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Ondas (ONDS) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Information Technology· Mar 25, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Ondas Q4 FY25 — Strategic Acquisitions Drive Accelerated Growth and Raised 2026 Outlook

Ondas Inc. is executing a strategic growth plan, marked by significant acquisitions and the build-out of a scaled operating platform. The company exceeded FY25 revenue targets and raised its 2026 outlook, driven by strong organic growth and accretive M&A. While investing heavily in infrastructure and integration, Ondas maintains a path to profitability, leveraging its robust capital position and multi-domain ISR platform.

Highlights

5
  • FY25 revenue exceeded $50 million, well ahead of earlier targets.

  • Raised 2026 revenue outlook to at least $375 million, more than doubling prior expectations.

  • Q4 FY25 revenue grew 629% year-over-year to $30.1 million, and 200% sequentially.

  • Q4 FY25 gross margin significantly improved to 42%, up from 21% in the prior year and 26% sequentially.

  • Pro forma cash balance stands at over $1.5 billion, providing significant financial flexibility.

Concerns

3
  • Q4 FY25 net loss was $101 million, primarily due to an $82.2 million non-cash warrant revaluation charge.

  • Cash operating expenses increased to $36.1 million in Q4 FY25 due to investments in personnel and infrastructure.

  • Higher cash usage is expected in the first half of 2026, reflecting continued investment ahead of growth.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Revenue
at least $375 million
high materiality
High
Q1 Revenue
$38 million to $40 million
medium materiality
High
Backlog
increase significantly
medium materiality
High
Cash usage
higher cash usage
low materiality
High
Cash efficiency
meaningful improvement
medium materiality
High
Product companies Adjusted EBITDA
positive EBITDA
high materiality
High
OAS Adjusted EBITDA
positive EBITDA
high materiality
High
Ondas Inc. Adjusted EBITDA
positive EBITDA
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)
Strong demand across the segment drove significant revenue growth in Q4 FY25. The segment is expanding its market opportunity across Counter-UAS, ISR, loitering munitions, one-way attack systems, and unmanned ground vehicles, including stratospheric capabilities.
$30.1 million629%200%—
Ondas Networks
2025 was an important year with the formal adoption of IEEE 802.16 by the AAR. Commercial opportunities are expected to convert in H2 2026, and ACSES radios for Amtrak are in production for H1 deliveries, underpinning long-term value.
IEEE 802.16 adoption by AAR: formal adoptionAAR intent to adopt .16 across all communications networks: confirmedACSES radios for Amtrak production: in productionACSES radios initial deliveries: expected H1 FY26
————

ONDS operating KPIs by quarter

ONDS operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Mar 2026 Q1 FY26 Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Employees
1,000+ Ondas now has more than 1,000 employees globally, supporting operations, engineering, manufacturing, integration and customer delivery, positioning us to meet growing demand and keep scaling. Source: earnings call transcript
~1,700 Today, Ondas operates in more than 60 countries through 25 physical locations with approximately 1,700 employees around the world. Source: earnings call transcript
—

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Orderbook & backlog

Backlog significantly expanded FY25 exit

Reflecting growing customer demand and market adoption.

Backlog increase significantly Q1 FY26

Driven by continued order momentum in the core business and addition of backlog from newly acquired companies.

Mistral programs captured in excess of $1 billion current

Expected to generate significant pull-through revenue for Ondas.

Mistral backlog contribution meaningful backlog upon closing

Expected upon closing in Q2 FY26.

BIRD backlog contribution meaningful backlog current

Contributes to more predictable and recurring revenue streams.

INDO Earth backlog contribution near-term revenue backlog current

Establishes a foundation for long-term growth in autonomous ground systems.

Deals & partnerships

Heidelberg Formed ONBERG Autonomous Systems to provide local manufacturing, engineering, and life cycle support for defense and security solutions in Europe.

ONBERG addresses European market needs for localized defense capabilities, particularly in Germany and Ukraine. Combines Ondas' systems-of-systems expertise with Heidelberg's local infrastructure and relationships.

World View Acquisition of World View to integrate persistent stratospheric sensing capabilities into Ondas' multi-domain ISR platform.

World View brings Stratollite platforms for persistent sensing in the stratosphere, filling a gap between UAVs and satellites. Ryan Hartman, President and CEO of World View, will join Ondas leadership.

Palantir Strategic partnership to integrate Palantir's AIP software stack (Warp Speed, Foundry, Maven) into Ondas' multi-domain ISR platform for real-time data fusion and decision-making.

Enables a software-defined ISR architecture, creating a unified operational system for sensing, data, and decision-making. Includes active commercial partnership for market development and program opportunities.

Mistral Acquisition to accelerate U.S. market expansion, enabling Ondas to operate as a prime contractor and adding critical manufacturing and program execution capabilities.

Mistral brings market experience and customer access across UAVs, loitering munitions, and ground robotics, and expertise in localizing Israeli-developed platforms for U.S. requirements.

