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    OTTR
    Earnings call· Mar 2026(Q1 FY26)

    Otter Tail Q1 FY26 earnings call OTTR

    May 5, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Otter Tail Corporation Q1 FY26 — Strong Electric and Manufacturing Performance, Affirmed FY26 EPS Guidance

    Otter Tail Corporation delivered a strong first quarter, driven by robust performance in its Electric and Manufacturing segments, despite a planned decline in Plastics earnings. The company reaffirmed its full-year EPS guidance, supported by ongoing rate base growth and strategic capital investments. Management emphasized its commitment to long-term shareholder value through diversified operations and a self-funded capital plan, while navigating challenges like large load pipeline adjustments and volatile PVC resin costs.

    Highlights

    5
    • Diluted EPS increased to $1.73 in Q1 FY26 from $1.62 in Q1 FY25, a 7% increase.

    • Electric segment earnings increased $0.25 per share or 43% in Q1, driven by increased rates and rate base investments.

    • Manufacturing segment earnings increased $0.06 per share, driven by higher margins, sales volumes, and production efficiency.

    • Completed a $230 million wind repowering project, expected to increase output by 20%.

    • Completed Vinyltech expansion Phase 2 on budget, adding 15% production capacity for the Plastics segment.

    Concerns

    4
    • Plastics segment earnings decreased $0.24 per share or 24% due to a 19% decline in average PVC pipe sales prices.

    • Removed a 430 MW large load from the pipeline due to permitting challenges and failed tax incentive legislation.

    • Anticipate higher O&M spend mid-year in the Electric segment due to a planned major coal facility outage and asset health initiatives.

    • Expect second half of the year Plastics sales volumes to be negatively impacted by accelerated Q2 buying and broader macroeconomic conditions.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Diluted earnings per share
    $5.22 to $5.62
    high materiality
    High
    Rate base compounded annual growth rate
    10%
    high materiality
    High
    EPS growth from rate base growth
    near a 1:1 ratio
    medium materiality
    High
    Customer bill increase
    3% to 4%
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Long-term Plastics segment earnings
    $45M to $50M
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Long-term earnings per share growth rate
    7% to 9%
    high materiality
    High
    Total targeted shareholder return
    10% to 12%
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Electric
    Earnings increased due to increased electric rates and the recovery of rate base investments, including interim rates in Minnesota and South Dakota, and new base rates in North Dakota. Higher commercial sales volumes also contributed. These were partially offset by unfavorable weather, higher operating and maintenance costs, and increased depreciation expense.
    Earnings per share increase: $0.25Earnings growth: 43%
    Manufacturing
    Earnings increased driven by higher margins, primarily from a favorable product mix. Increased sales volumes and improved production efficiency also contributed. These were partially offset by higher general and administrative costs.
    Earnings per share increase: $0.06
    Plastics
    Earnings decreased primarily due to lower average sales prices of PVC pipe, which was generally in line with expectations and continues a receding pricing trend since mid-2022. This was partially offset by higher sales volumes (opportunistic specialty pipe sale, increased demand spurred by announced PVC resin cost increases) and lower input material costs.
    Earnings per share decrease: $0.24Earnings decrease: 24%Average sales price decrease: 19% (from Q1 2025)Sales volumes increase: 7% (from Q1 2025)Material input costs decrease: 12% (from Q1 2025)
    Corporate
    Corporate costs decreased primarily driven by a timing-based tax benefit compared to the same period last year.
    Costs decrease: $0.04 per share

    Operational metrics

    7
    Diluted earnings per share
    $1.73up from $1.62 in Q1 FY25
    Q1 FY26

    The increase in earnings was driven by strong performance in our electric and manufacturing segments.

    Available liquidity
    $650M
    as of March 31, 2026

    including almost $350 million of cash and equivalents.

    Return on equity
    12%
    FY26

    expected to produce a return on equity of approximately 12%.

    Customer bill increase
    3-4%compounded annual growth rate
    5-year planning period

    This is made possible by MISO system-wide recovery for our transmission investments, the availability of renewable energy tax credits, reduced energy costs and other factors.

