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    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    OCTAVE SPECIALTY GROUP Q2 FY26 earnings call OSG

    Aug 7, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Octave Q2 FY26 — Strong Insurance Distribution Growth and Operational Progress

    Octave Group delivered a strong Q2 FY26, driven by robust growth in its insurance distribution segment, which saw significant revenue and EBITDA expansion. While the specialty P&C segment showed operational progress and improved profitability, the company revised its full-year Everspan EBITDA and adjusted EPS guidance downwards due to higher acquisition costs and updated estimates for various expenses. The firm continues to leverage its diversified portfolio and MGA model to navigate a softening P&C market, with strategic investments in AI and new leadership aimed at enhancing underwriting capabilities and future growth.

    Highlights

    5
    • Insurance distribution revenue grew 77% year-over-year to $58.4 million, including 44% organic growth.

    • Insurance distribution adjusted EBITDA increased nearly four-fold to $9.8 million, with margin expanding 12 percentage points to 26%.

    • Everspan's adjusted EBITDA was $1.8 million, nearly tripling year-over-year, with combined ratio improving to 100.6% from 106.7%.

    • Consolidated adjusted net loss to shareholders improved by $8.7 million to $1.8 million (4 cents per share).

    • Successfully launched proprietary AI-driven underwriting platform, reducing quote time from hours to approximately seven minutes.

    Concerns

    4
    • Everspan's adjusted EBITDA guidance revised down to $6 million from $7.5 million due to higher-than-expected acquisition costs.

    • Consolidated adjusted net income per share guidance revised down to $0.15-$0.20 from $0.50 per share.

    • P&C insurance markets continue to soften, with wholesale large property rates down 10-20% year-on-year.

    • Investment in De Novo MGAs suppressed insurance distribution EBITDA by $1.1 million in the quarter.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Insurance Distribution Organic Growth
    25% plus
    high materiality
    High
    Insurance Distribution Adjusted EBITDA
    $45 million
    high materiality
    High
    Everspan Adjusted EBITDA
    $6 million
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Adjusted Net Income per Share
    $0.15 to $0.20
    high materiality
    Medium
    Everspan Premiums (Scale Target)
    north of $500 million
    medium materiality
    High
    Everspan Combined Ratio
    sub-95 combined ratio
    medium materiality
    High
    AI and Technology Investment Costs
    low to mid single digit millions
    low materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    2
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Insurance Distribution
    Revenue growth driven by the October 2025 acquisition of ArmadaCare and organic growth across diverse MGAs. Adjusted EBITDA nearly quadrupled year-over-year, with margins expanding significantly. Net loss to shareholders decreased, and adjusted net income swung positive.
    Organic growth: 44%Adjusted EBITDA: $9.8MAdjusted EBITDA margin: 16.8%Net loss to shareholders: $3.7MAdjusted net income to shareholders: $4.6M
    $58.4 million77%$9.8 million
    Everspan (Specialty P&C)
    Operational progress and repositioning efforts led to improved loss and G&A expense ratios, contributing to a lower combined ratio and significantly higher pre-tax income and adjusted EBITDA. Higher acquisition costs partially offset improvements.
    Gross Premiums Written: $95MNet Premiums Written: $23M (up 52% YoY)Premiums Earned: $22M (up 34% YoY)Loss Ratio: 61.4% (640 bps improvement YoY)Active Programs Loss Ratio: 59%G&A Expense Ratio: 9.4% (down from 16% YoY)Combined Ratio: 100.6% (down from 106.7% YoY)Adjusted EBITDA: $1.8M (nearly triple YoY)
    $1.2 million

    Operational metrics

    16
    Consolidated Net Loss to Shareholders
    $14.4 millionimproved by over $6 million
    Q2 FY26

    Improvement compared to Q2 FY25 net loss of $20.5 million ($0.42 per share).

    Consolidated Adjusted Net Loss to Shareholders
    $1.8 millionimproved by $8.7 million
    Q2 FY26

    Improvement compared to Q2 FY25 loss of $10.6 million ($0.22 per share).

    Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA
    $3.7 millionimproved by $8.7 million
    Q2 FY26

    Improved from negative $4.6 million in Q2 FY25.

