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Murphy USA (MUSA) Q1 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Mar 2026 (Q1 FY26)· Consumer Discretionary· Apr 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Murphy USA Q1 FY26 — Strong Fuel Supply Performance and Record Loyalty Sign-ups

Murphy USA delivered strong Q1 FY26 results, primarily driven by significant contributions from its fuel supply business due to market volatility and rising prices, alongside robust merchandise performance. The company observed record loyalty program sign-ups, indicating increased value-seeking consumer behavior, while actively addressing challenges in its QuickChek segment and maintaining cost discipline. Management emphasized a continued focus on operational execution and strategic growth initiatives, despite the unpredictable macro environment.

Highlights

5
  • All-in fuel margins averaged $0.35 per gallon in Q1 FY26, with retail margin at $0.254 per gallon.

  • Fuel supply business generated nearly $80 million ($0.069 per gallon) from inventory gains due to rising prices in Q1 FY26.

  • Record 600,000 new sign-ups for Murphy Drive Rewards in March, the highest monthly total since 2022.

  • Nicotine contribution dollars were up 8.8% on an average per store month basis in Q1 FY26.

  • Store operating expenses showed only minor growth in Q1 FY26 due to labor model and maintenance efficiencies.

Concerns

4
  • Full-year fuel margin guidance not updated due to unprecedented volatility and geopolitical risk.

  • QuickChek stores in the Northeast region continue to face traffic challenges, offsetting network strength.

  • Q1 FY26 fuel volumes were down less than 1% despite severe weather and rising prices, with 900 temporary store closures.

  • The Q3 FY25 nicotine promotion will create a "very tough comparison" for Q3 FY26.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year fuel margin
Will not update, expected to be on the conservative side
high materiality
Low
April all-in fuel margins
$0.35 to $0.40 per gallon
medium materiality
High
Full-year effective income tax rate
23% to 25%
low materiality
High
New-to-industry store openings
45 to 55 sites
high materiality
High
April total merchandise contribution dollars growth
high single digits
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
QuickChek (Northeast region)
QuickChek stores in the Northeast region continue to face traffic challenges, offsetting strength in the rest of the network, largely due to QSR competitive pressures. Management is focusing on improving the food offer, rationalizing assortment, and evolving the culture to a "sales-first mentality" to drive results.
Traffic challenges: statedFood offer simplification: statedAssortment rationalization: statedMargin improvement: statedSales-first mentality culture evolution: stated
————
Murphy USA (core stores)
The core Murphy USA customer is holding up nicely, largely maintaining their in-store spend. Non-nicotine sales and margin showed growth, with strong margin growth in key categories like packaged beverages, candy, and snacks. Beer continues to face structural decline in demand.
Non-nicotine sales growth: 2%Non-nicotine margin growth: 4%Mid- to high single-digit margin growth: Packaged beverage, candy and snacksModest growth (<1%): Lottery and general merchandiseSlightly lower comps: Beer
————

Risks & headwinds

Unprecedented market volatility and geopolitical risk remainder of the year

changing every day, minute by minute

Mitigation:wake up every day react to market conditions... be nimble, change our playbook as needed and ensure that the business delivers the best outcome

Tough comparison for nicotine promotional activity Q3 FY26

very tough comparison

Mitigation:will continue to get promotional dollars... have intentions and the ability to continue to grow share

Severe weather events Q1 FY26

over 900 temporary store closures in Q1 FY26 (50% more than Q1 FY25)

Mitigation:very pleased with first quarter fuel performance despite this, implying resilience

QuickChek traffic challenges due to QSR competition ongoing

offsetting the strength we are seeing across the rest of our network

Mitigation:focusing on the core items in the food offer, tank coffee, breakfast, sandwiches... simplifying the menu, rationalizing the assortment, improving the margin... evolve the culture inside the QuickChek stores into a sales-first mentality

Volume pressure in specific competitive markets (e.g., Colorado, Florida) ongoing

Colorado continued to see volume pressure... Florida, we're still seeing highly competitive activity. So that's pressuring both volume and margin in that region.

Mitigation:price where we need to, to hang on to volume as we see competitive pressures

What to watch in Q2 FY26

Fuel supply business contribution

next quarter (Q2 FY26)
Current $0.096 per gallon (Q1 FY26)
Target Evolution of inventory gains/losses based on price direction

Why it matters

The fuel supply business, particularly inventory gains/losses, significantly impacted Q1 results and is highly sensitive to price volatility, which management expects to continue.

