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    MTN
    Earnings call· Jan 2026(Q2 FY26)

    VAIL RESORTS Q2 FY26 earnings call MTN

    Mar 9, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Vail Resorts Q2 FY26 — Unprecedented Rocky Mountain Weather Impacts Results, Pass Program Provides Stability

    Vail Resorts faced unprecedented weather challenges in the Rockies during Q2 FY26, leading to significant declines in visitation and revenue. Despite these headwinds, the company's advanced commitment strategy, with pass holders comprising 75% of visitation, provided crucial stability. New pass and lift ticket initiatives, including a 20% discount for young adults, aim to optimize future revenue growth and engagement.

    Highlights

    4
    • Pass units grew 55% over the past 5 years, with pass holders now making up approximately 75% of annual visitation, providing meaningful stability.

    • Achieved record high system-wide guest satisfaction scores this season, including increases year-over-year in Colorado and Utah.

    • Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan expected to exceed initial $100 million annualized savings target by approximately $6 million by the end of FY26.

    • Q2 total lift revenue declined only approximately 3% despite visitation being down 13%, reflecting the stability provided by pass sales.

    Concerns

    4
    • Q2 total net revenue declined approximately 5% compared to the prior year, driven by unfavorable weather conditions.

    • Q2 resort reported EBITDA declined approximately 8% compared to the prior year due to weather-related headwinds.

    • Skier visitation declined approximately 12% season-to-date through March 1, consistent with ongoing weather impacts.

    • Full-year net income guidance reduced to $144 million-$190 million and resort reported EBITDA to $745 million-$775 million due to persistent challenging weather conditions.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Net income attributable to Vail Resorts
    $144M-$190M
    high materiality
    Medium
    Resort reported EBITDA
    $745M-$775M
    high materiality
    Medium
    Cash taxes
    $95M-$105M
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan annualized savings
    Exceed initial $100M target by ~$6M
    medium materiality
    High
    Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan incremental savings
    $42M
    medium materiality
    High
    Core capital expenditures
    $215M-$220M
    medium materiality
    High
    Total capital spending
    $234M-$239M
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    26
    Pass units growth
    55%
    Past 5 years

    Growth in pass units over the last five years.

    Pass holders as % of annual visitation
    75%
    Annual

    Pass holders now make up approximately 75% of annual visitation.

    Rockies snowfall
    43%YoY decline
    Q2 FY26

    Historically challenging conditions in the Rockies significantly impacted performance.

    Rockies snowfall vs FY12
    40%lower than FY12
    This season

    Magnitude of conditions impact, compared to the historically worst weather year.

    February temperature vs average
    9 degreeswarmer than average
    February

    Warmest winter to date on record for Colorado, impacting terrain opening.

    Acres opened
    70%-80%
    Through February

    Limited terrain availability due to low snowfall and warm temperatures.

    Q2 total net revenue
    5%declined YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by unfavorable weather conditions negatively impacting visitation and ancillary spending.

    Q2 total lift revenue
    3%declined YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Despite visitation being down 13%, reflecting stability from pass sales.

    Q2 resort reported EBITDA
    8%declined YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Weather-related headwinds partially offset by disciplined cost management and savings.

    Skier visitation
    12%declined
    Season-to-date through March 1

    Consistent with ongoing weather impacts.

    Lift revenue
    4%declined
    Season-to-date through March 1

    Growth in pass revenue was offset by declines in non-pass lift ticket revenue.

    Pass revenue
    3%up
    Season-to-date through March 1

    Partially offset by declines in non-pass lift ticket revenue.

    Pass visitation
    14%declined
    Season-to-date through March 1

    Even the most committed pass visitation declined due to conditions impact.

    Non-pass lift ticket visitation
    6%declined
    Season-to-date through March 1

    Decline in non-pass lift ticket visitation.

    Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan annualized savings
    $106Mexceeds initial target by $6M
    Annualized by end of FY26

    Expected to exceed the initial $100 million annualized savings target.

    Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan one-time operating expenses
    $15M
    FY26

    One-time operating expenses associated with the Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan.

    Liquidity
    $1.1B
    End of Q2 FY26

    Company ended the quarter with strong liquidity.

    Net leverage
    3.1x
    Trailing 12 months EBITDA

    Net leverage ratio.

    Convertible debt retired
    $525M
    Q2 FY26

    Retired using a combination of net proceeds from delayed draw term loan and cash on hand.

    Quarterly dividend
    $2.22maintained flat
    Quarterly

    Maintained quarterly dividend, not believing current cash flow decline is indicative of long-term potential.

    Shares repurchased
    0.3M
    Year-to-date

    Repurchased shares year-to-date.

    Pass price increase (Epic and Epic Local)
    3%-4%
    2026/2027 season

    Price increases for the upcoming season.

    Blended pass price increase (all products)
    3%-4%
    2026/2027 season

    Overall blended price increase across all pass products.

    Young adult pass discount
    20%less than standard pricing
    2026/2027 season

    New pricing introduced for young adults to provide a more accessible pathway.

    Sales and lift tax on multi-resort passes
    3%
    2026/2027 season

    Passing through the sales and lift tax to local communities.

    Guest satisfaction scores
    Record highincreases YoY in Colorado and Utah
    This season

    Achieved despite very challenging conditions, reflecting team member execution.

