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    SPWR
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    SunPower Q2 FY26 earnings call SPWR

    Jul 28, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    SunPower Q2 FY26 — Revenue Miss Offset by Cost Cuts, Strong Bookings & New Panel Tech

    SunPower reported a challenging Q2 FY26 with a significant revenue decline and gross margin compression, primarily attributed to execution issues and a backlog of uncompleted jobs. Despite these setbacks, the company maintained operating income through aggressive cost cutting and highlighted strong bookings growth and the launch of advanced Monolith solar panels. Management is focused on improving execution, leveraging new technology for premium segments, and addressing cash flow and share count concerns.

    Highlights

    5
    • Non-GAAP operating income improved by $400,000 QoQ despite revenue decline.

    • Structural cost reductions totaling $13 million were implemented across Q1 and Q2 FY26.

    • Total bookings showed strong increase for 9 consecutive months, with transactional residential bookings at a record high.

    • Launched Monolith 470-watt panel and developing Monolith 2 Bifacial, offering superior efficiency and lifetime performance.

    • Secured first AI data center project in Reno, Nevada, demonstrating commercial segment growth.

    Concerns

    5
    • Non-GAAP revenue decreased significantly from $73 million to $56 million QoQ.

    • Gross margin declined from 46.9% to 27.6% due to revenue fall-through.

    • Ended the quarter with a tight cash position of $4 million.

    • 1,105 jobs were stuck in the installation pipeline due to execution errors and permitting issues.

    • Fully diluted share count is projected to increase from 151 million to 200 million over time.

    Guidance & targets

    4
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Q3 FY26 Non-GAAP Revenue
    $75 million or more
    high materiality
    High
    Q3 FY26 Non-GAAP Operating Loss
    Less than $1 million
    high materiality
    High
    Share Price
    Maintain above $1
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Share Split
    Announce intention after Board meeting
    medium materiality
    High

    Operational metrics

    53
    Non-GAAP Revenue
    $56 milliondown from $73 million QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Direct impact on gross margin and gross profit.

    Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    27.6%down from 46.9% QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Direct result of fall-through on variable COGS and revenue.

    Operating Expenses
    $19.7 milliondown QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Offset much of the impact from revenue decline.

    Non-GAAP Operating Income
    $400,000improved QoQ
    Q2 FY26

    Combination of revenue fall-through and cost cutting.

    Structural Cost Cutting
    $13 million
    Q1-Q2 FY26

    Total cost reductions implemented, with Q2 focus on management rationalization.

    Company Age
    6 quarters
    Q2 FY26

    Reference to the company's operational history.

    Historical Revenue (prior to last 2 quarters)
    $1.5 millionplus or minus $0.5 million
    Prior 6 quarters

    Historical revenue range before recent declines.

    Headcount (inherited)
    3,500
    Q4 (when T.J. took over)

    Initial headcount when current CEO took over.

    Headcount (target)
    700
    Ongoing

    Target for a leaner team.

    Headcount (current)
    710
    Q2 FY26

    Current headcount, close to target.

    1099 Sales Force
    1,500flat
    Q2 FY26

    Sales force maintained at a robust level but strategically redeployed.

    US Solar Penetration Rate
    5.6%
    2024

    Percentage of qualified homes with solar.

    US Solar Penetration Rate
    7%up from 5.6% in 2024
    2026

    Updated penetration rate.

    US Solar Penetration Rate Forecast
    30%
    2030

    Forecast by Energy Information Agency.

    Unsatisfied Solar Market
    70%
    2030

    Market still wanting solar by 2030.

    Cost of Power Increase
    50%
    Over 4 years

    Projected increase in power costs for consumers.

    Added Solar Capacity
    70 GW
    Recent

    Significant additions to energy generation.

    Solar Panel Cost
    $100
    Current

    Cost to buy a solar panel.

    Energy Payback Time (panel)
    1 year
    Lifetime

    Time for a panel to produce more energy than it took to produce it.

    Solar Pricing Trends
    Flat to slightly upward short-term
    Near-term

    Due to government subsidy changes.

    Monthly Residential Installs (peak)
    25,000
    Peak

    Pre-change in tax credit.

    Monthly Residential Installs (current)
    15,000down from 25,000
    Current

    Volume after ITC credit reduction.

    ITC Credit Reduction
    30%
    Recent

    Impacted solar industry volume.

    Cash Balance
    $4 million
    End of Q2 FY26

    Tight cash position, but expected to make it through Q3.

    Jobs in Backlog (stuck)
    1,105double normal inventory
    Q2 FY26

    Caused revenue shortfall and slowed pipeline conversion.

    Time to Convert Residential Jobs to Revenue
    8 weeks
    Typical

    Average time for sales force to convert jobs.

