Skip to content
    NUE
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    NUCOR Q2 FY26 earnings call NUE

    Jul 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Nucor Q2 FY26 — Record Shipments and Strong Demand Across End Markets

    Nucor delivered a strong second quarter, marked by record steel mill shipments and robust demand across diverse end markets, including energy, advanced manufacturing, and data centers. The company continues to execute on growth initiatives, with new projects ramping up and contributing positively, while maintaining a disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on shareholder returns and strategic 'expand beyond' investments. Management expressed optimism for continued strength into 2027, driven by multi-year demand trends and a favorable trade policy environment.

    Highlights

    5
    • Adjusted earnings of $4.84 per share, exceeding guidance midpoint by $0.29.

    • Steel Mills segment achieved all-time high quarterly shipments of 7.1 million tons, a second consecutive record.

    • Steel Products shipments increased 11% versus Q1, with growth across all major products.

    • Generated $829 million in free cash flow, the strongest quarter since 2023.

    • Returned $479 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, representing 41% of net earnings.

    Concerns

    3
    • Pre-operating and start-up costs totaled $120 million in Q2, expected to remain elevated through 2026 and 2027.

    • Raw materials segment expects lower earnings in Q3 due to lower expected realized scrap pricing and elevated iron ore costs.

    • Finished steel imports increased Q-o-Q, particularly in beams, absorbing some incremental demand.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Overall Shipment Growth
    Closer to higher end of 5% to 10% range
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated Earnings
    Higher
    high materiality
    High
    Steel Mills Segment Earnings
    Higher
    medium materiality
    High
    Steel Products Segment Earnings
    Increased
    medium materiality
    High
    Raw Materials Segment Earnings
    Lower
    medium materiality
    High
    Capital Expenditures
    ~$2.5 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Shareholder Returns Payout Ratio
    At least 40% of net earnings
    high materiality
    High
    Pre-operating and Start-up Costs
    Remain elevated
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    3
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Steel Mills
    Driven by higher average selling prices, especially in sheet and plate. Included $130 million cash refunds associated with prior period raw material procurement costs, primarily related to pig iron.
    Shipments: 7.1 million tons (all-time high, second straight record)Pretax earnings growth: >35% from prior quarter
    $1.6 billion pretax earnings
    Steel Products
    Volume growth occurred across all major product lines with stable pricing. The Tube group posted a second consecutive quarterly shipment record and strong earnings.
    Shipments growth: 11% vs Q1Pretax earnings growth: >$75 million from Q1
    $353 million pretax earnings
    Raw Materials
    Reflecting higher volumes and improved margins. DRI operations benefited from a higher transfer price based on pig iron pricing. Improved performance in scrap processing operations.
    Pretax earnings: vs $45 million in Q1
    $146 million pretax earnings

    Operational metrics

    28
    Adjusted EPS
    $4.84
    Q2 FY26

    Exceeded the midpoint of guidance range by $0.29.

    EBITDA
    ~$2 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Generated approximately $2 billion of EBITDA.

    Shareholder Returns
    $479 millionup >$200 million from Q1
    Q2 FY26

    Part of commitment to return at least 40% of net earnings annually.

    Shareholder Returns
    >$730 million
    YTD FY26

    Year-to-date shareholder returns.

    Capital Expenditures
    $571 million
    Q2 FY26

    CapEx moderated in Q2.

    Capital Expenditures
    ~$1.2 billion
    YTD FY26

    Year-to-date capital expenditures.

    Capital Allocated to Shareholder Returns and Growth Investments
    >75%
    YTD FY26

    Combined allocation of capital.

    Cash and Liquidity
    $2.7 billion cash, $3.4 billion liquidity
    Q2 FY26

    Strong investment-grade credit profile.

    Total Debt as % of Capital
    23%
    Q2 FY26

    Credit ratings remain the strongest of any North American steel producer.

    Pre-operating and Start-up Costs
    $120 million
    Q2 FY26

    Expected to remain elevated through rest of 2026 and throughout 2027.

    Finished Steel Imports
    down 25%up Q-o-Q
    YoY

    Due to strengthening of 232 program and AD/CVD duties.

    Sheet Imports
    ~4.5 million tonsvs 9 million tons in 2024
    FY26 estimate

    Represents additional addressable market for domestic suppliers.

    Addressable Market for Domestic Suppliers (Sheet)
    6.5 million tons
    FY26 estimate

    Strong market for domestic suppliers.