    Private placement debt
    $170M
    Q1 FY26

    During the first quarter, we completed a $170 million private placement with $100 million funded in March, with the remaining $70 million scheduled to fund in June. We do not anticipate any further debt issuances in 2026.

    Parent level debt maturity
    $80M
    Q4 FY26

    which we plan to retire using available cash and do not expect to refinance.

    External equity needs
    none
    through at least 2030

    We continue to be in a position of financial strength with a balance sheet capable of funding our rate base growth plan without any external equity needs through at least 2030.

    Industry KPIs

    4
    MetricValueDetails
    Retail sales growth
    Regulatory rate base growth10%%
    Rto market structure reviewMISO's tranche 2.1 projects
    Contracted large load capacity esas loasincreased by approximately 500 MWMW

    Orderbook & backlog

    2
    Large Load Pipeline (Phase 1)increased by approximately 500 MWQ1 FY26

    increased by ~500 MW

    Only adjust internal forecast for loads with assigned electric service agreement.

    Removed Large Load430 MWQ1 FY26

    removed

    Previously under a term sheet; removed due to permitting related challenges and failed tax incentive legislation in South Dakota.

    Capital programs

    7
    Wind Repowering Projectcompleted$230M

    Benefit: 20% increase in output

    upgrading the wind towers at 4 of our owned wind energy centers. These upgrades are expected to result in a 20% increase in output and are economical for our customers due to the renewed renewable energy tax credits.

    Vinyltech Expansion Phase 2completed

    Benefit: 15% additional production capacity

    This marks the end of a multiyear expansion project that added 15% of additional production capacity for our Plastics segment increased our manufacturing footprint and expanded our raw material storage capabilities. This multiyear expansion project was completed on budget.

    Solar Development Projectsunderway
    Start: early stages of construction

    Our 2 solar development projects are in the early stages of construction. During the first quarter, our team members secured the solar panels needed for these projects. This strategy eliminates tariff-related risk and helps to avoid any potential cost increases for the benefit of our customers.

    Battery Storage Projectunder development

    Benefit: 75 MW storage facility

    We are targeting to bring this 75-megawatt storage facility online in 2028.

    James Down to Eleni Tranche 1 Transmission Projectunder development

    We continue to work through areas of landowner and local government opposition associated with citing and certain permits for the [ James Down to Eleni ] Tranche 1 project.

    Big Stone to Alexandria Tranche 1 Transmission Projectunder development

    Benefit: nearly 100-mile transmission line

    We received a Minnesota route permit last week for the Big Stone to Alexandria Tranche 1 project a nearly 100-mile transmission line.

    5-year Capital Spending Plan (Electric Segment)underway$1.9B
    Funding: existing cash and cash generated from operations
    Start: FY26

    Benefit: 10% rate base compounded annual growth rate

    Our planned investment in our Electric segment totals $1.9 billion and is expected to produce a rate base compounded annual growth rate of 10%. We continue to project up to $750 million in incremental capital investment opportunity within our Electric segment over the planning period.

    Risks & headwinds

    7
    Plastics Pricing Declinethrough the end of 2027

    decreased 19% from the Q1 2025 average

    Mitigation: Anticipate higher sales volumes from recently expanded production capacity and input cost increases generally in line with inflation to partially offset.

    PVC Resin Cost Increasesnear-term

    now seeing an increase in PVC resin costs

    Mitigation: Expect second quarter sales volumes to be strong and product pricing to temporarily stabilize as distributors accelerate pipe purchasing before potential PVC cost increases take effect.

    Large Load Pipeline UncertaintyQ1 FY26

    removed the 430-megawatt load

    Mitigation: Continue to engage with companies interested in adding new large loads and maintain a prudent approach with guardrails to protect customers and shareholders.

    Transmission Project Delaysongoing

    believe there could be delays

    Mitigation: Expect projects to move forward due to reliability-related benefits, despite landowner/local government opposition and a FERC complaint against MISO's tranche 2.1 projects.