    Share Count (transfer agent)
    151 million
    Current

    Shares used for total company valuation.

    Share Count (paid off)
    17.9 million
    Past deal

    Shares used to pay off a past deal, not included in current 151M.

    Share Count (fully diluted)
    200 millionup from 151 million
    Over time

    Projected fully diluted share count.

    Monolith 470W Panel Efficiency
    22.6%
    Current

    High module efficiency for the new panel.

    Monolith 470W Panel Temperature Coefficient
    0.24%half of P-type cell
    Current

    Superior efficiency in high temperatures.

    Monolith 470W Panel Weight
    50 pounds
    Current

    Designed to be under OSHA limit for one-person installation.

    Monolith 470W Panel Degradation
    92.5%almost double other panels
    After 25 years

    High energy retention over lifetime.

    Monolith 2 Bifacial Panel Power
    494 to 528 watts
    Future

    Next generation panel with higher output.

    Monolith 2 Bifacial Panel Weight
    50 pounds
    Future

    Maintains lightweight for installation despite double glass.

    Monolith 2 Bifacial Panel Warranty
    30 yearsup from 25 years
    Future

    Improved warranty for the next-gen panel.

    Santa Clara Project Capacity
    1.2 MW
    Completed

    Third project for the university, integrated solar superstructure and elevated carports.

    Santa Clara Project Annual Generation
    2.1 million kWh
    Annually

    Estimated annual energy generation.

    Santa Clara Project Annual Savings
    $350,000
    Annually

    Estimated annual savings for the university.

    Waterfront Building Project Capacity
    0.25 MW
    Completed

    Project demonstrating high-efficiency modules and complex engineering.

    Waterfront Building Project Modules
    554
    Completed

    Number of high-efficiency solar modules used.

    Starbucks Millennium Project Capacity
    997 kW
    Recently completed

    Carport structures providing power and shade.

    NPS Score (Starbucks)
    90%
    Recent

    Net Promoter Score, indicating high customer satisfaction.

    T.J. Rodgers Investment
    $111 million
    Cumulative

    Personal investment in SunPower.

    T.J. Rodgers Shares Owned
    32.7 million
    Current

    Outright shares held by CEO.

    T.J. Rodgers Debt Equivalent Shares
    26.5 million
    Current

    Shares equivalent to debt held by CEO.

    T.J. Rodgers Ownership (converted)
    39%
    Current

    Total ownership if debt were converted to shares.

    Cypress IPO Valuation
    $770 millionin today's dollars
    IPO

    Valuation of CEO's previous company at IPO.

    Cypress Sale Valuation
    $10 billion
    2020

    Sale price of CEO's previous company after his retirement.

    Enphase Current Valuation
    $5 billion
    Current

    Current valuation of a company CEO helped turn around.

    California Power Cost
    $0.20
    Current

    Cost of power from utility, expected to rise.

    Q3 FY26 Revenue Run Rate
    $60 million
    Q3 FY26

    Underlying revenue run rate, excluding revenue pulled forward from Q2.

    Doors Knocked (weekly)
    65,000
    Weekly

    Metric for sales activity.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Book to bill ratio
    Orders bookings growthStrong increase
    M a acquisition contributionCobalt Power Systems, PowerLight
    Backlog by segment end market3,655 jobsjobs
    Data center exposure pipelineFirst AI data center
    Incremental flow through marginImproved operating income

    Orderbook & backlog

    4
    Total Bookings (jobs)4,166Q1 2026

    Includes residential, new homes, and commercial work.

    Total Bookings (jobs)3,655Q2 2026

    down from 4,166 QoQ

    Still the third highest in the 7-quarter period. Transactional short-term bookings (residential) increased, while long-term new homes bookings dropped.

    Transactional Residential BookingsRecord highQ2 2026

    increased QoQ

    Three record bookings quarters for residential only.

    Bookings for Q4RobustQ2 2026

    Sales force is currently working on Q4 bookings.

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Monolith 470-watt panellaunch
    Monolith 2 Bifacial panelroadmap

    Deals & partnerships

    4
    RECJDA technology partnership for high-voltage heterojunction solar panels

    Led to the development and commercialization of the Monolith 470-watt panel and ongoing work on Monolith 2 Bifacial.

    Cobalt Power SystemsAcquisition to expand commercial space and national footprint

    Acquired in September 2025, now integrated to support commercial projects like universities and data centers.

    PowerLightSmall acquisition to bolster sales force

    Acquired in October 2025 (Q1 2026), contributed to maintaining the 1099 sales force.

    StarbucksPartnership for greener stores program, including solar installations

    Recently completed the Millennium project, a 997 kW carport structure in Palm Desert, California, as part of 26 greener stores.

