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    VCYT
    Earnings call· Jun 2026(Q2 FY26)

    VERACYTE Q2 FY26 earnings call VCYT

    Jul 30, 2026 Source

    Executive summary

    Veracyte Q2 FY26 — Strong Growth and Key Product Launches

    Veracyte delivered a strong second quarter, marked by double-digit revenue growth and robust profitability, alongside the significant launches of Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD. The company is strategically investing in these new growth drivers and its core franchises, while navigating NCCN guideline changes impacting low-risk Decipher Prostate volumes. Management remains confident in its long-term growth trajectory, supported by an expanding clinical evidence pipeline and operational efficiencies.

    Highlights

    5
    • Total revenue reached $150.3 million, representing 15% year-over-year growth.

    • Adjusted EBITDA was $44 million, or 29.2% of revenue, up 23% year-over-year.

    • Decipher Prostate revenue grew 20% year-over-year, driven by 17% volume growth.

    • Afirma revenue grew 18% year-over-year, with 10% volume growth and sustained ASP gains.

    • Successfully launched Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD for muscle invasive bladder cancer, expanding the portfolio into new growth areas.

    Concerns

    2
    • Full-year Decipher Prostate volume guidance lowered by approximately 1,000 tests, primarily in the low-risk setting, due to NCCN guideline changes.

    • Revenue guidance for Prosigna LDT and TrueMRD excludes contribution due to early launch stages and pending Medicare reimbursement for Prosigna.

    Guidance & targets

    7
    CategoryTargetConfidence
    Full-year Total Revenue
    $590M-$596M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Testing Revenue
    $576M-$582M
    high materiality
    High
    Full-year Decipher Revenue Growth
    ~20%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Afirma Revenue Growth
    ~12%-14%
    medium materiality
    High
    Full-year Adjusted EBITDA
    >26%
    high materiality
    High
    Prosigna Medicare Pricing
    low end around $2,500
    medium materiality
    Medium
    Decipher Low-Risk Studies Readout
    as early as 2027
    medium materiality
    Medium

    Segment performance

    5
    SegmentRevenueYoYQoQMargin
    Decipher Prostate
    Delivered strong revenue and volume growth, driven by increased physician adoption and deeper penetration, particularly in higher-risk categories. ASP improvements also contributed to revenue growth.
    Volume: 29,000 testsVolume growth YoY: 17%ASP: improvedNew ordering positions: strong increaseOrders per physician: new recordOrdering trends: strong in intermediate and high-risk localized diseaseOrdering trends: strong in post-prostatectomy and biochemical recurrence
    20%
    Afirma
    Showed strong revenue and volume growth, benefiting from operational efficiencies, ASP gains, and expanded market adoption. The B2 transcriptome workflow improved the no-result rate.
    Volume: 18,600 testsVolume growth YoY: 10%ASP: sustained gainsUtilization among existing physicians: increasedOrdering physician base: expandedMarket share: ongoing gainsNo result rate benefit: ~400 bps of volume growth
    18%
    Decipher Bladder
    Saw encouraging order trends and continued evidence generation, highlighting its growing body of evidence across the bladder cancer continuum.
    Order trends: encouraging Q2Publications/abstracts: 13 in Q2
    Prosigna
    Experienced tremendous enthusiasm and engagement since launch, leading to an accelerated sales force expansion to capture demand.
    Institutions engaged: >100Sales force expansion: ahead of original plan
    TrueMRD for MIBC
    Represents the first commercial application of the MRD platform, leveraging whole genome sequencing for recurrence monitoring in muscle invasive bladder cancer.
    Commercial application: first on MRD platformTechnology: first and only commercially available MRD test to utilize whole genome sequencing

    Operational metrics

    20
    Total Revenue
    $150.3Mup 15% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Total revenue for the second quarter.

    Total Volume
    51,000 testsup 13% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Total tests analyzed in the second quarter.

    Testing Revenue
    $145.7Mup 19% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Testing revenue for the second quarter.

    Total Testing Volume
    48,389 testsup 14% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Total testing volume for the second quarter.

