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Spotify (SPOT) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Communication Services· Aug 4, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Spotify Q2 FY26 — Record Gross Margin and Subscriber Growth

Spotify delivered a strong Q2 FY26, driven by record gross margin and subscriber growth, despite a slight miss on MAU guidance due to strategic product optimizations in emerging markets. The company is leveraging its scale and AI investments to enhance product offerings and drive monetization, with a focus on long-term value creation and sustainable margin expansion. Management remains confident in its ability to achieve its 2030 targets.

Highlights

5
  • Revenue grew 15% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, accelerating from 14% in Q1.

  • Gross margin hit a record 33.4%, surpassing guidance by 30 basis points.

  • Subscribers crossed 300 million for the first time, beating guidance by 1 million.

  • Free cash flow strengthened to EUR 797 million, up 14% year-over-year.

  • Active advertisers grew 60% year-over-year to 33,000.

Concerns

3
  • MAU net additions of 16 million were 1 million below forecast due to product optimization activities in emerging markets.

  • Ad-supported revenue grew only 3% year-over-year, consistent with Q1, due to expected declines in the direct sales channel.

  • Temporary elevated operating expenses in Q2 and Q3 due to marketing and AI-related investments, totaling EUR 200 million for the full year.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
MAU
788 million
medium materiality
High
Subscribers
305 million
high materiality
High
Total Revenue
approximately EUR 5 billion
high materiality
High
Total Revenue growth
14%
high materiality
High
Gross Margin
32.9%
high materiality
High
Operating Income
EUR 670 million
high materiality
High
Incremental Operating Expense
EUR 200 million
medium materiality
High
Employee Headcount
flat
low materiality
High
Gross Margin
improve
high materiality
High
Operating Margin
improve
high materiality
High
Free Cash Flow
meaningful year-over-year growth
high materiality
High
Ads business growth
inflect towards double-digit growth
high materiality
High
Revenue CAGR
mid-teens
high materiality
High
Gross Margin
35% to 40%
high materiality
High
Operating Margin
above 20%
high materiality
High
Free Cash Flow
strong growth
high materiality
High

SPOT operating KPIs by quarter

SPOT operating KPIs stated on its earnings calls, by fiscal quarter
KPI Dec 2024 Q4 FY24 Sep 2025 Q3 FY25 Mar 2026 Q1 FY26This call Jun 2026 Q2 FY26Change vs prior quarter
Monthly active users (MAU)
675M MAU grew by 35 million to 675 million in total. Source: earnings call transcript
713M In quarter 3, MAU grew by 17 million to 713 million in total, exceeding our guidance by 3 million. Source: earnings call transcript
761M MAU grew by 10 million to 761 million in total, surpassing our guidance by 2 million. Source: earnings call transcript
777M So with over 300 million subscribers and 777 million users, we have achieved consequential scale. Source: earnings call transcript
+2.1%
Paid subscribers
263M We added 11 million net subscribers finishing at 263 million. Source: earnings call transcript
281M We added 5 million net subscribers finishing at 281 million, up 12% and in line with guidance. Source: earnings call transcript
293M We added 3 million net subscribers during the quarter, finishing at 293 million, in line with our guidance. Source: earnings call transcript
300M+ And we beat our subscriber guidance, crossing 300 million subs for the first time, all while continuing to grow engagement with the number of active days for global subs increasing. Source: earnings call transcript
—
Paid subscriber net additions
11M We added 11 million net subscribers finishing at 263 million. Source: earnings call transcript
5M We added 5 million net subscribers finishing at 281 million, up 12% and in line with guidance. Source: earnings call transcript
3M We added 3 million net subscribers during the quarter, finishing at 293 million, in line with our guidance. Source: earnings call transcript
7M We added 7 million net subscribers during the quarter, growing quarter-on-quarter across all regions with notable outperformance in Rest of the World and North America. Source: earnings call transcript
+133.3%

Operating figures the company stated on at least two of the calls shown, checked against each call's transcript. Click a figure to read the sentence. A dash means it was not stated that quarter.

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Reservedlaunch
Honk (internal tool)update
Chirp (internal AI engine)launch
Talk to Spotifylaunch
Personal podcastlaunch
Studio by Spotifylaunch
Prompted Playlists for Audiobookslaunch
Autoplay recommendation system (new)update
Messageslaunch
Listening activitylaunch
Listening statsupdate
Running modelaunch
Song DNAupdate
AI audio asset creation toollaunch

Deals & partnerships

Merlin Agreement for AI-powered covers and remixes, giving 30,000 labels in Merlin's network the opportunity to participate.

Follows UMG agreement. Focus on consent, credit, and compensation for artists. Aims to create the first legal way to partake in the AI tailwind for interactive music.

Live Nation Reserved ticketing program for premium subscribers.

Launched in the U.S. in June. Supported multiple tours, nearly 100,000 tickets reserved through Spotify. Live Nation upsized allocations for some tours.

