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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals (RYTM) Q4 FY25 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Dec 2025 (Q4 FY25)· Health Care· Feb 26, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Q4 FY25 — Strong IMCIVREE Sales and Bivamelagon Phase 3 Progress

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals delivered a strong Q4 FY25, driven by robust IMCIVREE sales growth and significant progress in its pipeline, particularly with Bivamelagon's Phase 2 data supporting a move to Phase 3. The company is actively preparing for the acquired hypothalamic obesity launch, while also managing increased operating expenses for future investments. The FDA's requirement for a longer Bivamelagon Phase 3 trial highlights the regulatory hurdles for new chemical entities, but management remains confident in its long-term growth strategy.

Highlights

5
  • Global IMCIVREE sales reached $57.3 million in Q4 FY25, a 12% sequential increase and 37% YoY increase, driven by a 10% increase in patients on reimbursed therapy.

  • Full-year 2025 IMCIVREE revenue increased approximately 50% to $194.8 million.

  • Bivamelagon Phase 2 data showed persistent mean BMI reductions of 10.8% (400mg cohort) and 14.3% (600mg cohort) at 40 weeks, with FDA confirming readiness for Phase 3.

  • Ended FY25 with $389 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments, sufficient to fund operations for at least 24 months.

  • Acquired HO launch preparations are on track, with engagement with HCPs caring for over 2,000 suspected patients and payer coverage expected within 3-9 months post-approval.

Concerns

4
  • Inventory days on hand at specialty pharmacy increased to approximately 20 days, potentially pulling forward $1.7 million in Q4 revenue from Q1 FY26.

  • FDA requires a full 12-month double-blind randomized controlled trial for Bivamelagon Phase 3, with a larger safety database (closer to 142 patients), rather than a shorter trial.

  • Non-GAAP operating expenses are anticipated to increase by approximately $104.5 million at the midpoint in 2026, a 35% increase over 2025, driven by Bivamelagon/RM-718 development, HO launch, and Japan operations.

  • PWS study has a minimal threshold of 5% BMI change for success, acknowledging it's a challenging disease with multiple genetic factors.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
$385 million to $415 million
high materiality
High
Full-year Non-GAAP R&D Expenses
$197 million to $213 million
medium materiality
High
Full-year Non-GAAP SG&A Expenses
$188 million to $202 million
medium materiality
High
IMCIVREE EU marketing authorization for HO
H2 2026
high materiality
Medium
Bivamelagon Phase 3 HO study initiation
Year-end 2026
high materiality
Medium
Cash runway
at least 24 months
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
IMCIVREE Global Sales
Strong global sales driven by increased patient numbers on reimbursed therapy. Includes sales in over 25 countries outside the US.
Patients on reimbursed therapy: increased by approximately 10% sequentially
$57.3 million37%12%—
IMCIVREE US Sales
Represented 68% of total product revenue. Growth driven by increases in product dispensed to patients.
$39 million—$2.1 million increase—
IMCIVREE ex-US Sales
Represented 32% of total product revenue. Sequential increase largely due to negative impact of a one-time $3.2 million charge in Q3 2025 related to France pricing agreement.
$18.3 million—$5.2 million increase (40%)—

Risks & headwinds

Inventory pull-forward Q1 FY26

$1.7 million in Q4 revenue from Q1 FY26

Mitigation:Management acknowledges this dynamic and typical Q1 renewals/changes; the buildup of inventory this year is less than prior year.

Bivamelagon Phase 3 regulatory requirements Longer development timeline

Full 12-month double-blind randomized controlled trial and larger safety database (closer to 142 patients) required

Mitigation:Plan to run trial largely in countries where setmelanotide is not available for acquired HO to facilitate enrollment.

Increased operating expenses FY26

Anticipated $104.5 million increase in non-GAAP operating expenses for 2026 (35% over 2025)

Mitigation:Framed as a 'meaningful opportunity to invest in Rhythm's long-term potential' across Bivamelagon/RM-718 development, HO launch, and Japan operations.