    Testing Average Selling Price (ASP)
    $3,010up 4% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Average selling price per test, including prior period collections.

    Normalized Testing Average Selling Price (ASP)
    ~$2,900up 3%
    Q2 FY26

    Average selling price per test, excluding prior period collections.

    Non-GAAP Gross Margin
    74.9%up 340 bps YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter, driven by testing business strength.

    Testing Gross Margin
    76%up 200 bps
    Q2 FY26

    Gross margin specifically for the testing business.

    Non-GAAP Operating Expenses
    $70Mup 16% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Total non-GAAP operating expenses for the second quarter.

    R&D Expense
    $26.3Mup $12.1M YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Research and development expense for the second quarter.

    Sales and Marketing Expense
    $25.5Mup $2.4M
    Q2 FY26

    Sales and marketing expense for the second quarter.

    G&A Expense
    $18.1Mdown $4.8M
    Q2 FY26

    General and administrative expense for the second quarter.

    Adjusted EBITDA
    $44Mup 23% YoY
    Q2 FY26

    Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter, demonstrating operating leverage.

    Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
    $485.2M
    Q2 FY26 end

    Total cash and investments balance at the end of the second quarter.

    Prosigna Sales Force Expansion
    15 peoplefrom ~10 people
    FY26 end

    Expansion of the Prosigna sales force ahead of original plan to capture demand.

    Afirma No Result Rate Benefit
    ~3%
    FY26

    Anticipated benefit to Afirma volume growth from improved no-result rate for the full year.

    Decipher Volume Guidance
    31,000 tests
    Q3 FY26

    Expected Decipher volume for the third quarter, based on current ordering trends and seasonality.

    Decipher Volume Guidance
    33,000 tests
    Q4 FY26

    Expected Decipher volume for the fourth quarter, based on current ordering trends and seasonality.

    Afirma Prior Period Collections (PTCs)
    ~$3M
    Q2 FY26

    Amount of prior period collections included in Afirma revenue for the second quarter.

    Other Testing Revenue
    $10M
    FY26

    Included in full-year guidance for other testing revenue.

    Industry KPIs

    6
    MetricValueDetails
    Launch access metricsMedicare coverage for TrueMRD MIBC secured
    Pipeline read out calendarMultiple readouts and presentations
    Product franchise net sales$145.7MUSD
    Regulatory approvals filingsProsigna LDT launched; TrueMRD for MIBC launched
    Clinical trial efficacy safety dataOPTIMA trial met primary endpoint
    Cumulative patients uptake since launchapproaching 1 millionth patientpatients

    Product announcements

    2
    ProductTypeDetails
    Prosigna LDTlaunch
    TrueMRD for Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer (MIBC)launch

    Risks & headwinds

    3
    NCCN guideline changes for low-risk prostate cancerFY26

    Decipher volume guidance lowered by ~1,000 tests for FY26

    Mitigation: Investing in new clinical evidence generation, with initial readouts expected as early as 2027, to support broader adoption and guideline inclusion.

    Lack of Medicare reimbursement for Prosigna LDTNear-term

    Revenue guidance excludes contribution from Prosigna

    Mitigation: Ongoing constructive discussions with MolDX for Medicare coverage, with an expected pricing around $2,500.

    Harder comparative base for Afirma in FY27FY27

    Impact on Afirma's '27 numbers

    Mitigation: Anticipated benefit from the NRR in '26 results and strong PTCs will create a harder comp, requiring continued focus on operational efficiencies and market penetration.

    What to watch in Q3 FY26

    5

    Prosigna Medicare Reimbursement

    Next quarter / Near-term
    CurrentDiscussions ongoing with MolDX
    TargetApproval of tech assessment and pricing agreement

    Why it matters

    Securing Medicare reimbursement is critical for Prosigna's commercial ramp-up and revenue contribution.

    We are making progress on reimbursement and continue to have constructive discussions with MolDX regarding Medicare coverage. We are encouraged by the engagement to date and look forward to providing updates as those discussions progress.

