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Public Service Enterprise Group (PEG) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Utilities· Aug 4, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Public Service Enterprise Group Q2 FY26 — Reaffirms Guidance Amidst Regulatory Evolution and Strong Operational Performance

PSEG delivered solid Q2 FY26 financial and operational results, reaffirming its full-year operating earnings guidance and long-term growth outlook. The company is proactively engaging with evolving regulatory frameworks in New Jersey and PJM, including an anticipated base rate case filing by year-end 2026 and exploring new generation opportunities, all while maintaining a strong balance sheet to fund its extensive capital program.

Highlights

5
  • Non-GAAP operating earnings reached $0.86 per share in Q2, contributing to a strong first half performance of $2.41 per share.

  • Successfully restored power to approximately 380,000 customers within 24 hours following severe July 4th storms, demonstrating system reliability.

  • Clean Energy Future programs now generate over $1 billion in annual customer savings, benefiting nearly 525,000 customers.

  • PJM transmission cost allocation rules change will result in an expected prospective annual benefit of approximately $65 million for customers.

  • PSEG Nuclear achieved a 92% capacity factor, supplying 7.8 terawatt hours of carbon-free generation.

Concerns

3
  • The absence of Zero Emission Certificate programs, which concluded in May 2025, was offset by higher market prices and nuclear generation.

  • Potential elimination of the 50 basis point RTO incentive could represent an annual headwind of $40 million net income, or approximately $0.08 per share, effective January 2027.

  • Growing regulatory lag from historical test year and robust capital program necessitates an earlier base rate case filing.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year non-GAAP operating earnings
$4.28 to $4.40 per share
high materiality
High
5-year non-GAAP operating earnings growth outlook
6% to 8% compound annual growth rate
high materiality
High
5-year regulated capital investment plan
$22.5 billion to $25.5 billion
high materiality
High
5-year rate base growth
6% to 7.5% compound annual growth
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
PSE&G
Utility results were driven by ongoing investment in energy efficiency and gas system modernization programs. Higher investment in transmission was offset by a prior year true-up. Distribution margin increased due to GSMP II extension roll-ins and higher energy efficiency investment. O&M, depreciation, and interest expenses rose due to operational costs, capital investments, and higher interest rates.
Net income (Q2 FY26): $342MNet income (Q2 FY25): $332MNon-GAAP operating earnings (Q2 FY26): $342MNon-GAAP operating earnings (Q2 FY25): $332MTransmission margin (YoY): FlatDistribution margin (YoY): Up $0.05 per shareDistribution O&M expense (YoY): Up $0.01 per shareDepreciation (YoY): Up $0.01 per shareInterest expense (YoY): Up $0.01 per shareUtility taxes and other (YoY): Favorable $0.01 per shareElectric residential customer growth: ~1%Gas residential customer growth: Flat
———$342M
PSEG Power & Other
Net energy margin improved due to higher generation volume, higher capacity prices, and higher gas operations, partly offset by the absence of zero emission certificates and LIPA-related fees. Interest expense increased due to incremental debt at higher rates.
Net loss (Q2 FY26): $8MNet income (Q2 FY25): $253MNon-GAAP operating earnings (Q2 FY26): $83MNon-GAAP operating earnings (Q2 FY25): $52MNet energy margin (YoY): Rose $0.08 per shareO&M (YoY): FlatInterest expense (YoY): Rose $0.01 per shareTaxes and other items (YoY): Unfavorable $0.01 per share
———$83M

PEG operating KPIs by quarter

PEG operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Dec 2025 Q4 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26This call Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Capital expenditures PSE&G——
~$800M On our regulated capital spending program, PSE&G invested approximately $800 million during the first quarter, and we remain on track to execute our full year 2026 plan, of approximately $4.2 billion, focused on continued investments in infrastructure modernization, energy efficiency, electrification initiatives and load growth. Source: earnings call transcript
~$1B On the capital front, PSE&G invested approximately $1 billion during the second quarter and is on track to execute our full year 2026 regulated capital investment plan, of approximately $4.2 billion, focused on continued investments in infrastructure modernization, energy efficiency, electrification initiatives and load growth. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Nuclear generation PSEG Nuclear—
~7.2 TWh On the operating side, the nuclear fleet produced approximately 7.2 terawatt hours during the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to approximately 7.3 terawatt hours in the fourth quarter of 2024. Source: earnings call transcript
8 TWh That notable accomplishment contributed to a 95.5% capacity factor and supplied 8 terawatt hours of reliable, carbon-free baseload energy to New Jersey and the grid during the first quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
7.8 TWh PSEG nuclear also performed well during the quarter, supplying the grid with 7.8 terawatt hours of carbon-free 24/7 baseload generation and achieving a capacity factor of 92% that included the second consecutive breakthrough breaker run at Salem Unit 2. Source: earnings call transcript
-2.5%
Nuclear generation capacity factor PSEG Nuclear
92.4% Capacity factors for the nuclear fleet were 92.4% and 93.7% for the quarter and 9-month period ended September 30, 2025, respectively. Source: earnings call transcript
83.7% Capacity factors for the nuclear fleet were 83.7% and 91.2% for the quarter and full year of 2025, respectively. Source: earnings call transcript
95.5% That notable accomplishment contributed to a 95.5% capacity factor and supplied 8 terawatt hours of reliable, carbon-free baseload energy to New Jersey and the grid during the first quarter. Source: earnings call transcript
92% PSEG nuclear also performed well during the quarter, supplying the grid with 7.8 terawatt hours of carbon-free 24/7 baseload generation and achieving a capacity factor of 92% that included the second consecutive breakthrough breaker run at Salem Unit 2. Source: earnings call transcript
-3.5 pt

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Capital programs

PSEG's Total 5-year Capital Investment Program underway $24B-$28B
Funding: No new equity or asset sales

Solid balance sheet enables funding without new equity or asset sales, supporting consistent dividend growth.

