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Match Group (MTCH) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Communication Services· Aug 4, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Match Group Q2 FY26 — Tinder Product Turnaround and Hinge Growth

Match Group delivered a strong quarter with adjusted EBITDA exceeding expectations, driven by a significant product turnaround at Tinder and continued robust growth from Hinge. The company is leveraging AI to accelerate product development and enhance user engagement, particularly through new social features like Events, while also streamlining its E&E portfolio. Despite some revenue headwinds from user experience tests and the Azar app redesign, management is confident in Tinder's path to MAU growth and sustained profitability, supported by disciplined capital allocation.

Highlights

5
  • Match Group adjusted EBITDA grew 14% year-over-year to $331 million, exceeding expectations.

  • Tinder's DAU improved to down 4% year-over-year in Q2, its best result in 10 quarters, and is expected to turn positive year-over-year any day now.

  • Hinge direct revenue grew 22% year-over-year to $204 million, with global MAU up 13% year-over-year.

  • Match Group repurchased 7.3 million shares for $245 million and paid $91 million in dividends, returning 81% of free cash flow to shareholders.

  • Alternative payment savings for 2026 are now expected to be $130 million, $20 million better than initial expectations.

Concerns

5
  • Match Group total revenue was down 1% year-over-year to $853 million, or down 2% on an FX-neutral basis.

  • Match Group payers declined 6% to $13.3 million.

  • Tinder direct revenue was down 1% year-over-year to $457 million, including an $8 million negative impact from user experience tests.

  • E&E direct revenue was down 17% year-over-year to $179 million, with payers declining 21%.

  • Indirect revenue was down 28% to $13 million due to lower advertiser spend and reallocation.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Q3 FY26 Total Revenue
$885 million to $895 million
high materiality
High
Q3 FY26 Adjusted EBITDA
$330 million to $335 million
high materiality
High
FY26 Total Revenue
near the midpoint of the guidance range provided in February
high materiality
High
FY26 Adjusted EBITDA
at or above the high end of our guidance range provided in February
high materiality
High
FY26 Tinder Direct Revenue
decline in the low single-digit percents
medium materiality
High
FY26 Hinge Direct Revenue
in line with our full year guidance provided in February
medium materiality
High
FY26 E&E Direct Revenue
decline in the mid-teens percent
medium materiality
High
FY26 E&E Adjusted EBITDA Margin
high 20%
medium materiality
High
FY26 Free Cash Flow
at the high end of our guidance range provided in February
high materiality
High
FY26 SBC expense
$230 million to $240 million
medium materiality
High
Tinder MAU
flat
high materiality
High
Tinder Payers
return to growth
high materiality
High
Tinder FY27 Revenue
up over 2026
high materiality
High
Hinge Revenue
$1 billion
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Match Group (Consolidated)
Total revenue down 2% on a foreign exchange-neutral basis. FX was $2 million worse than expected.
Payers: $13.3 million (down 6% YoY)RPP: $21.13 (up 6% YoY)Indirect revenue: $13 million (down 28% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA: $331 million (up 14% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA margin: 39%
$853 milliondown 1%——
Tinder
Direct revenue down 2% FXN. Q2 direct revenue includes an approximately $8 million negative impact from user experience tests and product changes.
Payers: $8.5 million (down 5% YoY)RPP: $17.90 (up 4% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA: $233 million (down 5% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA margin: 50%
$457 milliondown 1%——
Hinge
Direct revenue up 20% FXN.
Payers: $2 million (up 17% YoY)RPP: $33.11 (up 4% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA: $79 million (up 48% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA margin: 39%
$204 millionup 22%——
E&E (Everyone Everywhere)
Direct revenue down 17% FXN. The revenue impact from Azar's app redesign was approximately $5 million better than anticipated.
Payers: $2.7 million (down 21% YoY)RPP: $22.24 (up 4% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA: $54 million (up 69% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA margin: 30%
$179 milliondown 17%——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Eventslaunch
Missed Connectionslaunch
Text-based Searchlaunch
Tinder Rebrandupdate
Friend's Takelaunch
Your Type Latelylaunch
Prefilled Basicslaunch
Signalslaunch
Hinge new subscription tierlaunch

Deals & partnerships

Sniffies Investment in a dating app, following the shutdown of Archer.

Match Group made an investment in Sniffies after shutting down Archer, focusing on a smaller number of brands within E&E.

Risks & headwinds

Match Group Total Revenue Decline Q2 FY26

down 1% year-over-year ($853 million), down 2% FXN

Mitigation:Product improvements at Tinder, Hinge growth, E&E strategy sharpening.