    Corporate GAAP Expenses
    $12 milliondeclined 14%
    Q2 FY26

    Declined from $14 million in Q2 FY25.

    Corporate Adjusted Expenses
    $7.9 milliondeclined from $8.3 million
    Q2 FY26

    Difference between reported and adjusted expenses mainly attributable to $1.1 million of acquisition, integration, severance, and restructuring expenses, and $2.7 million of equity compensation.

    De Novo MGA Investment Impact on EBITDA
    $1.1 million
    Q2 FY26

    Suppressed EBITDA to shareholders due to continued investment in new MGAs.

    AI and Technology Investment Costs
    low to mid single digit millions
    FY26

    Includes implementation, customization, development of AI tools, and technology upgrades. Considered one-time costs with expected significant benefits.

    Profit Commissions Outlook
    good year
    FY26

    Expected particularly for lines of business with more stable loss ratios. Profit commissions are scaled into numbers to avoid volatility.

    P&C Market Rate Change (Wholesale Large Property)
    down 10 to 20%
    YoY

    Reflects softening in the P&C market.

    P&C Market Rate Change (Casualty SME, Specialty)
    mid-single to double-digit rate progression
    Current

    Indicates attractive growth opportunities in these segments despite broader market softening.

    A&H Market Rate Change
    low double digit range, low teams to high single digits
    Current

    Positive rate trends in A&H, largely uncorrelated with broader P&C pricing cycles.

    MGA Launches (Class of 2024/2025)
    9
    Since 2024

    These MGAs are in early stages of scaling and are expected to drive material EBITDA expansion.

    MGA Growth Trajectory
    typically continues for at least five years, and in many cases, well beyond that window
    Post-launch

    Describes the typical growth pattern for newly launched MGAs.

    MGA Break-even Timeline
    typically break even and start to deliver positive EBITDA after 18 to 24 months
    Post-launch

    Expected timeline for new MGAs to become EBITDA positive.

    MGA EBITDA Contribution (Class of 2024/2025)
    Roughly half
    Current

    Indicates the proportion of newer MGAs already contributing to EBITDA.

    MGA Organic Growth Contribution (Class of 2024/2025)
    Roughly close to 75%
    Q2 FY26

    Proportion of total organic growth delivered by the newer MGA classes.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Combined ratio100.6%%
    Net premiums written earnedNet premiums written: $23 million; Premiums earned: $22 millionUSD
    Renewal rate change pricingdown 10 to 20%; mid-single to double-digit rate progression; low double digit range, low teams to high single digits%
    Broker specific when present44%%

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Proprietary AI-driven underwriting platformlaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    1
    CyToraCollaboration to develop and launch a proprietary AI-driven underwriting platform.

    The partnership resulted in an AI-driven underwriting platform that reduces submit-to-quote time from hours to approximately seven minutes. It is currently active in US MGAs writing management, financial, and professional liability programs, with full implementation across remaining applicable US MGAs expected in H2 FY26.

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    Softening P&C insurance marketsCurrent, expected to continue into 2027

    Wholesale large property rates down 10-20% YoY.

    Mitigation: Diversified portfolio strategy across A&H, specialty P&C, and select property lines; MGA model with experienced underwriting leaders; focus on SME and non-CAT segments where price impacts are more muted.

    Higher-than-expected acquisition costs for new Everspan programsNear-term

    Led to downward revision of Everspan adjusted EBITDA guidance to $6 million from $7.5 million for FY26.

    Mitigation: Belief that these programs will produce more attractive long-term economics through lower and more stable loss ratios as scale builds, supporting a stronger and more durable earnings profile over time.

    Investment in De Novo MGAs suppressing EBITDAQ2 FY26 and ongoing in early stages of MGA scaling

    Suppressed Insurance Distribution EBITDA by $1.1 million in Q2 FY26, impacting EBITDA margin by 2 points.

    Mitigation: These MGAs are expected to drive material EBITDA expansion as they scale through 2027 and beyond, with roughly half already delivering positive EBITDA.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    MGA EBITDA Contribution (Class of 2024/2025)

    End of 2026 and into 2027
    CurrentRoughly half of 2024/2025 MGAs are delivering EBITDA
    TargetMore MGAs from the 2024/2025 class contributing meaningfully to EBITDA

    Why it matters

    These MGAs are expected to drive a significant percentage of the target $80 million EBITDA by 2028, making their scaling and profitability crucial for long-term growth.

