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S&P Global (SPGI) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Financials· Jul 28, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

S&P Global Q2 FY26 — Strong Benchmark Performance and Increased Share Repurchase

S&P Global delivered a strong quarter, driven by robust performance in its benchmark businesses (Ratings and Indices) and significant margin expansion following the Mobility spin-off. The company is strategically realigning its Energy and Market Intelligence divisions to enhance focus on high-growth areas like AI and private markets, while also increasing its share repurchase target to over $7 billion for the year. Despite some headwinds in Energy due to geopolitical factors and longer sales cycles in MI, management remains confident in its long-term growth trajectory and ability to leverage AI for both revenue and efficiency gains.

Highlights

5
  • Total revenue grew 11% year-over-year, outperforming expectations on both reported and organic constant currency basis.

  • Benchmark business revenue increased 15% year-over-year, driven by strong performance in Ratings and Indices.

  • Adjusted diluted EPS grew 23% year-over-year, benefiting from margin expansion and increased share repurchases.

  • Consolidated operating margin expanded 200 basis points to 54.3%, reflecting high incremental margins and disciplined expense management.

  • Share repurchase target for 2026 increased by nearly $3 billion to over $7 billion, representing more than 5% of current market capitalization.

Concerns

5
  • The Iran conflict complicated contract renewals and led to flexible pricing for some Energy customers, impacting growth.

  • Sanctions had a 120 basis points negative impact to Platts and a 30 basis points negative impact to CERA growth in Q2 FY26.

  • Extreme energy volatility had a dampening effect on Global Trading Services (GTS) revenue in the Energy division.

  • Some softness in pockets of Market Intelligence and longer renewal cycles with larger, more sophisticated clients partially offset solid growth.

  • Customers are increasingly concerned about token costs and overall expenses of their own AI investments, seeking ways to minimize them.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Consolidated organic constant currency revenue growth
6% to 8%
high materiality
High
Consolidated operating margin expansion (ex-OSTTRA)
75 to 100 basis points
high materiality
High
Adjusted diluted EPS
$17.50 to $17.75
high materiality
High
Adjusted free cash flow
$2.9 billion to $3.1 billion
medium materiality
High
Gross leverage
2.7x to 2.8x EBITDA
medium materiality
High
Gross leverage
back in target leverage range of 2.0x to 2.5x
medium materiality
High
Share repurchase
over $7 billion
high materiality
High
Ratings revenue growth
5% to 8%
high materiality
High
Indices revenue growth
12% to 14%
high materiality
High
Market Intelligence revenue growth
5.5% to 7%
medium materiality
High
Energy revenue growth
4.5% to 6%
medium materiality
High
Hyperscaler billed issuance
$250 billion to $300 billion
high materiality
High
M&A related issuance growth
double-digit growth
high materiality
High
Energy growth normalization
6% to 8% average range
medium materiality
Medium
EDO annualized cost savings
$100 million
medium materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Ratings
Record quarter by revenue, exceeding internal expectations. Issuance benefited from tighter spreads and favorable market conditions, partly driven by a soft compare in the prior year period.
Transaction revenue growth: 25%Investment grade transaction revenue growth: high 20s%Bank loans transaction revenue growth: double-digitHigh-yield transaction revenue growth: double-digitStructured finance transaction revenue growth: double-digitPrivate Markets Ratings revenue growth: 60%Nontransaction revenue growth: 8%
—17%—68.5%
S&P Dow Jones Indices
13th consecutive record quarter for revenue, surpassing $2 billion of revenue on a trailing 12-month basis. Achieved best quarter of net inflows on record.
Asset-linked fees growth: 22%Exchange-traded derivatives revenue growth: 22%Data & custom subscriptions growth: 9%ETF AUM: $6.35 trillionNet inflows (YoY): >$600 billion
—20%—71.5%
Energy
Growth pressured by challenging environment, Iran conflict, tariffs, and extreme volatility impacting subscription renewals, one-time sales, and Global Trading Services (GTS). Conference revenue was pressured by lower event attendance.
Platts revenue growth: 4%CERA revenue growth: 1%Sanctions negative impact to Platts: 120 bpsSanctions negative impact to CERA: 30 bps
—3%—47.5%
Market Intelligence
Solid growth supported by vendor consolidation, momentum in AI solutions, and improving capital markets activity, partially offset by softness in pockets and longer renewal cycles with larger clients.
Subscription revenue growth: 6%Volume-driven revenue growth: 9%One-time revenue decline: 2%Kensho Data and Platform revenue growth: 8%Enterprise Solutions revenue growth: 3%Enterprise Solutions organic growth: 10%
—6%—36%

