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    QSR
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Restaurant Brands International Q2 FY26 earnings call QSR

    Aug 6, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Restaurant Brands International Q2 FY26 — Strong System-Wide Sales and Burger King Outperformance

    Restaurant Brands International delivered strong Q2 FY26 results, driven by robust system-wide sales and double-digit adjusted EPS growth. Burger King U.S. was a standout performer, significantly outpacing the industry, while the International segment continued its consistent growth. Despite softer performance at Tim Hortons Canada and Popeyes U.S., management expressed confidence in a H2 turnaround for Popeyes and highlighted strategic initiatives across all brands, including continued investment in remodels and menu elevation.

    Highlights

    5
    • System-wide sales growth of 6.4% driven by 3.8% same-store sales and 2.9% net restaurant growth.

    • Adjusted EPS grew 12.9% to $1.07 per share, exceeding the long-term algorithm.

    • Burger King U.S. delivered 8.5% same-store sales, outperforming the burger QSR industry by over 9 points.

    • International business achieved 5.5% comparable sales and 5.1% net restaurant growth, leading to 10.7% system-wide sales growth.

    • Returned $435 million of capital to shareholders, including $137 million in stock buybacks, and made progress towards investment-grade leverage.

    Concerns

    4
    • Tim Hortons Canada comparable sales were relatively flat at +0.1%, missing growth expectations due to calendar and platform launches.

    • Popeyes U.S. experienced a same-store sales decline of 5.2%, resulting in negative 3.3% system-wide sales.

    • Anticipated $10 million headwind to AOI and $0.02-$0.03 headwind to adjusted EPS for H2 2026 due to FX rates.

    • Beef costs remained at all-time highs in Q2, impacting franchisee profitability, with significant relief not expected until early 2027.

    Guidance & targets

    13
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year adjusted effective tax rate
    18%-19%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year segment G&A (excluding Restaurant Holdings)
    $600M-$620M
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year net adjusted interest expense
    $500M-$520M
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year CapEx and cash inducements
    around $400M
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Tim Hortons supply chain margins
    roughly in line with 2025 levels
    low materiality
    High
    Full-year total RH AOI
    roughly $10M-$20M
    low materiality
    High
    H2 2026 FX headwind to AOI
    approximately $10M
    medium materiality
    High
    H2 2026 FX headwind to adjusted EPS
    $0.02-$0.03
    medium materiality
    High
    Net restaurant growth
    accelerate
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Popeyes U.S. comparable sales
    return to positive comps
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Full-year stock repurchases
    approximately $500M
    high materiality
    High
    Net leverage ratio
    low to mid-3x range
    high materiality
    High
    Organic adjusted operating income growth
    8%
    high materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    6
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Company-wide
    Strong overall performance driven by diversified portfolio and disciplined operating model.
    Same-store sales growth: 3.8%Net restaurant growth: 2.9%Organic adjusted operating income growth: 6.7%Adjusted EPS growth: 12.9%
    6.4%
    Tim Hortons
    Maintained leadership in coffee, breakfast, and baked goods. Q2 marketing did not drive expected growth, but saw improvement late in the quarter with 'melts' and cold beverages. Strong H2 calendar planned with Harry Potter campaign and loyalty partnership.
    Canadian same-store sales: +0.1%Gross openings (Canada FY26 target): ~80Gross openings (Canada FY25): >50Standard drive-thru restaurant paybacks: under 3 years
    ~41% of operating profit
    International
    Growth fueled by strong execution across markets like BK Germany, Spain, Brazil, China, Korea, and Japan. Localized innovation and value offerings are key drivers. Business remains a strong long-term growth opportunity.
    Comparable sales: 5.5%Net restaurant growth: 5.1%Average paybacks (top 10 growth markets): ~4.5 yearsPopeyes Brazil transactions per restaurant: up >60% this yearPopeyes International comparable sales (YTD Brazil): up >20% (on top of ~20% in 2025)Burger King China comparable sales: double-digit
    10.7%~29% of operating profit
    Burger King
    Exceptional quarter driven by multiyear elevation roadmap, including Whopper and brand elevation campaigns. Focus on service elevation with 'Your Way Champion' and 'Whopper Guarantee'. Significant opportunity remains for culinary, operational, and image improvements.
    Comparable sales: 8.6%U.S. same-store sales: 8.5%U.S. outperformance vs. burger QSR industry: >9 pointsWhopper platform AUVs growth (since elevation campaign): >20%Kids meal AUVs: above $28 per dayKids meal AUVs growth (since 2022): nearly 50%
    8.2%~19% of operating profit
    Popeyes
    Sales remained soft, but management is encouraged by improvement seen. Focus on improving operations and service, refocusing on core menu, and strengthening value proposition with platforms like $5 phase and $20 family meal. Expects return to positive comps in H2 2026.
    U.S. net restaurant growth: 0.3%Same-store sales decline: 5.2%Product satisfaction (core offerings): improved
    -3.3%
    Firehouse Subs
    New steak and cheese melt well received. Announced official subpartner of Major League Baseball. Rolling out new ladder up training program for RGMs. On track to accelerate unit growth this year.
    Net restaurant growth: 8.1%Comparable sales growth: 0.4%
    7.5%

    Operational metrics

    26
    Adjusted EPS
    $1.07up 12.9% YoY from $0.94
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by AOI growth and decreased adjusted net interest expense.