Well, fuel supply results were high in the first quarter as we explained. The core business, though, generated $0.025, including the impact -- excluding the impact of those higher prices. So if prices continue to increase, then you should expect the positive inventory valuations in that part of the business that prices decline, you're going to get the opposite impact.

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Q&A highlights

How should we think about the $0.069 per gallon inventory gain from fuel supply in Q1 evolving through the year?

Mindy West explained that if prices continue to increase, positive inventory valuations will occur, and vice versa. She noted that RIN values are essentially a pass-through and their impact cancels out over time. She also provided preliminary April retail margin and product supply/wholesale expectations, indicating continued volatility.

“if prices continue to increase, then you should expect the positive inventory valuations in that part of the business that prices decline, you're going to get the opposite impact.”

asked by Irene Nattel · answered by Mindy West

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Fuel Supply Business Performance and Volatility Management

Murphy USA's fuel supply business, formerly PS&W, demonstrated strong performance in Q1 FY26, contributing $0.096 per gallon to total fuel contribution. This was significantly boosted by nearly $80 million ($0.069 per gallon) from inventory gains due to the rapid upward movement in unleaded prices during March.

Management disaggregates this into controllable activities (generating $0.024 per retail gallon), inventory exposure (volatile, dependent on price changes), and wholesale/terminal functions (modest, ratable contribution of $1M-$2M per month). The company emphasized its ability to manage volatility and adapt its playbook to market conditions.

Retail Fuel Margins and Market Rationality

Despite a rapidly rising price environment, retail fuel margins averaged a healthy $0.254 per gallon in Q1 FY26, reaching over $0.27 per gallon in March. This strength is attributed to fuel retailers remaining risk-averse and quickly passing through higher replacement costs, indicating that marginal retailers are less resilient to margin pressure.

This market rationality, combined with Murphy USA's everyday low price model, allows the business to deliver strong results even in dynamic conditions.

Consumer Behavior and Loyalty Program Engagement

The company observed a significant increase in value-seeking consumer behavior, evidenced by a record 600,000 new sign-ups for Murphy Drive Rewards in March, the highest monthly total since 2022. This indicates that new and lapsed customers are choosing Murphy USA for its low prices during periods of higher fuel costs.

While overall Q1 fuel volumes were down less than 1% due to weather and the early stage of price increases, April volumes were flat year-over-year, suggesting a gradual build in customer attraction as prices remain elevated.

Merchandise Sales Strength and Category Performance

Merchandise results were strong, particularly in the nicotine category, where contribution dollars were up 8.8% on an average per store month basis, with non-combustible products up 22%. This was driven by favorable promotional activity and manufacturers investing in trial for new products.

Non-nicotine sales and margin also held up well, increasing 2% and 4.4% respectively, indicating the core Murphy USA customer is maintaining in-store spend on non-discretionary items.

Operational Efficiency and Cost Control

Murphy USA achieved only minor growth in per store operating expenses in Q1 FY26, demonstrating effective cost control. This was a result of intentional activities, including evolving maintenance functionality to a proactive, business-minded approach (e.g., batching tickets, prioritizing repairs) and implementing an upgraded store labor model to optimize staffing based on customer demand.

Progress in shrink reduction and monthly employee training also contributed to these efficiencies.

QuickChek Challenges and Improvement Initiatives

The QuickChek stores in the Northeast region continue to face traffic challenges, largely due to intense QSR competition. In response, management is focusing on simplifying the food offer, rationalizing assortment, and improving margins. A key initiative is evolving the QuickChek culture towards a "sales-first mentality," similar to the successful approach at Murphy USA stores, supported by recent leadership changes.

Early stages of this transformation are underway, aiming to drive results across all center-of-store categories.

Capital Allocation and Growth Strategy

The company maintains a balanced capital allocation strategy, prioritizing growth CapEx for building 45 to 55 new-to-industry sites in FY26. This is balanced with ratable share repurchases, with $71 million executed in Q1 FY26 at an average price of $420 per share.

The company also paid down $26 million of debt on its revolver and grew its cash balance to $119 million. Deleveraging is a lower priority given the already low leverage ratio of 1.9x.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.