Match Group Payers Decline Q2 FY26

down 6% to $13.3 million

Mitigation:Continued MAU improvement expected to support better payer and revenue results over time; payer declines expected to lessen in H2.

Indirect Revenue Decline Q2 FY26

down 28% to $13 million

Mitigation:Reflecting lower spend from top advertisers compared to a strong Q2 last year, as well as some reallocation of spend during the World Cup.

Tinder User Experience Tests and Product Changes Q2 FY26, Q3 FY26, FY26

approximately $8 million negative impact to direct revenue in Q2; $10 million negative impact in Q3; $30 million to $40 million negative impact for FY26

Mitigation:These tests are considered necessary for long-term revenue growth and user engagement improvements.

Azar App Redesign Impact Q3 FY26 and ongoing

approximately $15 million negative impact to Match Group revenue each quarter

Mitigation:Team did a fantastic job getting back in the App Store, but at a much lower revenue base. E&E strategy sharpening and leveraging 1MG capabilities.

Google Play New Fee Structure March 1, 2027 (US), then other geographies through 2026-2027

very small benefit to us in '27, maybe $5 million

Mitigation:No significant economic benefit for alternative payments once payment processing fees are considered; could change from other legal or regulatory reasons.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Tinder DAU growth

any day now
Current down 2.5% YoY in July, almost positive in August
Target positive year-over-year

Why it matters

Positive DAU growth is a key milestone for Tinder's turnaround, indicating improved product engagement and retention.

Daily active users or DAU trends have also improved meaningfully, and we expect them to turn positive year-over-year any day now.

Find out whether MTCH delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What specific initiatives are driving Tinder's DAU to turn positive, and why is DAU improving faster than MAU?

Spencer attributed DAU improvement to a comprehensive product overhaul, including recommendation algorithm updates, new features like Double Date and Events, and a rebrand. He highlighted that the current focus is on improving the experience for existing users, while Events is designed to drive new MAU. He cited specific metrics like matches up 14% YoY and Sparks Coverage up 5% YoY in July.

“If I had to choose one, which is difficult, the one I would choose would be a recommendation algorithm improvements, where we are showing more people, the people that would be good matches for them, and that is driving better user retention.”

asked by James Heaney · answered by Spencer Rascoff

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Tinder's Product-Led Turnaround

Tinder has undergone a comprehensive product overhaul, focusing on improving recommendation algorithms, introducing social features like Double Date and Modes, and enhancing Trust and Safety. These efforts have significantly narrowed MAU declines and are expected to drive positive year-over-year DAU growth soon, a milestone not seen in over three years. The rebrand, now live globally, provides a fresh identity, contributing to improved engagement metrics post-rollout.

AI Acceleration in Product Development

AI has played a crucial role in accelerating Tinder's product development life cycles, enabling rapid execution of new features. For instance, AI helped the team move Missed Connections from idea to product in weeks, compressing a typical multi-month process. Hinge is also leveraging AI to build its first reinforcement-learning model for personalized user assistance, aiming for a broader personalization layer.

Hinge's Continued Strong Growth

Hinge maintains strong product-market fit with intentioned daters, driving global MAU growth of 13% year-over-year in Q2 and direct revenue up 22%. The brand is expanding internationally, entering 6 new European and 4 new Latin American countries in Q2, with India being a key focus in Asia.

Hinge is on track to reach $1 billion in revenue by 2027, supported by product innovation, international expansion, and monetization runway, including a new subscription tier test in Q3.

Events Feature for Reconsideration

Tinder's new Events feature, piloted in Los Angeles and now expanding to 26 cities by September, aims to drive reconsideration among non-users and lapsed users. Early data shows 71% engagement among 18-24 year olds in the LA pilot, with over half returning weekly.

The company believes Events will shift brand perception and attract new users by offering lower-pressure, real-world connection opportunities, with 60% of non-Tinder users indicating they would be more likely to use the app because of it.

E&E Portfolio Re-evaluation

The E&E segment, now including Azar and Pairs, has undergone a deep review to sharpen its strategy. The focus is on brand-by-brand priorities, deliberate investment choices, and leveraging Match Group's shared capabilities (1MG approach) for Trust and Safety, recommendations, and marketing.

While facing headwinds from the Azar app redesign, early progress gives confidence in the segment's direction, with plans to extend Tinder Events capabilities to E&E brands like BLK.

Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

Match Group continues its strategy of prioritizing business investment, returning capital to shareholders, and selective M&A. The company repurchased $245 million of shares and paid $91 million in dividends year-to-date, equating to 81% of free cash flow. Diluted shares outstanding were reduced by 5% year-over-year as of July 31, 2026, demonstrating a commitment to attractive free cash flow per share.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.