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    SPIR
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    Spire Global Q2 FY26 earnings call SPIR

    Aug 12, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Spire Global Q2 FY26 — Strong Core Revenue Growth and NOAA Pipeline Progress

    Spire Global reported strong core revenue growth in Q2 FY26, driven by progress in NOAA contracts and increasing demand for RF intelligence. The company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance, anticipating a second-half weighted year with significant contributions from government and defense pipelines. Strategic European partnerships and expanded manufacturing capabilities are expected to support long-term growth, despite a temporary dip in gross margin due to a contract cancellation.

    Highlights

    5
    • Core revenue expanded year-over-year and sequentially, marking the strongest quarter since divestiture, reaching $18 million.

    • Reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $75 million to $85 million, representing over 50% core year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

    • Secured an eight-figure contract opportunity for hyperspectral microwave sounding with NOAA, currently in negotiation.

    • Awarded a NOAA Hyperspectral Microwave Founder Data Contract Extension valued at up to $5 million over nine months.

    • Adjusted EBITDA improved by 16% year-over-year and 15% sequentially to negative $8.6 million, driven by lower operating expenses.

    Concerns

    2
    • Non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 38% from 52% in Q2 FY25, primarily due to impacts from the canceled wildfire SAC contract.

    • Cash flow used in operations was $23.4 million, though it improved 32% year-over-year and 11% sequentially.

    Guidance & targets

    8
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year 2026 Revenue
    $75 million to $85 million
    high materiality
    High
    NOAA Hyperspectral Microwave Founder Data Contract Extension Revenue
    up to $5 million
    medium materiality
    High
    NOAA Hyperspectral Microwave Sounding Contract Opportunity
    eight-figure contract
    high materiality
    High
    NOAA Radio Occultation (RO) Renewal Annual Value
    larger than $11.2 million
    high materiality
    High
    UMITSAT RO Data Contract Annual Value
    over 4 million euros
    medium materiality
    High
    Adjusted EBITDA Break-even
    late 2026 to early 2027
    high materiality
    High
    Cash flow used in operations
    continuing to improve sequentially
    medium materiality
    High
    US Federal Pipeline Opportunities
    more than $100 million
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Operational metrics

    14
    Core Revenue Growth
    16%YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Excluding the maritime business divested last year.

    Core Revenue Growth
    19%sequentially
    Q2 FY26

    From Q1 FY26, excluding the maritime business divested last year.

    Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    38%down from 52% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Decrease primarily due to impacts associated with the canceled wildfire SAC contract and balance sheet cleanup. Expected to expand in H2 FY26.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    -$8.6 millionimproved 16% YoY, 15% sequentially
    Q2 FY26

    Primarily driven by lower operating expenses.

    Cash Flow Used in Operations
    $23.4 millionimproved 32% YoY, 11% sequentially
    Q2 FY26

    Reflects lower operating expenses compared to Q2 FY25. Expected to improve sequentially in Q3 and Q4 FY26.

    Cash, Cash Equivalents, and Marketable Securities
    $92 million
    end of Q2 FY26

    Company remains debt-free.

    Satellites Launched
    29
    YTD 2026

    19 satellites deployed in Q1, 10 more launched in early July.

    Satellite Manufacturing Capacity
    300 to 400
    current

    Expanded with new facility in Munich.

    Optical Intersatellite Link Distance
    5,000 kilometers
    July 2026

    Achieved between two OISL-equipped satellites.

    Northstar Arbitration Award
    $12.4 million
    Q2 FY26

    Awarded in favor of Spire, dismissing all of Northstar's claims.

    RFGL Capacity Increase
    10x
    YTD 2026

    Primarily due to new satellites being launched, with ongoing upgrades and improvements across the constellation.

    Revenue Cadence H2 FY26
    smaller step up in Q3, majority in Q4
    H2 FY26

    Management confirmed analyst's understanding that the majority of the remaining $41M-$51M to reach full-year guidance midpoint would come in Q4. Analyst calculated $46M remaining to midpoint.

    NOAA RO Award Share
    solid share
    future

    Management expects to capture a solid share of future NOAA RO awards, following an analyst's comment about 25% share in the previous year's award.

    Capex Plans
    $27 million
    FY26

    Management expects this number to hold comfortably for the full year.

    Orderbook & backlog

    1
    Full-year Guidance Contractedover 85%end of July

    up from 76% in May

    Represents the portion of the full-year revenue guidance midpoint that is already under contract.

    Product announcements

    1
    ProductTypeDetails
    Optical Intersatellite Link (OISL)milestone

    Deals & partnerships

    3
    SchaefflerCollaboration to explore sovereign European space infrastructure and next-generation satellite technologies.

    Brings together complementary capabilities, combining advanced manufacturing expertise with Spire's operational space capabilities.