    Roughly half the MGA's of that class are delivering EBITDA at this point in time and we expect that more to start contributing and contributing more, much more meaningfully as we get through to the end of the year and into 27.

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Inquiring about the pipeline for new MGAs in 2026 and 2027, and how the company plans to sustain growth.

    Management is focusing on scaling the large class of 2024/2025 MGAs, which are driving significant organic growth and EBITDA. They expect a modest number of new MGA launches in 2026 (1-2) and 2027 (2-4), while also leveraging an integrated operational platform and adding teams to existing MGAs for growth.

    Roughly close to 75% of our organic growth this quarter was delivered by MGA. the class of 24 and 25.

    asked by Maxwell Fritscher · answered by Claude LeBlanc

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Insurance Distribution Momentum

    The Insurance Distribution segment achieved robust performance in Q2 FY26, with revenue growing 77% year-over-year to $58.4 million, including 44% organic growth. This was primarily driven by the October 2025 acquisition of ArmadaCare and successful De Novo MGA launches. Adjusted EBITDA for the segment nearly quadrupled to $9.8 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 26%, a significant expansion from 13% a year ago, reflecting strong execution and strategic investments.

    02

    Specialty P&C Repositioning and Leadership

    The Specialty Property and Casualty segment, Everspan, continued its operational progress, delivering $1.8 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, nearly tripling the prior year's results. The combined ratio improved to 100.6% from 106.7% in Q2 2025, driven by a 640 basis point improvement in the reported loss ratio to 61.4% and a decline in the G&A expense ratio to 9.4%. To support continued growth and underwriting discipline, Octave announced the hiring of three new senior leaders at Everspan Group: David Kenyon (Head of Reinsurance), Bevan Grievesland (Chief Underwriting Officer), and Clay Stewart (Chief Operating Officer).

    03

    Market Environment and Diversified Portfolio Strategy

    The broader U.S. and global P&C insurance markets are experiencing softening, particularly in wholesale large property where rates are down 10-20% year-on-year. However, casualty SME, certain commercial auto risks, and targeted specialty classes continue to show mid-single to double-digit rate progression. Octave's diversified portfolio strategy, spanning A&H, specialty P&C, and select property lines, provides multiple sources of growth and reduces dependence on any single product class or market cycle, allowing for repositioning towards attractive market fundamentals.

    04

    MGA Growth Trajectory and Pipeline

    Since the start of 2024, Octave has launched nine MGAs, representing 40% of its total MGA portfolio. These MGAs, particularly the 2024 and 2025 classes, are in the early stages of scaling and are expected to drive material EBITDA expansion, with roughly half already delivering positive EBITDA. Approximately 75% of the current quarter's organic growth was delivered by these newer MGAs. The company is also enhancing its integrated operational platform to accelerate MGA launches and scaling, and is adding teams to existing MGA platforms as an alternative growth strategy.

    05

    AI and Data Strategy Implementation

    Octave views AI as both a growth enabler and an efficiency tool. During Q2, the company collaborated with CyTora to develop and launch a proprietary AI-driven underwriting platform. This platform, currently active in several U.S. MGAs writing management, financial, and professional liability programs, has significantly reduced submit-to-quote time from several hours to approximately seven minutes. Full implementation across remaining applicable U.S. MGAs is expected in the second half of 2026, with anticipated benefits including reduced manual effort, accelerated underwriting decisions, improved service levels, and quicker MGA market entry.

    06

    Expense Management and Profitability Improvement

    The company demonstrated continued focus on expense management, with reported GAAP corporate expenses declining 14% year-over-year to $12 million in Q2 FY26. Adjusted corporate expenses also decreased to $7.9 million from $8.3 million in the prior comparable period. These efforts, combined with strong segment performance, contributed to a significant improvement in consolidated adjusted net loss to shareholders, which decreased by $8.7 million to $1.8 million (4 cents per share) compared to the prior year.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.