    Electric Segment O&M Increasesecond quarter

    expect higher O&M spend midyear

    Mitigation: Related to asset health and resiliency initiatives and a planned major outage at a coal facility.

    Manufacturing Demand Visibilitysecond half of the year

    less certain in the second half of the year

    Mitigation: Optimistic about increased sales volumes in the first quarter, but acknowledge potential for softness.

    Plastics H2 Volume Impactsecond half of the year

    negatively impacted by the accelerated buying we are seeing now as well as broader macroeconomic conditions

    Mitigation: Annual sales volume forecast remains largely unchanged despite anticipated H2 headwinds.

    What to watch in Q2 FY26

    5

    Minnesota Rate Case Progress

    Q2 FY26
    CurrentIn discovery, heavy last 2 months
    TargetIntervenor testimony received

    Why it matters

    This is a key step in the regulatory process that will inform the final rate case outcome and future earnings.

    The next step will be the expectation of getting the intervenor testimony, which we expect sometime here in the second quarter.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Will the Iranian situation alter expectations for global resin dynamics, or is it expected to resolve before the second half of the year?

    Management believes the situation will be resolved long-term, but it is currently impacting the U.S. domestic export price of resin, driving up domestic prices. They are unsure if it will be fully resolved by the second half of the year.

    we just know that it is impacting the U.S. domestic export price of resin, which drives up the domestic price at this time.

    asked by Chris Ellinghaus · answered by Chuck MacFarlane

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Leadership Transition and Strategy

    The company announced a leadership transition with Tim Rogelstad elected President of Otter Tail Corporation, Todd Wallan as Senior Vice President and President of Otter Tail Power Company, and Tyler Nelson as Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. These changes are the result of long-standing succession planning by the Board and management team. Management emphasized that these changes do not alter the company's strategy or priorities, but rather serve to strengthen the leadership bench and reinforce the commitment to delivering long-term shareholder value.

    02

    Regulatory Progress and IRP Filing

    Otter Tail Power achieved a constructive outcome in its South Dakota rate case, with the commission approving the settlement agreement and new base rates implemented on April 1. This outcome achieved approximately 75% of the company's requests when considering adjustments for rider treatment. In Minnesota, interim rate revenues of $28.6 million went into effect on January 1, subject to refund, as the rate case continues to progress. The company is also on track to file its Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) in Minnesota later this month, following stakeholder meetings.

    03

    Capital Project Execution and Development

    The company completed its $230 million wind repowering project, upgrading wind towers at four energy centers, which is expected to result in a 20% increase in output. Phase 2 of the Vinyltech expansion was also completed on budget, adding 15% additional production capacity for the Plastics segment. Two solar development projects are in early construction, with solar panels secured to mitigate tariff risks. A 75-megawatt battery storage facility is under development, targeting an online date in 2028, and regional transmission projects are progressing despite some opposition and potential delays.

    04

    Large Load Pipeline Dynamics

    Otter Tail removed a 430 MW large load from its pipeline that was previously under a term sheet, due to permitting challenges and failed tax incentive legislation in South Dakota. However, Phase 1 of the large load pipeline increased by approximately 500 MW, indicating continued interest. The company maintains a prudent approach to large load additions, ensuring appropriate guardrails are in place to protect customers and shareholders, and only adjusts internal forecasts for loads with assigned electric service agreements.

    05

    Manufacturing and Plastics Market Conditions

    Manufacturing dealer inventory levels have largely normalized, leading to increased sales volumes in construction and recreational vehicle markets, while the industrial end market remains strong. The agriculture industry, however, faces challenges due to a weak foreign economy. In the Plastics segment, average sales prices of PVC pipe declined 19% year-over-year, but sales volumes increased 7% due to an opportunistic specialty pipe sale and accelerated distributor demand ahead of anticipated PVC resin cost increases. Material input costs decreased 12% year-over-year, but PVC resin costs are now rising due to global oil prices impacting U.S. exports.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.