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
S&P Pantera Digital Asset Indexlaunch
CERA Titanlaunch
Adaptive Retrievallaunch

Deals & partnerships

Mobility Global Spin-off of former Mobility division into an independent publicly traded company.

The spin-off was finalized on July 1, 2026.

datacenterHawk Agreement to purchase datacenterHawk.

Acquisition announced to enhance leadership in data center intelligence, including pricing, supply chain, and site selection.

Agusto & Company Agreement to purchase majority stake in Agusto & Company.

Agusto & Company is a leading credit rating agency with operations in Nigeria, Kenya, Rwanda, and Ghana.

EDM and thinkFolio Divestiture of EDM and thinkFolio.

Mentioned as impacting Enterprise Solutions revenue growth and MI expenses.

Upstream software division Divestiture of the Upstream software division.

The likely close of the Upstream software division is expected during Q3 FY26.

Risks & headwinds

Iran conflict and geopolitical volatility Q2 FY26, near-term

Complicated contract renewals among some very large customers in Energy; led to flexible pricing; 120 bps negative impact to Platts, 30 bps negative impact to CERA growth.

Mitigation:Intentionally chosen to be flexible on price increases and other terms for affected customers; expect growth to normalize after this year.

Extreme energy volatility Q2 FY26

Dampening effect on Global Trading Services (GTS) revenue.

Softness in pockets of Market Intelligence Q2 FY26

Negatively impacting the growth of the division; small products like consulting services, some sustainability products.

Mitigation:Prioritizing investments in highest growth opportunities; small carve-outs possible; disciplined portfolio management.

Longer renewal cycles with large, sophisticated Market Intelligence clients Q2 FY26, near-term

Partially offset solid growth in MI.

Mitigation:Viewed as positive as clients want to do more; conversations are complex due to IP protection; seen as a 'baselining' impact, not long-term.

Token costs and overall expense of AI investments for customers Ongoing

Customers are looking for ways to minimize or manage token expenses, including building solutions in-house.

Mitigation:S&P Global believes its AI offerings will create meaningful value without exorbitant costs.

Potential slowdown from hyperscaler debt issuance Rest of FY26

Market pushing back on CapEx spending; interest rates going up.

Mitigation:Prudent outlook for hyperscale issuance ($250B-$300B for FY26); market continues to absorb deals; hyperscalers use diverse structures (e.g., outside U.S.); guidance range accounts for global economy, conflicts, interest rates.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Energy growth normalization

after this year
Current 3% growth in Q2 FY26
Target 6% to 8% average range

Why it matters

Management expects Energy growth to normalize to its long-term average after current geopolitical headwinds subside, impacting overall segment performance.

We believe these headwinds are transitory, however, and we expect growth to normalize after this year, back to the 6% to 8% average range we outlined at our Investor Day.

Find out whether SPGI delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

How will the focus on Kensho data impact pricing and AI monetization, especially if clients can acquire data more modularly?

Martina emphasized maintaining direct customer relationships and flexible distribution. Kensho's integration accelerates innovation (LLM APIs, adaptive retrieval, MCP apps) and brings it closer to customers. Eric noted a dramatic uptick in data usage through AI calls (MCP connectors up to 500, data usage 5x QoQ) and a multifaceted monetization approach including consumption pricing and additional data set pricing.

