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Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Health Care· Aug 5, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q2 FY26 — AI-Native Engine Drives Pipeline Progress and OpEx Efficiency

Recursion Pharmaceuticals reported a strong quarter, highlighting the maturation of its AI-native product engine into a system capable of generating differentiated programs and medicines. The company demonstrated significant progress across its internal clinical pipeline and external partnerships, notably advancing a novel neuroscience target with Roche-Genentech. Management also emphasized substantial operational efficiencies, leading to a significant reduction in full-year operating expense guidance, while maintaining a focus on high-value asset development.

Highlights

5
  • Advanced to 5 clinical stage programs, including REC-4881 with promising Phase II data in FAP, a disease with a nearly $10 billion TAM.

  • Achieved over $500 million in realized inflows from partnerships, including a significant milestone with Roche-Genentech for a novel neuroscience target.

  • Reduced 2026 full-year cash operating expense guidance to $375 million, representing a nearly 40% reduction from comparable 2024 pro forma expenses.

  • Received IND clearance for REC-7735, positioning it to enter Phase I later this year, expanding the clinical oncology pipeline.

  • Demonstrated significant efficiency gains in drug discovery, advancing candidates in ~1.5 years using ~330 compounds compared to industry benchmarks of 4 years and 2,500 compounds.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year cash operating expense
$375M
high materiality
High
Operating runway
Through early 2028
medium materiality
High

Deals & partnerships

Sanofi Collaboration on developing novel lead series for challenging first-in-class oncology targets and oral I&I development candidates.

Partnership focuses on designing differentiated small molecules against challenging targets with potential to impact multiple immune-mediated diseases.

Roche-Genentech Collaboration to discover novel neuroscience targets using Recursion's AI-driven map of biology. $260M

Genentech advanced the collaboration's first neuroscience target into a joint early discovery program, validating Recursion's platform in discovering new biology.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

REC-4881 additional Phase II data

November
Current Promising initial Phase II data (43% median polyp burden reduction)
Target Presentation of updated data at CGA-IGC Conference

Why it matters

Provides further clinical evidence and contextualization for REC-4881, which is in a disease with no approved therapies and a large addressable market.

We are pleased to share that additional REC-4881 data will be presented during the Presidential Plenary session at the CGA-IGC Conference in November.

Find out whether RXRX delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How does the Roche-Genentech collaboration serve as a transferable template for leveraging Recursion's platform with other partners, highlighting 2-3 key aspects?

Najat Khan explained that the core Lab-in-the-Loop process, from novel data sets to compound design and clinical validation, is scalable for all partners. Key differentiators include the proprietary data factory (50 petabytes, 1 trillion iPSC-derived neuronal cells), the integrated Lab-in-the-Loop for experimental validation, and the ability to produce differentiated assets. She emphasized the difficulty of replicating the data generation and validation expertise built over years.

“Big picture, the way we develop our novel data sets for creating novel maps, and then we take those novel targets and design compounds all the way into the clinic, that sort of Lab-in-the-Loop is something we use for both our internal programs and for our partner programs.”

asked by Alec from BofA, Sean from Morgan Stanley · answered by Najat Khan

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

AI-Native Product Engine and Differentiation

Recursion emphasized its AI-native product engine as a continuous learning system, powered by proprietary multimodal data and Frontier AI models. The company highlighted three reinforcing capabilities: generating proprietary biological and molecular data at scale (50 petabytes), connecting models to experimentation through a Lab-in-the-Loop system, and converting these capabilities into differentiated assets.

This approach is positioned as a key differentiator against other AI drug discovery companies, focusing on high-quality data and rigorous experimental validation.

Internal Pipeline Maturation and Key Programs

The internal pipeline has matured to 5 clinical stage programs. REC-4881 for FAP showed promising Phase II data with a 43% median polyp burden reduction, and further data will be presented at the CGA-IGC Conference in November. REC-1245 is undergoing dose escalation in Phase I for solid tumors, with an update expected later this year.

REC-7735, a precision-designed PI3-kinase inhibitor, received IND clearance and is set to initiate its Phase I ZINNIA trial later this year, with initial data expected in H1 2028.

Roche-Genentech Neuroscience Collaboration Breakthrough

A significant milestone was announced with Roche-Genentech, advancing the collaboration's first neuroscience target into a joint early discovery program. This represents a proof point for Recursion's platform in discovering novel, biologically-validated targets in an area with high unmet need and historically slow progress.

The collaboration has already generated over $260 million in upfront and milestone payments, with potential for over $300 million in additional milestones per future small molecule program.

Operational Efficiencies and Financial Discipline

Recursion demonstrated increased return on investment through multiple levers, including using its Cleantech platform for more efficient clinical trial enrollment and leveraging AI systems for internal discovery. The company reduced its 2026 full-year cash operating expense guidance to $375 million, a nearly 40% reduction from comparable 2024 pro forma expenses, while still advancing its pipeline and partnerships.

G&A expenses are maintained at a low percentage of total cost, maximizing scientific ROI.

AI Strategy and Competitive Advantage

The company addressed the rapidly evolving AI landscape, asserting its durable competitive advantage lies in its proprietary data factory (50 petabytes, 1 trillion iPSC-derived neuronal cells), its integrated Lab-in-the-Loop operating model, and the differentiated assets it produces. Recursion also highlighted its strategy of rapidly adopting the best AI advances, whether internal (e.g., Nesso-1 model) or open-source, and strengthening its leadership team with key hires in AI and drug design.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.