    Auto Shipments
    up 6%Q2 over Q1
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by reshoring of production here to utilize existing capacity.

    Service Center Shipments
    up 10%
    June YoY

    With moderate to low inventories throughout the supply chain.

    Domestic Steel Demand Growth (Industry)
    ~2%
    FY26

    Overall industry demand growth estimate.

    Towers and Structures Group EBITDA
    $150 million
    Annual

    Targeted EBITDA for the group, driven by strong order book and relationships with utilities.

    DRI Production
    quarterly record
    Q2 FY26

    Rising pig iron allowed Nucor to lean into DRI as an alternative supply for mills.

    Border Wall Shipments
    thousands of tons
    weekly

    Nucor is shipping to multiple locations along the border.

    Steel Mills Segment Cash Refunds
    $130 million
    Q2 FY26

    These refunds contributed to the segment's earnings.

    Steel Mills Segment Shipments
    7.1 million tonsall-time high, second straight record
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects strong execution and investments in core steelmaking capabilities.

    Brandenburg Shipments
    >230,000 tons
    Q2 FY26

    Part of the plate group's strong performance.

    Brandenburg Shipments (New Grades/Sizes)
    nearly 1/3
    Q2 FY26

    These grades and sizes were previously unavailable from Nucor's plate group.

    API Line Pipe Shipments (Brandenburg)
    as much as 25 million tons
    2027 estimate

    Nucor is fully qualified, producing, and shipping API line pipe.

    Flat Products Shipment Growth
    double-digit
    H1 FY26

    Seen in both sheet and plate groups.

    Structural Domestic Consumption Growth
    ~15%
    this year

    Fueled by data centers and other mega projects.

    Q3 Fiscal Days
    91
    Q3 FY26

    Provided for seasonality considerations.

    Q4 Fiscal Days
    89
    Q4 FY26

    Provided for seasonality considerations.

    Industry KPIs

    2
    MetricValueDetails
    Safetysafest summer ever initiative
    Production sales volume by metal and by mine7.1 million tonstons

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Steel Mills Backlogrecord backlogQ2 FY26

    across all product categories; reflects business momentum

    Steel Products Backlogbacklogs continue to buildQ2 FY26

    reflects business momentum from customers across broad sectors

    Structural Backlogup significantlyQ2 FY26

    compared to prior years

    strength expected to carry into next year

    Towers and Structures Backlogorder book, backlog, relationships with utilities being builtQ2 FY26

    expected to generate $150 million of EBITDA, with potential upside

    Deals & partnerships

    2
    CHI overhead doorsAcquisition of overhead door manufacturer

    Part of the 'expand beyond' strategy.

    RidetechAcquisition of company

    Part of the 'expand beyond' strategy.

    Capital programs

    8
    West Virginia Sheet Millunderway
    Spent to date: on time and on budget

    Achieved several important milestones: first coil through pickle line in June, commissioning of melt shop and galv lines started earlier this month. Priority is safe, reliable, and consistent production.

    Berkeley Galv Linenearing completion

    Expected to come online later Q3, likely contributing cash positive by end of year or early Q1 FY27 due to strong demand. Second galvanizing line for the facility.

    Crawfordsville Coating Operation (full range)nearing completion

    Full range of coating operations expected to complete later this year.

    Indiana Towers and Structures Facilitynearing completion

    Expected to complete later this year.

    Utah Towers and Structures Facilityunderway

    Expected to reach full production by mid-2027. Will start up in Q1 next year and take some time to ramp up.

    Lexington Micromillcompleted

    Reached EBITDA positive run rate during Q1 FY26. Part of recently completed growth projects.

    Kingman Melt Shopcompleted

    Reached EBITDA positive run rate during Q1 FY26. Part of recently completed growth projects.

    Alabama Towers and Structures Facilityunderway

    Expected to reach EBITDA positive later this year. Part of recently completed growth projects.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Elevated Pre-operating and Start-up Coststhrough rest of 2026 and throughout 2027

    $120 million in Q2

    Mitigation: Costs are associated with completing construction and ramping up production at the greenfield sheet mill in West Virginia and other major capital projects.

    Lower Raw Materials Segment Earnings in Q3Q3 FY26

    Lower earnings

    Mitigation: Primarily due to lower expected realized scrap pricing and elevated iron ore costs resulting from the idling of some pellet capacity in the Middle East.