Risks & headwinds

Product optimization in emerging markets impacting MAU growth Q3 FY26 (near term impact on MAU)

MAU net additions of 16 million were 1 million below forecast in Q2; Q3 MAU guidance reflects an increase of 11 million from Q2, lower than previous trends.

Mitigation:Strategic decision to drive higher user conversion and revenue growth down the line; not expected to affect subscriber growth in the near term.

Ad-supported revenue growth stabilization H1 2026

3% YoY growth in Q2, consistent with Q1, due to expected declines in the direct sales channel.

Mitigation:Price optimization work complete, direct sales channel stabilizing; migration of ad inventory to in-house ad server complete; expect inflection to double-digit growth in H2 2026.

Temporary elevated operating expenses Q2 and Q3 FY26 (heavy concentration)

EUR 200 million incremental operating expense for full year 2026.

Mitigation:Marketing and AI-related investments are variable and controllable; moderation expected in Q4; headcount flat in 2026, indicating non-structural cost additions.

AI music tier launch timeline Longer term

It's a lot of work. It's going to take more time.

Mitigation:Strong momentum with UMG and Merlin deals; a research preview is expected to gather preference data and improve the model, rather than waiting for a full catalog.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

MAU growth in emerging markets

Q3 FY26 results
Current Q2 MAU net adds 16M (1M below forecast); Q3 MAU guidance 788M (11M increase from Q2)
Target Stabilization or re-acceleration of MAU growth following product optimizations

Why it matters

Indicates the effectiveness of strategic friction introduction in the free tier for long-term monetization without significantly hindering user acquisition.

As Alex discussed earlier in more detail, this guidance includes product optimization activities in emerging markets while growth rates in developed markets remain stable.

Find out whether SPOT delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

What products are most exciting in the near term and where will Spotify get the most traction over the next 3-5 years?

Gustav Söderström highlighted the underlying system built for differentiated monetization. Near-term excitement includes Reserved (100k tickets, unique value), the Large Taste Model (improving active days, retention), SongDNA (100M users), and music videos (new releases perform better). Longer-term, he is excited about the remix/coverage product and 'Talk to Spotify' for interactive experiences.

“In terms of actual products, I would say right now, the thing that excites me the most is Reserved. It is probably the feature that the most people ever have said, 'This is the best thing you ever did at Spotify.'”

asked by Jessica Reif Ehrlich · answered by Gustav Söderström

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

Strategic Product Optimization in Emerging Markets

Spotify is implementing product optimizations and adjusting ad load in select emerging markets to increase user conversion and revenue growth. This strategy is expected to cause a temporary slowdown in Q3 MAU growth but is not anticipated to impact subscriber growth, aiming for higher monetization over time.

The company is carefully introducing friction in both ad load and free tier limitations, positioning these markets for future conversion similar to established regions.

AI-Driven Innovation and Efficiency

The company continues to invest heavily in AI, with AI-powered experiences reaching about a quarter of active users. Internal tools like 'Honk' (coding agent) and 'Chirp' (AI engine) are driving engineering efficiency, allowing for cost-effective use of AI models and ensuring vendor agnosticism.

The new large taste model, deployed two months ago, has shown promising results in increasing active days, Autoplay minutes, and track sales, while reducing Autoplay drop-off, indicating improved retention and lifetime value.

Rebuilding the Ads Business

Spotify's ads business has completed its transition to a new proprietary ad stack, with 99% of impressions now served on this platform. Automated sales channels represent nearly 40% of ad-supported revenue in Q2, up from 30% in Q1, and active advertisers grew 60% year-over-year to 33,000.

This shift, combined with self-serve options and AI audio asset creation tools, positions the business for an inflection to double-digit growth in H2 2026, leveraging Spotify's engaged user base and high-quality content.

New Premium Offerings and Verticals

Spotify is rigorously exploring new premium offerings and verticals. The 'Reserved' ticketing program, launched in the U.S. with Live Nation, has supported multiple tours and reserved nearly 100,000 tickets, enhancing premium subscriber value. Audiobooks+, an add-on, has doubled its annual recurring revenue to over $100 million, demonstrating the success of 'subscriptions on top of subscriptions' and a new pathway for ARPU expansion.

Music Agreements for AI Remixing

Following a prior agreement with UMG, Spotify announced a deal with Merlin, a digital licensing partner for 30,000 independent labels. This agreement allows artists in Merlin's network to participate in Spotify's new AI-powered covers and remixes product, which is being built with a focus on consent, credit, and compensation.

Management views this as the first legal way to engage with the AI tailwind in interactive music, with a research preview expected to gather preference data.

Scale and Financial Strength

Spotify emphasizes its 'consequential scale' with over 300 million subscribers and 777 million users, positioning it uniquely in the market. Since its 2022 Investor Day, revenue has compounded at 18% annually, reaching EUR 17 billion in 2025. Gross margin expanded from 25% to 33.4% this quarter, and the company generated EUR 2.9 billion in free cash flow last year, with expectations for continued growth towards its 2030 targets.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.