    Q&A highlights

    5

    Is the reduction in Decipher low-risk volume due to AI-based testing, and how do molecular and AI approaches coexist in the future?

    Management clarified that the reduction in low-risk Decipher volume is due to NCCN guideline changes impacting all genomic tests in that setting, not a threat from AI. They emphasized that molecular and AI are complementary, measuring different biological aspects, and can coexist, with physicians generally preferring more information.

    The reduction in our internal expectations for Decipher for the year is only in the low category where we took it down by about 1,000 tests, some of which -- most of which is actually behind us in the second quarter. And the real -- the rationale for that and what we're seeing there is the guideline change that happened at the end of last year where effectively for every test, whether molecular or AI-based for active surveillance, it was taken out of guidelines.

    asked by Unknown Analyst · answered by Marc Stapley

    3 min read5 chapters

    Detailed Narrative

    01

    Prosigna Launch and OPTIMA Trial Impact

    Veracyte successfully launched Prosigna LDT in the U.S. following the presentation of practice-changing OPTIMA trial results at ASCO. The OPTIMA trial, an independent prospective Phase III study, demonstrated that over two-thirds of clinically high-risk early-stage breast cancer patients, including premenopausal women and those with up to 9 positive lymph nodes, may safely avoid chemotherapy. This Level 1A evidence significantly expands Prosigna's clinical utility beyond node-negative patients. The company is seeing tremendous physician enthusiasm and is expanding its sales force to meet demand, with over 100 institutions evaluating broad adoption. Discussions with MolDX for Medicare coverage are ongoing, with an expected price around $2,500.

    02

    TrueMRD Platform and Bladder Cancer Entry

    Veracyte entered the rapidly growing MRD market with the launch of TrueMRD for muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) recurrence monitoring. This test is the first commercial application of its TrueMRD platform, which utilizes whole genome sequencing for both landmark and subsequent liquid biopsy surveillance tests, offering a broader view of tumor biology and tracking tumor evolution. The company secured Medicare reimbursement for this initial indication and plans to leverage its Decipher Bladder brand and relationships in urology to accelerate adoption. The TrueMRD platform is designed to be extensible to multiple tumor types and clinical applications over time, positioning it as a long-term growth driver.

    03

    Decipher Prostate Performance and Evidence Generation

    Decipher Prostate delivered a strong quarter with 20% year-over-year revenue growth and 17% volume growth, totaling nearly 30,000 tests. This growth was driven by increased ordering positions and deeper penetration among existing physicians, particularly in intermediate and high-risk localized disease, post-prostatectomy, and biochemical recurrence. While low-risk volume guidance was slightly reduced due to NCCN guideline changes, the company is investing in new evidence generation, with initial readouts expected as early as 2027, to support broader adoption in this segment. Decipher Prostate was featured in over 35 publications and abstracts, including Level 1b evidence from the EZAMET trial, further solidifying its clinical utility.

    04

    Afirma Growth and Operational Improvements

    Afirma continued its strong performance with 18% year-over-year revenue growth and 10% volume growth, totaling approximately 18,600 tests. This was driven by increased utilization, expansion of the ordering physician base, and ongoing market share gains. Revenue also benefited from sustained ASP gains and favorable commercial payer reimbursement. Operational efficiencies from the B2 transcriptome workflow significantly improved the no-result rate, contributing approximately 400 basis points to volume growth. Evidence generation remains robust, with Afirma featured in 10 conference abstracts and multiple peer-reviewed manuscripts, and growing academic and industry collaborations through Afirma Grid.

    05

    Strategic Investments and Capital Deployment

    Veracyte generated $45.8 million in cash from operations, ending the quarter with $485.2 million in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments. The company is maintaining its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of greater than 26%, reflecting strategic investments in its growth initiatives, including the expansion of the Prosigna sales force and R&D for pipeline development. Management prioritizes investing in the business for continued growth, evaluating M&A opportunities for the right assets, and regularly discusses returning capital to investors, though current focus remains on internal opportunities.

    AI-generated summary of the company’s earnings call. Not investment advice.