    Finished Steel ImportsQ2 FY26

    Up Q-o-Q in Q2, particularly in beams

    Mitigation: Management notes overall imports are down 25% YoY and attributes current spikes to robust demand rather than pricing delta. Vigorous enforcement of trade laws (232 program, AD/CVD) is helping to level the playing field.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    West Virginia Sheet Mill Ramp-up

    Early 2027
    CurrentCommissioning melt shop and galv lines, first coil through pickle line in June.
    TargetCommercial shipments begin to ramp.

    Why it matters

    Successful ramp-up of this major greenfield project is key to future growth and capacity utilization.

    Following commissioning, our priority will be to operate safely and reliably as commercial shipments begin to ramp in early 2027, and capacity utilization and product offerings will be building steadily throughout 2027 and into 2028.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Why are customers buying domestic steel despite import price advantage, given CSP is up and imports are still coming in?

    Management explained that robust demand across almost all product groups is driving record backlogs and order entry rates. Finished steel imports are significantly down year-over-year (from 9M tons in 2024 to ~4.5M tons in 2026), creating a large addressable market for domestic suppliers. Nucor's CSP approach has reduced market volatility and speculation, allowing customers to buy based on supply and demand, which also helps keep imports low. Reshoring in auto and consumer durables is also contributing to demand.

    It is a very different condition today. And again, I think part of that comes in what Noah and his team have done regarding CSP, but no, why don't you unpack that and then dive a little deeper to his question.

    asked by Lawson Winder · answered by Leon Topalian

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Safety Performance and Culture

    Nucor emphasized its commitment to safety, highlighting the launch of its 'safest summer ever' initiative. The company is on pace to achieve its safest summer and safest year in Nucor's history, underscoring safety as the most important measure of performance. Management reiterated the goal of becoming the world's safest steel company, attributing positive results to the dedication of its workforce.

    02

    Trade Policy and Level Playing Field

    Management discussed the positive impact of trade enforcement, noting finished steel imports are down 25% year-over-year due to the 232 program and anti-dumping/countervailing duties. They highlighted the USMCA trade agreement review as an opportunity to strengthen North American content requirements, advocating for 'melted and poured' steel provisions and increased automotive content. Nucor supports Section 301 investigations and urges consistent application of exemptions for vital steelmaking inputs.

    03

    Growth Project Progress and Ramp-up

    The West Virginia sheet mill is on time and on budget, with commissioning of the melt shop and galv lines underway, targeting full equipment commissioning by year-end. Commercial shipments are expected to ramp in early 2027, with capacity utilization building through 2027 and into 2028. Other projects like the Berkeley galv line, Crawfordsville coating, and Indiana Towers are expected to complete later this year, while the Utah Towers facility aims for full production by mid-2027. Earlier projects like Lexington micromill and Kingman melt shop are already EBITDA positive.

    04

    Robust Market Demand and End Markets

    Nucor reported strong demand across most key end markets, including energy, advanced manufacturing, and data centers, which are driving multi-year construction cycles. Flat products saw double-digit shipment growth in the first half, and structural domestic consumption increased approximately 15%, fueled by data centers and mega projects. Reshoring trends in automotive and consumer durables are also contributing to new demand, with service center shipments up 10% year-over-year in June amid low inventories.

    05

    Capital Allocation and 'Expand Beyond' Strategy

    The company reaffirmed its commitment to returning at least 40% of net earnings to shareholders annually. Nucor's 'expand beyond' strategy focuses on high-growth mega-trend areas such as towers and structures, enclosures, and energy infrastructure. Management emphasized a disciplined M&A approach, only pursuing accretive deals that lead to market leadership and double the cost of capital. If suitable opportunities are not found, cash will be returned to shareholders.

    06

    Raw Materials Segment Performance

    The raw materials segment delivered a strong Q2, driven by robust performance in recycling yards, which saw strong volumes and higher margins on shredded and nonferrous metals. DRI operations achieved a quarterly production record, benefiting from a higher internal transfer price linked to rising pig iron pricing. This performance highlights Nucor's strategy of building flexibility into its raw material supply chain to drive value.

    07

    Border Wall Opportunity

    Nucor identified the border wall construction as a significant mega-trend, with the company shipping thousands of tons weekly to multiple locations. This demand is expected to continue well into 2028. Nucor positions itself as uniquely capable, being the only company with the necessary raw materials, sheet, tube capacity, and logistics team to meet this demand.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.