    Deal DefenseAgreement reflecting growing interest in leveraging commercial space capabilities to support national security and defense applications.

    Resilient commercial satellite networks are increasingly viewed as important complements to traditional government-owned systems as governments modernize defense architectures.

    Maritime businessDivestiture of the maritime business.

    Divested last year, impacting year-over-year comparisons for reported revenue.

    Capital programs

    2
    Munich Satellite Manufacturing Facilitycompleted
    Start: May 2026

    Benefit: 300 to 400 satellites annually

    Official opening of the new satellite manufacturing facility in Munich during May. Expands production capacity and provides competitive advantage for sovereign space capabilities. Satellite integration work is underway.

    StratFi Program Satellitesunderway

    Satellites for the StratFi program are being built in Boulder and are expected to launch later this year.

    Risks & headwinds

    1
    NOAA Budget Cuts / Continuing ResolutionOctober (start of new fiscal year)

    President Trump's proposed major cuts

    Mitigation: Management believes commercialization and partnerships are a priority for NOAA, and budget shuffling favors commercial companies. Expects no impact on 2026 revenue and step-ups into 2027. Forecasts assume a continuing resolution (CR) rather than a shutdown.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    4

    NOAA RO Bridge Award

    next quarter (August/September)
    CurrentExpected very soon
    TargetFinalized award

    Why it matters

    This is the first phase of the RO contract renewal, critical for continued revenue from a cornerstone government weather business.

    Between now and our next call, the markers to watch are the RO Bridge Award, the outcome of the microwave-sounding negotiations, the Stratfy launch and continued RFGL awards.

    Q&A highlights

    6

    Clarification on the revenue step-up from Q2 to Q3 and Q4, specifically if Q3's step-up would be smaller than Q4's to reach the full-year midpoint.

    Management confirmed that the step-up in Q3 would be smaller, with the majority of the revenue acceleration occurring in Q4.

    That's correct, Eric. That's the right way to think about it. There should be some step up in Q3, but the majority of it will come in the fourth quarter.

    asked by Erik Rasmussen · answered by Alison Engel

    2 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    NOAA Opportunities and Weather Business Expansion

    Spire is actively pursuing over $150 million in NOAA opportunities, with recent progress including a $5 million contract extension for hyperspectral microwave founder data and an eight-figure contract opportunity in negotiation for hyperspectral microwave sounding. The existing NOAA radio occultation contract, valued at $11.2 million last year, is expected to be renewed for a larger annual value in two phases: a bridge award and a longer-term award under a new $8 billion IDIQ vehicle. Internationally, the UMITSAT RO data contract was expanded to over 4 million euros annually, and two six-figure commercial weather forecast awards were secured.

    02

    Growing Demand for RF Intelligence

    Demand for RF intelligence is increasing globally due to contested radio frequency environments, including GNSS jamming and spoofing affecting commercial ships and aircraft. Spire's constellation provides critical intelligence to reestablish ground truth, with over 100 daily revisits. The company secured RFGL awards from four new international customers in Q2, adding to five new U.S. and three new international customers in Q1. These engagements typically start with pilots, leading to data subscriptions and larger operational programs, indicating a multi-year growth runway.

    03

    European Expansion and Strategic Partnerships

    Spire announced strategic partnerships with Germany-based Schaeffler and Deal Defense, strengthening its position in the European space ecosystem. These collaborations aim to explore sovereign European space infrastructure and leverage commercial space capabilities for national security. The timing aligns with NATO's $50 billion new procurement commitments and the EU's proposed Space EDPCI, worth up to 24 billion euros by 2034, which includes space-based early warning and intelligence capabilities. Spire's global operations and European manufacturing capabilities position it well for these emerging opportunities.

    04

    Manufacturing and Technology Advancements

    Spire launched 10 satellites in early July, bringing the 2026 total to 29, demonstrating mature manufacturing and operational discipline. The new satellite manufacturing facility in Munich, opened in May, expands production capacity to 300-400 satellites annually, complementing existing operations in North America and the UK. This distributed manufacturing provides a competitive advantage for sovereign space capabilities. Additionally, Spire achieved a major milestone in its optical intersatellite link program, successfully establishing a cross-plane laser connection over 5,000 kilometers, reducing latency and ground station dependence.

    05

    Financial Trajectory and Second Half Outlook

    First-half revenue was $33.9 million, implying a second-half revenue of $41 million to $51 million to meet the full-year guidance midpoint. As of end-July, over 85% of the full-year guidance midpoint is contracted. This includes ongoing NOAA RO contracts, European RO work, space services programs, and expanded commercial agreements. Near-term closures like the eight-figure microwave sounding opportunity and the RO bridge award are expected to drive second-half acceleration. The company also received a favorable arbitration ruling, awarding approximately $12.4 million from Northstar.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.