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    SPGI
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    S&P Global Q2 FY26 earnings call SPGI

    Jul 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    S&P Global Q2 FY26 — Strong Benchmark Performance and Increased Share Repurchase

    S&P Global delivered a strong quarter, driven by robust performance in its benchmark businesses (Ratings and Indices) and significant margin expansion following the Mobility spin-off. The company is strategically realigning its Energy and Market Intelligence divisions to enhance focus on high-growth areas like AI and private markets, while also increasing its share repurchase target to over $7 billion for the year. Despite some headwinds in Energy due to geopolitical factors and longer sales cycles in MI, management remains confident in its long-term growth trajectory and ability to leverage AI for both revenue and efficiency gains.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total revenue grew 11% year-over-year, outperforming expectations on both reported and organic constant currency basis.

    • Benchmark business revenue increased 15% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Ratings and Indices.

    • Adjusted diluted EPS grew 23% year-over-year, benefiting from margin expansion and increased share repurchases.

    • Consolidated operating margin expanded 200 basis points to 54.3%, reflecting high incremental margins and disciplined expense management.

    • Share repurchase target for 2026 increased by nearly $3 billion to over $7 billion, representing more than 5% of current market capitalization.

    Concerns

    5
    • The Iran conflict complicated contract renewals and led to flexible pricing for some Energy customers, impacting growth.

    • Sanctions had a 120 basis points negative impact to Platts and a 30 basis points negative impact to CERA growth in Q2 FY26.

    • Extreme energy volatility had a dampening effect on Global Trading Services (GTS) revenue in the Energy division.

    • Some softness in pockets of Market Intelligence and longer renewal cycles with larger, more sophisticated clients partially offset solid growth.

    • Customers are increasingly concerned about token costs and overall expenses of their own AI investments, seeking ways to minimize them.

    Guidance & targets

    15
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Consolidated organic constant currency revenue growth
    6% to 8%
    high materiality
    High
    Consolidated operating margin expansion (ex-OSTTRA)
    75 to 100 basis points
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted diluted EPS
    $17.50 to $17.75
    high materiality
    High
    Adjusted free cash flow
    $2.9 billion to $3.1 billion
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross leverage
    2.7x to 2.8x EBITDA
    medium materiality
    High
    Gross leverage
    back in target leverage range of 2.0x to 2.5x
    medium materiality
    High
    Share repurchase
    over $7 billion
    high materiality
    High
    Ratings revenue growth
    5% to 8%
    high materiality
    High
    Indices revenue growth
    12% to 14%
    high materiality
    High
    Market Intelligence revenue growth
    5.5% to 7%
    medium materiality
    High
    Energy revenue growth
    4.5% to 6%
    medium materiality
    High
    Hyperscaler billed issuance
    $250 billion to $300 billion
    high materiality
    High
    M&A related issuance growth
    double-digit growth
    high materiality
    High
    Energy growth normalization
    6% to 8% average range
    medium materiality
    Medium
    EDO annualized cost savings
    $100 million
    medium materiality
    High

    Segment performance

    4
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Ratings
    Record quarter by revenue, exceeding internal expectations. Issuance benefited from tighter spreads and favorable market conditions, partly driven by a soft compare in the prior year period.
    Transaction revenue growth: 25%Investment grade transaction revenue growth: high 20s%Bank loans transaction revenue growth: double-digitHigh-yield transaction revenue growth: double-digitStructured finance transaction revenue growth: double-digitPrivate Markets Ratings revenue growth: 60%Nontransaction revenue growth: 8%
    17%68.5%
    S&P Dow Jones Indices
    13th consecutive record quarter for revenue, surpassing $2 billion of revenue on a trailing 12-month basis. Achieved best quarter of net inflows on record.
    Asset-linked fees growth: 22%Exchange-traded derivatives revenue growth: 22%Data & custom subscriptions growth: 9%ETF AUM: $6.35 trillionNet inflows (YoY): >$600 billion
    20%71.5%
    Energy
    Growth pressured by challenging environment, Iran conflict, tariffs, and extreme volatility impacting subscription renewals, one-time sales, and Global Trading Services (GTS). Conference revenue was pressured by lower event attendance.
    Platts revenue growth: 4%CERA revenue growth: 1%Sanctions negative impact to Platts: 120 bpsSanctions negative impact to CERA: 30 bps
    3%47.5%
    Market Intelligence
    Solid growth supported by vendor consolidation, momentum in AI solutions, and improving capital markets activity, partially offset by softness in pockets and longer renewal cycles with larger clients.
    Subscription revenue growth: 6%Volume-driven revenue growth: 9%One-time revenue decline: 2%Kensho Data and Platform revenue growth: 8%Enterprise Solutions revenue growth: 3%Enterprise Solutions organic growth: 10%
    6%36%

    Operational metrics

    22
    Total revenue growth
    11%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Outperforming expectations on both reported and organic constant currency basis.