PSE&G 5-year Regulated Capital Investment Plan underway $22.5B-$25.5B

Maintained plan, supporting 6% to 7.5% compound annual growth in rate base.

PSE&G Full Year 2026 Regulated Capital Investment Plan on track $4.2B
Period spend: $1B

Benefit:infrastructure modernization, energy efficiency, electrification, load growth

PSE&G invested approximately $1 billion during Q2 2026 and is on track to execute the full year plan.

GSMP III Program underway $1.4B

Benefit:gas system modernization

Approved by the BPU last November. Approximately $1 billion of the total program will receive accelerated recovery.

Risks & headwinds

Absence of Zero Emission Certificate (ZEC) programs Ongoing

Concluded in May 2025

Mitigation:Offset by increased realized market prices, higher nuclear generation, and gas operations.

Potential elimination of 50 basis point RTO incentive Effective January 2027

$40M net income / $0.08 per share annual headwind

Mitigation:Considered in the long-term non-GAAP operating earnings guidance (6%-8% through 2030).

Growing regulatory lag Current

From historical test year and robust capital program

Mitigation:Anticipating filing a base rate case by year-end 2026 to update base rates and align with state's regulatory modernization goals.

New nuclear project risk allocation Long-term

Unquantified

Mitigation:Seeking appropriate allocation of project risk to ensure utility-like risk profile; engaging in efforts to enable new nuclear development.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

BPU EO1 Phase 2 Outcomes

Next quarter / Q4 FY26
Current Phase 1 report released, no formal recommendations
Target Clarity on cost discipline, financing modernization, performance-based ratemaking

Why it matters

These outcomes will shape the future regulatory construct in New Jersey and impact PSEG's operational and financial planning.

The BPU will now proceed to Phase 2 of this effort, which is expected to focus on cost discipline, financing modernization, targeting incentives and share savings and stage performance-based rate making.

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Q&A highlights

How does the decision to file a base rate case align with the BPU report, and what aspects of the report might be incorporated into this review?

Ralph LaRossa stated that the timing of the base rate case filing aligns well with the state's goals for transparency and performance-based ratemaking, as a base rate case is needed to appropriately set up for these reforms. He does not expect many of the BPU report's recommendations to be incorporated into this specific filing, but it positions PSEG to participate effectively in Phase 2 of the EO1 process.

“To be set up appropriately for that, you need a base rate case. And so the timing of that aligns with the fact that we haven't had anything on the electric side and upwards of 5 years for an IIP kind of puts us in a place where this makes a ton of sense for us right now.”

asked by Nicholas Campanella · answered by Ralph LaRossa

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Operational Resilience and Storm Response

PSEG demonstrated strong operational resilience during the July 4th holiday weekend, successfully restoring approximately 380,000 customers within 24 hours after severe heatwaves and thunderstorms with 70+ mph winds hit its service area. The restoration effort involved over 330 crews and 10 million proactive customer communications, maintaining an excellent safety record.

The company welcomes an upcoming review of its storm response by the New Jersey Board of Public Utilities (BPU) and will submit a comprehensive post-event performance report.

Clean Energy Future and Customer Affordability Initiatives

The Clean Energy Future programs continue to deliver significant benefits, generating over $1 billion in annual customer savings for nearly 525,000 residential and business customers since October 2020. These investments have also supported approximately 9,300 jobs statewide. PSEG plans to file a proposal by September 30 for a one-year extension of the EE II Trinium framework and is implementing residential bill credits and a greater than 5% decrease in residential gas bills starting October 1.

Additionally, a favorable change in PJM transmission cost allocation rules, effective June 1, 2026, is expected to provide an annual prospective benefit of $65 million to customers.

Evolving Regulatory Landscape in New Jersey

The BPU recently concluded Phase 1 of its directive to modernize the electric utility business model, highlighting promising regulatory frameworks such as multi-year rate plans, performance-based rates, and earnings sharing mechanisms. PSEG views these as opportunities to enhance transparency and align with state energy policy goals.

The company will fully participate in Phase 2, which will focus on cost discipline, financing modernization, and performance-based ratemaking, and expects to file comments by September 18.

Anticipated Base Rate Case Filing

PSE&G anticipates filing a base rate case by year-end 2026 to update base rates. This decision is driven by the growing regulatory lag from its historical test year (last settled in October 2024) and significant investments in distribution rate base.

The company believes an earlier filing aligns with the state's goals for greater accountability and transparency, setting the stage for potential future multi-year rate plans and performance-based ratemaking.

PJM Market Dynamics and Generation Opportunities

PJM's latest capacity auction priced at $325 per megawatt day, with the reserve margin still falling below reliability requirements. PSEG Power is actively reviewing PJM's reliability backstop procurement (RBP) and interim resource adequacy service (IRAS) rules. The company has submitted several project proposals for new dispatchable generation that could be paired with new large loads through bilateral contracts, leveraging its internal generation capabilities and skill sets for utility-like opportunities.

New Nuclear Development and Long-Term Resource Adequacy

New Jersey's Power New Jersey Act establishes a new nuclear procurement process to secure at least 1,100 megawatts. PSEG Nuclear, as the only operator of existing nuclear facilities in the state and holding an early site permit, is actively engaged in enabling new nuclear development at its Salem County site.

The company believes new nuclear represents a compelling long-term solution for resource adequacy and economic development, emphasizing the need for appropriate project risk allocation.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.