    Savings achieved in the quarter.

    Optimizing for Profitable Growth Savings (Cumulative)
    $205 million
    since 2024

    Cumulative total savings since launching the program in 2024.

    Strategic Investments
    $110 million
    FY26

    Investments this year to accelerate growth and capture more value from IP.

    Digital Performance Marketing Investments
    $40 millionshifted to 2027
    FY26

    Majority of investments now planned to coincide with UNO Wild commercial launch in 2027.

    Masters of the Universe Gross Billings
    more than tripledYoY
    YTD FY26

    Result of the movie and its ecosystem.

    Little People Growth
    high double digits
    Q2 FY26

    Supported by new partnerships including Nintendo and continued strength in core offerings.

    Toy Industry Growth
    strongly
    H1 FY26

    Global toy industry growth.

    Consumer Demand
    up low single digits
    H1 FY26

    Consumer demand in the first half of the year.

    Consumer Demand
    positive
    Q3 YTD FY26

    Consumer demand through Q3 year-to-date.

    Mattel Action Figures Manufacturer Rank
    #1
    June

    Mattel became the #1 manufacturer in action figures for the month of June.

    Industry KPIs

    11
    MetricValueDetails
    EPS$0.01USD
    Revenue10%%
    Inventory$830MUSD
    Gross margin48.6%%
    Market share#1rank
    Sg a OPEX ratio$384MUSD
    Adjusted EBITDA ebita$95MUSD
    Operating income EBIT$39MUSD
    Cash investments balance$524MUSD
    Tariff impact mitigation170 bpsbps
    Share buyback capital return$100MUSD

    Product announcements

    9
    ProductTypeDetails
    UNO Wildlaunch
    Hot Wheels PC and Console Titlelaunch
    Barbie PC and Console Titlelaunch
    Matchbox Movielaunch
    Barbie Nutcracker animated speciallaunch
    Barbie Dreamhouselaunch
    Thomas & Friends Relaunchlaunch
    Barbie Animated Speciallaunch
    Classic Barbie Animated Moviesexpansion

    Deals & partnerships

    10
    Mattel163Full acquisition of the remaining 50% interest in the digital games company.

    Integration is progressing well, leveraging combined capabilities to expand pipeline of future games.

    NintendoPartnership for Little People brand.

    Nintendo Super Mario execution for Little People.

    Disney Princess and FrozenPartnership for Little People brand.

    Disney Princess and Frozen execution for Little People.

    Disney and PixarProduct offering for theatrical release of Toy Story 5.

    Product line for Toy Story 5.

    AmazonStreaming service for Masters of the Universe movie.

    Masters of the Universe movie launched on Amazon's Prime Video streaming service.

    Apple and Paramount SkydanceProduction of Matchbox movie.

    Matchbox movie set for release on October 9 on Apple TV.

    K-Pop Demon HuntersSignificant partnership for product offerings.

    Mentioned as a driver for full-year 2026 gross billings performance.

    DCNew partnership for Action Figures.

    New DC partnerships contributing to Action Figures performance.

    Teenage Mutant Ninja TurtlesNew IP addition to the offering.

    Mentioned as an important addition for 2027.

    Frozen 3New IP addition to the offering.

    Mentioned as an important addition for 2027.

    Risks & headwinds

    9
    Tariff Impact on Gross MarginQ2 FY26

    170 basis points negative impact

    Mitigation: Tariff mitigation actions contributed 80 bps positive impact (part of 'other' factors).

    Inflationary Pressures on Gross MarginQ2 FY26

    120 basis points negative impact

    Mitigation: Expected to mitigate moderate inflationary pressures associated with events in the Middle East to achieve full-year guidance.

    Higher Royalties on Gross MarginQ2 FY26

    110 basis points negative impact

    Unfavorable Foreign Exchange on Gross MarginQ2 FY26

    60 basis points negative impact

    Lower Net IncomeTTM Q2 FY26

    Lower than prior year

    Higher Capital ExpendituresTTM Q2 FY26

    Higher than prior year

    Higher Interest ExpenseFY26

    Higher compared to 2025

    Mitigation: Following debt refinancing last year.

    Lower Interest IncomeFY26

    Lower compared to 2025

    Mitigation: Due to lower cash on the balance sheet.

    Uncertainty Around Tariff RefundsFY26

    No material related benefit included in guidance

    Mitigation: Actively engaged in the refund process; will evaluate and consider use of refunds when received.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Barbie Growth Trajectory

    next quarter
    CurrentDeclined in Q2 FY26
    TargetImprovement in H2 2026

    Why it matters

    Barbie's return to growth is a key driver for overall company performance and a major component of the 2027 growth outlook.