    Adjusted net interest expense
    $6Mdecrease YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Contributed to adjusted EPS growth.

    Adjusted effective tax rate
    16.8%
    Q2 FY26

    Year-to-date tax rate was 17.6%.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $435M
    Q2 FY26

    Through dividends and share repurchases.

    Stock repurchases
    $137M
    Q2 FY26

    Part of capital returned to shareholders.

    Total liquidity
    $2.3B
    Q2 FY26 end

    Includes $1.1 billion of cash.

    Cash balance
    $1.1B
    Q2 FY26 end

    Part of total liquidity.

    Net leverage ratio
    4.1xdown from prior quarter
    Q2 FY26 end

    Progressing towards corporate investment-grade leverage target of low to mid-3x by 2028.

    Capital returned to shareholders
    $750M
    YTD FY26

    Through dividends and buybacks.

    System-wide sales growth
    6.4%
    H1 FY26

    Above algorithm growth.

    Organic adjusted operating income growth
    8.5%
    H1 FY26

    Above algorithm growth.

    Adjusted EPS growth
    nearly 14%
    H1 FY26

    Strong growth year-to-date.

    Tim Hortons Smile Cookie campaign funds raised
    $23Mrecord
    Q2 FY26

    For charities and community organizations across Canada and the U.S.

    Tims Foundation camps campaign funds raised
    $13M
    July 2026

    To support Tims Foundation camps.

    Burger King U.S. ACSI index ranking
    tied for #1
    Q2 FY26

    Among burger chains, indicating significant operational improvement.

    Popeyes U.S. product satisfaction
    improved
    Q2 FY26

    Across core offerings due to efforts like improved tender spec.

    Popeyes U.S. guest complaints and errors
    moving in the right direction
    Q2 FY26

    Indicating operational progress.

    Canadian CPI
    around 3%
    Q2 FY26

    Relatively stable macro environment.

    Canadian unemployment rate
    mid-6s
    Q2 FY26

    Relatively stable macro environment.

    Canadian interest rates
    low 2s
    Q2 FY26

    Relatively stable macro environment.

    Canadian foodservice market growth
    3%
    Q2 FY26

    Similar to U.S. market growth.

    Burger King International paybacks
    4-5 years
    Q2 FY26

    For new units, improving.

    Burger King International ARS
    similar to U.S.
    Q2 FY26

    When excluding China, which generally has lower ARS.

    Burger King International paybacks
    better than U.S.
    Q2 FY26

    Compared to Burger King U.S. paybacks.

    Popeyes Turkey growth
    well into double digits
    many years

    One of the oldest and best performing Popeyes International markets.

    Burger King U.S. menu price increases
    low single digits
    Q2 FY26

    Disciplined approach to menu pricing, prioritizing value for money.

    Industry KPIs

    3
    MetricValueDetails
    Comparable sales comps3.8%%
    Global system wide sales6.4%%
    Net unit growth development pipeline2.9%%

    Product announcements

    18
    ProductTypeDetails
    Meltsupdate
    Matchalaunch
    Soda Swirlslaunch
    Harry Potter Back to Hogg Worth campaignlaunch
    New flavors across core breakfast offeringsroadmap
    Lopper collaboration with Michelin Chef, David Lyelaunch
    Whole muscle Double Patty Chicken burgerupdate
    Dessert innovation and new iced beverage platformlaunch
    Wild Ranch burgerlaunch
    Mandalorian collaborationlaunch
    Toy Story 5 kids meallaunch
    Your Way Champion and Whopper Guaranteelaunch
    Improved tender specupdate
    $5 phase platformupdate
    $6 big box and $20 family meallaunch
    New steak and cheese meltlaunch
    Smoke Honeymeltslaunch
    New ladder up training program for Restaurant General Managerslaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    Canadian TireLoyalty partnership

    Allows guests to link their Triangle Rewards and Tims Rewards accounts.

    Major League BaseballOfficial subpartner

    Firehouse Subs named official subpartner of Major League Baseball across the U.S. and Canada.

    S&PRatings upgrade

    Received a ratings upgrade from S&P to BB+ in May.