    Risks & headwinds

    6
    Industry HeadwindsQ3 FY26

    Air quality issues, heat waves, tight labor market

    Mitigation: Q3 guidance accounts for these problems.

    Execution Issues & BacklogQ2 FY26, fixable in a quarter

    1,105 jobs stuck in pipeline

    Mitigation: Tightening discipline, changed management in one division, fixing minor defects (e.g., J-box pictures) and permitting issues.

    Tight Cash PositionQ3 FY26

    $4 million cash at end of Q2 FY26

    Mitigation: Cash flow graph indicates ability to make it clean through Q3; not interested in selling stock at current price; structured milestones for payment upon installation.

    Share Price Below $1 (NASDAQ Compliance)Ongoing

    Share price below $1

    Mitigation: Considering a share split to get shares comfortably above $1; Board discussion planned.

    Share Count DilutionOver time

    Fully diluted share count projected to increase from 151 million to 200 million

    Mitigation: Management is aware and discussing with Board, but no specific mitigation for dilution itself mentioned beyond maintaining share price.

    Lower Solar Industry VolumeCurrent

    Monthly residential installs down from 25,000 to 15,000

    Mitigation: Focus on premium segment with technology advantages and high-margin installations to compete on value, not just price.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Q3 FY26 Revenue

    Q3 FY26
    Current$56 million (Q2 FY26)
    Target$75 million or more

    Why it matters

    Key indicator of execution improvement and return to growth after a significant revenue miss.

    In this quarter, we expect to grow revenue to $75 million or more

    Q&A highlights

    7

    Are there anticipated obstacles to getting jobs done in Q3 due to air quality, heat waves, or tight labor market?

    Management acknowledged industry headwinds but stated that the Q3 revenue guidance of $75 million or more already accounts for these problems, indicating a conservative estimate.

    Yes, there are in the $75 million number, not a great number, in my opinion, but it's what we thought we could do given the headwinds we're seeing in the market right now.

    asked by Auguste Richard · answered by Thurman Rodgers

    2 min read6 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    New CFO's Strategic Priorities

    Tom Kowalczuk, the new CFO, outlined his immediate priorities, focusing on maintaining strong financial discipline, improving the quality of forecasting and financial processes, and thoughtfully allocating capital. He also emphasized providing clear, timely, and consistent financial information to investors. The finance team is actively working on re-implementing NetSuite and consolidating statutory entities onto a single source to improve systems and decision support.

    02

    Aggressive Cost Reduction Initiatives

    Following a challenging Q1 FY26, SunPower implemented $13 million in cost reductions. This included a RIF and a 4-day work week to retain talent, resulting in $7.1 million in fixed overhead cuts in Q1. An additional $5.9 million in cost reductions is planned for Q2, primarily targeting management rationalization within the new homes and Cobalt divisions. The company aims to maintain a lean structure, with current headcount at 710, down from 3,500 inherited in Q4.

    03

    Advanced Monolith Panel Technology

    SunPower highlighted its REC JDA technology partnership, which led to the development of the Monolith 470-watt panel. This high-voltage heterojunction product boasts 22.6% module efficiency, a superior temperature coefficient of 0.24% per degree Celsius, and a 50-pound weight for easier installation. It retains 92.5% of its energy production after 25 years. The company is also developing Monolith 2 Bifacial panels, with engineering samples already built, targeting 494 to 528 watts and a 30-year warranty, utilizing a double-glass structure for enhanced reliability.

    04

    Showcase Commercial Project Execution

    The company showcased several high-value commercial projects demonstrating its engineering capabilities. These include a 1.2 MW installation at Santa Clara University generating 2.1 million kWh annually and saving $350,000 per year, a 0.25 MW floating array at the Waterfront building in San Francisco, and a 997 kW carport structure for Starbucks' Millennium project. SunPower also announced its first AI data center project in Reno, Nevada, with construction beginning next month, signaling an expanding commercial pipeline.

    05

    Positive Long-Term Solar Market Outlook

    Management presented a positive long-term outlook for solar, citing Energy Information Agency data showing US solar penetration at 7% in 2026 (up from 5.6% in 2024) with a forecast of 30% by 2030. The cost of solar installation remains flat to down, while the cost of traditional power is projected to increase by 50% over four years. Solar panels have an energy payback time of approximately one year, and solar additions in the US reached 70 GW, equivalent to 35 nuclear plants.

    06

    Industry Headwinds and Execution Challenges

    The solar industry faces headwinds, including a significant drop in monthly residential installs from 25,000 to 15,000 following the 30% reduction in ITC credit. SunPower experienced a revenue shortfall due to 1,105 jobs getting stuck in the installation pipeline, primarily from minor defects like unverified J-box grounding pictures and permitting issues. Management acknowledged these execution errors, stating they are fixable within a quarter, and are tightening discipline to prevent future occurrences.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.