    We continue to expect Barbie trends to improve in the back half of 2026, driven by new content, including the Barbie Nutcracker animated special, along with product launches such as the new Barbie Dreamhouse.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Clarification on the unchanged full-year revenue guidance despite Q2 performance, and the expectation for gross margin to be above 50% in the back half, especially considering input costs and Middle East events.

    Paul Ruh reiterated the full-year guidance, noting that the first half was in line with expectations and the majority of sales occur in the second half. He confirmed the approximately 50% gross margin target for FY26, expecting sequential improvement in H2 due to no heavy promotional activities like late 2025 and the contribution from Mattel163. He also stated plans to mitigate inflationary pressures from Middle East events.

    For the balance of the year, we are expecting to improve sequentially for the second half. And we do not foresee any of the promotional activities that we saw at the end of 2025 and also the inclusion of Mattel163.

    asked by Arpine Kocharyan · answered by Paul Ruh

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    IP-Driven Strategy & Brand-Centric Model

    Mattel's core strategy is to grow its IP-driven play and family entertainment business, leveraging a brand-centric operating model. This approach aims to manage brands holistically across toys, digital, content, consumer products, and experiences, fostering deep emotional connections with fans. The recent promotion of Roberto Stanichi to President, Chief Marketing and Global Brand Officer, reflects the importance of this global brand organization in driving the company's long-term strategy.

    02

    Digital Games Expansion & Contribution

    The full acquisition of Mattel163 in Q1 is progressing well, contributing nearly $49 million in revenue and $14 million in adjusted operating income this quarter. Mattel also launched its first self-published mobile game based on Masters of the Universe, establishing its publishing capabilities. The second self-published mobile game, UNO Wild, is in soft launch and is gearing up for a full global commercial release in early 2027, with digital performance marketing investments shifted to coincide with its launch.

    03

    Film & Entertainment Impact on Franchises

    The Masters of the Universe movie, released globally in theaters and recently on Amazon Prime Video, was the #1 film on Prime Video globally and the #1 most-watched movie across all streaming platforms in the U.S. in its first week. This theatrical and streaming presence has driven Masters of the Universe gross billings to more than triple year-to-date, demonstrating the flywheel effect of entertainment in igniting brand engagement and toy sales, making it an important action figure franchise for the future.

    04

    Barbie Turnaround Strategy for 2027 Growth

    Barbie Dolls declined in Q2 due to lower streaming content revenue, but Mattel expects trends to improve in the second half of 2026. This improvement is anticipated from significantly increased content investment (doubling YouTube content, new Nutcracker animated special), new product launches like the Barbie Dreamhouse, and new packaging segmentation. Barbie is projected to return to growth in 2027, with plans to solidify its fashion icon status through enhanced product value and accelerate growth with adult fans, applying a methodology similar to Hot Wheels.

    05

    Strength in Hot Wheels and Challenger Categories

    Hot Wheels continues its outstanding performance, growing 12% in Q2 and remaining the #1 vehicle property globally, gaining market share. This success is attributed to its widespread appeal across kids and adult collectors and its evolution into a broader car culture and lifestyle brand. Challenger categories, including games (UNO, Mattel163) and Action Figures (Toy Story 5, Masters of the Universe, WWE, DC), also showed strong growth, with Mattel becoming the #1 action figure manufacturer in June per Circana.

    06

    Infant, Toddler, Preschool (ITPS) Assessment and Little People Momentum

    The ITPS segment experienced a decline, primarily due to Fisher-Price. However, Little People demonstrated strong momentum with high double-digit growth, supported by new partnerships with Nintendo and Disney. Mattel is actively assessing its ITPS business to optimize product lines and improve profitability. A relaunch of Thomas & Friends, featuring a new interpretation of the classic character with premium animated content and new product lines, is planned for the second half of 2026.

    07

    Capital Allocation and Financial Discipline

    Mattel repurchased $100 million of shares in Q2, contributing to $300 million year-to-date and remaining on track for its $400 million full-year target. Since resuming buybacks in 2023, the company has repurchased $1.5 billion, reducing shares outstanding by approximately 23%. Mattel maintains a strong balance sheet with a leverage ratio of 3x and remains committed to an investment-grade rating, while also investing $110 million in strategic organic growth initiatives for FY26.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.