    Recurring revenue growth
    8%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Benchmark business revenue growth
    15%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Adjusted diluted EPS growth
    23%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Adjusted operating profit growth
    15%YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Adjusted expenses growth
    6%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Tightened spending with the start of the Iran conflict amid heightened volatility and macroeconomic risk.

    Consolidated operating margin
    54.3%expanded 200 bps YoY
    Q2 FY26
    Consolidated operating margin expansion (ex-OSTTRA)
    270YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding OSTTRA from the prior year period.

    Ratings adjusted expenses growth
    6%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Reflecting higher compensation costs and strategic investments, partially offset by productivity.

    Indices adjusted expenses growth
    16%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by investments in growth initiatives and higher compensation costs.

    Energy adjusted expenses growth
    1%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by higher compensation costs and ongoing investments, almost fully offset by productivity and careful expense management.

    Market Intelligence adjusted expenses growth
    4%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Driven by With Intelligence acquisition expenses, compensation, and strategic investments, partially offset by divestitures and productivity.

    Hyperscaler billed issuance
    $169 billionahead of initial expectations
    H1 FY26

    Initial outlook for the year assumed approximately $200 billion for the full year.

    Rated debt refinancing wall
    $11 trillion
    next 4.5 years

    Expected to come up for refinancing, reinforcing strong average annual growth opportunities in Ratings.

    ACV growth for AI customers
    60%faster than average
    Q2 FY26
    ACV growth for AI customers
    3xfaster than average
    Q2 FY26
    Kensho LLM ready APIs customers
    500+increasing >70% QoQ
    Q2 FY26
    API call volume (LLM ready API)
    5xvs Q1 FY26
    Q2 FY26
    EDO annualized cost savings achieved
    60%of targeted $100M
    Q2 FY26

    Achieved through a combination of AI-driven efficiencies and traditional productivity initiatives.

    Dividend from Mobility Global
    $2 billion
    Q2 FY26

    Received upon the completion of the spin-off.

    Additional debt for buybacks
    $2 billion
    H2 FY26

    Expected to be issued to fund further buybacks, timing dependent on market conditions.

    Private markets revenues (firm-wide)
    $600 million
    last year

    Base of private markets revenues across the organization.

    Product announcements

    3
    ProductTypeDetails
    S&P Pantera Digital Asset Indexlaunch
    CERA Titanlaunch
    Adaptive Retrievallaunch

    Deals & partnerships

    5
    Mobility GlobalSpin-off of former Mobility division into an independent publicly traded company.

    The spin-off was finalized on July 1, 2026.

    datacenterHawkAgreement to purchase datacenterHawk.

    Acquisition announced to enhance leadership in data center intelligence, including pricing, supply chain, and site selection.

    Agusto & CompanyAgreement to purchase majority stake in Agusto & Company.

    Agusto & Company is a leading credit rating agency with operations in Nigeria, Kenya, Rwanda, and Ghana.

    EDM and thinkFolioDivestiture of EDM and thinkFolio.

    Mentioned as impacting Enterprise Solutions revenue growth and MI expenses.

    Upstream software divisionDivestiture of the Upstream software division.

    The likely close of the Upstream software division is expected during Q3 FY26.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Iran conflict and geopolitical volatilityQ2 FY26, near-term

    Complicated contract renewals among some very large customers in Energy; led to flexible pricing; 120 bps negative impact to Platts, 30 bps negative impact to CERA growth.

    Mitigation: Intentionally chosen to be flexible on price increases and other terms for affected customers; expect growth to normalize after this year.

    Extreme energy volatilityQ2 FY26

    Dampening effect on Global Trading Services (GTS) revenue.

    Softness in pockets of Market IntelligenceQ2 FY26

    Negatively impacting the growth of the division; small products like consulting services, some sustainability products.

    Mitigation: Prioritizing investments in highest growth opportunities; small carve-outs possible; disciplined portfolio management.

    Longer renewal cycles with large, sophisticated Market Intelligence clientsQ2 FY26, near-term

    Partially offset solid growth in MI.

    Mitigation: Viewed as positive as clients want to do more; conversations are complex due to IP protection; seen as a 'baselining' impact, not long-term.

    Token costs and overall expense of AI investments for customersOngoing

    Customers are looking for ways to minimize or manage token expenses, including building solutions in-house.

    Mitigation: S&P Global believes its AI offerings will create meaningful value without exorbitant costs.

    Potential slowdown from hyperscaler debt issuanceRest of FY26

    Market pushing back on CapEx spending; interest rates going up.