    Risks & headwinds

    4
    FX rates and U.S. dollar appreciationsecond half of 2026

    approximately $10M headwind to AOI and $0.02-$0.03 headwind to adjusted EPS

    Beef inflationQ2 FY26, significant relief not expected until early 2027

    all-time high beef costs running through the P&Ls of franchisees

    Mitigation: Anticipated relief in beef costs in 2027 will improve franchisee P&Ls and support remodel acceleration.

    Tim Hortons Canada marketing calendar underperformanceQ2 FY26

    comparable sales relatively flat at +0.1%

    Mitigation: Exciting H2 marketing calendar planned, including Harry Potter campaign, new breakfast offerings, and loyalty partnership.

    Popeyes U.S. soft salesQ2 FY26

    same-store decline of 5.2%, system-wide sales negative 3.3%

    Mitigation: Focused on improving operations, refocusing on core menu, strengthening value proposition; confident in return to positive comps in H2 2026.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Popeyes U.S. comparable sales

    H2 2026
    Current-5.2%
    Targetpositive comps

    Why it matters

    A return to positive comparable sales for Popeyes U.S. is critical for the brand's turnaround and overall portfolio performance.

    Overall, Peter and his team are focused on the right things, and we remain confident in a return to positive comps in the second half of this year.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    What are the most overlooked drivers for Burger King U.S. to sustain outperformance, given the strong Q2 results and the 'early in the journey' sentiment?

    Management highlighted continued tailwinds from modern image remodels (still many restaurants to update), ongoing operational improvements (despite being tied for #1 in ACSI index), and further menu elevation beyond the Whopper. They emphasized the compounding effect of these fundamental improvements and strong franchisee alignment.

    As much as we've made progress on image, we still have a lot of restaurants out there that aren't modern image. So I think we still got a few years left of getting to that point we've all talked about where almost every Burger King across America is a new modern Burger King.

    asked by Brian Bittner · answered by Joshua Kobza

    3 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Burger King U.S. Elevation Strategy Drives Outperformance

    Burger King U.S. delivered exceptional Q2 performance with 8.5% same-store sales growth, significantly outperforming the burger QSR industry by over 9 points. This momentum is attributed to the multiyear elevation roadmap, including successful Whopper and brand elevation campaigns. Recent initiatives like the 'Your Way Champion' and 'Whopper Guarantee' aim to enhance service. Management sees substantial runway for further culinary, operational, and image improvements, with Whopper platform AUVs increasing over 20% since the elevation campaign launch and kids meal AUVs up nearly 50% since 2022.

    02

    Tim Hortons Canada Navigates Soft Quarter with H2 Optimism

    Tim Hortons Canada reported flat comparable sales of +0.1% in Q2, primarily due to a marketing calendar that did not effectively lap prior year's strong platform launches. However, performance improved towards the end of the quarter with the return of 'melts' and continued cold beverage growth. The brand is optimistic about its H2 calendar, featuring a Harry Potter campaign, new breakfast offerings, and a loyalty partnership with Canadian Tire. The rollout of new fountain equipment is also enabling further beverage innovation like Soda Swirls.

    03

    International Segment Continues Robust Growth Trajectory

    The International segment demonstrated strong and repeatable growth, achieving 5.5% comparable sales and 5.1% net restaurant growth, leading to 10.7% system-wide sales growth. This performance was fueled by strong execution in key markets such as Germany, Spain, Brazil, China, Korea, and Japan, through localized innovation and value offerings. The segment's average paybacks are approximately 4.5 years across its top 10 growth markets, supporting continued unit expansion and making it a strong long-term growth opportunity.

    04

    Popeyes U.S. Turnaround Efforts Underway with H2 Positive Comp Expectation

    Popeyes U.S. experienced a same-store sales decline of 5.2%, resulting in negative 3.3% system-wide sales. Management is actively addressing this through a focus on improving operations, refining the core menu, and strengthening value propositions. Initiatives include rolling out an improved tender spec, increasing field support, and consistent value platforms like the $5 'phase' and $20 family meal. The company remains confident in a return to positive comparable sales in the second half of the year.

    05

    Capital Allocation and Progress Towards Investment-Grade Leverage

    RBI generated $501 million in free cash flow in Q2 and returned $435 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, including $137 million in stock buybacks. The company is on track to repurchase approximately $500 million for the full year. The net leverage ratio decreased to 4.1x, and an S&P ratings upgrade to BB+ was achieved in May, marking significant progress towards the goal of achieving corporate investment-grade leverage (low to mid-3x net leverage) by 2028.

    06

    Franchisee Alignment and Accelerated Refranchising

    Strong alignment with franchisees is a key driver, particularly for Burger King U.S., where franchisee investments in modern image and operations are compounding. The refranchising process for Carrols restaurants is accelerating, with several hundred expected in 2026 and the remainder in 2027, aiming to sunset the RH segment by the end of 2027. Demand from potential buyers has more than doubled since Investor Day, indicating strong interest in the brand's momentum.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.