“The monetization approach is multifaceted. First, what you what we'll continue to see is just a dramatic uptick in data usage by our clients through their AI calls.”

asked by Faiza Alwy · answered by Martina Cheung

3 min read 7 chapters

Detailed narrative

Mobility Spin-off and Business Realignment

S&P Global successfully completed the spin-off of its Mobility division on July 1, creating an independent publicly traded company. This strategic move, along with the consolidation of supply chain efforts into the Energy division and new leadership/operating model for Market Intelligence, aims to create shareholder value and streamline operations across the remaining four core divisions.

The company is now better positioned to deliver on strategic objectives outlined at Investor Day, focusing on simplification and more efficient execution.

AI Solutions and Monetization

The company is seeing rapid adoption of its AI solutions, including Kensho LLM ready APIs, with over 500 customers (up 70% QoQ) and API call volume growing 5x QoQ. ACV growth for AI customers is 60% faster in MI and 3x in Energy.

Management is exploring multifaceted monetization approaches, including consumption pricing and additional data set pricing, while also focusing on minimizing token costs for clients. Internally, the Enterprise Data Office (EDO) has achieved nearly 60% of its targeted $100 million in annualized cost savings through AI-driven efficiencies and traditional productivity.

Ratings Performance and Debt Issuance Outlook

Ratings reported a record quarter with 17% revenue growth, exceeding internal expectations. Billed issuance increased 25% YoY, driven by strong investment-grade issuance (especially from AI infrastructure/data center CapEx and M&A) and growth in private markets ratings (up 60%). The company expects $250 billion to $300 billion in hyperscaler issuance and double-digit M&A-related issuance growth for the full year, with robust maturity walls reinforcing multi-year growth opportunities and strong average annual growth.

Indices Leadership and Growth

S&P Dow Jones Indices achieved its 13th consecutive record quarter, surpassing $2 billion in trailing 12-month revenue with 20% growth. Asset-linked fees grew 22% due to equity market appreciation and record net inflows ($600 billion YoY). The S&P 500-based ETF surpassed $1 trillion in AUM, and the company continues to innovate with new offerings like the S&P Pantera Digital Asset Index, driving competitive wins and asset manager switches.

Energy Division Strategy and Headwinds

The Energy division is being reported in two business lines: Platts benchmarks and CERA (data, content, research, events, supply chain suite). While long-term secular tailwinds like energy expansion and AI infrastructure demand remain strong (evidenced by the datacenterHawk acquisition and CERA Titan progress), near-term headwinds from the Iran conflict, tariffs, and extreme volatility pressured Q2 growth to 3%.

Management expects growth to normalize to 6-8% after this year, as headwinds are considered cyclical.

Market Intelligence Reorganization and Strategic Focus

Market Intelligence has a new business structure with two lines: Kensho Data and Platforms, and Enterprise Solutions. Kensho Data (data feeds, LLM APIs, RatingsXpress) is growing high single-digit to low double-digit organically, while Platforms (Cap IQ, Visible Alpha) is growing low single-digits.

The strategy focuses on delivering differentiated data channel-agnostically, consolidating redundant platforms, and leveraging AI for profitability. Small carve-outs are possible, but no transformational M&A is planned, with a focus on disciplined portfolio management.

Private Markets Opportunity

S&P Global sees significant opportunity in private markets, with strong momentum in AUM inflows and increased demand for transparency, benchmarks, and data analytics. Private Markets Ratings revenue grew 60% in Q2. The company is launching new products like private credit indices and data sets mapped to new taxonomies and LoanX IDs, building on a healthy base of $600 million in private markets revenues across the organization last year.

This demonstrates continued appetite from investors for the asset class and a focus on monetizing this growth.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.