    Mitigation: Prudent outlook for hyperscale issuance ($250B-$300B for FY26); market continues to absorb deals; hyperscalers use diverse structures (e.g., outside U.S.); guidance range accounts for global economy, conflicts, interest rates.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Energy growth normalization

    after this year
    Current3% growth in Q2 FY26
    Target6% to 8% average range

    Why it matters

    Management expects Energy growth to normalize to its long-term average after current geopolitical headwinds🌐 subside, impacting overall segment performance.

    We believe these headwinds are transitory📎, however, and we expect growth to normalize after this year, back to the 6% to 8% average range we outlined at our Investor Day.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    How will the focus on Kensho data impact pricing and AI monetization, especially if clients can acquire data more modularly?

    Martina emphasized maintaining direct customer relationships and flexible distribution. Kensho's integration accelerates innovation (LLM APIs, adaptive retrieval, MCP apps) and brings it closer to customers. Eric noted a dramatic uptick in data usage through AI calls (MCP connectors up to 500, data usage 5x QoQ) and a multifaceted monetization approach including consumption pricing and additional data set pricing.

    The monetization approach is multifaceted. First, what you what we'll continue to see is just a dramatic uptick in data usage by our clients through their AI calls.

    asked by Faiza Alwy · answered by Martina Cheung

    3 min read7 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Mobility Spin-off and Business Realignment

    S&P Global successfully completed the spin-off of its Mobility division on July 1, creating an independent publicly traded company. This strategic move, along with the consolidation of supply chain efforts into the Energy division and new leadership/operating model for Market Intelligence, aims to create shareholder value and streamline operations across the remaining four core divisions. The company is now better positioned to deliver on strategic objectives outlined at Investor Day, focusing on simplification and more efficient execution.

    02

    AI Solutions and Monetization

    The company is seeing rapid adoption of its AI solutions, including Kensho LLM ready APIs, with over 500 customers (up 70% QoQ) and API call volume growing 5x QoQ. ACV growth for AI customers is 60% faster in MI and 3x in Energy. Management is exploring multifaceted monetization approaches, including consumption pricing and additional data set pricing, while also focusing on minimizing token costs for clients. Internally, the Enterprise Data Office (EDO) has achieved nearly 60% of its targeted $100 million in annualized cost savings through AI-driven efficiencies and traditional productivity.

    03

    Ratings Performance and Debt Issuance Outlook

    Ratings reported a record quarter with 17% revenue growth, exceeding internal expectations. Billed issuance increased 25% YoY, driven by strong investment-grade issuance (especially from AI infrastructure/data center CapEx and M&A) and growth in private markets ratings (up 60%). The company expects $250 billion to $300 billion in hyperscaler issuance and double-digit M&A-related issuance growth for the full year, with robust maturity walls reinforcing multi-year growth opportunities and strong average annual growth.

    04

    Indices Leadership and Growth

    S&P Dow Jones Indices achieved its 13th consecutive record quarter, surpassing $2 billion in trailing 12-month revenue with 20% growth. Asset-linked fees grew 22% due to equity market appreciation and record net inflows ($600 billion YoY). The S&P 500-based ETF surpassed $1 trillion in AUM, and the company continues to innovate with new offerings like the S&P Pantera Digital Asset Index, driving competitive wins and asset manager switches.

    05

    Energy Division Strategy and Headwinds

    The Energy division is being reported in two business lines: Platts benchmarks and CERA (data, content, research, events, supply chain suite). While long-term secular tailwinds like energy expansion and AI infrastructure demand remain strong (evidenced by the datacenterHawk acquisition and CERA Titan progress), near-term headwind📎s from the Iran conflict, tariffs, and extreme volatility pressured Q2 growth to 3%. Management expects growth to normalize to 6-8% after this year, as headwinds are considered cyclical.

    06

    Market Intelligence Reorganization and Strategic Focus

    Market Intelligence has a new business structure with two lines: Kensho Data and Platforms, and Enterprise Solutions. Kensho Data (data feeds, LLM APIs, RatingsXpress) is growing high single-digit to low double-digit organically, while Platforms (Cap IQ, Visible Alpha) is growing low single-digits. The strategy focuses on delivering differentiated data channel-agnostically, consolidating redundant platforms, and leveraging AI for profitability. Small carve-outs are possible, but no transformational M&A is planned, with a focus on disciplined portfolio management.

    07

    Private Markets Opportunity

    S&P Global sees significant opportunity in private markets, with strong momentum in AUM inflows and increased demand for transparency, benchmarks, and data analytics. Private Markets Ratings revenue grew 60% in Q2. The company is launching new products like private credit indices and data sets mapped to new taxonomies and LoanX IDs, building on a healthy base of $600 million in private markets revenues across the organization last year. This demonstrates continued appetite from investors for the asset class and a focus on monetizing this growth.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.