    Industry KPIs

    1
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales compsSkier visitation declined 12%; Lift revenue declined 4%%

    Product announcements

    6
    ProductTypeDetails
    New pricing for skiers and riders ages 13-30launch
    Epic and Epic Local passesupdate
    Epic Day passesupdate
    Epic Friends ticketlaunch
    1-month advanced lift ticketslaunch
    Off-peak pricing strategylaunch

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Unprecedented challenging weather in the RockiesQ2 FY26 and season-to-date

    Snowfall down 43% YoY; February 9 degrees warmer than average; only 70%-80% of acres opened through February in Colorado and Utah; Q2 total net revenue declined ~5%; Q2 resort reported EBITDA declined ~8%; Skier visitation declined ~12% season-to-date.

    Mitigation: Advanced commitment strategies (pass sales), geographic diversification, disciplined cost management, Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan savings.

    Greater variability in full-year guidanceRemainder of FY26

    Net income guidance of $144M-$190M; Resort reported EBITDA guidance of $745M-$775M.

    Mitigation: Acknowledging the uncertainty and reflecting assumptions in the updated guidance range, including current conditions in North America.

    Impact of reduced usage on future pass salesNext season's pass sales cycle

    Less usage of lift tickets or passes due to weather conditions.

    Mitigation: Proactive marketing, increased investment, new young adult discount, Epic Friends discount, and 'Turn In Your Ticket' promotion to re-engage potential customers.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    4

    Pass renewal rates for 2026/2027 season

    Next quarter (Q3 FY26 earnings call) and into next season
    TargetStable or improved renewal rates despite challenging FY26 weather

    Why it matters

    Indicates long-term engagement and effectiveness of the pass program after a difficult weather year, crucial for future revenue stability.

    I think what we see is that people tend to look at this in terms of how many times they may have used their pass as also an aberration that it's not really that they don't love skiing. It's not that they're not as connected to the sport, but just that the weather didn't show up this year like they may have hoped.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How will this season's unusually warm temperatures and low snowfall in the Rockies impact pass renewals for next year, especially in local communities?

    Rob Katz stated that historically, severe weather years are viewed as aberrations by skiers and don't significantly impact long-term engagement. While it's hard to know exactly, he doesn't expect a major long-term impact on renewals, noting the low pass price helps with planning through good and bad years.

    I think what we see is that people tend to look at this in terms of how many times they may have used their pass as also an aberration that it's not really that they don't love skiing. It's not that they're not as connected to the sport, but just that the weather didn't show up this year like they may have hoped.

    asked by Shaun Kelley · answered by Robert Katz

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Impact of Unprecedented Weather

    The Q2 FY26 results were severely impacted by historic low snowfall (down 43% YoY) and record warm temperatures in the Rockies, which saw February temperatures 9 degrees warmer than average. This led to the latest opening of back bowls at Vail Mountain and Imperial Lift at Breckenridge, with only 70%-80% of acres opened through February in Colorado and Utah. These conditions significantly weighed on visitation and ancillary spending, resulting in a 5% decline in Q2 total net revenue and an 8% decline in Q2 resort reported EBITDA.

    02

    Resilience of Advanced Commitment Strategy

    Despite the challenging conditions, the company's advanced commitment strategy demonstrated resilience. Pass units have grown 55% over the past five years, with pass holders now accounting for approximately 75% of annual visitation, providing meaningful stability. Geographic diversification, with strong conditions in the East partially offsetting the Rockies, also played a role, highlighting the durability of the business model built to withstand challenging weather years.

    03

    Strategic Pass and Ticket Initiatives

    Vail Resorts launched new products and targeted pricing adjustments for the 2026/2027 season, including a 20% discount for skiers and riders aged 13-30 to attract price-sensitive young adults. Epic and Epic Local passes saw 3%-4% price increases, with a blended 3%-4% increase overall, and the company is now passing through sales and lift taxes (approximately 3%). Early reception to Epic Friends tickets and 1-month advanced lift tickets, introduced this season, has been positive, expanding reach and strengthening the funnel into the pass business.

    04

    Resource Efficiency and Cost Management

    The Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan continues to drive improvements in organizational effectiveness and operating leverage. The plan is now expected to exceed its initial $100 million annualized savings target by approximately $6 million by the end of FY26. For FY26, the company anticipates delivering $42 million of incremental savings versus the prior year, before approximately $15 million of one-time📎 operating expenses. This disciplined cost management helped mitigate the financial impact of the severe weather.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Liquidity

    The company maintains a strong balance sheet with approximately $1.1 billion in liquidity and net leverage of 3.1x trailing 12 months EBITDA. Capital allocation priorities remain consistent: reinvestment in the business (with a reaffirmed CY26 capital plan of $234 million-$239 million total spending) and balance sheet flexibility. The quarterly dividend was maintained at $2.22 per share, and the company repurchased 0.3 million shares for $45 million year-to-date, demonstrating opportunistic capital returns.

    06

    Guest Experience and Technology Investments

    Despite the difficult operating environment, Vail Resorts achieved record high system-wide guest satisfaction scores this season, including year-over-year increases in Colorado and Utah. This is attributed to the caliber of team members and their execution. The company is also advancing guest-facing technology, including implementing a new content management system for the 2026/2027 season to enable greater personalization and agility, and enhancing the My Epic App with new functionality.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.