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Stagwell (STGW) Q2 FY26 earnings call: guidance and Q&A

Earnings call· Jun 2026 (Q2 FY26)· Communication Services· Jul 30, 2026

Source: earnings call transcript

Executive summary

Stagwell Q2 FY26 — Strong Organic Growth Driven by Digital Transformation and AI Adoption

Stagwell delivered a strong second quarter, validating its tech-forward strategy with significant organic growth, particularly in digital transformation and communications, fueled by AI adoption. The company is leveraging cost efficiencies and share buybacks to drive profitability and EPS, while strategically shifting capital allocation towards CapEx and smaller M&A. Management anticipates a multi-year growth cycle, with strong momentum expected to continue into the second half of the year and beyond.

Highlights

4
  • Organic revenue grew 10% year-over-year.

  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 15% year-over-year to $109 million, with margin expanding 140 basis points to 17.2%.

  • Adjusted EPS grew 39% year-over-year to $0.25.

  • Net new business of $171 million was 45% greater than 2Q FY25.

Guidance & targets

CategoryTargetConfidence
Full-year total net revenue growth
8% to 12%
high materiality
High
Full-year adjusted EBITDA
$475 million to $525 million
high materiality
High
Full-year free cash flow conversion
50% to 60% of adjusted EBITDA
medium materiality
High
Full-year adjusted EPS
$1.03 to $1.17
high materiality
High
Net leverage
mid-2s
medium materiality
High
Enterprise technology bookings goal
exceed $25 million
medium materiality
High
Second half net revenue growth
double-digit
high materiality
High
Margins
continue expanding
medium materiality
High
Adjusted EBITDA growth
solid growth in 2027, excellent growth in 2028
high materiality
High

Segment performance

SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
Digital Transformation
Strongest growth in the segment, driven by high-value AI-related work. Highest margin since the merger.
2-year organic net revenue growth: >29%
$107M18% organic net revenue growth—30% adjusted EBITDA margin
Communications
Strongest second quarter since the merger, with corporate demand and election-related activity contributing.
$112M12% organic net revenue growthalmost 700 basis point acceleration QoQ—
Marketing Cloud
Driven by demand for AI-embedded products, higher platform utilization, and additional subscription-based offerings.
$27M4% organic net revenue growth——
Marketing Services
Several significant creative assignments awarded in Q2 are expected to scale in H2 FY26 and position for stronger growth in FY27.
$243M0.5% organic net revenue growth——
Media and Commerce
Modest organic growth in the quarter.
$155M1% organic growth——
U.S.
Largest geographic region, showing solid growth.
—7.1% organic net revenue growth——
U.K.
Second largest region, showing accelerated growth due to new structure and team approach.
—13.4% organic growth——

Product announcements

ProductTypeDetails
Stagwell content supply chainroadmap
The machineroadmap
Marketing cloud offeringsroadmap
Suite of agentic products for enterpriseroadmap

Deals & partnerships

Adobe Expanded relationship, including taking IBM's creative business and adding Cuestas consulting to the Code and Theory network.

Stagwell expanded its relationship with Adobe and added Columbia-based Cuestas consulting to the Code and Theory network, leveraging Adobe input presentation.

Cuestas consulting Acquisition of a Columbia-based Adobe input presentation firm, added to the Code and Theory network.

Acquired and integrated into the Code and Theory network, expanding capabilities related to Adobe.

Palantir Partnership for SaaS, built on Palantir's founder fit.

Stagwell's agent targeting system (SaaS) is built on Palantir's founder fit, seamlessly integrating into customer workflows.

IBM Won IBM's creative business from a 30-plus year legacy incumbent.

A significant new assignment contributing to net new business momentum.

Hershey Won mandates in the packaged food segment.

Won mandates from legacy competitors.

Mondelez Won mandates in the packaged food segment.

Won mandates from legacy competitors.

Heineken Expanded European presence, winning both Higher Europe and All Win.

Contributed to European expansion and new business wins.

Navy Federal Credit Union New business win.