Rotron Aerospace Acquisition to expand aerial capabilities, adding long-range UAV platforms, autonomous strike systems, and advanced propulsion technologies.

Rotron provides platforms like Talend, Defender, and Stratos, extending Ondas' platform beyond ISR into a more complete strike and effector layer. Also provides a strong local presence in the UK, competing for programs like Project Break Stop.

BIRD Aerosystems Acquisition to add an airborne protection layer with advanced ISR and counter-UAS capabilities, designed to protect manned and unmanned systems.

BIRD's technologies include laser-based DIRCM systems for detecting and defeating missile threats. Brings access to long-cycle program of record defense budgets.

INDO Earth Acquisition to expand ground system strategy into military engineering vehicles, providing entry into large-scale defense procurement programs.

Complements aerial and ISR capabilities, with future opportunities to integrate autonomy and advanced technologies into these platforms.

Risks & headwinds

Non-cash warrant revaluation charge Q4 FY25 and ongoing

$82.2 million charge in Q4 FY25

Mitigation:Management advises investors to focus on underlying operating performance, as this is an accounting-driven charge with no impact on cash, operations, or underlying economics. It will introduce variability in reported earnings.

Increased cash usage H1 FY26

higher cash usage

Mitigation:Reflects continued investment ahead of growth, viewed as essential for enabling the next phase of growth. Expected to drive meaningful operating leverage as revenue scales, with cash efficiency improving in H2 FY26.

What to watch in Q1 FY26

ONBERG revenue contribution

coming months
Current not yet included in outlook
Target meaningful growth beyond existing targets

Why it matters

ONBERG is a key component of Ondas' European strategy, localizing its platform and expanding its addressable market in a fast-growing defense market.

As ONBERG becomes operational in the coming months, we expect it to drive meaningful growth beyond our existing targets.

Find out whether ONDS delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How has the increasing conflict in the Middle East affected business progression, order flow, or interest?

The conflict is driving more activity, demand, RFPs, and urgency. Ondas is seeing strong demand for its proven and deployed ISR and counter-UAS systems, which are critical capabilities in the current operational environment. This is viewed as a long-term dynamic, with increased government and defense budgets expected.

“We believe we have the right products at the right time through our tech companies we are well positioned in both ISR and counter UAS, which are the 2 of the most critical capabilities in today's operational environment.”

asked by Austin Bohlig · answered by Meir Kliner

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategic Transformation and Operating Platform

Ondas is undergoing a significant transformation, evolving into a scaled multi-domain autonomy platform. This shift is driven by a strategic growth plan focused on acquisitions and the build-out of a robust operating platform designed for global deployment and long-term growth.

The company emphasizes that its strategy is translating into execution, building a platform that drives financial outcomes, positioning it for significant upside in 2026 and beyond.

ONBERG Joint Venture for European Expansion

Ondas introduced ONBERG, a joint venture with Heidelberg, as a key component of its European strategy. This JV provides local manufacturing, engineering, and life cycle support, meeting European sovereignty requirements for defense and security solutions. Ondas holds a 51% controlling interest, and ONBERG is expected to drive meaningful growth beyond existing targets as it becomes operational, particularly in Germany and Ukraine where demand for autonomous systems is immediate.

World View Acquisition and Palantir Partnership

The acquisition of World View brings persistent stratospheric sensing capabilities, expanding Ondas' systems-of-systems architecture into a multi-domain ISR platform. This is integrated with Palantir's AIP software stack, enabling a software-defined ISR architecture where data from stratospheric, aerial, and ground systems is fused in real-time. This partnership is expected to be a meaningful driver of upside, accelerating penetration into the layered ISR market.

Programmatic M&A and Accretion Model

Ondas employs a disciplined, programmatic M&A strategy to acquire strategically aligned and financially accretive assets. The company deployed approximately $550 million of capital for five recent acquisitions (Rotron, Mistral, BIRD, INDO Earth, World View), which are expected to generate $230 million in revenue in 2026.

This model aims for a 'growth double dip,' where acquired businesses benefit from market growth and accelerated growth as part of the Ondas platform, driving compounding value creation.

Ondas Networks Progress and Long-Term Value

2025 was a significant year for Ondas Networks with the formal adoption of its IEEE 802.16 technology by the Association of American Railroads (AAR) as the communications protocol for next-generation rail. The AAR's intent to adopt .16 across all networks confirms Ondas Networks' foundational role.

Commercial opportunities are expected to convert in H2 2026, with ACSES radios for Amtrak in production for H1 deliveries, reinforcing long-term value.

Expanded Market Opportunity and Technology Verticals

Ondas Autonomous Systems has transformed its market opportunity, expanding from ISR and Counter-UAS to include loitering munitions, one-way attack systems, and unmanned ground vehicles, with the addition of stratospheric capabilities. This broad multi-domain platform positions Ondas to compete across fast-growing segments in the global defense market, integrating sensors, effectors, and autonomous systems through a common command and control layer.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.