PWS trial challenges Ongoing

Minimal threshold of 5% BMI change for success; acknowledged as a 'more challenging disease' with multiple genetic factors confounding results

Mitigation:17 of 18 patients remain on treatment, indicating perceived benefit; company will collect hunger scores and share data midyear.

EMANATE study uncertainty March 2026 readout

SRC1 and some SH2B1 variants are of unknown significance, disproportionately benign, posing risk to positive readout

Mitigation:Data will inform future studies with next-generation molecules; company will learn a lot from these studies regardless of outcome.

What to watch in Q1 FY26

IMCIVREE HO PDUFA decision

March 20, 2026
Current Under FDA review
Target Approval decision

Why it matters

Approval for acquired HO would significantly expand IMCIVREE's addressable market and revenue opportunity.

As shown on Slide 13, we have multiple upcoming milestones with PDUFA for HO, top line data from our Japanese HO cohort and the EMANATE readout all coming in March.

Find out whether RYTM delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Are there any changes to enrollment criteria or other features for Bivamelagon Phase 3, given FDA feedback?

The trial will largely mimic the setmelanotide Phase 3 in sample size and duration. Potential modifications to patient-reported outcome measures are being considered, but no specific FDA feedback was given on this.

“I think to your point, the trial will largely mimic our Phase 3. We continue to look at our patient reported outcome measures. Are there other things we can do to get better and better at, for example, understanding hyperphagia/hunger.”

asked by Derek Archila · answered by David Meeker

2 min read 5 chapters

Detailed narrative

Bivamelagon Phase 2 Data & FDA Feedback

Rhythm Pharmaceuticals presented 9-month data from the Bivamelagon Phase 2 HO study, including 6 months on drug for original placebo patients. The data showed persistent BMI reductions and consistent safety and tolerability. The mean BMI decrease for the 400mg cohort at 40 weeks was 10.8%, and for the 600mg cohort, it was 14.3%.

The FDA confirmed readiness for Phase 3 but requires a full 12-month double-blind randomized controlled trial and a larger safety database (closer to 142 patients), similar to the setmelanotide trial, for this new chemical entity. The company plans to run this trial largely in countries where setmelanotide will not be available for acquired HO.

Acquired Hypothalamic Obesity (HO) Launch Preparations

The company is actively preparing for the acquired HO launch, pending regulatory approval by the March 20 PDUFA goal date. The sales force was expanded from 16 to 42 experienced rare disease specialists. Engagement efforts, leveraging claims data, have identified healthcare providers caring for over 2,000 patients diagnosed with or suspected of acquired HO.

Payer coverage is expected within 3 to 9 months post-approval, building on established relationships from BBS, with ongoing engagement to secure access.

International Expansion & HO Opportunity

IMCIVREE is now available in over 25 countries outside the US, with 8 new countries added in 2025, and the international organization has grown to over 100 employees across 13 countries. Japan represents a significant long-term opportunity for acquired HO, with an estimated prevalence of 5,000 to 8,000 patients.

The company had a positive in-person meeting with the Japanese PMDA and anticipates top-line data from the Japanese HO cohort in March. The EMA submission for HO is under review, with a CHMP opinion expected in Q2 and EU marketing authorization in H2 2026.

Emanate & PWS Study Updates

Top-line data for the EMANATE study is expected by the end of March. Management noted that POMC/LEPR substudies are considered higher probability for positive results due to patient enrollment and known pathogenicity of variants, while SRC1 and some SH2B1 variants carry higher risk.

The Prader-Willi Syndrome (PWS) trial continues on track for full 6-month data by midyear, with 17 of 18 patients remaining on treatment, which is seen as encouraging given the challenging nature of the disease.

Next-Generation MC4R Agonists Development

Development is underway for next-generation MC4R agonists, Bivamelagon and RM-718. Bioequivalent studies, drug-drug interaction studies, and hepatic impairment studies for Bivamelagon are expected to be completed by year-end, with the goal of initiating Phase 3 HO study by year-end 2026.

The RM-718 weekly formulation is enrolling in HO, with initial 3-month data expected by midyear. The company aims to move these compounds through proof-of-concept and registrational studies to drive long-term growth.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.