One of countless new business wins in the quarter.

Allegiant Airlines New business win.

One of countless new business wins in the quarter.

Visit California Won government work, an account that hadn't turned over in 20 years.

Significant win in the government sector.

What to watch in Q3 FY26

Digital Transformation Growth Sustainability

next quarter and beyond
Current 18% organic net revenue growth in Q2 FY26
Target Continued strong growth, validating 10-year sustainability claim

Why it matters

Digital Transformation is a major driver of Stagwell's growth and profitability, and its sustained performance is key to the investment thesis.

Well, I think it's sustainable for about 10 years. What's really driving it is the conversion to AI.

Find out whether STGW delivers this. Inve re-checks your case every morning.

Q&A highlights

Is the strong growth in digital transformation sustainable into the future, and what is driving it?

Mark Penn stated that the growth is sustainable for about 10 years, driven by the conversion to AI and the need for every company to redo consumer communication. He highlighted that Stagwell is getting higher-level assignments and working more efficiently due to agentive coding.

“Well, I think it's sustainable for about 10 years. What's really driving it is the conversion to AI. I think, as I've said for actually 2 years now, every single company that touches the consumer will have to redo the way they communicate with that consumer based on AI.”

asked by Ben Allanson (Executives) · answered by Mark Penn

2 min read 6 chapters

Detailed narrative

AI-Driven Transformation and Efficiency

Stagwell is actively infusing AI throughout its operations, from back-office automation to agentive coding, which is driving significant efficiency gains and enabling the company to take on higher-value assignments. This strategic focus on AI is a core differentiator, contributing to expanding margins and positioning Stagwell as a leader in marketing transformation.

The company's internal technology team has been at the forefront of implementing AI across the enterprise, not just within individual brands.

Digital Transformation Segment Outperformance

The digital transformation segment achieved an impressive 18% organic net revenue growth in Q2 FY26, marking its eighth consecutive quarter of improvement and a meaningful acceleration from Q1. This segment also delivered a 30% adjusted EBITDA margin. Management attributes this success to the market's shift towards high-value work that combines business strategy, technology, creativity, and AI transformation, an area where Stagwell's agencies, like Code and Theory, excel.

Strong New Business Momentum and Market Positioning

Stagwell secured $171 million in net new business, a 45% increase over Q2 FY25, with flagship wins from major clients such as IBM, Hershey, Mondelez, Heineken, Navy Federal Credit Union, and Allegiant Airlines. This momentum is driven by Stagwell's tech-forward, collaborative approach, offering a unique combination of strong creativity, great technology, and agility.

The company believes this positions it among the top-tier players in the industry, winning mandates from legacy competitors.

Strategic Capital Allocation and Shareholder Returns

The company is pursuing a balanced capital allocation strategy, prioritizing debt reduction, continued share buybacks, and CapEx investments over large-scale M&A. In Q2 FY26, Stagwell repurchased 5.9 million shares at an average price of $6.22 per share, contributing to a 39% increase in adjusted EPS.

The goal is to exit FY26 with net leverage in the mid-2s, while also funding CapEx at similar levels to last year and pursuing smaller, strategic acquisitions.

Political Cycle and Communications Segment Growth

The Communications segment experienced 12% organic net revenue growth in Q2 FY26, representing a significant acceleration from Q1. This growth is expected to further accelerate in the second half of the year due to the increasingly competitive midterm elections in November. Management anticipates a 'political super cycle' extending through the 2028 presidential election, which is projected to drive substantial growth for the company's political work.

Traction in Enterprise Technology Products

Stagwell's proprietary enterprise technology products, including 'the machine' and SaaS offerings, are gaining significant traction. The company reported $16 million in committed enterprise technology revenue in the first half of the year, with a pipeline exceeding another $16 million. This puts Stagwell firmly on track to surpass its initial bookings goal of $25 million for the year, with new sales teams being built to support further expansion in this area.

Summary of the company's earnings call; see how call summaries are prepared. Not investment advice.