Detailed Narrative
Strong Q2 Performance and Raised Outlook
Nabors exceeded its Q2 EBITDA guidance across all segments, driven by strong operational execution in Lower 48 and international drilling. This performance led to a raised full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance of $920 million to $930 million and adjusted free cash flow guidance of $20 million to $30 million, despite SANAD's cash consumption. The company's consolidated EBITDA margin expanded 107 basis points to 27.2% with a 54% fall-through, reflecting outstanding portfolio-wide execution.
International Growth and SANAD's Role
The international business continues to strengthen, particularly in Saudi Arabia where the SANAD JV placed its 16th newbuild rig and returned two suspended rigs to service. SANAD, with 55 rigs and a 28% market share, is central to Saudi Aramco's natural gas expansion, with 34 newbuilds remaining in the 50-rig program, providing a long runway for growth. Operations in the Middle East continued without disruption despite regional geopolitical tensions.
Lower 48 Market Dynamics
The U.S. Lower 48 market saw a notable upward turn in Q2, with the Baker Hughes land rig count increasing by 31 rigs or 6%. Nabors added five rigs, with nearly 70% of its working fleet serving publicly traded operators. Daily revenue improved by over $900 sequentially to $33,555, and leading-edge pricing is expected to reach or exceed mid-$30,000s by year-end 2026/2027 as utilization tightens. The company expects to exit Q3 with 74 rigs operating in the Lower 48.
Technology and Innovation as a Differentiator
Nabors' technology strategy, focused on improving drilling performance and expanding customer returns, was evident in Q2. NDS revenue grew 11% on Nabors' Lower 48 rigs and 12% on third-party rigs, driven by demand for software products like MPD and RigCloud. The deployment of PACE-X Ultra rigs with the full NDS suite generates over $40,000 daily revenue, showcasing the 'rig as a platform' strategy and creating higher revenue and stronger margins.
Strategic International Markets
Beyond Saudi Arabia, Nabors highlighted strong performance in Kuwait (three deep gas rigs on long-term contracts) and Oman (four rigs, multiple tenders). Argentina is a compelling success story with 13 operating rigs (soon 14) and a 30% market share, where NDS contributed 46% of EBITDA in H1 2026. Venezuela presents an improving long-term opportunity with five idle rigs positioned for potential activity resumption, given its large resource base and proximity to refining capacity.
Capital Discipline and Allocation
The company remains committed to capital discipline, with full-year CapEx guidance of $710 million to $730 million, including $325 million to $335 million for SANAD newbuilds. Management emphasized selective deployment of capital only where expected returns and contract duration justify the investment. Nabors aims to reduce gross debt by at least $100 million in 2026 and achieve a net leverage of approximately one turn long-term.